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AFC North rivals Cleveland and Cincinnati throw down on Sunday in what should be a great game. In the first contest between the two Ohio NFL teams, Cleveland got the better of the Bengals. But the Browns played with Jacoby Brissett under center. Will Deshaun Watson’s presence lead to a different outcome on Sunday? See below for NFL Betting Lines, analysis, and a free pick for Cincinnati versus Cleveland.

NFL Week 14 Betting Preview for Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds and Match Info

When: Sunday, Dec. 11 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount
ATS Odds: Cincinnati -5.5
Money line Odds: Cleveland +191 / Cincinnati -239
Over/Under Odds: 47

Why bet on Cleveland versus Cincinnati?

For the first time in two seasons, Deshaun Watson played for the Cleveland Browns and it was not good. The Browns beat the Houston Texans but it wasn’t because Deshaun lit up the Texans’ secondary.

Anybody who saw the game could tell that Deshaun wasn’t himself. But that’s okay. Versus the Bengals, Watson should play much better. When Deshaun is at his best, he’s one of the top five quarterbacks in the league. Now that he’s got the first game behind him, we should expect the Deshaun Watson we’re used to seeing to play lights out on Sunday.

Cleveland Browns Offensive Averages

Total Yards: 370.8

Passing Yards: 214.8

Rushing Yards: 156.0

Points Scored: 24.2

Turnovers: 17

Cleveland Browns Defensive Averages

Total Yards: 342.3
Passing Yards: 214.8
Rushing Yards: 127.4
Points Scored: 25.0
Takeaways: 11

Why bet on Cincinnati versus Cleveland?

The Bengals started the season slow but since a 27-12 win against the New York Jets on Sep. 25, Cincinnati has rocked straight up and against the spread.

The Bengals have gone 9-1 both SU and ATS in their last 10. Cincy steps onto the field in this after beating the Kansas City Chiefs 27-24 in week 13 as a +2.5 underdog. Few teams are playing as well as the Bengals are, which is why they should win and cover versus the rival Browns.

Cincinnati Bengals Offensive Averages

Total Yards: 372.4

Passing Yards: 271.5

Rushing Yards: 100.9

Points Scored: 26.0

Turnovers: 12

Cincinnati Bengals Defensive Averages

Total Yards: 330.0

Passing Yards: 215.7

Rushing Yards: 114.3

Points Scored: 21.3

Takeaways: 14

Browns at Bengals Relevant Trends

Browns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game
Cleveland is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 versus the AFC
Over is 4-1 in the Browns’ last 5 games in week 14
Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf
Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a losing road record
Under is 10-1-1 in the Bengals’ last 12 versus the AFC

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals Final Betting Prediction

Deshaun is for sure going to play much better than he did versus the Texans. Not only was Houston his first game back, but it was against his former team. So we should see a more relaxed Watson throwing the football on Sunday.

But even if Deshaun improves, it won’t be enough to keep this game close. Most NFL fans have concentrated on Watson’s suspension, which makes sense.

The real problem, though, is that Deshaun hasn’t played competitive football in two years. It’s going to take him a while to acclimate to the game’s speed.

Not only that, but even though the Browns covered against the Bengals in the last head-to-head, it was Cleveland’s fourth cover versus Cincinnati in the last 16 matchups. Joe Burrow and his teammates exact revenge with a big win and cover.

NFL Week 14 Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -5.5