The Jaguars should have better Odds to win Super Bowl LIII.

NFL Lines & Week 1 Betting Preview on Jaguars vs. Texans

Written by on September 6, 2017

Betting fans may not often admit it, but they all experience some sort of envy. Teams who lose every year will look at the successful franchises and wish they could be just like them. That said, teams who win a lot in the regular season, but who fail to succeed in the playoffs, will look at championship winning teams and wish that they had an elite QB to take them over the hump. Two teams that fall into each of those categories will hook up in Week 1 on Sunday afternoon. But things might change for them in the NFL lines for this season. The Jacksonville Jaguars have turned into a bit of a punching bag over the past few years, with rumors of a disinterested owner and a potential move to another city all casting a shadow over the franchise. The Houston Texans have been very good over the past few seasons, but have not been able to turn regular season dominance into postseason success, mostly because they have not had a QB capable of getting the job down. This season looks as though it is going to be more of the same for the Jags, but the Texans are hoping that they can make a splash in the postseason with the addition of rookie QB DeShaun Watson, who has already impressed in his preseason appearances. Right now, the NFL odds favor the Jaguars to take the victory, but I do think that we could see a better Houston team than before.

NFL Lines & Week 1 Betting Preview on Jaguars vs. Texans

When: Sunday, September 10 at 1 PM EST Where: NRG Stadium, Houston TV: CBS Radio: 1010 XL 92.5 FM (Jacksonville) / KILT-FM 100.3 FM (Houston) Live Stream: NFL Game Pass NFL Lines: Jacksonville Jaguars -5½ (-110) Weather Forecast
  • Clear: 29°C/84°F
  • Humidity: 41%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 0%
  • Wind: 10 mph NNE
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

Why Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars at -5½?

The AFC South is turning into a tougher division with the resurgence of the Tennessee Titans, which means that things may start to get even tougher for this Jaguars team. There was a definite sense that the tide was going to turn when they drafted Blake Bortles, who they believed could be their franchise QB. Things have not gone according to plan, though, even after the Jags made a big financial splash in the offseason in a real attempt to get things headed in the right direction. Jacksonville are just 8-24 in the last two seasons, and went 0-4 versus the Texans during that stretch. What may come as a bit of a surprise is that they have been competitive ATS on the road, going 8-7-1 over the last two seasons, which included going 1-1 ATS when playing in Houston. The Jaguars come into this one as a 5 ½ point underdog, but whether they are able to keep things close is likely going to hinge on the performances of the two QB’s. It’s fair to suggest that there is more pressure on Bortles than there is on Watson, which may well swing things in the favor of the Texans.

Team Statistics

  • Offensive total yards 334.94
  • Current Offensive rush yards 101.94
  • Offensive passing yards 233.00
  • Average Score For 19.88
  • Defensive total yards 321.69
  • Current Defensive rush yards 106.44
  • Defensive passing yards 215.25
  • Average Score Against 25.00

Check List to Help You Get Ready for the 2017 NFL Season

Why Bet on the Houston Texans at +5½?

As we have already mentioned, this is a match-up that the Texans have dominated through the years. There are going to be times this season when DeShaun Watson is going to make some major rookie mistakes, but the good news for him is that Houston has a defense that is more than good enough to bail him out when he delivers those inevitable turnovers. Are the Texans a safe bet in the NFL lines against the Jaguars? The Texans went 19-16 over the past 2 seasons, and while that is not particularly impressive, things get a little more lopsided when you look at what they were able to do at home. They were 13-5 straight up, but perhaps more impressively, they went 8-1 SU when they were favored by 7 points or less. They were also 10-2 against division opponents in their own building, all of which very much suggests that they should be able to get their season off to a winning start in Week 1.

Team Statistics

  • Offensive total yards 311.83
  • Current Offensive rush yards 116.00
  • Offensive passing yards 195.83
  • Average Score For 17.89
  • Defensive total yards 300.17
  • Current Defensive rush yards 97.72
  • Defensive passing yards 202.44
  • Average Score Against 20.89

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 30
  • First Meeting: October 27th, 2002. Alltel Stadium. Jacksonville, Florida
  • Last Meeting: December 18th, 2016. NRG Stadium. Houston, Texas
  • All-Time Series: Houston 19-11-0
  • Largest Margin of Victory:
  • Longest Win Streak: Jacksonville 6 (2014-2016)
  • Current Win Streak: Jacksonville 6 (2014-2016)

Latest NFL Lines Trends

  • Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Jacksonville is 1-10 SU in the last 11 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games
  • Houston is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Houston is 4-2 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 9 of Houston’s last 13 games at home

Expert NFL Lines Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Texans were without JJ Watt for portions of last season, so having him back immediately makes the defense better. I think they will dominate the Jaguars offense, giving DeShaun Watson time to settle into a groove. I’m going with the Texans to win and cover, despite the fact that their last 2 wins against Jacksonville were by 3 points or less. NFL Lines Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars 10 Houston Texans 21