2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational Expert Analysis - PGA Betting

2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational Expert Analysis – PGA Betting

Written by on March 3, 2021

With the 2021 Players Championship set for next week, a handful of the world’s best golfers will be in action when the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitation gets underway on Thursday, March 4, live from Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida. Let’s take a closer look at the favorites to win it all so you can bet against their Golf odds.

PGA Tour 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational by Mastercard Betting Preview

World No. 8 Rory McIlroy is the prohibitive favorite (+750) and world No. 11  Bryson DeChambeau is next on the odds board at +1200. Red-hot world No. 13 Viktor Hovland is tied with DeChambeau while Englishman and defending champion Tyrell Hatton is fourth at +1600. World No. 9 Patrick Reed and world No. 17 Sungjae Im round out the top five best odds at +2000. Also in the field are Jordan Spieth, Tommy Fleetwood and Will Zalatoris.

2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational

  • When: March 4-7
  • Where: Bay Hill Club and Lodge — Orlando, Florida

Let’s look at the past five winners and their respective scores before getting to my predictions on this year’s tournament.

  • 2020 – Tyrell Hatton – 284
  • 2019 – Francesco Molinari – 276
  • 2018 – Rory McIlroy – 270
  • 2017 – Marc Leishman – 277
  • 2016 – Jason Day – 271

International golfers have finished on top of the leaderboard in each of the last five years. The last American to win this prestigious event was the unheralded Matt Every who actually went back-to-back in 2014 and 2015. Prior to that, the legendary Tiger Woods won his seventh and eighth titles in 2021 and 2013.

Odds To Win 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Five For The Win

No. 5 Bryson DeChambeau

In six events this season, DeChambeau has four Top 25 finishes, three Top 10 finishes and one win at the 2020 US Open in September. More recently, DeChambeau missed the cut at the Genesis Invitational two weeks ago before rebounding to finish T22 at last week’s WGC-Workday Championship. The 27-year-old Californian ranks first in driving distance (323.9), first in eagles (44.) and seventh in scoring average (69.7). DeChambeau finished second to Rory McIlroy in 2018 and should be looking for nothing short of a Top 5 finish.

No. 4 Hideki Matsuyama

23rd in the official golf world rankings, Hideki Matsuyama looks like a golfer that’s due for a top 10 finish at the very least this weekend. The 29-year-old Japan native has recorded six Top 25 finishes in a dozen events this season. Matsuyama has only one Top 10 finish, but managed to finish an encouraging T15 at last week’s WGC-Workday Championship. With two Top 20 finishes in his last five events, I like the value Matsuyama is offering.

No. 3 Sungjae Im

In a whopping 14 events this season, Sungjae Im has recorded six Top 25 finishes, two Top 10 finishes and one second place finish. The 22-year-old South Korean finished a solid T28 in last week’s WGC-Workday Championship two weeks after finishing T17 in the Phoenix Open. Im ranks 15th in driving accuracy,  27th in G.I.R. and 19th in birdie average (4.54)

No. 2 Patrick Reed

Ninth in the official golf world rankings, Patrick Reed has recorded an impressive six Top 25 finishes in seven events this season.

Reed has finished inside the top-10 in three of his last five starts and ranks 20th in eagles, second in birdie average (5.12) and 15th in scoring average (70.0). The 30-year-old Texan won the Farmers Insurance Open to close out January and recorded a solid T9 finish at last week’s WGC-Workday Championship.

No. 1 Viktor Hovland

13th in the official golf world rankings, Viktor Hovland has been the hottest golfer in the world since last December when he won the Mayakoba Classic. Now, the 23-tear-old Norwegian comes into this year’s Arnold Palmer having finished inside the Top 5 in each of his last three events, including a stupendous T2 finish at last week’s WGC-Workday Championship. Hovland ranks 10th in greens in regulation (73.4%), ninth in birdie average (4.67) and a stellar second in scoring average (69.6). Four Top 5 finishes in his last five events with one win make Hovland my top pick to win and cash in at the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational.


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