Byron Nelson Odds and Analysis for PGA Tour Betting Enthusiasts

 

Previous Betting News

We’re less than two weeks out from the PGA Championship, the second major of the golf season, but first, we have another decent field at the AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas. The tournament and its $9.5 million purse has attracted top players like Scottie Scheffler and Jordan Spieth, both of whom are from Texas. Notable absences include world No. 1 Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele. 

In fact, only six of the world’s top 30 players are in Texas for the Byron Nelson. It’ll be hard to beat Scheffler, but this week should provide an opportunity for someone to step up and make a name for themselves ahead of the PGA Championship – just as Wyndham Clark did with his first career victory this past weekend at the Wells Fargo Championship.

Let’s take a look at the outright PGA betting lines and smart betting picks for this year’s AT&T Byron Nelson.

AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Odds and Predictions

Tour: PGA Tour
When: May 11–14, 2023
Where: TPC Craig Ranch | McKinney, Texas
Par / Length: 70 / 7,468 yards (6,829 m)

Why You Should Favor Spieth over Scheffler

If you watched Jordan Spieth at the Wells Fargo this past weekend, you probably aren’t considering him a favorite this weekend at the AT&T Byron Nelson. Spieth missed the cut for the eighth time since the start of the 2022 season, but he’s almost always in contention in his home state and has responded well after missed cuts – he has four top-10 finishes following a missed cut. 

TPC Craig Ranch also plays to Spieth’s strengths more than the big course at Quail Hollow. He finished runner-up at last year’s AT&T Byron Nelson.

PGA Favor Bet: Jordan Spieth | Bet AT&T Byron Nelson to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

KH Lee – Two-Time Defending Champion

It’s a little surprising that KH Lee has only the seventh-shortest odds to win this weekend, considering he has won the event in each of the last two years with scores of 26- and 25 under. Nobody has been as consistent at TPC Craig Ranch as he has in the last two years. Not surprisingly, he leads all players on tour in true shots gained at the Texas course. 

Lee is coming off of a T8 finish at the Wells Fargo and was T23 at the Masters in April.

PGA Bet: KH Lee | Bet AT&T Byron Nelson to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Scott Stallings – Longshot Bet

It’ll be hard to top either Spieth, Scheffler, or Lee, but Scott Stallings (+6600) offers great value as a longshot bet. The relatively unheralded 38-year-old American is 66th in the Official World Golf Rankings and hasn’t won since the 2014 Farmers Insurance Open, but has played well at TPC Craig Ranch in the last two years.

Stallings was T3 at the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2021 and T25 last year. He ranks 11th in true shots gained at the course during that time. Stallings has made 11 of 15 cuts this season and has four top-25 finishes without a top-10 result. He should be in contention this weekend.

PGA Longshot Shot: Scott Stallings | Bet AT&T Byron Nelson to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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Previous Betting News

After a one-year hiatus due to the COVID-19 pandemic a year ago, the AT&T Byron Nelson is back on the 50-tournament PGA Tour season. This year, the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson will take place at TPC Craig Ranch at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas. Two years ago, the unheralded Sung Kang captured the 2019 event for his first career PGA Tour victory.

This year, Jon Rahm is the co-favorite alongside Bryson DeChambeau at +800. Hometown star Jordan Spieth is next in line at +1000 with Daniel Berger (+1600) and Scottie Scheffler (+1800) rounding out the top five favorites on the odds leaderboard.

The 2021 Byron Nelson gets undrway on Thursday, May 13 and takes place on a 7,468-yard, par-72 layout designed by the legendary Tom Weiskopf. Also in the field is 2021 Masters champ Hideki Matsuyama, four-time major winner Brooks Koepka and young Masters runner-up Will Zalatoris. This is the final tournament for players to fine tune their games in preparation for the 2021 PGA Championship next week at Kiawah Island. WIth that in mind, let’s take a closer look at the upcoming event so you can get all set to make your bets against their PGA odds.

PGA Tour Betting – AT&T Byron Nelson Odds and Predictions

Odds to Win 2021 Byron Nelson

Five For the Win

Sam Burns

The 24-year-old American has made the cut 15 times in 16 events this season with five Top-10 finishes and one win in lastt moth’s Valspar Championship. Burns has a pair of Top-3 finishes in his last six events, including a third place finish in the Genesis Invitational in February.

Hideki Matsuyama

The 29-year-old native of Japan has made the cut 16 tmes in 17 tournaments this season with one win in last month’s Masters. Matsuyama has seven Top-20 finishes and one second place finish in the Houston Open in November.

Scottie Scheffler

The 24-year-old Dallas native has made the cut 14 times in 18 events this season with nine Top-25 finishes and four Top-10 finishes. Scheffler finished T29 in the Valspar Championship in his last event, T8 in the Zurich Classic of New Orleans just before that and an impressive T18 in the Masters just prior to that. Scheffler ranks 32nd in driving distance, 26th in driving accuracy and 14th in birdie average. Scheffler might not be a household name yet, but I like his chances this weekend.

Will Zalatoris

The 24-year-old Californian missed the cut at last week’s Wells Fargo Championship, but that should serve as added motivation in my opinion. Zalatoris finished a stupendous second in this year’s Masters in his first appearance at Augusta. Zalatoris finised seventh in the Farmer’s Insurance Open in January and fifth in the Shriners Hospitals for Children tournament in October. A former star at Wake Forest, Zalatoris ranks 21st in driving distance, 26th in greens in regulation, 26th in eagles and a stellar 13th in scoring average (70.022). Zalatoris also finished a stellar sixth in last year’s U.S. Open and is clearly a future major winner just waiting to happen.

Jon Rahm

In 14 events this season, Rahm has made the cut 13 times. Ironically, the 26-year-old Spanaird missed the cut at last week’s Wells Fargo, but that was a rare occassion. More importantly, I’m thinking it’s going to give Rahm the motivation he needs to get the win in this event. Besides, prior to last week, Rahm, who is third in the Offical Golf World Rankings, finished an impressive fifth in the Masters and ninth in THE PLAYERS Championship. The former Arizona State star ranks 21st in driving distance, fifth in greens-in-regulation, 21st in birdie average (4.30) and ninth in scoring average (69.960). Rahm also finished fifth in the Genesis Invitational an an identical seventh in three consecutive tournaments to close out last year and kick off the 2021 calendar campaign.

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Previous Betting News

With the 2019 AT&T Bryon Nelson teeing off Thursday live from Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas, now is a perfect time to take a look at the golf odds to win this weekend’s PGA Tour event. Better yet, you’re going to get some expert golf betting analysis and an inside look at my top five picks to bring home the bacon at this year’s Byron Nelson showdown. Over 150 players are in the field this weekend on the difficult par-72 course which features a mind-boggling 552-yard, par-5 first hole followed by a lengthy 241-yard par-3. This weekend’s field features several major champions like prohibitive Brooks Koepka, Jordan Spieth and Patrick Reed.

With this event serving as a great warm-up for next week’s second major of the year, the U.S. Open, and the winner of this event almost certainly qualifying for the PGA Championship as well, let’s find out which golfers are looking good heading into this fun-filled event. Koepka is the prohibitive favorite at 7-1, followed closely by Hideki Matsuyama at 13-1 and Spieth at 15-1.

2019 AT&T Byron Nelson Odds, Predictions & Picks

When: May 9-12
Where: Trinity Forest — Dallas, Texas
TV: Golf Channel

Past Winners

A year ago, Aaron Wise finished 23 under par to beat out Marc Leishman by three strokes. Prior to that, Billy Horschel won in a playoff over Jason Day and in 2016, Sergio Garcia won in a playoff against Brooks Koepka.

Odds to Win the 2019 AT&T Byron Nelson

My Top Five Picks To Win 2019 Byron Nelson

No. 5 Rory Sabbatini

43-year-old South African Rory Sabbatini won this event in 2009 and finished T-13 here last year. More importantly, Sabbatini has recorded three straight Top 20 finishes by finishing T10 at the RBC Heritage in April, T3 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans a week later and T18 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend. I love Sabbatini’s long shot value as a whopping 48-1 pick here.

No. 4 Hideki Matsuyama

I know Japanese superstar Hideki Matsuyama hasn’t won a PGA Tour event since bagging the 2017 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational title in August of 2017, but the

27-year-old is still seriously gifted golfer and one that reached No. 2 in the world in 2017. Now, ranked 43rd in the world, Matsuyama has been playing some rock-solid golf for a while now, even if it hasn’t resulted in him ending up in the winner’s circle. Matsuyama hasn’t missed a cut since last year’s Open and has recorded a quartet of Top 10 finishes over his last eight outings including a T3 at the Farmers Insurance Open in January.

No. 3 Marc Leishman

Leishman finished as the runner-up in this event a year ago, but that’s not the only reason I believe he will contend again this year. No…I believe the World No. 13 is a bit semi-desperate after finishing T62, T23, MC, T9, T49 and T58 in his last six events after starting off the 2018-19 season with a quartet of Top 5 finishes in his fist five tournaments of the new season. Leishman ranks 12t in eagles per hole, 31st in birdie average (4.21) and 35th in scoring average (70.6). I love the value he’s offering as a value-packed 29-1 pick.

No. 2 Aaron Wise

Not only is Aaron Wise the defending champion here, but he also set a tournament record in the process by shooting a blistering -23 to beat out Leishman by three strokes. More impressive is the fact that the then, 21-year-old rookie pulled away from the veteran at the turn after a four-hour rain delay at the new Trinity Forest course by shooting a 65 in Sunday’s final round.

“It’s everything I’ve dreamed of,” Wise said a year ago. “I felt like when it rained today I was really going to tear the course up just because it allowed me to hit driver, which is my strength. I got a lot of short irons in my hand and was able to make a lot birdies.”

Now, heading into this year’s event I like Wise as my No. 2 pick seeing as how he finished an encouraging 17th at the Masters and T18 at last weekend’s Wells Fargo Championship. Wise shot four straight rounds in the 60s a year ago and that alone means he’s going to have a great shot to defend his title here even though the legendary Tom Watson was the last repeat winner when he took three straight from 1978-1980.

No. 1 Brooks Koepka

Koepka, the World No. 8, comes into this year’s Byron Nelson looking damn good after finishing second at the Masters and T22 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans a couple of weeks ago. The 29-year-old Floridian finished as the runner-up here in 2016 and as a three-time major winner, including consecutive U.S. Open titles, I suspect that Koepka is looking for a great performance here as he prepares to bag his third straight U.S. Open. Koepka is undeniably the most talented player in the field and that means he’ll have a great chance to win this event outright.

 

 

Previous Betting News

After a thrilling Players Championship event last weekend, which was won by Jason Day, the top players in the world head to Dallas, Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson, which runs from Thursday, May 17 to Sunday, May 20. As often happens after one of the biggest events on the PGA Tour, the Golf Betting panorama for this one is a little more diluted than we are used to.

That said, there are still a lot of players who have a shot at getting the win at the 7,380-yard Par 71 Trinity Forest golf course. Jordan Spieth is the definite favorite for this weekend, but this is a tournament that has routinely delivered winners who are not exactly considered to be household names. Let’s take a look at some of the favorites for the AT&T Byron Nelson this weekend.

Expert Golf Betting Preview & Pick for 2018 AT&T Byron Nelson

Tournament Info

Last 10 Winners

2018 Favorites

Jordan Spieth

Golf Betting Odds to Win: +550

Spieth is a Texas native, so you can bet that he is going to have the support of the crowd at this event. He is far and away the favorite for this one, but he has yet to really put together any sort of consistency this season.

That inconsistency was very much in evidence last weekend when he bounced back after a rough opening round to have great efforts on Friday and Saturday. It looked like he was making a move on Sunday, but a quadruple bogey dropped him all the way down to 41st. Spieth has yet to show the form that suggests he is ready to win.

Matt Kuchar

Golf Betting Odds to Win: +1400

Despite being the second favorite on the odds board this weekend, Kuchar should still be considered a longshot to win here. His best year on the tour came back in 2013 when he won two events.

It has been a pretty barren run since then in terms of wins, so seeing Kuchar at the top of the leaderboard this coming Sunday would be a real surprise. He does have a trio of top 10 finishes this season, though, and he has a shot at landing there again in this group.

Sergio Garcia

Golf Betting Odds to Win: +1400

If you are looking for a player in need of a breakout tournament, look no further than Sergio Garcia. After going through a stretch where he finished in the top 10, the Spaniard has now missed the cut in 3 of his last 4 events. He broke that missed cut skid last weekend at the Players Championship, but still only managed to finish in 70th.

Garcia is undeniably one of the most talented players on the PGA Tour, but I just don’t think he is ready to get back to the top of the leaderboard just yet.

Hideki Matsuyama

Golf Betting Odds to Win: +1800

The common theme in this tournament seems to be that the favorites are players who are not really at the top of their game right now. Matsuyama is definitely in that category after failing to make the cut at the Players Championship last weekend, and barely making it into the final two rounds in the event he played before that one. He is another of the favorites that I will be steering clear of this weekend.

I am going a little deeper into the betting odds board to find my pick for the AT&T Byron Nelson. I am going with Charley Hoffman, a golfer who really seems to enjoy playing in Texas. He finished tied for 2nd at this event last year and has been in the top 10 twice in his last three visits.

 

 

Previous Betting News

Last week’s Players Championship in Florida had the best field of the year. Thus many of the world’s top players are deciding to skip this week’s PGA Tour event, the AT&T Byron Nelson at the TPC Four Seasons Resort at Las Colinas outside of Dallas. Area native and world No. 2 Jordan Spieth, whose first PGA Tour event was a tie for 16th at Las Colinas at age 16, and No. 8 Dustin Johnson top a lineup that includes 10 of the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking. Spieth is your favorite to win at +750 on betting odds.

Here’s what I’ll guarantee you: Aussie Steven Bowditch will not win again and he’s a +35000 long shot. He shot a final-round 64 last year and won by four shots. Bowditch, who got married at the resort next to the TPC Four Seasons in 2011, had 27 birdies while becoming the seventh player to lead all four rounds of the event. He finished at 18-under 259 on the rain-altered layout. Charley Hoffman (65), Texan Jimmy Walker (66) and Scott Pinckney (66) tied for second at 14-under. Zach Johnson shot 63 to finish alone in fifth at 13-under. Spieth finished 7-under after an even-par 69.

A In Depth Analysis on the AT&T Byron Nelson Golf Betting Picks & Prediction

Yes, Spieth shot an even-par 69. That’s because for the first time in PGA Tour history, a course played to a par 69. The par-4 14th hole required an adjustment during last year’s tournament. After playing as a 406-yard par 4 in the opening round, it was shortened to a 104-yard par 3 for the remaining three rounds. Flooding in that low area of the golf course forced the decision that created a par 35-34=69.

Spieth returns to his hometown event, still seeking his first victory in the state of Texas. He’s been runner-up three times – once each at Colonial, Houston and San Antonio. His best result at this tournament remains that tie for 16th six years ago as a teenager on a sponsor’s exemption.

Fellow American Dustin Johnson is +900. He has done everything but win this event, with five straight top-20 finishes including four top-10s. Johnson has the length off the tee to capitalize this week, and he didn’t lose much momentum with a T28 finish last week at TPC Sawgrass after three straight top-five results.

Hoffman is +2000 along with Matt Kuchar and Zach Johnson. A T2 last year in this event is the highlight for Hoffman, but he also has a total of three top 10s and a fourth top 25 since 2008. He won the Valero Texas Open before a T11 in New Orleans and a missed cut last week. Kuchar is coming off an impressive T3 at TPC Sawgrass, his best finish on tour in over 15 months. He has never missed a cut in eight trips to TPC Four Seasons with a pair of top 10s.

Former Colonial champions Zach Johnson, David Toms and Boo Weekley seek to become the 16th man to complete the “DFW Double” by winning both Dallas-Fort Worth events in their career. Adam Scott was the last to do it. Four of the past six winners of this event have made it their first Tour win, a list that includes major champions Jason Day (2010) and Keegan Bradley (2011).

Expert Betting Predictions

I like Dustin and Zach Johnson each for a Top 10 finish as well as Kuchar. There is one interesting prop: Spieth or Dustin Johnson winning at +315 vs. the field. I think DJ has a good shot but go with the field. Leishman could be a good longer-shot bet. The Aussie has twice tied for third here, and has five top-12 finishes in seven starts.

 

 

Previous Betting News

After a dominating performance by world No. 1 Jason Day at the big-money Players Championship over the weekend at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., the PGA Tour heads to Texas for a two-week Lone Star State Swing beginning with the AT&T Byron Nelson tournament at the TPC Four Seasons Resort-Las Colinas in Irving outside Dallas. And native son Jordan Spieth, the world No. 2, is the heavy favorite on sportsbook odds in a slightly watered-down field. The winning margin favorite is one shot at +250. A playoffs is +300.

Breaking Down The PGA Tour AT&T Byron Nelson Golf Betting Overview

TV: Thursday-Friday, 4-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel). Saturday-Sunday, 1-2:30 p.m. (GC), 3-6 p.m. (CBS).

PGA TOUR LIVE: Thursday-Friday, 8 a.m.-4 p.m. (Featured Groups), 4-7 p.m. (Featured Holes). Saturday-Sunday, 8 a.m.-6 p.m. (Featured Groups).

RADIO: Thursday-Friday, 1-7 p.m.; Saturday-Sunday, 1-6 p.m. (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.COM).

This tournament dates to 1944. That year, Byron Nelson teed it up at Lakewood Country Club and won the Texas Victory Open by 10 strokes over his friend Harold “Jug” McSpaden. The AT&T Byron Nelson is now the ninth longest-running active tournament on the Tour schedule. Aside from the three U.S. majors (the U.S. Open, PGA Championship and the Masters), only eight Tour events were established prior to 1944. While 10 years elapsed before an annual Dallas-based event began again in 1956, the stage was set for the introduction of the current tournament, which began as the Byron Nelson Golf Classic in 1968. In 1983 the tournament moved to the Four Seasons Resort and Club Dallas at Las Colinas.

The course is a par 70 at 7,1666 yards. Originally laid out by Jay Morrish in 1983, the course underwent a major overhaul in 2007 by D.A. Weibring and Steve Wolfard. In 2019, the tournament will move from the Four Seasons course in Irving to the yet-built Trinity Forest Golf Course in Dallas. This is one of two PGA tournaments held in the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex – the only metropolitan area to host two PGA tournaments.

If there’s one hole to watch, it’s No. 14 as it’s annually one of the toughest of the tournament. It was the No. 1-handicap hole in the opening round last year. At 4.282, it tied for the 41st-hardest par 4 among 560 par 4s played all season.

 

 

Previous Betting News

Okay PGA golf fanatics, we’re back in business this week at the AT&T Byron Nelson where Jordan Spieth is the oddsmakers’ prohibitive favorite. Still, with the World No. 1 facing his share of troubles recently, the question begs to be asked. Is Speith really the favorite in the golf betting odds to bring home the bacon at Byron Nelson?

Keep in mind that, while this event has been held since 1944, only four golfers have won this event more than once. Also, this is one of the weaker fields we’ve seen in awhile, so it’s wide open in terms of trying to make some money.

Inside Scoop on the PGA AT&T Byron Nelson Golf Betting Overview & TV Info

When: Thursday, May 19, 2016 at 1:00 pm
Where: Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas
TV: GOLF, CBS

Zach Johnson (+1800), Dustin Johnson (+800) and defending champion Steven Bowditch get started at No. 1 at 12:40 PM ET. Spieth tees off Thursday at 12:50 p.m. Eastern from Hole No. 1 with Jason Dufner and Jimmy Green.

Jordan Spieth +625

Believe it r not, Spieth, a native Texan, played in this tournament way back in 2010 on a sponsor’s exemption when he was just 16-years-old. Not only that, but Speith shot an amazing 4-under to finish in a tie for 16th.

Nevertheless, Spieth is coming off a poor performance at last week’s Player’s Championship where he missed he cut. Speith also finished a distant 30th at the Byron Nelson in 2015.

Charley Hoffman +1800

Hoffman finished tied for second at last year’s Byron Nelson and won the Valero Open in San Antonio last month. Hoffman has also recorded three top 15 finishes this season, so he should at least contend.

Matt Kuchar +1800

While Matt Kuchar hasn’t recorded a win this season, he did finish third in last week’s Player’s Championship while recording two other op 10 finishes in his four previous tournaments. Sounds to me, like Kuchar is rounding into form.

Zach Johnson +1800

Not only does Zach Johnson not have a tour victor this season, but he’s also finished 29th or worse in each of his last three tournaments while missing the cut at the Master’s in his outing prior to those.

Jimmy Walker +3500

Walker has missed the cut in two straight events coming into this weekend but finished fifth in last year’s Byron Nelson. I’ve got a feeling that Walker, who has made the cut in 10 of 13 events overall, is due for a better outing at a familiar course this week.

Dustin Johnson +800

Johnson has made the cut in all six of his appearances at the Byron Nelson and has finished in the top-10 four times. Johnson has also finished in the top-10 in three of his last four events, making him my pick to bring home the bacon at this year’s Byron Nelson.

The Pick: Dustin Johnson