Over the course of an NFL season, you expect to see the favorites to win the Suer Bowl change. It makes sense when you consider that some of the preseason favorites are going to underperform and that a couple of dark horses will emerge. The most recent odds change sees the Kansas City Chiefs in as the outright favorite, which seems more than fair if you have spent any time watching them this season. As we head into Week 13 of the season, the reality is that the odds will change again, and probably more than once, as we are getting to the critical part of the season. A team or two are probably going to get hot now and go on a run that carries over into the postseason. Our focus at the moment is on nothing but Week 13 and our ATS NFL Betting picks, so let’s get to it.
Week 13 ATS Betting Picks | 2022 NFL Odds & Predictions
Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens (-8)
I’m not one to hold a grudge, but I did contemplate never playing the Ravens again after they gassed it last weekend in a loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Still, after some thoughtful consideration, I have decided to go with them again this weekend. That loss aside, we do have to remember that the Ravens are still 7-4 this season and in the hunt for a division title. You also have to consider that the Broncos have been horrible this season, with defensive players now screaming at Russell Wilson on the sideline due to his lack of productivity. The Ravens have not been a great ATS best this season, but they have covered in 6 of their last 7 at home to Denver.
Cleveland Browns (-7) at Houston Texans
While it is certainly not the most glamorous matchup on the Week 13 schedule, you can bet that it’s going to be the game that everyone has an eye on. Yes, this is the weekend when DeShaun Watson returns to the fold for the Cleveland Browns after serving a 12-game suspension. As if that weren’t a big enough story, he happens to be returning against his former employer, which should be fun to watch. So, admittedly, this pick feels like a bit of a risk when you consider that Watson is sure to be a little rusty, plus the Browns have failed to cover in their last 7 games versus Houston. Call this one a hunch, but I think the Browns light it up.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions (-1 ½)
No one really believed that either of these teams would make any kind of impact this season, as both are still very much in the rebuilding phase. That thought has been proven correct, as both teams are coming into this one sitting at 4-7 on the season. That makes this one a bit of a coin flip, as they do seem rather evenly matched. The one thing that jumps out right away is that the Jaguars are a woeful 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games versus teams from the NFC. On the flipside, you have the Lions, who have been a very good bet at home, covering in 8 of their last 10 games played in their own building.
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