Early 2021 Australian Open Expert Analysis

Early 2021 Australian Open Expert Analysis

Written by on January 14, 2021

With the star of the 2021 Australian getting closer by the day to its Feb. 8 start date, it’s time to take an early look at some of the player odds on both, the men’s ATP World Tour and women’s WTA Tour. Let’s get started on the men’s ATP side of the first major of the calendar year so you can start planning your bets and place them against their Australian Open odds.

ATP & WTA Betting | 2021 Australian Open Odds & Betting Preview

Men’s 2021 Australian Open

  • Novak Djokovic+100

The world No. 2 and reigning Aussie Open champ has won this event seven times. Djokovic has won two straight Down Under and four of the last six overall. The Serbian went 57-11 last year with five titles, including his fifth Wimbledon title.

  • Rafael Nadal +500

The incomparable world No. 1 may be the top seed in this year’s Australian Open, but he’s not the prohibitive favorite. Rafa has won the Aussie Open title just once in his career (2009) and although he’s reached two of the last three finals,.

  • Roger Federer – Out

The legendary Federer went a stupendous 53-10 last year with four titles, but he’s out of this year’s field as he recuperates from his second knee surgery since last year’s Aussie Open.

  • Daniil Medvedev +500

The blossoming 23-year-old Russian went a stellar 59-21 last year with four titles while reaching six straight finals and bagging two Masters titles along the way. Make no mistake about it, Medvedev is a grand slam champion just waiting to happen.

  • Dominic Thiem +500

The 26-year-old Austrian went 49-19 a year ago with five titles including his first major at the US Open. Unfortunately, Thiem has never fared well in Australia. Thiem has never made it past his fourth round appearance in 2017.

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +1200

The rising 21-year-old Greek star went a stellar 54-25 last year with three titles. Tsitsipas the 2021 season with some newfound confidence after beating Zverev, Medvedev, Federer and Thiem in the season-ending Nitto ATP Finals and reaching the semis at last year’s Australian Open.

  • Alexander Zverev +1200

Zverev went 44-25 last year with one title and narrowly won his first major before collapsing against Thiem in the finals of the US Open.  Zverev did beat Nadal and Medvedev in the ATP Finals, so there’s some hope, although he’s never made it past the fourth round in Australia.

  • Dennis Shapovalov +3300

The 21-year-old Canadian has never been past the third round in Australian, so I don’t know why his odds are so good.

  • Stan Wawrinka +4000

The 34-year-old Wawrinka won it all Down Under in 2014 while making a pair of semifinal appearances in 2015 and 2017. The Stanimal has the firepower to blast anyone off the court and he’ll be motivated to get it done after two straight second round ousters in Australia.

  • Karen Kachanov +6600

The 24-year-old Russian has reached the third round in Australian in each of the last two years.

  • Matteo Berrettini +6600

The 24-year-old Italian went 43-25 last year and has never been past the second round in three Aussie Open appearances.

  • Felix Auger-Aliassime +6600

The athletic 20-year-old has not made it past the first round in two appearances in Australia, but the young Canadian is supremely talented and is only going to get better moving forward.

  • Roberto Bautista Agut +8000

I like the highly skilled Bautista Agut, but the 31-year-old just doesn’t have the firepower necessary to dispatch any of the prime time players that are seeded above him. The sweet-swinging Spaniard has never made it past the quarterfinal appearance he made last year and almost certainly won’t again this year.

  • Diego Schwartzman +10000

The diminutive, but fierce world No. 8 has reached the fourth round in Australia in two of the last three years including 2020.

Women’s 2021 WTA Tour

  • Naomi Osaka +700

The world No. 3 won this event in 2019 and reached the fourth round a year ago. Now, an unforgettable icon of her sport following last year’s admirable stance against injustice, Osaka is coming off a fine year in which she went 46-14 while winning the 2020 US Open.

  • Serena Williams +800

The 39-year-old living legend has won this event seven times, most recently in 2017. Now ranked 11th in the world rankings, Williams got knocked out in the third round last year and should be hungry to win her 24th grand slam title this year.

  • Ashleigh Barty +900

The world No. 1 went 5-1 in six matches and reached the semis in Australia before basically shutting down her 2020 campaign because of COVID-19 concerns.

  • Simona Halep +1000

The 29-year-old world No. 2 reached the semifinals in Australia last year and reached the finals in 2018. Halep is 24-10 all-time in Australia and will have a decent shot to reach the finals in 2021.

  • Bianca Andreescu +1100

The world No. 7 missed the entire 2020 campaign and has never been past the second round in Australia.

  • Sofia Kenin +1200

The gritty 22-year-old world No. 4 will be back defending the first grand slam title of her career. Kenin is 8-2 in three appearances Down Under.


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