Golf Betting Preview: 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Golf Betting Preview: 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Written by on March 14, 2018

The PGA Tour is heading to the Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida, on Thursday for the 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Following last week’s eye-opening performance from the legendary Tiger Woods, he has been installed as the prohibitive Golf betting favorite to win on a field where he’s absolutely dominated over the course of his sure-fire Hall of Fame career. An eight-time winner of this event, Woods is the favorite at +450 with Jason Day as the second favorite at +900 and Justin Rose rounding out the top three at +1100.

Golf Betting Preview: 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational

The Course

Bay Hill has been a PGA Tour staple since 1979, is a 7,419-yard par 72, that is undoubtedly one of the favorite courses on the PGA Tour schedule each and every year. The course’s last three holes are designed to produce dramatic finishes, with the long par-4 18th guarded closely by a pond.

Defending Champion

Australian Marc Leishman is back in the field after defeating Charley Hoffman and Kevin Kisner by one shot last year. Rory McIlroy was also in contention, but he three-putted the 72nd hole shortly after Leishman drained a 50-foot putt on 16 for eagle. The win was Leishman’s second PGA Tour victory — he has since added a third — and he currently sits 16th in the world ranking.

Last 10 Winners

  • 2017: Marc Leishman
  • 2016: Jason Day
  • 2015: Matt Every
  • 2014: Matt Every
  • 2013: Tiger Woods
  • 2012: Tiger Woods
  • 2011: Martin Laird
  • 2010: Ernie Els
  • 2009: Tiger Woods
  • 2008: Tiger Woods

Golf Betting Odds to Win 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational

  • Tiger Woods +450
  • Jason Day +900
  • Justin Rose +1100
  • Rory McIlroy +1500
  • Rickie Fowler +1500
  • Tommy Fleetwood +1600
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2000
  • Tyrell Hatton +2000
  • Henrik Stenson +2300
  • Alex Noren +2300
  • Bubba Watson +2700
  • Adam Scott +2800
  • Patrick Reed +3000
  • Marc Leishman +3300
  • Brian Harman +33004

Analysis

Since the calendar turned to 2018, Jason Day won the Farmer’s Insurance Open in San Diego. Gary Woodland won the Waste Management Open in Phoenix the following week. Ted Potter Jr. claimed the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in California right after that and then Bubba Watson picked up a huge win at the Genesis Open in Pacific Palisades, California. Justin Thomas won The Honda Classic in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida and then Phil Mickelson won the WGC-Mexico Championship at Chapultepec in Mexico City to kick off March. Last week, Paul Casey took the title at the Valspar Championship at Copperhead in Palm Harbor, but it was Tiger Woods’ near win and second place finish that everyone is talking about and that has made him the favorite at the Arnold Palmer Invitational this weekend. Woods came up one stroke short of a playoff in Tampa last weekend, but his overall performance and finish on Sunday indicate that he’s almost back to being the Tiger Woods that almost routinely dominated everyone else on the planet. Tiger shot rounds of 70-68-67 and 70 and finished Sunday’s final round with a birdie on the first hole, followed by 14 consecutive pars and a bogey over his next 15 holes. Woods had a fantastic birdie on 17 and put himself in position to tie Casey for the lead on 18 before missing his final birdie attempt. Tiger Woods is the Golf Betting favorite to win the 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational. “I didn’t feel that sharp with my iron game,” Woods said. “I played conservatively into the green because I wasn’t as sharp as yesterday. It was one of those days I kept getting half-clubs.” Nevertheless, Woods, who finished at 9-under, looked remarkable in his return from fusion surgery on his lower back last April. Patrick Reed also tied Woods for the second place finish, although no one is talking about that. No. 3 favorite, Justin Rose finished tied for fifth. Other golfers in this week’s field that are playing well include Rickie Fowler, Jason Day Tommy Fleetwood, and Tyrrell Hatton.

Expert Golf Betting Pick

I’m going with Tiger Woods for the win this week and why wouldn’t I? He’s dominated this event by winning eight times from 2000-2013. He won back-to-back contests in 2012 and 2013 while winning four straight times from 2000-2003, including an 11-stroke victory in ‘03. Woods just looks like he’s about due for a win and that makes him a great choice this week. My top five picks are as follows.

My Top Five Finishers

  • Tiger Woods
  • Rickie Fowler
  • Timmy Fleetwood
  • Justin Rose
  • Jason Day