2023 NFL Over/Under Betting Picks for the Top Games of Week 4

2023 NFL Over/Under Betting Picks for the Top Games of Week 4

It’s time to look ahead at Week 4 of the National Football League. We expect this to be another great weekend of action.

The slate starts Thursday Night with the Lions and Packers getting together, and we also have an early start in London with the Falcons and the Jaguars getting together. With the help of MyBookie’s expert, the NFL O/U picks should give you have a great chance to cash in NFL Week 4. Now, let’s get started.

 

NFL Week 4 Over/Under Betting Picks | MyBookie Regular Season Preview

2023-24 NFL | 104th season of the National Football League
NFL Week 4: September 20th – September 26th, 2023

 

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers | Thursday Night Football

O/U Total: 45.5
Thursday, September 28th, 2023 at 8:15 p.m. | PRIME VIDEO
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Both these teams come into this game with a 2-1 record. This Week 4 affair will be for first place in the NFC North. The Vikings and Bears are both winless, trailing both teams. The Lions are coming off an impressive win over the Falcons. That game saw just 26 points.

Green Bay won a miracle game at home against the Saints. That game saw just 35 points. Both teams know how to slow the game down, grind it out, and play good defense.

Look for a slow start, with it being a short week. Take the UNDER 45.5 points in this game on Thursday Night.

NFL Week 4 TNF O/U Pick: UNDER 45.5 | Bet Lions at Packers
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Total

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Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles

O/U Total: 44.5
Sunday, October 1st, 2023 at 1:00 p.m. | FOX
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

A pair of NFC East teams are getting together on Sunday. The Eagles are one of the better offensive teams in the National Football League. They also get this game at home. We saw Washington struggle to take care of the football last week.

Look for the Commanders to continue to struggle, and Philadelphia takes advantage of it. Blowout City, but there are enough points to see this game go over. Take the OVER 44.5 points on Sunday.

NFL Week 4 O/U Pick: OVER 44.5 | Bet Commanders at Eagles
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Total

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Baltimore Ravens at @ Cleveland Browns

O/U Total: 42.5
Sunday, October 1st, 2023 at 1:00 p.m. | CBS
Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH

The Baltimore Ravens took one of the worst weekend losses at home against Indianapolis. Lamar Jackson was about the only way they could run the ball. Baltimore is beat up at the running back game, and the Browns know how to defend.

Cleveland is an impressive defensive team, allowing just a field goal to the Titans. This game will go UNDER the total as Browns teams struggle to score.

NFL Week 4 O/U Pick: UNDER 42.5 | Bet Ravens at Browns
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Total

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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

O/U Total: 53.5
Sunday, October 1st, 2023 at 1:00 p.m. | CBS
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Wow. The Miami Dolphins put up 70 points in their home win on Sunday against the Denver Broncos.

On the season, Miami has scored a total of 130 points. Buffalo has been no slouch on the offensive side either, with 75 over their last two games and 90 on the season.

Look for a fun shootout here. The 53.5 has the OVER written all over it.

NFL Week 4 O/U Pick: OVER 53.5 | Bet Dolphins at Bills
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Total

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Kansas City Chiefs at New York Jets

O/U Total: 43
Sunday, October 1st, 2023 at 8:15 p.m. | NBC
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

The Kansas City Chiefs got going with back-to-back wins following their first-season loss.

Now, they get the Jets on the road on Sunday Night Football. The Jets cannot score. Zach Wilson is having a tough time. If Kansas City does not turn the football over, they will be in good shape to win this game on the road.

The Chiefs’ defense was solid against the Bears, and the Jets are a similar offense. This game is an UNDER type, with the Chiefs winning 31-10 over the Jets.

NFL Week 4 O/U Pick: UNDER 43 | Bet Chiefs at Jets
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Total

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Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants | Monday Night Football

O/U Total: 45
Monday, October 2nd, 2023 at 8:15 p.m. | ABC, ESPN
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

The Seahawks and Giants are both teams that can air it out. Geno Smith and his core of receivers are tough to defend, and Kenneth Walker has been a good lead running back for the Seahawks.

Not sure if the Giants will get Barkley back as their starting running back, but look for Jones to air it out a little. This game is going to go OVER on Monday Night Football.

NFL Week 4 MNF O/U Pick: OVER 45 | Bet Seahawks at Giants
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Total

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The following NFL betting odds are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.

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There it is! Those are our NFL Week 4 Over/Under Picks. Enjoy the games, and best of luck with your picks!

 

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Vegas NFL Lines
MyBookie Odds for the Games

Bold OVER and UNDER Week 4 NFL Betting Picks

After a wild week 3, we turn the page and look ahead to what the NFL betting lines hold in Week 4, specifically in regards to OVER and UNDER value NFL picks. Here’s what we’re spotting.

Best NFL Week 4 UNDER Picks

Panthers at Buccaneers, UNDER 40

Last season, this matchup served us with two UNDER totals, as the Buccaneers lost 20-14 at Carolina in Week 1, before Carolina won 19-17 in Tampa. This could probably be overlooked given that Tampa Bay has a better QB, while Cam Newton has been lights out in the first three weeks. But then, there’s just too much history and trends in this series that are hard to ignore. For starters, the UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 games in the series, and the Last three meetings have totaled just 36, 34 and 33 points. In addition, the UNDER is 10-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 11 games played on grass, and 11-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 13 overall games. With all that being considered, we are leaning on the UNDER trend continuing this Sunday.

Browns at Chargers, UNDER 45

The Chargers (No. 14 offense, No. 23 defense, No. 28 special teams) have been far from a good team this season.  The Browns, as you know, have been equally bad, if not worse, especially on the defensive side of things. Logically, the poor defenses should mean an OVER total, particularly because the Browns are 3-0 in the OVER totals this season. However, San Diego’s injury concerns present an entirely different scenario. LG Johnnie Troutman (arm) was put on IR, while LT King Dunlap (concussion), center Chris Watt (groin) and LG Orlando Franklin (ankle) missed practice on Wednesday and big doubts for Sunday’s game. This means that the O-line will be missing some of its key pieces, or play with not-fully healthy players, which is likely to limit the efficiency of Philip Rivers and Co. This unhealthy offense is in fact the big reason the Chargers have laid back-to-back UNDERs in their last two games. Added to Cleveland’s well-known offensive struggles, along with the talks about possible rains before this game kicks off, the matchup looks well set for an ugly low-scoring UNDER affair. Other Top Value UNDER Picks: •    Jets at Dolphins, UNDER 42 •    Texans at Falcons, UNDER 47 •    Seahawks at Lions, UNDER 43

Best NFL Week 4 OVER Picks

Raiders at Bears, OVER 44.5

So far this season, Oakland games have had 46, 70 and 47 total points, all OVERs.  After timidly squandering several scoring opportunities last week by punting the ball against Seattle’s mean defense, expect Chicago’s Jimmy Clausen/Jay Cutler to adopt a better approach at home, taking advantage of talents like RB Matt Forte (59 rushes, 276 yards TD), TE Martellus Bennett (13 receptions, 118 yards TD), WR Eddie Royal to push for scores against Oakland’s leaky defense. Meanwhile, Derek Carr is looking all grown up, and his offensive connection with his top targets–rookie WR Amari Cooper (20 receptions, 290 yards, TD), WR Michael Crabtree (18 receptions, 184 yards, TD) and RB Latavius Murray (52 rushes, 248 yards 2 TDs)–is looking really good. With both teams evidently being capable of scoring 2-3 TDs against each other for 20-30 points apiece, we love the OVER for profits in this game.

Rams at Cardinals, OVER 43

At some point this season, like against the Lions next week, the Cardinals will find it hard to pile up solid points on the board. But against the Rams team that is allowing 22.3 PPG through the first three games, there’s not much to hope for in terms of containing the Cardinals. I mean, this is an Arizona team that is currently leading the country with 126 points scored through the first three games (averaging at 42 PPG), and the possible return of star running back Andre Ellington means Carson Palmer and his receivers won’t be going it alone. Added to one or two TDs from Nick Foles and his offense, this game is very ripe for OVER 43 points. Oh, and just to drive the point home, here are a few betting trends to consider here:  The OVER is 5-0 in Cardinals last five games following an ATS win; The Over is 8-2 in Rams last 10 games in October. The OVER is 6-2 in Rams last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points; The OVER is 4-0 in Arizona’s last four games; and The Over is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.

Giants at Buffalo OVER 46

No RB LeSean McCoy and WR Sammy Watkins for Sunday? No problem. Karlos Williams (110 yards and a touchdown on just 12 carries against Miami), WR Percy Harvin (seven catches on eight targets vs. Miami) and TE Charles Clay (five catches and a touchdown on seven targets vs. Miami) all proved very capable as offensive targets for QB Tyrod Taylor in last Week’s 41-14 win over the Dolphins (which paid total bettors on an OVER).  Conversely, the Giants looked unstable on both sides of the ball against Washington in Week 3, but their 32-31 victory importantly allowed for an OVER total. Given the stage to fight their hearts out in Buffalo, our belief is that this fisticuffs will pay on an OVER, as both teams score at least 25 points apiece. Other Top Value OVER Picks: •    Eagles at Redskins, OVER 43.5 •    Cowboys at Saints, OVER 47 •    Packers at 49ers, OVER 48 •    Bengals at Chiefs, OVER 45

Vikings at Broncos, OVER 42.5

Considering the OVER/UNDER is 1-2 for the Broncos this season, and 0-3 for the Vikings, it looks as if the Vikings-Broncos clash will end in an UNDER (at least on paper). Plus, both teams sport good defensive units, further laying credence to the UNDER narrative. However, on further analysis, you find that since their excusably slow starts in Week 1, both teams have been on ascendancy in the offense. The Vikings are averaging 28.5 PPG scoring in their last two games, while the Broncos are averaging 27.5 PPG scoring in the same span. So even with the expectation that the defensive units will take center stage in this game, we like the total going OVER the manageable 42.5-point total.

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NFL Betting Center

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Updated NFL Odds | Online Sports Betting

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2022 NFL Over/Under Betting Picks for the Top Games of Week 4

Heading into Week 4 of the season, there are now just 2 unbeaten teams remaining, and they are probably not who anyone would have guessed prior to the start of the season. It is the Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles who remain the only unbeaten teams in the league, with both looking very good in the early going. This, though, is a long season where fortunes can change rather dramatically from week to week. Whether those two will still be unbeaten by the time this weekend comes to a close remains to be seen, but all we are focusing on at the moment is trying to pick some winners for NFL Week 4. For the purposes of this piece, we are going to be looking at O/U picks for the coming week. Let’s jump right in so you can continue betting against the NFL Lines.

Week 4 O/U Betting Picks | 2022 National Football League Analysis

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys (OVER 42)

At first glance, this is a game that screams UNDER, but I am going head in a different direction with this one. Yes, it’s true that both offenses have struggled to get anything going this season. That was pretty much expected with Washington, but the Cowboys have been dealt a tough hand in once again losing Dak Prescott to injury for an extended period of time. With all that we know about these offenses, why would I even consider going with the OVER? The simple answer is that the total is low enough to be tempting, but you also have to consider that the OVER has hit in each of the last 5 games that the Cowboys have hosted Washington.

Minnesota Vikings Vs New Orleans Saints (UNDER 43 ½)

Say what you will about the international games in the NFL, there is nothing easy about playing on a Sunday, boarding a plane to London, and then trying to adjust to the new time zone in time for a game the next week. That is what Minnesota and New Orleans are going to need to do, though, and you have to say that at 1-2, the Saints need this one more than the Vikings. Besides the weariness that comes from travel, which could have an impact on the outcome, there are a lot of things that point to the UNDER here. The UNDER has hit in 7 of the last 9 games the Vikings have played on grass, while the UNDER has hit in each of the last 6 Saints games after an ATS loss.

Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (UNDER 51 ½)

Prior to the start of the season, these were two teams that a lot of people had pegged as serious Super Bowl challengers. The Bills lived up to the hype in the opening 2 weeks, but they came up short against the Miami Dolphins last week to fall to 2-1. The Ravens have the same record, and they also have the same loss to the Dolphins, so it’s fair to say that this one is evenly matched. Despite both teams being offensively gifted, it is the Bills record against the AFC North that has me looking at the UNDER. Their last 7 games versus teams from that division have gone UNDER the point total.

  

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NFL 2021 Regular Season Week 4 O/U Betting Picks

While we certainly don’t like to make excuses, the rather surprising start to the 2021 NFL season has hurt our picks just a little. We do have winning records in our SU and O/U selections, but we are a little off the pace with our ATS picks. Let’s see if we can get the ball rolling on all fronts in Week 4 of the season, which promises to be a good one. There are a ton of big games on the schedule this week, with Tom Brady returning to New England as a Tampa Bay Buccaneer probably sitting at the top of the list. It’s not quite desperation time for the teams at the bottom of the pile right now, but it is getting to that point rather quickly. We will have our SU and ATS picks in separate articles, so for now, let’s focus on our point total picks for Week 4 of the NFL season so you can keep betting against the NFL odds.

Week 4 O/U Picks for the 2021 Season | NFL Betting

Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills (OVER 48)

After a surprising loss at home in Week 1 to the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Buffalo Bills have responded in a big way. They have won 2 in a row and have put up 78 points in the two games since that loss. There is strong reason to believe that the offense might well go off again this weekend against the Houston Texans. The question here is whether rookie QB David Mills can go into a hostile environment in Buffalo and get any type of offense going. That might well be the key to this one going OVER the point total. The reality here, though, is that he may not have to add that much to get this one OVER, as I think the Bills are set to have another solid offensive outing. Despite the trend going under with these teams, I am taking the OVER.

Tennessee Titans at New York Jets (UNDER 46)

When you are making picks, you always look at trends to see if they will give you a clue as to how a game might play out. That said, you also need to look at the performance of both teams in recent weeks to get perhaps a more accurate assessment. While it is still early in the season, we can see that the Jets are struggling to get anything going offensively with rookie QB Zach Wilson under center. In fact, they have managed just 20 points total in the 3 games that they have played this season. The Titans trends show that they go OVER more often than not, but they have a habit of playing to the level of their opponent, which could well mean that we are in for a low-scoring affair here.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots (OVER 49)

This is the game that everyone has circled on the calendar as soon as the 2021 NFL schedule was released. The chance to see Tom Brady playing in Foxboro in a uniform other than that of the Patriots is something that seemed inconceivable a few short years ago, yet here we are. All the hoopla aside, the Buccaneers are looking to bounce back after losing to the LA Rams last weekend, while the Patriots are still adjusting to life with a rookie QB, going 1-2 to start the season. The OVER has hit in all 3 of the Buccaneers games this season, as well as in 6 of their last 7 games in Week 4. Would you really be surprised to see Brady put on an offensive show? Me either.

  

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