The Miami Dolphins’ playoff hopes are on life support at 2-6, so it’s a must-win game Monday night as Tua Tagovailoa looks to snap a five-game primetime losing streak when the Fins visit the 4-4 Los Angeles Rams, who are very short favorites on the NFL odds.
Miami star WR Tyreek Hill is in question.
Opening MNF Dolphins at Rams Odds Subject to Change: Rams -2.5 (total 49) Expert Prediction: Rams 27, Dolphins 24 |
Miami Dolphins MNF Lines +115
The Dolphins have lost on walkoff field goals in back-to-back weeks to see their playoff hopes all but disappear at 2-6. The Fins played really well last Sunday but lost 30-27 in Buffalo on a 61-yard field goal by Tyler Bass, a Bills franchise record and a career-long for Bass. The teams traded leads four times and combined for seven consecutive scoring drives in the second half.
Tua Tagovailoa
Tagovailoa completed 25 of 28 passes for 231 yards and two touchdowns in the loss. Tagovailoa rarely pushed the ball downfield, instead keeping the offense on schedule by accurately dinking and dunking. He threw a 14-yard touchdown pass to De’Von Achane in the second quarter and a game-tying seven-yard touchdown pass to Jaylen Waddle with 1:38 left in the fourth.
The 89.3 completion percentage was the highest of his career and the fourth-highest mark in Dolphins history. Tagovailoa’s 72.7 completion percentage this season ranks second in the league, behind only Detroit’s Jared Goff (74.1). Tagovailoa’s performance marked his 10th game with a passer rating of at least 120.0 and his best passer rating since Week 13 of the 2023 season against Washington (141.0 passer rating). Nine of those 10 games have been in the past three seasons under Coach Mike McDaniel.
The Streak
For the fourth consecutive week, the Dolphins ran for over 140 yards, which marks the longest active streak in the NFL and the second-longest streak by a team this season (Baltimore, 7). It’s the ninth time in franchise history that the team has run for over 140 yards in four straight games and the first time since 2009. Since Week 5, the Dolphins rank third in the league in rushing yards per game (170.0) and eighth in yards per carry (5.0).
De’Von Achane
Tailback Achane had a rushing and receiving score in the loss. It was Achane’s fourth career game with multiple touchdowns, the most by a Dolphin in their first 19 career games. Achane has scored 16 career touchdowns, tied for the third-most by an active player in the first 19 games of their career.
Tyreek Hill
The big injury question for Miami is All-Pro receiver Hill, who is a game-time call with a wrist injury. He didn’t practice either Friday or Saturday. McDaniel said that he was neither optimistic nor pessimistic that Hill would play Monday. Hill leads all Dolphins players with 446 receiving yards this season, although it is his worst statistical start since being traded to Miami in 2022. His production has picked up, however, since Tagovailoa returned from a four-game absence; Hill has averaged 76 yards over the Dolphins’ past two games after averaging 35 in the four before that.
He will go NUCLEAR ☢️
— Alex Caruso (@AlexCaruso) November 11, 2024
Tyreek Hill Over 70.5 Rec Yards
RUN up the ❤️ for another play tonight
Tyreek is Over this line in 24/28 (86%) of non Bills games with Tua Tagovailoa which is an INSANE hit rate
And the Rams mainly run Cover 1 and 3 which is MASSIVE for Tyreek who has a… pic.twitter.com/RN5e3pw4q0
Jaylen Waddle
Waddle is the No. 1 option if Hill has to miss time. Hill and Waddle have recorded seven games in which each topped 100 receiving yards since they became teammates in 2022. Miami has averaged 5.6 yards after catch per reception, which is ninth in the NFL. The Dolphins currently lead the league in most plays of 50-plus yards (23) and most plays of 10+ yards (606) since 2022 when McDaniel was hired. Miami’s six games with multiple receptions of 50-plus yards are the most in the NFL since 2022.
This will be Miami’s 89th all-time game on MNF, most in NFL history. The Dolphins are 43-45 in those, the second-most MNF losses of any team.
^Los Angeles Rams MNF Lines -141
The Rams won their third game in a row last Sunday, 26-20 in overtime in Seattle. The Seahawks drove to the Rams 16 on the opening possession of overtime and went for it on fourth-and-1 instead of trying a field goal. Bobby Brown III and Omar Speights stopped Kenneth Walker III for no gain, setting up Matthew Stafford and the Rams’ offense. Stafford hit Demarcus Robinson for the game-winning 36-yard TD.
Demarcus Robinson
Robinson has recorded multiple touchdown receptions in consecutive games for the first time in his career. Robinson is just the fifth Rams player in the Super Bowl era to record consecutive games with multiple touchdown receptions.
Matthew Stafford
Stafford finished 25 of 44 passing for 298 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. He tied Eli Manning (366) for the 10th-most passing touchdowns in NFL history and orchestrated his 46th game-winning drive to tie Matt Ryan for the sixth-most in NFL history. Stafford has six passing TDs in the past two after only three in the first six games combined.
Since the NFL was founded, only 1 QB has thrown 6,000+ pass yards and 50 pass TD and won a Super Bowl.
— Stafford9 (@LAR9MS) November 10, 2024
John Matthew Freakin’ Stafford.
That’s it.
Cooper Kupp
Kupp was again his favorite target with 11 catches for 104 yards. It was his 12th career game with 10 or more catches and 100 or more yards, tied for the fifth-most since he entered the league in 2017. The former NFL Offensive Player of the Year has at least 10 catches and 100 yards receiving in four straight Monday night games.
A defensive switch also apparently was flipped after the Rams’ Week 6 bye. They are fourth in points allowed per drive since Week 6 after ranking 31st in that category before the bye. The return of Darious Williams has been part of that improvement, as has the recent dominance of rookie pass-rushers Jared Verse and Braden Fiske.
Braden Fiske
Fiske had a career-high two sacks last week. The Rams are the only team in the NFL to have multiple rookies record games with more than one sack (Verse had 1.5 sacks in Week 8 vs. Minnesota). DE Tyler Davis recorded his first career sack in the first quarter against the Seahawks and became the third Rams rookie this season to record at least half a sack (Verse has 3.5, Fiske has 3.0). The Rams’ 7.0 sacks by first-year players ranks first in the NFL. Verse leads rookies in sacks as well as quarterback hits (14), hurries (24), and pressures (39). The Rams’ defense recorded seven sacks last week, their most in a game since Week 5 of 2020 vs. Washington.
Los Angeles has scored points on defense in four consecutive games, tied for the second-longest streak in franchise history (Nov. 13 – Dec. 4, 1966). They also have allowed just four touchdowns in the last 10 red zone trips.
^How to Watch and Bet Dolphins at Rams Odds
When: Monday, 8:15 PM ET
Where: SoFi Stadium
TV: ESPN
Stream Option: ESPN+
Dolphins vs Rams Series History
Miami leads 12-2 all-time and has won the past five. The last meeting was in 2020 when the Dolphins won 28-17 at home thanks to forcing then-Rams QB Jared Goff into two interceptions and a lost fumble. Tua Tagovailoa had a quiet game for Miami with just 93 yards passing and a TD.
^Retweet if your team picked up the W today! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/xhnnMeTI13
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 11, 2024
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2023 Seahawks vs Rams, Week 11
The Los Angeles Rams come out of their bye at 3-6 and no realistic playoff hopes but at least will get starting QB Matthew Stafford back from injury as they look for a surprise season sweep of the visiting Seattle Seahawks, who are short favorites on the NFL odds. 2023 NFL Expert Analysis Seahawks vs Rams | MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Regular Season: September 7, 2023 – January 7, 2024 | Week 11 NFL
How to Bet Seahawks at Rams NFL Odds & TV Info
When: Sunday, 4:25 PM ET
Where: SoFi Stadium
TV: CBS
Radio: http://www.siriusxm.com/nfl
Stream Option: https://tv.youtube.com/learn/nflsundayticket/
Series History
The Seahawks lead all-time 27-25 in the regular season but Los Angeles was a 30-13 upset winner in Week 1. Rookie fifth round pick WR Puka Nacua made his presence known in his first NFL game. He broke the franchise record for the most receiving yards in a rookie debut (120) and was just the second player in NFL history drafted in the fifth round or later with 100+ receiving yards in his first regular season game. Matthew Stafford threw for 334 yards, and Kyren Williams and Cam Akers combined for three touchdown runs. Los Angeles had 27 first downs, 426 total yards and 39:23 time of possession. The Rams handed Seattle its worst home loss since Los Angeles beat the Seahawks 42-7 during the 2017 season. Including that 2017 win, the Rams have won nine of the past 13 games against Seattle.
Why Bet on Seattle?
Seattle (6-3) is tied with San Francisco atop the NFC West and beat Washington 29-26 last Sunday in one of many walkoff field goals in the NFL in Week 10. Geno Smith led a pair of scoring drives late in the fourth quarter, the second leading to Jason Myers’ 43-yard field goal as time expired. Smith completed 9 of 11 passes on Seattle’s final two possessions, and he connected with Kenneth Walker III on a 64-yard catch-and-run touchdown in the third quarter, the longest play from scrimmage this season for the Seahawks. Smith also didn’t turn the ball over for the first time since Week 4. He completed 31-of-47 passes for 369 yards and two touchdowns.
DK Metcalf caught 7-of-12 targets for 98 yards. With the game tied 26-26 and less than a minute to go, Metcalf hauled in a 17-yard reception on third down to keep the drive alive and later caught a 27-yard reception to put the Seahawks in range for a game-winning field goal. Fellow WR Tyler Lockett continues to deal with a hamstring issue that has forced him to regularly miss practice over the past few weeks. Despite the injury, Lockett has not missed any games and is playing at a high level as he is coming off an eight catch, 92-yard performance that included a late game touchdown.
Right tackle Abraham Lucas has been designated to return from injured reserve. Lucas was initially placed on injured reserve with a knee injury back in September. He returned to practice for the Seahawks in a limited capacity on Wednesday and it’s not a sure thing he will play but it’s looking good. Guard Anthony Bradford returned to practice as a full participant this week after missing the last two games with a knee injury.
“We need to see how the rigors of the practice actually figures into it all and see how he bounces back,” coach Pete Carroll said of Lucas. “It’s been kind of a chronic thing, so you’ve got to make sure you’ve left it in the past. We’ll see what happens.” Lucas can practice for up to 21 days without counting against the 53-man roster.
Future Hall of Fame linebacker Bobby Wagner is already up to 95 for the season, a total that leads the team, and that leaves him five away from a milestone that will put him in some rare company that includes Fletcher. When Wagner adds five more tackles to his season total, it will mark the 12th time in as many seasons that he has recorded 100 or more tackles, making him one of just three players since the NFL started keeping track of tackles to have 12 consecutive 100-tackle seasons, joining Fletcher, who had 14 straight from 2000-2014, and Derrick Brooks, who had 12 straight from 1996-2007.
However, the defensive breakout star LB Boye Mafe. The second-year outside linebacker has a sack in seven straight games, a new franchise record. He took down Sam Howell in Week 10 to break the previous mark set by Michael Sinclair over the 1997 and ’98 seasons. Mafe already has more than doubled his rookie totals in sacks, tackles for loss (seven to three) and quarterback hits (10 to four).
The Rams are ranked 17th in rushing yards per game (104.9) and the Seahawks defense is ranked 20th in opponent rushing yards per game (116.0). The Seahawks are ranked 13th in passing yards per game (231.7) and the Rams defense is ranked 14th in opponent passing yards per game (217.2). The Rams defense is ranked 15th in opponent passer rating (88.6) and the Seahawks are ranked 17th in NFL passer rating (88.9).
Why Bet on LA Rams?
The Rams come out of their bye week at 3-6. They played awful in Week 9 in a 20-3 loss in Green Bay but also were without starting QB Matthew Stafford due to injury. He will play Sunday. Stafford sprained his ulnar collateral ligament (UCL) in his right thumb in the Rams’ Week 8 loss at Dallas. After their initial assessment of the injury in Dallas, the team feared it would be worse than a sprain and didn’t rule out injured reserve; further testing back in Los Angeles gave a more optimistic diagnosis.
There was swelling and Stafford could not grip a football into the Week 9 game, so then-backup Brett Rypien started in his place. The Rams lost to the Green Bay Packers 20-3 and had only four first downs in the second half, of 10 total. Rypien was so bad that he’s gone now and the new backup is Carson Wentz, signed off the street.
Coach Sean McVay called signing Wentz a chance to upgrade the quarterback room and said: “He’s a guy that has played. … God forbid, if something were to happen where (Stafford) weren’t available, felt like this would offer an opportunity for somebody that has played a lot of high-level football to get him in here, get him familiar with some of the things they we’re doing.”
Since entering the league as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2009 NFL Draft, Stafford has totaled 54,152 passing yards and 341 touchdown passes in 199 games. With 198 passing yards against Seattle on Sunday, Stafford will surpass Matt Ryan (54,349 passing yards) for the second-most passing yards by a player in his first 200 games in NFL history. Only Drew Brees (55,439) has more. Stafford (341) needs two touchdown passes to pass Fran Tarkenton (342) and become 11th-most in NFL history.
Star wideout Cooper Kupp, who missed the first Seattle game, needs one receiving touchdown to tie Henry Ellard (48) for fourth in franchise history in receiving touchdowns. Fellow wideout Puka Nacua (827) needs 98 receiving yards to break the single-season Rams franchise record for more receiving yards by a rookie. Eddie Kennison had 924 receiving yards in 1996.
Top running back Kyren Williams has missed the past few games injured and won’t be ready this week but should be back in Week 12. Darrell Henderson and Royce Freeman will share backfield duties again.
Rams star defensive tackle Aaron Donald is no stranger to the Seahawks offense. Since entering the league in 2014, he has recorded 15.5 regular season sacks against the Seahawks, making Seattle his second-most sacked team of his career. Since Week 16 of the 2020 season, Donald has recorded 0.5 sacks or more in each contest against Seattle.
NFL Regular Season Expert Prediction
Seahawks 27, Rams 24
2023-24 NFL Conference Championship Odds
Odds to Win 2024 AFC Championship
AFC Team | Odds |
---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | +234 |
Baltimore Ravens | +530 |
Miami Dolphins | +560 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +820 |
Buffalo Bills | +920 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | +1075 |
Cleveland Browns | +1175 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +2700 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +3500 |
Houston Texans | +3600 |
New York Jets | +6800 |
Indianapolis Colts | +9000 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +10000 |
Denver Broncos | +14000 |
Tennessee Titans | +15000 |
New England Patriots | +46000 |
AFC Lines to Win |
Odds to Win 2024 NFC Championship
NFC Team | Odds |
---|---|
Philadelphia Eagles | +222 |
San Francisco 49ers | +222 |
Dallas Cowboys | +480 |
Detroit Lions | +510 |
Seattle Seahawks | +1700 |
New Orleans Saints | +3000 |
Minnesota Vikings | +3200 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6600 |
Atlanta Falcons | +7000 |
Los Angeles Rams | +10000 |
Green Bay Packers | +11000 |
Washington Commanders | +15000 |
Chicago Bears | +30000 |
Arizona Cardinals | +50000 |
New York Giants | +55000 |
Carolina Panthers | +65000 |
NFC Lines to Win |
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