Exploring the 2024 AFC East O/U Picks: What to Expect This Season

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When looking at the upcoming NFL season, there are a few dates that bettors look forward to before the games begin. Generally speaking, free agency, the NFL Draft, and the release of the schedule for the coming season are all seen as big moments in the offseason. Once we have hit all those dates, which we have now, you can start to reasonably think about how each team in the NFL might make out. That said, some will wait until the end of training camp, and the injuries that routinely come, before making their final predictions for the season. We are not going to wait that long, as we are breaking down the win totals of every division prior to that. With that in mind, let’s get into the AFC East so you can begin to plan your bets against the NFL Team Totals odds.

NFL 2022 Season Win Total Over/Under Picks for the AFC East Division

Buffalo Bills – OVER 11 ½

There are some who will suggest that last season, where the Bills won 11 games, was a bit of a backward step after winning 13 games the year prior. They definitely had some slip-ups along the way, and they should certainly have won more than the 11 games. The Bills have all their key pieces still in place and made moves in the offseason that should make them stronger. With all of that in mind, this looks like a team very much in with a shot at landing the #1 seed in the AFC. If they do in fact reach that goal, then they will almost certainly cross the 11 ½ win mark. The Bills look to me to be the best team in the league.

Miami Dolphins – OVER 8 ½

This is a team that has not made the playoffs since 2016, but they have come close in the last couple of years. Over the past two seasons, they have won 10 and 9 games, respectively, and looking at the upcoming season, they have a bunch of games that you could reasonably expect them to win. You could easily put a W beside 7 or 8 of their upcoming games, and while there are no guarantees, that should be enough to get them to the OVER.

New England Patriots – UNDER 8 ½

A lot of what the Patriots do this season is going to depend on the play of QB Mac Jones. He had a great rookie season, but the question now is whether we will see Jones take another step forward or fall into a sophomore slump. Even if he does improve, you look at the Patriots lineup and see several holes. Not helping their cause is that the experts seem to agree that their draft performance was not particularly great. There are more concerns with this team than things to feel good about, which is why I am leaning toward the UNDER.

New York Jets – OVER 5 ½

Of all the predictions made for the win totals in this division, this one seems like the riskiest of the bunch. Despite years of rebuilding, the Jets have made very little progress and have averaged less than 5 wins per season over the past 6 years. They have had a very good offseason, including a solid performance at the draft, and while a lot still hinges on the development of QB Zach Wilson, this still looks like a team that might finally be ready to show some signs of life.

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With the new NFL season now looming large on the horizon, it’s time to start thinking about how to wager. While some are content to wait until the season starts to wager on individual games, there are many more who want a piece of the action before the season begins. Future bets are the way to go for those bettors, with plenty of different options available right now. One of the more popular future wagers is the win totals for each team in the league. That is what we are going to look at today, with the AFC East the division that we are putting in the spotlight. We will look at the win totals as they are now and try to make some NFL betting predictions, so let’s get to it.

Best Over/Under Win Total Bets for the 2023 NFL AFC East Team Totals | MyBookie NFL Betting Predictions

2023 NFL season | 104th season of National Football League in the United States
September 7, 2023–February 11, 2024

Buffalo Bills | O/U 10 ½

The Bills have won the division in each of the last 3 seasons and feel as though their window of opportunity to win a Super Bowl is still very much wide open. Over those last 3 seasons, the Bills have won 13 games twice and 11 in the other, so their current win total certainly looks to be on the lower side of things. The division does look to be getting a little tougher, but you have to say that the Bills are still the class of the East. I think they win the division again plus I like them to go OVER the win total.

Over/Under Total Pick | Bet Buffalo Bills Win Total Over 10 ½
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Miami Dolphins | O/U 9 ½

The Dolphins have won 9 games in back-to-back seasons, but they may well have won more last year had they been able to keep Tua Tagovailoa healthy for the entire season. With that in mind, they have to be considered a threat this year, assuming that Tua can stay healthy from start to finish. That, though, is certainly not guaranteed given what we have seen from him in his time in the NFL, which would make me very nervous about taking the over on this team. If you think he can play a full season, you might want to take that risk.

Over/Under Total Pick | Bet Miami Dolphins Win Total Over 9 ½
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New York Jets | O/U 9 ½

This is a team that, while not really having a legit starting QB, still managed to win 7 games in 2022. That was a very decent step forward for a team that won just 4 games the previous season, and the feeling is that with Aaron Rodgers in as their starting QB, another forward step might well be coming this year. For me, though, this team still has to be seen as a bit of a risk when it comes to playing the over. In fact, I would not be surprised to see the Jets fall UNDER the 9 ½ game total they have this season.

Over/Under Total Pick | Bet New York Jets Win Total Over 9 ½
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New England Patriots | O/U 7 ½

The glory years for the Patriots are beginning to look like a distant memory, and the feeling is that the coming season might be a bit of a challenge for them. Mac Jones had a solid rookie season, leading the team to 10 wins and a playoff berth. Last season saw the win total slip down to 8, with the bookies believing that it might be more of the same, or worse, this year. With the division getting better things look tough for the Patriots, who might fall just UNDER the posted total.

Over/Under Total Pick | Bet New England Patriots Win Total Over 7 ½
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Are Tom Brady and the New England Patriots locks to reach 12 wins for the eight straight season? Can Ryan Tannehill and the Miami Dolphins record their second straight double-digit winning campaign after reaching the playoffs a year ago?

Can LeSean McCoy carry the Buffalo Bills to new heights following the departure of head coach Rex Ryan and can the dysfunctional New York Jets simply look competent for head coach Todd Bowles in 2017? If you want to know how each AFC East Super Bowl hopeful will fare against their 2017 season long win total odds, then consider your ticket punched!

A Closer Look At The 2017 NFL Season AFC East Win Total Over/Under Picks

AFC East

New England 11.5 Wins

Home: Bills, Jets, Dolphins, Houston Texans, Chiefs, Chargers, Falcons, Carolina Panthers
Away: Buffalo Bills, New York Jets, Miami Dolphins, Pittsburgh Steelers, Raiders, Broncos, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, New Orleans Saints

Analysis: The best way to look at New England Patriots’ 2017 schedule is to simply look for the likely losses they’ll suffer, although, from where I’m sitting, it won’t be very many and apparently oddsmakers agree with the Pats being favored to win every game this coming season. Basically, I’ve got New England suffering road losses against the Denver Broncos in Week 10, the Oakland Raiders in Week 11 and Miami Dolphins in Week 14. After winning all eight of their home games a year ago, I’ve actually got the Patriots falling in their regular season opener at home against Kansas City to finish with 12 wins at the very least in 2017.

Pick: Over 11.5 Wins

Miami 7.5 Wins

Home: Bills, Jets, New England Patriots, Raiders, Broncos, Tennessee Titans, Buccaneers, Saints (in London)
Away: Bills, Jets, Patriots, Chargers, Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens, Panthers, Falcons

Analysis: Things are looking up in South Beach after the Dolphin went 10-6 and made the playoffs last season. In 2017, I’ve got Ryan Tannehill and company winning their first three games of the season by beating Tampa Bay at home and the Chargers and Jets on the road. I’m thinking Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints get the rare road win in South Beach in Week 4 before the Fins go on to beat Tennessee at home a week later. A road loss at Atlanta will come in Week 6, followed by a home win against the Jets. A pair of losses will come after that in Baltimore and at home against Oakland before the Fins get the road upset at Carolina in Week 10.

After their bye in week 11, Miami will fall at New England and at home against Denver before they rebound with a huge win over the Patriots at home in Week 14. I think the Fins could sweep the Bills in Weeks 15 and 17 while suffering a road loss in Kansas City in between those division clashes as Miami finishes at 9-7 or 10-6 in a best case scenario. As a side note, Miami finished a dismal 26th in passing last season and I still don’t trust Ryan Tannehill – and neither should you!

Pick: Over 7.5 Wins

NY Jets 5.5 Wins

Home: Bills, Dolphins, Patriots, Chiefs, Chargers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Falcons, Panthers
Away: Bills, Dolphins, Patriots, Broncos, Raiders, Cleveland Browns, Saints, Buccaneers

Analysis: The Jets had a dysfunction-filled 2017 campaign by winning just five games – and they still don’t have a viable quarterback situation in place heading into 2017. Simply put, I see another five wins in New York’s future as they beat the Dolphins at home in Week 3, Jacksonville at home a week later and Cleveland on the road in Week 5. The Jets should be able to beat Buffalo at home in Week 9 and their last win of the season should come in Week 16 against the Chargers to finish just under their 2017 win total odds in what could be Todd Bowles’ last season in the Big Apple.

Buffalo Bills 6 Wins

Home: Dolphins, Patriots, Jets, Broncos, Raiders, Saints, Buccaneers, Indianapolis Colts
Away: Dolphins, Patriots, Jets, Chiefs, Chargers, Cincinnati Bengals, Falcons, Panthers

Analysis:With enigmatic head coach Rex Ryan gone, the Bills will look to improve in a big way under new head coach Sean McDermott. I like the Bills to beat the Jets in Week 1, followed by a road loss at Carolina, a home loss against Denver, and a pair of road losses at Atlanta and Cincinnati.

Following their Week 6 bye, I’ve got the Bills losing at home against Jameis Winston and the Buccaneers and Derek Carr and the Raiders before hitting the road for another loss against the Jets. In Week 10, Buffalo will fall at home against drew Brees and the Saints before upsetting Philip Rivers and the Chargers in Los Angeles. Over their final six games, I think it’s quite possible that Buffalo’s only win comes at Miami in their regular season finale. While I’ve only penciled in the Bills for three wins here, I think the more likely scenario is that they somehow find a way to win five games or six at most. Either way, I believe the Under 6 wins is the pick for the Bills in 2017, mostly because they’re a team in transition and have an extremely difficult schedule.

Pick: Under 6 Wins