Thanksgiving Game: Packers vs Lions Odds and Betting Analysis for Week 12

Thanksgiving is this Thursday and like every year the NFL has three games. Also like what happens every year, the Detroit Lions kick off the festivities. The Lions take on the rival Green Bay Packers at Ford Field in NFL Thanksgiving Thursday’s early matchup. Detroit is one of the best teams in the league. The Lions hope to push their record to 9-2.

Will the Lions cover the -8.5 spread and take a step closer to the coveted 10 win mark? Or will Green Bay dominate Detroit on Thanksgiving the way they’ve done in so many prior seasons?

Check out NFL odds, plus an analysis of the game with a free pick for Thanksgiving’s Green Bay at Detroit blast.

Thanksgiving Game: Packers vs Lions Odds and Betting Prediction for this Week 12 Matchup | MyBookie NFL Regular Season Preview

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions | NFL Week 12 Thanksgiving Games
ATS Odds: Lions -8.5
Money line Odds: Packers +300 / Lions -400
Over/Under Odds: 47

Thursday, November 23rd, 2023 at 12:30 pm ET | FOX
Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Green Bay Packers Offense

The question was wether Jordan Love could replace the great Aaron Rodgers. So far, the answer is no. Love isn’t posting stats close to AR’s.

Although he’s completing a decent percentage of passes, over 64%, Love has thrown just 16 TD’s to 10 picks. Jordan is on pace for more than 15 interceptions this season, which isn’t good enough in the NFL.

The rushing attack only goes for 102.1 yards per game. That’s not enough yards to take pressure off of Love. The Packers average less than 21 points per game.

Green Bay Packers Defense

While Green Bay’s offense is struggling, the defense is playing well. Only two teams have scored 30 points or more against the Pack this season. The Bears dropped 38 in NFL Week 1 in a Green Bay loss, and then the Lions scored 34 in the Packers’ loss to Detroit in Green Bay’s fourth game.

Atlanta scored 25, the Vikings scored 24, and the Steelers scored 23 in Green Bay losses. The Packers have held 5 teams to 20 points or less but are just 3-2 SU in those 5 games.

Detroit Lions Offense

Based on yards per game, Jared Goff and the Lions boast the second best offense in the league. Detroit ranks second in yards per at 399.6 per contest.

Goff averages 263 passing yards per. More impressively, David Montgomery, Jahmyr Gibbs, and the rest of the running backs rumble for close to 137 yards each time the Lions step onto the field.

Detroit scores an average of 27.2 points each game. The Lions’ offensive line rates as one of the league’s best.

Detroit Lions Defense

Last season, the Detroit Lions had to rely on Goff and the offense to hang in games. This season, the defense is holding its own.

Led by stars like Aidan Hutchinson, Jack Campbell, and Jerry Jacobs, the Detroit Lions field one of the NFL’s better defenses. Jacobs has 36 solo tackles, 7 pass defenses, and 3 interceptions.

The Lions allow less than 23 points per game. Opponents average less than 9 yards per game versus Detroit.

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Final Betting Prediction

Detroit had to rally to beat the Chicago Bears in their last game, but the struggles made sense. The Bears played the Lions great last season. Justin Fields, Chicago’s quarterback, especially had a great game versus Detroit.

The fact the Lions rallied to beat Chicago is a testament to their cohesiveness and heart. There’s no way Detroit gives Green Bay a shot to beat them in this game.

The Lions believe they own Thanksgiving. On Thursday, Detroit dominates Green Bay. Love has no chance of taking it to the Lions D while Detroit’s offense already dropped 34 on the Packers at Lambeau in an early season Lions’ victory.

Detroit wins this by at least 10. Don’t be surprised if the margin of victory approaches 20.

2023 NFL Thanksgiving Pick: ATS Detroit Lions -8.5 | Bet Packers vs Lions
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Green Bay Packers Team

4-6 | 1-4 Away

Detroit Lions Team

8-2 | 4-1 Home

2023 NFL Standings up to Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Betting Trends

• Against the spread, Detroit is 7-3-0 this season.
• The Lions have one win ATS (1-1) as a 7.5-point favorite or greater this season.
• Out of 10 Lions games so far this year, six have hit the over.
• The Packers have beaten the spread five times in 10 games.
• There have been four Packers games (out of 10) that hit the over this season.
• The teams have hit the over in six of Detroit’s 10 games with a set total.
• Against the spread, Green Bay is 5-5-0 this season.

The following NFL betting odds are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.

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