Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs will head into their Week 17 matchup against the AFC West division rival Oakland Raiders with one goal in mind, getting the win! Now, with the Chiefs completely desperate to secure the top spot in the AFC playoffs and Oakland looking to play the role of potential spoiler, let’s find out which team is offering the best value in this Week 17 showdown.
Raiders vs Chiefs NFL Week 17 Odds & Betting Prediction
- When: Sunday, December 30, 2018, 4:25 PM ET
- Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
- TV: Fox Sports
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- Live Stream: NFL League Pass
- NFL Week 17 Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -13.5 (Total 54)
- Clear: 7°C/45°F
- Humidity: 39%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 2%
- Wind: 11 mph S
- Stadium Type: Open
Why Bet On Oakland at +13.5?
Why should you consider betting on Oakland in their regular season finale? Well, outside of the obvious fact that they’re getting nearly two touchdowns, the Raiders have been surprisingly competitive in recent weeks. Oakland has won two of their last three games and come into this contest off an impressive 27-14 beatdown win over Denver on Monday night despite the fact that Derek Carr was held to just 167 passing yards with no TDs.
Another good reason to back the Raiders in this contest is that this is a division contest and they’d like nothing better than to ruin Kansas City’s hopes of locking down the top seed in the AFC playoffs. Last but not least, Oakland played well in their 40-33 loss at home against the Chiefs in Week 13.
- Average Score For: 19.13
- Total Yards: 339.14
- Rush Yards: 100.07
- Passing Yards: 239.07
- Average Score Against: 28.80
- Total Yards: 379.53
- Rush Yards: 143.33
- Passing Yards: 236.20
Why Bet On Kansas City at -13.5?
Why should you consider betting on the Chiefs in this contest? Well, there’s the fact that Kansas City (35.3 ppg, 1st) averages 16.2 points per game more than Oakland (19.1 ppg, 17th) this season.
Then, there’s the fact that the Chiefs have a ton of motivation after dropping two straight and now need to win this contest to avoid potentially losing what looked like a vise-like grip on the top seed in the AFC playoffs just a few short weeks ago. Kansas City enters this contest coming off a 38-31 loss at Seattle last weekend.
- Average Score For: 35.33
- Total Yards: 426.67
- Rush Yards: 117.07
- Passing Yards: 309.60
- Average Score Against: 27.87
- Total Yards: 412.66
- Rush Yards: 132.73
- Passing Yards: 280.33
Raiders vs Chiefs NFL Week 17 Betting Trends
- Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
- Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
- Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
- Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City’s last 12 games at home
Expert Analysis and Prediction for Raiders vs Chiefs
Kansas City’s losses the last two weeks, combined with the fact that they need to win this game to secure the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs, is the main reason I’m going to advise you to back the Chiefs to get the emphatic win over the Raiders to both, cover the chalk as a two-touchdown favorite – and claim the No. 1 seed in the AFC postseason.
The Raiders are an uninspiring 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and a completely pitiful 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following an SU win. Conversely, Kansas City has gone a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five games in Week 17 and a bankroll-boosting 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against their AFC West division rivals. With the home team in this long rivalry going a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, I’m thinking Patrick Mahomes and the high-scoring Chiefs will win and very narrowly cover.
Score: Oakland Raiders 24 – Kansas City Chiefs 42