In this article, we want to discuss betting on the Super Bowl, and the difference between favorites vs. underdogs Betting in Super Bowl. Understanding the dynamics between the two can help you make smarter wagers at MyBookie.
Favorites vs. Underdogs Betting in Super Bowl: Get Your MyBookie Strategy and Insights
MILLION-DOLLAR Super Bowl Bets: MyBookie Reveals the Winning Formula!
2025 NFL season | 106th season of National Football League in the United States
Super Bowl 59: Sunday, February 9th, 2025
Betting on the Favorite: Why the Odds Are in Their Favor (But at What Cost?)
Betting on the favorite in the Super Bowl is a common strategy.
The favorite is the team expected to win based on past performance, talent, and overall record.
Sportsbooks set the odds with the favorite having a lower payout because they are seen as the safer bet.
Advantages on Betting on the Favorite?
The biggest advantage of betting on the favorite is reliability.
They have usually shown strong performances throughout the season.
Many bettors feel comfortable betting on a team that has been dominant.
Their offense and defense stats often support the confidence people place in them.
Favorites tend to attract more casual bettors, especially during the Super Bowl when many people are betting for fun.
The public tends to lean toward well-known teams with star players.
Is There a Downside on Betting on the Favorite?
We all know the odds will change as the money strarts hitting the books and that’s support from the public.
This public support can shift the odds, sometimes creating value for sharp bettors who know when the favorite is overvalued.
However, the downside is the lower payout.
Betting on the favorite means risking more money for a smaller return.
If the favorite does not cover the spread, a bettor can still lose even if the team wins.
This is why understanding point spreads is critical when betting on favorites.
Can Pressure of High Expectations Affect the Favorite on the Field?
Another risk is that favorites can feel the pressure of high expectations.
In the Super Bowl, every play is magnified.
A few mistakes can swing the momentum, and even the best teams can falter under that pressure.
This makes betting on the favorite a safer but potentially less profitable option.
Favorites are also subject to key injuries, coaching decisions, and unexpected events.
One bad turnover or a missed field goal can change the outcome.
Even dominant teams have weaknesses, and sharp bettors look for these gaps when evaluating the odds.
In some cases, the betting line on the favorite becomes inflated because of public betting.
When too many people back the favorite, sportsbooks adjust the odds to balance the action.
This can make it less appealing to bet on the favorite because the value is gone.
Does History Back the Odds of the Favorite Winning the Super Bowl?
Lastly, the history of the Super Bowl shows that favorites don’t always cover the spread.
There have been multiple cases where the underdog either won outright or kept the game close enough to cover.
Understanding this trend helps bettors avoid blindly picking the favorite.
Super Bowl ATS Results Since 2020
- 2000 Rams -7 – Rams 23 – Titans 16 – Push
- 2001 Ravens -3 – Ravens 34 – Giants 7 – Favorite
- 2002 Rams -14 – Patriots 20 – Rams 17 – Underdog
- 2003 Raiders -4 – Buccaneers 48 – Raiders 21 – Underdog
- 2004 Patriots -7 – Patriots 32 – Panthers 29 – Underdog
- 2005 Patriots -7 – Patriots 24 – Eagles 21 – Underdog
- 2006 Steelers -4 – Steelers 21 – Seahawks 10 – Favorite
- 2007 Colts -7 – Colts 29 – Bears 17 – Favorite
- 2008 Patriots -12 – Giants 17 – Patriots 14 – Underdog
- 2009 Steelers -7 – Steelers 27 – Cardinals 23 – Underdog
- 2010 Colts -5 – Saints 31 – Colts 17 – Underdog
- 2011 – Packers -3 – Packers 31 – Steelers 25 – Favorite
- 2012 – Patriots -2.5 – Giants 21 – Patriots 17 – Underdog
- 2013 – 49ers -4.5 – Ravens 34 – 49ers 31 – Underdog
- 2014 – Broncos -2 – Seahawks 43 – Broncos 8 – Underdog
- 2015 – Seahawks -1 – Patriots 28 – Seahawks 24 – Underdog
- 2016 – Panthers -4.5 – Broncos 24 – Panthers 10 – Underdog
- 2017 – Patriots -3 – Patriots 34 – Falcons 28 – Favorite
- 2018 – Patriots -4.5 – Eagles 41 – Patriots 33 – Underdog
- 2019 – Patriots -2.5 – Patriots 13 – Rams 3 – Favorite
- 2020 – Chiefs -1.5 – Chiefs 31 – 49ers 20 – Favorite
- 2021 – Chiefs -3 – Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 9 – Underdog
- 2022 – Rams -4 – Rams 23 – Bengals 20 – Underdog
- 2023 – Eagles -2 – Chiefs 38 – Eagles 35 – Underdog
- 2024 – 49ers -2.5 – Chiefs 25 – 49ers 22 – Underdog
ATS Record: Underdogs 17 – Favorites 7 – Push 1
Since 2000, underdogs have dominated. But the domination goes further than that. Before getting into how dominant underdogs have been in the Super Bowl, lets first discuss the favorites that have covered.
The Ravens in 2001, the Steelers in 2006, the Colts in 2007, the Packers in 2011, the Patriots in 2017, the Patriots again in 2019, and the Chiefs in 2020 all had something in common. All seven favorites boasted good to great defenses. The 2001 Ravens had one of the best defenses to ever play in a Super Bowl.
This season, the favored Kansas City Chiefs reach the Super Bowl after coming up clutch in a close win over their AFC rival Buffalo, now, will they have a chance to cover the spread as a favorite.
Super short and easy injury report for Chiefs Wednesday. Skyy Moore limited but he’s not likely to play.
— Matt Derrick (@mattderrick) February 5, 2025
Don’t fret, Patrick Mahomes still listed from the high ankle sprain, not a new issue. Team is healthy. https://t.co/VhuJDJFRP9 pic.twitter.com/7QCbmPEn3q
Underdog Betting: How to Spot Value and Capitalize on the Underdog
Betting on the underdog can bring higher payouts.
The underdog is expected to lose, but if they win, the reward is greater.
Finding value in an underdog bet requires looking at matchups and key statistics.
looking at close matchups.
How to Spot a Strong Underdog?
One way to spot a strong underdog is by looking at close matchups.
If a team has played well against strong opponents, they may have a chance to pull off an upset.
Underdogs that have momentum going into the game can also be worth betting on.
Recent winning streaks or strong performances against NFL playoff teams are signs to watch for.
When Does Super Bowl History Help My Underdog?
Super Bowl history shows many cases where the underdog has won.
These games often come down to key plays and coaching decisions.
Bettors who take the risk on an underdog can see big rewards if they win.
The excitement of betting on an underdog also makes the game more engaging for many fans.
Does Underdog Betting Allow Different Strategies?
Underdog betting also allows for different strategies.
Bettors can take the points instead of betting the money line.
This means the underdog does not have to win outright for the bet to cash.
If the game is close, the bettor still wins even if the underdog loses by a small margin.
How to Find Value in Underdog Bets?
To find value in underdog bets, bettors should look beyond just the win-loss record.
Factors like injuries, weather conditions, and matchup advantages can influence the outcome.
Some underdogs are undervalued because the public focuses on the favorite’s reputation instead of the actual matchup.
Does Analyzing the Coaching Staff Help My Strategy?
Another way to spot a good underdog bet is to analyze the coaching staff.
Teams with experienced coaches often perform better in big games.
A smart game plan can neutralize the favorite’s strengths and create opportunities for the underdog to capitalize.
Remember Special teams
Will Special Teams Save My Day?
Special teams can also be a hidden factor.
Underdogs with strong special teams can shift field position and create scoring chances.
A big punt return or a blocked kick can change the momentum and help an underdog stay competitive.
Watching Line Movement Help My Outcome?
Line movement is another clue.
If the line moves in favor of the underdog despite most public bets being on the favorite, it could indicate sharp money backing the underdog.
This kind of movement often signals that professional bettors see value in the underdog.
consider the emotional edge
Can That Emotional Edge Affect My Bets?
Lastly, bettors should consider the emotional edge.
Underdogs often play with a chip on their shoulder, motivated to prove doubters wrong.
This mindset can lead to aggressive play-calling and higher effort levels, which can be the difference in a close game.
^ TopWednesday's Injury Report#SBLIX pic.twitter.com/6dxY1Js3Cj
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) February 5, 2025
Psychological Factors in Betting: How Favorites and Underdogs Affect Bettors’ Mindsets
Psychology plays a big role in sports betting.
Many bettors prefer favorites because they feel safer picking a team expected to win.
This leads to a bias toward betting on teams with a strong reputation.
The comfort of betting on a team with a proven track record often influences decisions more than logic or data.
Recency Bias Affect Your Bets?
Recency bias also affects decisions, bettors often focus on a team’s last performance instead of looking at the full season.
A strong win in the previous round can make a team look better than they are.
This can lead to overconfidence in a favorite or underestimating an underdog that had a tough recent game.
Is Betting the Underdog Based on Hope or Data?
Bettors love the idea of betting on an underdog
On the other side, some bettors love the idea of betting on an underdog.
The potential for a big payout is exciting.
This can lead to risky bets that are based more on hope than data.
Emotional betting often results in poor decisions, especially when bettors ignore key statistics in favor of gut feelings.
Confirmation Bias, Do We Do That?
Confirmation bias is another factor.
Bettors tend to seek information that supports their initial belief about a team.
If someone thinks a favorite will win easily, they may ignore stats that suggest otherwise.
This can lead to missing important details that affect the outcome.
Betting Based on Social Settings: Can We Thank Groupthinking?
Groupthink also plays a role, especially during the Super Bowl when people bet in social settings.
Bettors may follow the crowd instead of doing their own research.
This herd mentality can lead to betting on popular teams without considering the odds or matchup details.
Loss Aversion Makes Me Lose Money?
Loss aversion impacts decision-making too.
Bettors fear losing more than they enjoy winning, which can make them overly cautious.
This often leads to betting on favorites because they seem like the “safe” choice, even when the odds don’t offer good value.
Where does My Emotional Betting Go When I See Super Bowl Props?
Super Bowl prop bets also trigger emotional betting.
Fun props like the coin toss or the color of the Gatorade are popular because they add excitement.
However, these bets are based purely on chance, and bettors often overestimate their ability to predict the outcome.
“Gambler’s Dallacy:” Find Out if I Have it?
Another psychological factor is the “gambler’s fallacy.”
Some bettors believe that if an outcome hasn’t happened recently, it’s more likely to occur next.
For example, if favorites have won several recent Super Bowls, they might think an underdog is “due” to win.
This thinking ignores the fact that each game is independent.
Knowing How Betting Biases Make Smarter Super Bowl Bets
Understanding these biases can help bettors make smarter decisions.
Looking at matchups, injuries, and trends is more important than just going with what feels right.
A balanced approach leads to better long-term results.
Bettors who recognize their own biases are more likely to avoid emotional mistakes and focus on the data.
Final Thoughts on Favorites vs. Underdogs Betting in Super Bowl
Betting on the Super Bowl comes with many options.
Favorites offer reliability but lower payouts.
Underdogs bring risk but higher potential rewards.
The key is to find value in the odds, whether betting on a favorite or an underdog.
Consider Strategy Before Placing Your Bets
Bettors should consider strategy when placing wagers.
Researching stats and understanding biases can help make better decisions.
Winning bets are based on more than just gut feelings.
The most successful bettors rely on data, trends, and objective analysis rather than emotion.
Whether betting on a favorite or an underdog, the key is to find value.
Smart bettors look past the hype and focus on the data.
This increases the chances of making the right picks.
The Super Bowl is the biggest betting event of the year, and with the right approach, bettors can find opportunities for profit.
Super Bowl bankroll Management Gets You Far
Managing your bankroll is also important.
The excitement of the Super Bowl can lead to over-betting.
Setting a budget and sticking to it helps prevent emotional decisions.
Bettors who manage risk effectively are more likely to enjoy long-term success.
Before placing Super Bowl bets, check out MyBookie Super Bowl Bankroll Management, plus MyBookie $100 on Super Bowl Bets.
Are My Bets Guaranteed After All the Strategy Betting?
Finally, remember that no bet is guaranteed.
The unpredictability of sports is what makes betting both challenging and fun.
Whether you’re backing a favorite or taking a shot on an underdog, the goal is to make informed decisions and enjoy the game.
Super Bowl Favorites with Great Defenses
But there’s more to the underdog trend than favorites boasting good to great defenses. Many of the seventeen dogs that won against the spread in Super Bowls since 2000 also won straight up:
- 2002 Rams -14 – Patriots 20 – Rams 17 – Underdog
- 2003 Raiders -4 – Buccaneers 48 – Raiders 21 – Underdog
- 2004 Patriots -7 – Patriots 32 – Panthers 29 – Underdog
- 2005 Patriots -7 – Patriots 24 – Eagles 21 – Underdog
- 2008 Patriots -12 – Giants 17 – Patriots 14 – Underdog
- 2009 Steelers -7 – Steelers 27 – Cardinals 23 – Underdog
- 2010 Colts -5 – Saints 31 – Colts 17 – Underdog
- 2012 – Patriots -2.5 – Giants 21 – Patriots 17 – Underdog
- 2013 – 49ers -4.5 – Ravens 34 – 49ers 31 – Underdog
- 2014 – Broncos -2 – Seahawks 43 – Broncos 8 – Underdog
- 2015 – Seahawks -1 – Patriots 28 – Seahawks 24 – Underdog
- 2016 – Panthers -4.5 – Broncos 24 – Panthers 10 – Underdog
- 2018 – Patriots -4.5 – Eagles 41 – Patriots 33 – Underdog
- 2021 – Chiefs -3 – Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 9 – Underdog
- 2021 – Chiefs -3 – Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 9 – Underdog
- 2022 – Rams -4 – Rams 23 – Bengals 20 – Underdog
- 2023 – Eagles -2 – Chiefs 38 – Eagles 35 – Underdog
- 2024 – 49ers -2.5 – Chiefs 25 – 49ers 22 – Underdog
11-of-17 underdogs that covered the spread in Super Bowl contests since 2000 also lifted the Lombardi Trophy. Since 2014, spread underdogs are 6-3 straight up in the past 8 Super Bowls.
Somet might say it’s difficult to find SU and ATS trends in Super Bowls because the participating teams change from season to season. However, the above trends of 17-of-24 dogs winning ATS and underdogs going 6-3 SU in the past eight Super Bowls are amazingly strong trends.
Handicapping the Super Bowl isn’t about trends, of course, but if you’re looking for the optimal bet based on trends, then there’s no contest. At +116 on the moneyline, the Kansas City Chiefs are cutting it quite close as Philadelphia is at -105, a close Moneyline bet on the board.
Super Bowl Odds for the Game
Super Bowl LIX Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)
Sunday, February 9, 2025 th, 2025 at 6:30 PM EST FOX | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
ATS Odds: Kansas City -1
Money line Odds: Chiefs -116 / Eagles -105
Over/Under Odds: 49
Bet the NFL Games | NFL Live Betting MyBookie Betting Lines for the Super Bowl
^ Top^ Top: Chad Johnson and James Harrison almost threw hands live on air at the Super Bowl.
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) February 5, 2025
pic.twitter.com/xJtGlUd0al
Favorites vs. Underdogs Betting in Super Bowl with MyBookie
Whether you’re betting NFL favorites or betting underdogs in NFL, be sure to check the latest sportsbook odds before making your move.
Make sure you’re ready to bet on the action—sign up now and check out the latest sportsbook odds before the big game kicks off!
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How does it Work?
What is the Difference Between Favorites vs. Underdogs in NFL? Let’s Find Out
In the NFL, the terms favorites and underdogs refer to the two teams in a matchup, with each having different expectations and odds placed on them by sportsbooks.
-
Favorites:
The favorite is the team that is expected to win the game. Sportsbooks set the odds in favor of this team based on factors such as past performance, player talent, injuries, team record, and head-to-head matchups.
Favorites are usually given a lower payout because they are seen as the safer bet. In point spread betting, the favorite is typically indicated with a negative sign (e.g., -3), meaning they must win by that amount or more for the bet to pay off.
For example, if a team is a 3-point favorite, they need to win by at least 3 points to cover the spread. -
Underdogs:
The underdog is the team that is considered less likely to win, often due to a perceived disadvantage in talent, performance, or other factors.
Because the underdog is less likely to win, sportsbooks offer higher payouts for bets placed on them. In point spread betting, underdogs are shown with a positive sign (e.g., +3), meaning they can either win outright or lose by less than the point spread for the bet to be successful.
Betting on the underdog can yield larger profits if they win or outperform expectations.
In summary:
- Favorites are expected to win and usually have lower odds and safer betting outcomes.
- Underdogs are seen as less likely to win, offering higher payouts for bettors who are willing to take a risk.
Understanding the dynamics between favorites and underdogs can significantly influence your betting strategy, especially in high-stakes games like the Super Bowl.
I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?
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Super Bowl Betting: Favorites vs. Underdogs – SB LVIII Picks
Previous Betting News
So far, the money hasn’t stopped landing on the San Francisco 49ers. Heading into the weekend, the Niners have maintained a -2 edge from a pick opening line over the defending champion Kanas City Chiefs.
Will the Chiefs score the underdog ATS win on Sunday? What does history tell us about how dogs and fave perform in the NFL’s Lombardi Trophy game?
Above all, check out a full against the spread history from the 2000 Super Bowl to last year’s game along with analysis.
Super Bowl 58 Betting: Favorites vs Underdogs | MyBookie NFL Preview for the Big Game
Super Bowl LVIII | 58th edition of the annual league championship game of the National Football League
Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers
ATS Odds: 49ers -2
Money line Odds: Kansas City Chiefs Line: +105 / San Francisco 49ers Line: -125
Over/Under Odds: 47.5
Sunday, February 11th, 2024 at 6:30 pm ET | CBS
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
2023 Super Bowl Betting Trend & Stats to Study Before the Game
Previous Betting News
Super Bowl LVII takes place on Sunday, February 12, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The 57th edition of the National Football League’s (NFL) championship pits the Kansas City Chiefs against the Philadelphia Eagles. Both teams are looking to win their second Super Bowl in the last six years.
Philadelphia defeated the Patriots 41-33 in Super Bowl LII, while the Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-20 in Super Bowl LIV. Kansas City is in its third Super Bowl in four years after a somewhat controversial 23-20 win over the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship. The Eagles punched their ticket to the Super Bowl with a dominant victory over the 49ers.
This game is the biggest Super Bowl betting event of the year. If you’re new to wagering on the “Big Game,” here’s a primer on what stats and trends to consider.
2023 Super Bowl Betting Trend & Stats to Study Before the Game
Historical Results for Betting Favorite
This is subject to change based on betting trends, but the Philadelphia Eagles are currently -1.5 point favorites over the Chiefs. The Eagles are -125 moneyline favorites, while Kansas City is +105 underdogs. The betting favorite has won 32 of the 56 Super Bowls thus far for a winning percentage of 57.14. The favorite has won four of the last six Super Bowls. Kansas City was the favorite when they won against San Francisco, but lost as the favorites to Tampa Bay in Super Bowl LV.
Interestingly, the underdog has won in each of the three Super Bowls in which the Eagles participated. Philadelphia won as an underdog five years ago and lost as the favorites in Super Bowl XXIX and Super Bowl XV.
Quarterback Performance
There’s no player with more impact on the game than the quarterback, so let’s take a look at the recent performances of Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts. Mahomes may have the better resume and is a likely choice to win the NFL MVP this season, but he’s dealing with an ankle injury that could still impact his performance next Sunday.
Mahomes finished the season with a league-best 5,250 passing yards and 41 touchdowns. He also rushed for 358 yards, which is just 23 off of his career-high in that category. He’s had a QB rating of at least 100 in each of his past six games and has thrown for at least two TDs in six of his last seven games.
Hurts is certainly not as proven as Mahomes, but he should also be in consideration for the NFL MVP. Hurts finished the season with 3,701 passing yards and 22 touchdowns compared to just six interceptions. He’s more mobile than Mahomes, rushing for at least 750 yards for the second consecutive season. It’s troubling, however, that he hasn’t thrown a TD in three of his last four games.
Run Defense
The Chiefs and Eagles rank 11th and 12th, respectively, in rushing yards per carry this season, but the Eagles utilize the run much more often, with 544 carries compared to 417. Run defense, then, can play a pivotal role in next Sunday’s game.
In conclusion, the Chiefs’ run defense is slightly better than the Eagles, at least based on the 2022 regular season. However, Philadelphia played the league’s best rush defense in the 49ers last weekend and rushed for 148 yards.
Favorites vs. Underdogs: A Look at the Betting Results For the Last 10 Super Bowls
Previous Betting News
Super Bowl 57 kicks off on Sunday, Feb. 12. Right now, Super Bowl odds peg the Eagles a -1.5 favorite. Check out the spread line and results for the last ten Super Bowls. Doing so could help you determine whether you should follow the money, ala backing Philadelphia, or go with the dog, throwing money behind Magic Mahomes and KC.
So before you go betting on the Super Bowl, pay attention to these results of the Big Games.
Favorites vs. Underdogs: A Look at the Betting Results For the Last 10 Super Bowls
Super Bowl LVII
When: Sunday, Feb. 12, 2023
Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Time: 6:30 PM EST
TV: FOX
A Look at the Betting Results For the Last 10 Super Bowls
2022 Super Bowl: Rams -4.5 vs. Bengals
Result: Rams 23 – Bengals 20
The Rams rallied to get by Cincinnati. One of the issues the Bengals had in this game was stopping Aaron Donald and the Rams’ pass rush.
2021 Super Bowl: Buccaneers vs. Chiefs -3
Result: Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 9
Andy Reid’s son, Britt, was charged with drunk driving after being involved in a crash where a 5-year-old girl died 3 days before the Super Bowl. Britt’s situation, no doubt, is one of the reasons Reid called one of the worst games of his life. No KC player appeared to have his mind on the game.
2020 Super Bowl: Chiefs -1 vs. 49ers
Result: Chiefs 31 – 49ers 20
The Niners appeared to have the win sewed up before the fourth quarter. But then Mahomes did his thing and the Chiefs pulled away for a comfortable 11 point victory.
2019 Super Bowl: Patriots -2.5 vs. Rams
Result: Patriots 13 – Rams 3
Sean McVay’s first attempt at winning the Super Bowl was a failure. Bill Belichick outcoached McVay from the first kick. The Rams’ vaunted offense could do nothing in what turned out to be one of the most boring Super Bowls in history.
2018 Super Bowl: Eagles vs. Patriots -4
Result: Eagles 41 – Patriots 33
Once it became clear that Carson Wentz wasn’t going to play and that the Eagles were going to lean on journeyman quarterback Nick Foles, money poured onto the Patriots. However, the late money was the smart money. By kickoff, a line that had climbed to Pats -5.5 had fallen a full point and a half. Foles played great and the rest is history.
2017 Super Bowl: Falcons vs. Patriots -3
Result: Patriots 34 – Falcons 28
Tom Brady and the Patriots found themselves down 23 points to start the fourth quarter. So, of course, the GOAT rallied the Pats to a 28-28 tie. Then on the first drive in overtime, Brady led the Patriots to a game winning TD.
2016 Super Bowl: Panthers -5 vs. Broncos
Result: Broncos 34 – Panthers 10
League MVP Cam Newton and the Panthers jumped to -6.5 chalks in the first week. By mid-Super Bowl week, money started going to the Broncos. Peyton Manning leaned on a defense led by the great Von Miller. Von won the Super Bowl MVP after recording 5 solo tackles and stripping Cam Newton twice on 2.5 sacks.
2015 Super Bowl: Seahawks pick’em vs. Patriots
Result: Patriots 28 – Seahawks 24
It took a goal line interception by Malcolm Butler to seal the deal. But the Pats got it done in one of the more exciting Super Bowls in recent seasons.
2014 Super Bowl: Seahawks vs. Broncos -2.5
Result: Seahawks 43 – Broncos 8
Peyton Manning was supposed to handle the Seahawks Legion of Boom. By halftime, the Boom had gotten to Peyton and the Hawks were up 22-0. After the third quarter, the score was Seattle 36 and Denver 8.
2013 Super Bowl: 49ers -4.5 vs. Ravens
Result: Ravens 34 – 49ers 31
John Harbaugh outcoached brother Jim in a game between mediocre quarterbacks, Colin Kaepernick for the Niners and Joe Flacco for the Ravens.
In conclusion,Super Bowl 57 is a battle between two of the best quarterbacks in the league. So if you want to use a past SB as a template for what might happen, think 2015 when Brady faced off against Russell Wilson or 2017 when Tom Brady took on Matt Ryan.
2017 Favorites Vs Underdogs Trends For The Last 10 Super Bowl Games
Previous Betting News
Hmm…should you bet on Tom Brady and the favored New England Patriots when Super Bowl 51 takes place this coming weekend or would your betting bucks be better spent by backing Matt Ryan and the high-scoring Atlanta Falcons?
Thanks to this look back at the last 10 Super Bowl betting predictions and outcomes, you’re going to find out why history says one Super Bowl 51 participant is close to lock to cover if recent form holds true. Now, let’s get started.
2017 Favorites Vs Underdogs Trends For The Last 10 Super Bowl Games
Super Bowl 50
Who: Carolina vs. Denver
Odds: Carolina -5 (43.5)
Score: Denver 24 Carolina 10
Betting Outcome: Underdog-Under
Super Bowl 49
Who: Seattle vs. New England
Odds: Pick ‘Em (47.5)
Score: New England 28 Seattle 24
Betting Outcome: Over
Super Bowl 48
Who: Seattle vs. Denver
Odds: Denver -2.5 (47.5)
Score: Seattle 43 Denver 8
Betting Outcome: Underdog-Over
Super Bowl 47
Who: San Francisco vs. Baltimore
Odds: San Francisco -4.5 (48)
Score: Baltimore 34 San Francisco 31
Betting Outcome: Underdog-Over
Super Bowl 46
Who: N.Y. Giants vs. New England
Odds: New England -2.5 (53)
Score: N.Y. Giants 21 New Engla
Betting Outcome: Underdog-Under
Super Bowl 45
Who: Green Bay vs. Pittsburgh
Odds: Green Bay -3 (45)
Score: Green Bay 31 Pittsburgh 25
Betting Outcome: Favorite-Over
Super Bowl 44
Who: New Orleans vs. Indianapolis
Odds: Indianapolis -5 (57)
Score: New Orleans 31 Indianapolis 17
Betting Outcome: Underdog-Under
Super Bowl 43
Who: Pittsburgh vs. Arizona
Odds: Pittsburgh -7 (46)
Score: Pittsburgh 27 Arizona 23
Betting Outcome: Underdog-Over
Super Bowl 42
Who: N.Y. Giants vs. New England
Odds: New England -12 (55)
Score: N.Y. Giants 17 New England 14
Betting Outcome: Underdog-Under
Super Bowl 41
Who: Indianapolis vs. Chicago
Odds: Indianapolis -7 (47)
Score: Indianapolis 29 Chicago 17
Betting Outcome: Favorite-Under
Favorites Vs Underdogs Trends For The Last 10 Super Bowl Games
Analysis: If you love betting on value-packed underdogs, then you should know that recent history has been quite kind to Super Bowl underdogs. Dogs have brought home the bacon in four of the last five Super Bowls and a whopping seven of the last nine NFL championships overall. Six of those underdogs have also covered the Super Bowl spread by winning outright against their favored opponents.
During this stretch, just two favorites have managed to cover the spread in Super Bowl victory. In Super Bowl 45, Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers covered the spread as 3-point favorites against Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers in their 31-25 win. In Super Bowl 41, Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts easily covered the spread as 7-point favorites against the overmatched Rex Grossman and the Chicago Bears.
Last year, Von Miller and the Denver Broncos pulled off the outright upset and accompanying ATS over the Carolina Panthers as 5-point dogs in their 24-10 smackdown of Cam Newton and company in Super Bowl 50. Tom Brady and the Patriots beat the Seahawks as a Pick ‘Em one year earlier in Super Bowl 49 just one year after the Seahawks cashed in as a 2.5-point underdog against the Broncos in their stunning 43-8 blowout win in Super Bowl 48.
Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens also cashed in as underdogs – by winning outright in their thrilling 34-31 Super Bowl win over Colin Kaepernick and the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 47. Eli Manning and the New York Giants covered the Super Bowl spread, by winning outright against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in Super Bowls 42 and 46.
Future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees led the New Orleans Saints to the ATS cover as 5-point underdogs by beating Peyton Manning and the Colts in Super Bowl 44 while Kurt Warner helped Arizona cash in as a 7-point dog in their heartbreaking 27-23 loss to Big Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers in Super Bowl 43.
In conclusion,what you need to know is that Underdogs have gone 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 Super Bowls, making the Atlanta Falcons to clear-cut pick to bring home the bacon in Super Bowl 51 if recent history holds true to form.
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