Expert Analysis for the 2020 French Open Favorites

Expert Analysis for the 2020 French Open Favorites

Written by on September 22, 2020

Okay MyBookie tennis betting faithful, with qualifying matches at the 2020 French Open already underway and the start of main draw action set to begin on Sunday, Sept. 27, it’s time to find out just what we can expect from my top, half-dozen favorites while finishing with incomparable world No. 2,  Rafael Nadal. Let’s get started with a look at the French Open odds to win the third and final major on the coronavirus-altered 2020 schedule.

What to expect from the Favorites, Can Nadal Win it this year?

Odds To Win 2020 French Open

  • Rafael Nadal -120
  • Novak Djokovic +300
  • Dominic Thiem +300
  • Alexander Zverev +2000
  • Daniil Medvedev +2500
  • Stan Wawrinka +3300
  • Marin Cilic +4000
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +4000
  • Borna Coric +5000
  • Denis Shapovalov +6600
  • Milos Raonic +6600
  • Felix Auger-Aliasimme +6600
  • Kei Nishikori +6600

The Favorites

No. 6 Daniil Medvedev +2500

I know the world No. 5 has inexplicably struggled at Roland Garros by suffering a trio of surprising first round losses at Roland Garros, the last three years, but the cerebral Russian has the type of game that translates well on clay. Medvedev is 15-6 on the year and made an impressive run to the semifinals at the U.S. Open before losing to eventual champion Dominic Thiem and I believe he’s ready for his first deep run at this year’s French.

No. 5 Stan Wawrinka +3300

While no one is really talking about the 35-year-old world No. 17 heading into this year’s French Open, I like Stan Warinka’s chances of making a deep run at Roland Garros. Sure, Wawrinka is just 8-4 on the year with no titles, but the three-time grand slam champion has gone an impressive 42-14 all-time at Roland Garros and he reached the quarterfinals at this major year ago. Wawrinka won the 2015 French Open while dispatching the legendary Roger Federer and world No.1 Novak Djokovic along the way. Wawrinka also reached the final in 2017 and the semis in 2016, making me a believer that he’s got another good shot to upset the entire apple cart this year!

No. 4 Alexander Zverev +2000

Not only has the 23-year-old world No. 7 from Germany reached the quarterfinals in two straight years at Roland Garros, but the younger of the Zverev brothers comes into this year’s tournament off a fantastic run to the finals of the U.S. Open where he fell to Thiem in five sets in the finals. Zverev is 10-4 all-time at the French and has won two Masters 1000 events on clay (2017 Rome, 2018 Madrid). If he plays like he did in New York, Zverev could manage to claim the first major of his still-blossoming career.

No. 3 Novak Djokovic

The world No. 1 from Serbia may have been now, infamously defaulted at the recently completed U.S. Open, but the 33-year-old superstar is a near perfect 31-1 on the year with four titles. Djokovic took home the hardware at Roland Garros in 2016 by beating Andy Murray in four sets in the final and reached the semifinals at Roland Garros just last year. Not only that, but Djokovic, who has gone a stellar 68-14 all-time at Roland Garros, also made six consecutive appearances in the semis or better from 2011 to 2016 with four finals appearances along the way.

No. 2 Dominic Thiem

The 27-year-old Austrian won his first major at this year’s U.S. Open by coming back from two sets down against Zverev, so he should have a ton of confidence coming into this year’s French Open, In addition to that, Thiem has gone 24-6 all-time at Roland Garros while reaching the semis in each of the last four years and the finals in each of the last two years. Thiem took Rafael Nadal four sets in last year’s final and his next step looks to be winning it all.

No. 1 Rafael Nadal

The 34-year-old Spanaird has gone a mind-boggling 93-2 all-time at Roland Garros while winning an unprecedented 12 French Open titles, including each of the last three. The bad news however, is that Rafa got bounced out of the Italian Open this week in the quarterfinals by the diminutive Diego Schwatrzman in straight sets (6-2, 7-5). Could Rafa’s struggles on Clay in Rome be a precursor of things to come at Roland Garros or will his defeat on clay propel him on to another French Open title? While Nadal is the clear-cut prohibitive favorite, he’s not my top pick to win this year’s French as he succumbs to one of the other favorites on this list – before reaching the finals!

The Pick

I’m going with Dominic Thiem as my top pick to get it done at Roland Garros with successive picks for Sascha Zverev, Nadal and Novak Djokovic.


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