2021 Phoenix Open Expert Analysis - PGA Betting

2021 Phoenix Open Expert Analysis – PGA Betting

Written by on February 3, 2021

Okay MyBookie golf betting enthusiasts, with the 2020-21 PGA Tour season rolling right along, it’s time to find out which players are looking good against their respective odds to win the 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Let’s jump right into action so you can make your bets against their Golf odds.

PGA Tour – 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview

  • When: Thursday, Feb. 4. to Sunday, Feb. 7
  • Where: TPC Scottsdale — Scottsdale, Arizona

This year’s filed is loaded with elite stars that will be going all-out to get the win at TPC Scottsdale. World No. 2 Jon Rahm is the prohibitive favorite. World No. 3 Justin Thomas is right behind. World No. 4 Xander Schauffele, No. 6 Rory McIlroy and No. 9 Webb Simpson round out the top five favorites.

Here is a look at some recent past winners, including Webb, the reigning champion.

Past Phoenix Open Winners

  • 2020: Webb Simpson -17
  • 2019: Rickie Fowler -17
  • 2018: Gary Woodland -18
  • 2017: Hideki Matsuyama -17
  • 2016: Hideki Matsuyama -14
  • 2015: Brooks Koepka -15

Wile a handful of the world’s top players are competing in the Saudi International, five of the world’s top 10 players are in the field in Phoenix. Now, let’s find out which players are offering the best value this coming weekend.

2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open Odds

  • Jon Rahm +650
  • Justin Thomas +800
  • Xander Schauffele +1000
  • Rory McIlroy +1100
  • Webb Simpson +1400
  • Daniel Berger +2000
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2200
  • Harris English +2800
  • Sungjae Im +3000
  • Rickie Fowler +4000
  • Bubba Watson +4000
  • Will Zalatoris +4500
  • Scottie Scheffler +4500
  • Ryan Palmer +4000
  • Gary Woodland +4500
  • Matthew Wolff +5000
  • Billy Horschel +5000
  • Matt Kuchar +6600
  • Jason Day +5500
  • Louis Oosthuizen +5000

The Top Five Picks To Win

  • No. 5 Ryan Palmer

You might not hear Ryan Palmer’s name being mentioned as a potential long shot winner, but he’s my No. 5 pick to win the Phoenix Open and for good reason. The 44-year-old is 28th in the Official Golf World Rankings (OGWR). More importantly, Palmer has been mostly outstanding since the start of the 2020-21 season. In seven events, the Texas native has recorded four Top-25 finishes and three Top-10 finishes. Over his last three tournaments, Palmer finished fourth at the Sentry Tournament of Champions last month before finishing T41 a week later at the Sony Open in Hawaii. Just last week, Palmer finished T2 in the Farmers Insurance Open. Palmer ranks 49th in driving distance (303.3), 15th in eagles per hole (78.0) a spectacular third in birdie average (5.08) and 26th in scoring average (70.1). Palmer finished in a three-way tie for second place in Phoenix in 2015 while finishing in a five-way tie for second in 2006. At +4000, Palmer is offering a tremendous payout if he can bring home the bacon.

  • No. 4  Xander Schauffele

Sixth in the OGWR, the 27-year-old Californian ranks eight in eagles (72.0), ninth in birdie average (4.83) and sixth in scoring average (69.5).  In six events this season, Schauffele has four Top-10 finishes, including a fifth place finish in the  Sentry Tournament of Champions last month and a second place finish in last weekend’s Farmers Insurance Open. After recording a trio of second place finishes last season, but no wins, this dude is due for an outright win and he’s got the skills to get it done.

  • No. 3 Rickie Fowler

No one is really mentioning Rickie Fowler much these days, but I think the 32-year-old Californian still has plenty of gas left in the tank. In eight outings this season, Fowler only has one Top 25 finish, but he’s also ranked a solid 68th in driving distance (300.6) and 61st in birdie average (4.18). More importantly, Fowler won this event in 2019 while finishing second in 2016 and 2010. Maybe it’s me, but I think the gifted, but often underachieving Fowler is long overdue for a win.

  • No. 2 Webb Simpson

Ninth if the OGWR, the 35-year-old North Carolina native ranks second in driving accuracy, 29th in eagles (100.8), 23rd in birdie average (4.54) and ninth in scoring average (69.6). In seven events this season, Simpson has three Top-10 finishes, including a T4 finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii two weeks ago. Simpson won this tournament a year ago in a playoff against Tony Finau while finishing second in 2017. Simpson has been rock-solid with every shot in the bag and will definitely challenge for the win.

  • No. 1  Hideki Matsuyama

23rd in the Official Golf World Rankings, the 28-year-old Japanese star has recorded one Top-10 finish in nine events this season including a T2 finish in the Houston Open in November. Matsuyama finished an uninspiring T53 in the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago, but is my top pick to win this weekend. Matsuyama won this event in 2016 and 2017 while finishing T2 in 2015. Matsuyama is due for a win after failing to get one last season and I believe he’s getting the huge ‘W’ this coming weekend.


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