Utah vs Dallas Odds Game 5 Preview & Predictions

The Western Conference playoff series between the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks shifts back to Big D for Game 5 on Monday night with it knotted 2-2. The Mavericks are favored on the NBA odds.

How to Bet Jazz at Mavericks NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Monday, 9:30 PM ET
Where: American Airlines Center
TV: TNT
Stream: TNT app
Radio: Tunein.com
NBA Odds: Mavericks -3 (total 213)

Why Bet on Utah?

Utah evened the series with a 100-99 home win on Saturday. Rudy Gobert gave Utah the lead with an alley-oop dunk with 11.0 seconds left. Utah held the Mavericks to 18 points in the fourth quarter after surrendering a double-digit lead in the second half. Dallas made just two baskets through the first seven minutes of the fourth and shot 33% overall in quarter.

The Jazz became the fifth team in the last 10 postseasons to win after trailing by at least four points in the final 40 seconds. Teams were 4-701 in that span entering Saturday’s game.

“A lot of people are talking about our team, our guys, the future, what can happen, what might not happen, about a lot of different things that at the end of the day for us right now don’t matter,” Gobert said. “We have a team, we’re 2-2 in the series, and that’s our focus.”

In 38 minutes, Donovan Mitchell shot an inefficient 7-of-21 shot for 23 points to go with seven assists and six rebounds. Mitchell continues to struggle shooting the ball in this series as he is only making 39.7% of his shots. However, he made some big plays down the stretch Saturday.

Mitchell posted three-straight 30-plus point scoring efforts in Game 1, 2 and 3 of the 2022 Playoffs (GM 1 – 32, GM 2 – 34, GM 3 – 32). His career postseason scoring average is 29.0 points in 37 games, which marks the fifth-best playoff scoring average in NBA history (min. 20 GP). He is currently averaging the most points per game in the 2022 NBA playoffs (30.3 points per game).

With a three-pointer late in the first quarter, Mitchell became Utah’s all-time leader in made three-pointers with 127 — doing so in just 37 games. He passed Byron Russell, who made 126 three-pointers in 96 games. That three-pointer just added to Mitchell’s growing legacy in the postseason, where he now ranks fourth in points (1,073), seventh in assists (175), and ninth in steals (45).

Jordan Clarkson shot an efficient 9-for-16 from the field for 25 points off the bench. Gobert double-doubled with 17 points and 15 rebounds.

Why Bet on Dallas?

Star Luka Doncic made his series debut in Saturday’s loss and hit 11-of-21 shots for 30 points along with 10 boards and four assists. Doncic played 34 minutes, as coach Jason Kidd changed his normal substitution pattern to give his star breaks midway through the first and third quarters. He finished strong, hitting a floater to give the Mavs the lead with 1:13 remaining and a step-back 3-pointer over three-time Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert that felt like a dagger, giving Dallas a four-point lead with 39.6 seconds left.

“I’m just excited to be back,” Doncic said. “I had fun out there, just having fun playing basketball. What could be better than in the playoffs? The playoffs are the most exciting, so I’m just glad to be back.”

Doncic is now averaging 33.3 points per game in 14 career postseason games, the second-highest scoring average in playoff history (min. 10 games played), behind Michael Jordan’s 33.4 ppg.

Jalen Brunson scored 23 points with five rebounds and three assists with zero turnovers across 32 minutes. Brunson continues to dominate the Jazz, as he has scored 119 points, grabbed 21 rebounds, chipped in 18 assists, and only turned the ball over three times in four games. Brunson is averaging 29.8 points (.483 FG, .409 3FG, .857 FT), 5.3 rebounds, 4.5 assists while committing just 3 turnovers in 38.5 minutes per game in this series.

The Mavericks have shot 44.9% (40-89 3FG) from 3-point range in their two wins in the series compared to 31.6% (24-76 3FG) from deep in their two losses. The Mavericks are averaging just 7.8 turnovers per game during the 2022 postseason – by far the fewest by any playoff team. Maxi Kleber went 12-of-16 (.750) from 3-point range in Games 2 and 3 (both wins). Kleber has shot 15-of-25 (.667) from long distance overall in the series and is averaging 17.3 points per game.

Teams that win Game 5 of a 2-2 best-of-seven series go on to win the series 82.2% of the time (180-39).