With Christmas Day bringing a double dose of action, make sure you’re ready with the NFL Christmas Games winning picks to maximize your betting opportunities. As the Kansas City Chiefs face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Houston Texans take on the Baltimore Ravens, these matchups are sure to keep fans on the edge of their seats!
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2024 NFL Season | 104th season of National League in the United States
NFL Christmas: Wednesday, December 25th, 2024
Betting the Best NFL Bets on Christmas Day Week 16 Game
Netflix continues its foray into live sporting events on Christmas when the streaming giant showcases the NFL.
The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers in the first game and the Houston Texans host the Baltimore Ravens in the second.
Which teams get it done in what should be an exciting day of football? Keep reading for info on betting NFL Christmas games winning picks.
Writer’s Two Picks for the Christmas Day NFL Action
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers
1st Chrsitmas Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4)
Wednesday, December 25th, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST Netflix | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
ATS Odds: Chiefs -2.5
Money line Odds: Steelers +124 / Chiefs -146
Over/Under Odds: 43.5
Why Bet Kansas City versus Pittsburgh
Few teams boast as good of a defense as the Kansas City Chiefs.
Steve Spagnuolo’s D has allowed a single team to score 30 points this NFL season and that was Josh Allen, this year’s NFL MVP favorite, and the Buffalo Bills.
Other than the Bills, Spags’ defense has been rock solid against the rush and the pass.
So even if Patrick Mahomes can’t go in this, KC should be well positioned to cover the spread.
Why Bet Pittsburgh versus Kansas City
For the first time in a long time, the Pittsburgh Steelers have a legit offense.
The Steelers lost their last game because they could only manage 13 points but before falling to scorching Philadelphia, the Eagles had won 10 straight heading into week 16, Pittsburgh scored 27 in a win over the Browns and 44 in a shootout with Joe Burrow and the Bengals.
Pittsburgh’s D, like KC’s, has also been solid.
The Steelers have home advantage and George Pickens, Russell Wilson’s top wide receiving target, should be healthy on Christmas Day.
Final Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Pick
Chiefs versus Steelers should be a terrific matchup.
Both teams have qualified for the playoffs but the Steelers want to host a first round game, which means they must win the division, while the Chiefs are fighting for a first round bye.
This game should be a good defensive battle where both quarterbacks will look to manage the clock and keep the other team’s possessions low.
KC is always tough to beat but Pittsburgh’s ability to run the ball with Najee Harris or open the game up through the air as well as home field advantage makes the Steelers the SU play.
Go Steelers moneyline to under the total.
NFL Christmas Day ATS Pick: Pittsburgh +124
NFL Christmas Day Total Pick: Under 43.5
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
2nd Chrsitmas Showdown: Baltimore Ravens (9-5) at Houston Texans (9-5)
Wednesday, December 25th, 2024 at 4:30 PM EST Netflix | NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
ATS Odds: Ravens -3
Money line Odds: Texans +134 / Ravens -158
Over/Under Odds: 47.5
Why Bet Baltimore versus Houston
No team has a good enough defense to stop the Ravens offense.
Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry dominate defenses and even though the Ravens travel to Houston, the Texans’ D has had issues against much worse teams.
If Lamar doesn’t beat with his arm, he will beat you with his legs.
If Houston decides to contain Jackson, Henry will rumble through the front seven.
Either way, Baltimore’s offense is primed for a big game.
Why Bet Houston versus Baltimore
The Texans are tough to beat at home and although the Ravens boast two of the best skill players in the NFL, Houston isn’t without their talented quarterback and wide receiver.
C.J. Stroud to Nico Collins has become one of the league’s top QB and WR duos.
Also, Joe Mixon is as good of a pass catching running back as there is in the league.
The Texans will keep pace with the Baltimore O in this.
Final Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans Betting Picks
The offenses could be a wash and the Ravens would still be the pick.
The reason? Baltimore’s defense has finally gelled.
It took the Ravens’ D more than 10 games to put it together.
Baltimore’s D has really stepped up in recent weeks even though the Ravens have gone 2-2 straight up.
Baltimore lost to Pittsburgh by 2 points in an 18-16 game.
The Chargers scored 23 in the Ravens’ 30-23 win in Inglewood and the Eagles could do no better than 24 in Baltimore’s 24-19 loss to Jalen Hurts and Philly.
In NFL Week 15, Baltimore held the Giants to 14 in a 35-14 Ravens’ victory.
Baltimore’s defense will step up on December 25 to help Lamar, Henry and the rest score a cover victory.
NFL Christmas Day ATS Pick: Baltimore -3
NFL Christmas Day Total Pick: Under 47.5
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^ Top^ TopThe NFL is LIVE on Netflix. This Christmas!
— Netflix (@netflix) October 20, 2024
Wednesday December 25
Chiefs vs. Steelers at 1 PM ET
Ravens vs. Texans at 4:30 PM ET pic.twitter.com/gl7nN57CnL
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What Are the Potential Impacts of Weather on NFL Christmas Day Games? Let’s Find Out
Weather can play a crucial role in shaping the outcomes of NFL Christmas Day games, and it’s essential for bettors to understand how different weather conditions can influence betting odds, NFL lines, and overall game strategies.
Key Weather Factors to Watch:
-
Cold Weather and Snow:
Cold temperatures and snow often slow down the game, making it harder for teams to execute fast-paced offenses, especially those relying on the passing game. In these conditions, NFL betting lines may shift, as lower-scoring games become more likely. For example, the over/under betting line could decrease, and teams with strong rushing attacks might become favorites in betting odds. -
Wind:
High winds are particularly disruptive to passing and kicking games. Quarterbacks may struggle with accuracy, and kickers may miss extra points or field goals, influencing NFL betting lines on total points and spread bets. If wind conditions are forecasted, it might be wise to bet on under totals or lean toward teams with strong running games and solid defense. -
Rain:
Rainy weather can make the field slippery, leading to more turnovers and mistakes. This often benefits defensive teams and hurts offenses that rely on precise passes or big plays. Betting odds may reflect this with a shift toward defensive-minded teams, as bettors look for lower-scoring games or outcomes with more turnovers. -
Impact on the Spread:
Weather can shift NFL lines dramatically, especially if a team’s key players are vulnerable to specific conditions. For example, teams with quarterbacks who struggle in cold weather might see their point spread increase in favor of their opponent if the forecast predicts harsh conditions.
News and Betting Tips for the Christmas Day NFL Games:
Be sure to monitor the weather forecast leading up to Christmas Day games. Sportsbooks often adjust betting lines and odds based on weather reports, and understanding how weather influences a team’s performance is a key strategy for placing smart NFL bets.
For updated odds and lines, head to our NFL betting page to stay ahead of the curve.
Ready to place your bets? Keep an eye on weather updates, and make sure you’re using the best NFL betting odds to optimize your wagers this Christmas!
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