Usefull Tips for NFL Offseason Betting

The NFL Offseason officially kicked off on March 4 when teams had the final day to franchise tag players. For the third straight season, the Cincinnati Bengals sent the tag to Tee Higgins, which means Tee isn’t going anywhere.

Hopefully, he gets a new contract with Cincy. In any case, Higgins tag, and the recent NFL Combine, means were in the midst of the NFL Offseason. Check out how to manage your NFL betting bankroll, and how to make winning NFL bets, during the busiest offseason of any of the major sports.

2025 NFL Offseason: From March 4 to Mid July

NFL Offseason Betting Markets in 2025

The NFL offseason isn’t just a time for teams to rebuild and strategize; it’s also a prime opportunity for bettors to find value in the betting markets.

From Super Bowl futures to offseason player movements, there are numerous ways to stay engaged and potentially profit before the regular season begins. Let’s dive into the key betting markets available during the 2025 NFL offseason.

NFL Future Bets: Super Bowl, NFL MVP, and NFL Coach of the Year

Super Bowl Futures

Betting on the next Super Bowl champion is one of the most popular offseason wagers. Oddsmakers adjust their lines based on roster changes, free agency signings, and draft selections.

Teams with elite quarterbacks and strong defenses tend to be early favorites, while longshot bets can provide significant value if a team makes key acquisitions.

Top Super Bowl plays include:

• Philadelphia Eagles
• Baltimore Ravens
• Kansas City Chiefs
• Detroit Lions

The top sleepers before the NFL Draft and NFL Free Agency are the Washington Commanders and Cincinnati Bengals.

NFL MVP Odds

Quarterbacks generally dominate the MVP conversation, but dynamic running backs and wide receivers can sometimes offer sleeper value. Offseason training reports, team improvements, and coaching changes all influence the odds for this prestigious award.

The top plays before free agency and the draft are:

• Lamar Jackson – Baltimore QB
• Josh Allen – Buffalo QB
• Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City QB
• Jalen Hurts – Philadelphia QB
• Joe Burrow – Cincinnati QB

Philadelphia running back Saquon Barkley might get into the mix. But Saquon is a longshot because MVP almost always goes to a quarterback.

NFL Coach of the Year

This award typically rewards coaches who lead their teams to significant improvement. Betting on a coach from a rebuilding team that adds talent in free agency and the draft could yield high rewards. Pay close attention to coaching hires and new systems being implemented.

The following coaches should have a chance to lift the NFL Coach of the Year Trophy.

• Mike Vrabel – New England
• Kellen Moore – New Orleans
• Ben Johnson – Chicago
• Sean Payton – Denver
• Aaron Glenn – New York Jets

NFL Draft Props for April’s Event

The NFL Draft is a major betting event, with sportsbooks offering various NFL prop bets such as:

• First Overall Pick: A highly contested market, especially in years with multiple top quarterback prospects.
• Number of Quarterbacks Drafted in the First Round: An interesting bet given the demand for franchise signal-callers.
• First Wide Receiver Selected: This market depends on team needs and pre-draft performances.
• Over/Under on Specific Players’ Draft Position: Bettors can wager on whether a player will be selected before or after a certain spot.

Miami quarterback Cam Ward should be the top pick in the NFL Draft. Ward projects to go to the Tennessee Titans. But if the Titans decide to trade out of the top spot, things could get wild.

Or the Titans could draft someone like Heisman Trophy winner Travis Hunter and then trade down and draft Ward. The best strategy? Go with your gut.

NFL Free Agency Prop Bets

Free agency movements drastically impact NFL betting odds. Some common offseason prop bets include:

• Which team will sign a specific free agent?
• Will a player be traded before the season starts?
• Total contract value over/under for top free agents.
• Impact of a free agent signing on team win totals.

Tracking rumors, player visits, and cap space situations can help bettors get ahead of the odds before sportsbooks adjust to breaking news.

Betting the NFL Offseason: The Lowdown

How Do NFL Offseason Odds Work?

Offseason odds fluctuate based on team transactions, coaching changes, and player performances in workouts and training camps. Sportsbooks aim to balance betting action while adjusting to news and betting trends.

How Do I Understand NFL Future Odds During the Offseason?

NFL future odds are listed in a moneyline format, such as +500 for a team to win the Super Bowl. Plus +500 odds means for every $100 we profit $500. These odds shift depending on betting volume, player injuries, and team developments.

Understanding market movements and betting early on value picks can be key to maximizing profits.

The NFL Draft’s Impact on Offseason Betting Lines

How Does the NFL Draft Affect Offseason Betting Lines?

A team selecting a franchise quarterback or a game-changing defensive player can significantly alter their future odds. Bettors must monitor draft strategies, as early selections often lead to major shifts in win totals, division odds, and even Super Bowl futures.

What NFL Futures and NFL Player Props Are Likely to Be Affected by the NFL Draft?

• Rookie of the Year Markets: Odds shift depending on where top prospects land.
• Team Win Totals: A strong draft class can improve expectations for a team’s season.
• Division Winner Bets: Drafting a top quarterback can make a team an instant contender.
• Offensive and Defensive Player Props: New talent can impact individual player performances and statistical expectations.

NFL Offseason Betting Strategies: It’s All About the Offensive Line

The most effective offseason betting strategy when it comes to NFL MVP, the Super Bowl, as well as most any other future bet, is to look for teams with the best offensive line.

In football, whether it’s college or the pros, everything starts with a good line. If you can protect your quarterback on offense, you will win in the NFL.

With that in mind, it’s important to note that the Baltimore Ravens may lose their top offensive lineman, Ronnie Stanley. If Stanley bolts, watch out. The teams Stanley goes to must be upgraded, especially if it’s already a contender, to win their division, their conference, and possibly the Super Bowl.

Check out a list of the top five offensive lines in the 2024 NFL Season

• Baltimore Ravens: Achieved the top spot by excelling in overall performance, run blocking, and pass blocking.
• Denver Broncos: Led the league with a 74.44% win block rate, showcasing their dominance in the trenches.
• Philadelphia Eagles: Left tackle Jordan Mailata earned a remarkable 96.9 PFF overall grade, the highest among offensive linemen in 2024.
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Consistently strong performance, ranking fourth overall in offensive line effectiveness.
• Washington Commanders: Demonstrated significant improvement, securing the second spot in overall offensive line rankings.

If Baltimore loses Stanley, they will fall from the list without a top replacement. Denver and Washington stand out.

The Commanders should improve big time because the new ownership team is ready to roll the dice and D.C. has a great foundation in quarterback Jayden Daniels and wide receiver Terry McLaurin.

Denver boasts Sean Payton as their head coach and Bo Nix was a Rookie of the Year candidate. The defense is also solid in Denver. So give the Broncos a big look if you want to back an underdog to win the AFC West, AFC Conference, and the 2025 Super Bowl.

Other Usefull Tips for NFL Offseason

From the moment a Super Bowl Champion is crowned right up to the first week of the new season, countless online betting wagers are usually placed by NFL betting enthusiasts on a variety of NFL future bets.

The majority of these bets particularly hit the betting boards once the free agency and the draft are in the books.

While it is not generally advisable to tie up much of your bankroll on offseason NFL betting, there is some value that can be found if you select your bets the right way. Below are some NFL offseason betting lines tips.

Betting on Super Bowl Futures

The early future NFL odds to win a Super Bowl that come out immediately after a team claims the Lombardi Trophy in February are often heavily weighted on a team’s performance in the just-concluded season.

This, essentially, is the reason Super Bowl winners and finalists are often among the favorites in the early betting lines for next season’s Super Bowl odds, with the majority of teams that reached the playoffs also receiving short odds.

If you are looking to find value in offseason Super Bowl betting, the trick is to avoid the temptation of picking the team at the top of the list, instead going for the one you think is primed to make the strongest title-run in the up-coming season.

In the last three years, for example, the Super Bowl has been won by the Denver Broncos, New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks, teams who weren’t the odds-on favorites in their respective championship-winning years.

Betting on Conference Futures

Like the Super Bowl, there is no exact science to NFL conference futures bet predictions.

However, the conference predictions are relatively easier to make, as you can generally narrow down top competitors in the AFC and NFC to around four teams.

The best time to place these bets is after the free agency and draft have been completed, as this gives you a better outlook of a team’s prospects for the upcoming season, including the players that are likely to be most impactful.

Typically, the things you’d want to keep in mind here include teams with solid defenses, proven quarterbacks and great coaching philosophies, among others.

Betting on NFL Odds to Win Division

Handicapping success in NFL divisions works in more-or-less the same way as in conference futures.

The challenge here, however, is that certain teams are prohibitive favorites (like the New England Patriots in the AFC East) and winning is almost guaranteed for them on a yearly basis, making it very difficult for other longshots in the division to rise up.

For such cases, you are better off taking these hot favorites at their short prices or keeping away from the NFL odds altogether because you won’t find much value.

Nevertheless, teams have been known to come out of nowhere to make a run for divisional titles, capitalizing on factors such as injuries and suspensions in other teams, or the rise of certain breakout players in their own teams.

You should therefore not be afraid to roll the dice on a divisional longshot if you are convinced that the upcoming season could be the year for that team to offer value in the online NFL odds to win a particular division.

Betting on NFL Regular-season Win Totals

Regular season totals projected by sportsbooks for all 32 teams receive arguably the most action in the online betting boards, largely because they are quite easy to predict.

By going through a team’s schedule, you can simply figure out how many wins and losses they are likely to accumulate in the upcoming season. If the season win total is set too high, jump on the UNDER; if it is too low, pound on the OVER.

Generally, it is easier for a bad team to add a couple of wins in the upcoming season than for a good team to maintain its solid record or improve in the new season, so try not to underestimate the value of improving teams or overestimate a team’s potential simply because it was good in the previous season.

Learn the art of balance and always have a wiggle room for improvements and regressions in your regular season win total picks.

Betting on NFL Props

Offseason NFL proposition bets can take on many forms, ranging from common lines such as NFL odds to win MVP and NFL Odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year to NFL odds for a coach to be sacked in the course of the season.

Usually, these props are very speculative in nature and often hard to cash in on. Not to forget, unforeseen circumstances like season-ending injuries and suspensions can easily ruin these prop bets, sometimes even before the season begins.

To avoid backing the wrong props, it is thus advisable that you wait until the training camps are completed or the NFL preseason comes to an end before placing your wagers.

This will not only give you a chance to follow the offseason fitness of the players you are interested in, but it will also help you monitor their performances, making it much easier to predict how they are likely to perform when the season begins.

Also, you should keep in mind that Sportsbooks usually base their odds for these offseason NFL props largely on statistical averages, so be sure to keep an eye out for such numbers and the players that are being overvalued or undervalued.

Rejoinder on NFL Offseason Betting

As is highlighted above, NFL offseason bets can be an excellent way to supplement your income, on top of helping you have fun with the sport you love during the long offseason.

That said, I would not recommend allocating a huge chunk of your total bankroll on these offseason bets, unless you are willing to commit a fairly large percent of your time and resources handicapping them the right way.

Otherwise, all the best in your NFL offseason wagers and don’t forget to check out our many other related NFL guides, regarding both the offseason and real action when the season begins.

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