Handicapping Guide For MLB Win Totals

Posted by Eric Williams on Friday,April 7, 2017 10:45, EST in

For all the MLB betting aficionados that love taking the guesswork out of making often difficult Moneyline or Run Line wagers by simply betting on the total, you’re going to love the expert MLB total betting tips that you’re about to get. In an effort to help you cash in consistently over the course of the 2017 MLB season, I’ve got a handful of expert total betting tips that are simply salivating! Now, let’s get started.

In Depth Analysis On The Handicapping Guide For MLB Win Totals

 

 

Starting Pitching

If you’re betting on MLB totals, then the first thing you need to know is who’s taking the mound for both ballclubs and how they’ve been throwing the ball recently. For instance, let’s say the Dodgers are trotting out staff ace Clayton Kershaw and they’re facing a San Francisco Giants team that is going to send staff ace Madison Bumgarner to the hill.

Well, you had better believe that the most likely scenario is that there aren’t going to be a whole lot of runs being scored. Conversely, if you’re betting on a matchup that features two back-end starters or one massively struggling starter, then the strongest scenario is that there are going to be a fair share of runs being scored. Know who’s starting for each team and make your Over/Under total wager accordingly.

How Do You Spell Relief?

In today’s MLB, starting pitchers don’t last nearly as long in games as they were expected to years ago (damn I’m getting old) and this means you had better know all about each teams’ relief pitchers.

Make no mistake about it, again, in today’s times, knowing your bullpens is of the utmost importance. Teams with outstanding bullpens hold leads and win games far more often than teams whose ‘bad’ bullpens give up late runs, late leads and lose more games.

Weather

Another thing you need to know all about when betting on MLB totals is the weather. If it’s scorching hot, baseballs will be jumping off hitters’ bats while conversely, colder weather means less long balls and likely more infield outs. While no one can consistently predict the weather (just watch your local meteorologist) of your betting on baseball totals then it’s your job to know what kind of weather the game will be played in. Check your forecasts the night before and maybe early the next morning.

Size Really Does Matter

Do you know the dimensions of the ballpark in the game you plan on betting on? If you don’t know them you should. Every stadium has different wind patterns and different sized distances down the foul lines and to the fence in center field.

L.A.’s Angel Stadium of Anaheim and San Diego’s Petco Park have the shortest distances to the centerfield fence (396 feet) while Detroit’s Comerica and Boston’s Fenway Park have the longest (420 feet).

DYK Alert!

Did You Know that Chicago’s Wrigley Field has longer left and right-field lines than any other ballpark? Did You Know that Boston’s Fenway Park has both the tallest and shortest outfield walls?

Hitting

If you’re betting on MLB totals, then you definitely need to know about each team’s hitters and how each team is hitting the ball in recent games. Is one or both teams in the game you’re betting on knocking the ball off the cover or are both teams struggling to score runs like crazy?

Does one team have a red-hot power hitter in the midst of a torrid, run-producing stretch or has one team’s best hitters gone ice-cold at the plate recently? Make sure you know how each team and their top run producers are playing coming into the game you plan on betting on.

Shop For Lines, Don’t Cut Them

While nobody likes a line-jumper that’s trying to get ahead of you at the supermarket or your local amusement park, but if you’re betting on baseball totals, then you need to shop for the best line possible because it could save you from a half-run up to a full run or even a 30-cents difference in some instances.

By The Numbers

The most common key total numbers in baseball, are 7, 9 and 11. If you’re betting on games where the total is a half-point higher than any of these figures, you may want to use caution when betting the Over unless you’re ‘sure’ that your pick is going to pan out.