The Buffalo Bills head to Miami to take on the Dolphins in a game that will decide which team heads into the playoffs the AFC East winner. Miami has suffered a few losses and the Bills have picked it up in the final games the season. Buffalo is playing so well that although the game takes place at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, the Bills are the chalk.
Which team gets it done in the division title matchup?
MyBookie has the NFL line for this AFC East showdown with the Bills as -2.5 favorites over the Bills and the total is listed at 48.5 playing in Week 18 of the NFL season.
2024 Bills vs Dolphins Odds and Betting Pick for this Week 18 Matchup | MyBookie NFL Regular Season Preview
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins | NFL Week 18
ATS Odds: Bills -2.5
Money line Odds: Buffalo Bills Line: -150 / Miami Dolphins Line: +130
Over/Under Odds: 48.5
Sunday, January 7th, 2024 at 8:20 pm ET | NBC
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Why Bet on Bills versus Dolphins
No team is playing better football in the final 6 weeks of the season than the Buffalo Bills. Josh Allen and his mates have beaten 5 of the 6 opponents.
Victories over the Jets, Cowboys, Chargers, Patriots, and Chiefs impressed big time. Even the loss to Philadelphia happened in overtime. So Allen and his buds had a chance to beat Jalen Hurts and the Eagles.
The Bills’ confidence is high while Miami is shell shocked after the shellacking they suffered against the Ravens in NFL Week 17.
Buffalo Offense Averages
- Total Yards: 368.3
- Passing Yards: 238.1
- Rushing Yards: 130.3
- Points Scored: 26.9
- Turnovers: 25
Buffalo Defense Averages
- Total Yards: 309.2
- Passing Yards: 198.4
- Rushing Yards: 110.8
- Points Scored: 18.6
- Turnovers: 27
Why Bet on Dolphins versus Bills
The Ravens beat the Dolphins 56-19 but there are a few things to notice. First, Tua Tagovailoa threw for 237 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tua’s 2 interceptions inflated the score.
Second De’Von Achane rushed for over 100 yards. If Tagovailoa hadn’t thrown the 2 picks and Mike White hadn’t fumbled, who knows what may have happened?
It’s also important to note that the Dolphins faced the Ravens a week after beating the Dallas Cowboys and took on the Ravens in Baltimore. At home and in front of their fans, Miami should play much better.
Miami Offense Averages
- Total Yards: 409.2
- Passing Yards: 271.7
- Rushing Yards: 137.5
- Points Scored: 30.1
- Turnovers: 23
Miami Defense Averages
- Total Yards: 308.6
- Passing Yards: 213.5
- Rushing Yards: 95.1
- Points Scored: 23.1
- Turnovers: 23
Miami versus Buffalo Final Betting Prediction
Miami should play better versus the rival Bills than they did against Baltimore. However, the turnovers don’t explain how the Dolphins allowed Lamar Jackson to complete 18-of-21 for 321 yards and throw 5 TD passes.
Lamar had the best game of his career from a passing stand point. Tua and Achane don’t play defense, which means the Ravens destroyed Miami’s D.
Buffalo is riding high. Earlier in the season, the Bills blasted the Fins 48-20. The score in this shouldn’t be that bad, but the Bills will win by at least 6 and could win by 10 or even 14.
2023 NFL Pick: ATS Buffalo Bills -2.5 | Bet Bills vs Dolphins
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
Buffalo Bills Team
10-6 | 3-4 Away
Buffalo Bills Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/23 | vs NE | W27-21 |
| 12/23/23 | @ LAC | W24-22 |
| 12/17/23 | vs DAL | W31-10 |
| 12/10/23 | @ KC | W20-17 |
| 11/26/23 | @ PHI | L37-34 OT |
Buffalo Bills Injury Report
| Name | Position | Status | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Shorter WR | IR | Feb 12 |
| Damar Hamlin S | Questionable | Jan 7 |
| – | ||
| – | ||
| – |
Miami Dolphins Team
11-5 | 7-1 Home
Miami Dolphins Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/23 | @ BAL | L56-19 |
| 12/24/23 | vs DAL | W22-20 |
| 12/17/23 | vs NYJ | W30-0 |
| 12/11/23 | vs TEN | L28-27 |
| 12/3/23 | @ WSH | W45-15 |
Miami Dolphins Injury Report
| Name | Position | Status | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Duke Riley LB | Questionable | Jan 7 |
| Jevon Holland S | Questionable | Jan 7 |
| David Long Jr. LB | Questionable | Jan 7 |
| Raheem Mostert RB | Questionable | Jan 7 |
| Jaylen Waddle WR | Questionable | Jan 7 |
2023 NFL Standings up to Week 18
AFC East Standings
| Team | W | L | PCT | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins * | 11 | 5 | .688 | L1 |
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 6 | .625 | W4 |
| New York Jets | 6 | 10 | .375 | L1 |
| New England Patriots | 4 | 12 | .250 | L1 |
NFL Odds
Super Bowl Odds to Win:
Bills +800 | Dolphins +1400
NFC Conference Odds to Win:
Bills +350 | Dolphins +650
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
- Buffalo is 6-10-0 against the spread this season.
- The Bills have an ATS record of 3-7 when playing as at least 3-point favorites this season.
- Buffalo games this year have gone over the total in six out of 16 opportunities (37.5%).
- When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Bills have won 69.2% of the time (9-4).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -162 or shorter, Buffalo has a 7-3 record (winning 70% of its games).
- The Bills have a 61.8% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Dolphins are 1-3 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
- This year, in eight home games, Miami has gone over the total four times.
The following NFL betting lines are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.
Super Bowl Odds to Win this 2025 NFL Season
The following NFL betting lines are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.
| Teams | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +480 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +520 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +930 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +960 |
| Detroit Lions | +990 |
| Buffalo Bills | +1175 |
| Houston Texans | +1300 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1475 |
| New York Jets | +1475 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1625 |
| Miami Dolphins | +2300 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +2900 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +3000 |
| Chicago Bears | +3100 |
| Green Bay Packers | +3100 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +3200 |
| Cleveland Browns | +3900 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +4100 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +4500 |
| New Orleans Saints | +4900 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +5400 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +5800 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6200 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +8000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +9000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +11000 |
| Washington Commanders | +13000 |
| Denver Broncos | +14000 |
| New England Patriots | +14000 |
| Tennessee Titans | +16000 |
| New York Giants | +17000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +40000 |
Enjoy the game. We hope this is the start of a great week for the National Football League. Best of luck with all your betting for this game, and all the NFL Week 18 action!
I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?
NFL Odds
MyBookie lines for the Games
Previous Betting News
NFL Betting Preview for Buffalo Bills at Miami
Somehow, even though the Bills held the Steelers to 252 yards of offense, they still found a way to lose the game by a score of 23 – 16. Buffalo Quarterback Josh Allen threw for 270 yards, but it took him 50 attempts in a very inefficient performance to open the season.
For Miami, they went into Foxboro and came out victorious with a 17 – 16 win over New England, the only AFC East team to win a game on Sunday. Despite an anemic offensive performance, the Dolphins were somehow able to prevail in a contest that could be the difference in whether either team makes it into the postseason. With all that in mind, it’s time we take a look at both teams and how they arrive to this match so you can make your bets against their NFL odds.
Bills vs Dolphins Betting Odds
The Bills head to Miami for a critical game because falling to 0 – 2 and two games behind the Dolphins in the division would strike a serious blow to Buffalo’s quest to win a second consecutive division title. Neither team was able to sustain much offensive momentum in Week 1, so if one of them can find a way to move the ball, it could be a recipe for success.
The Bills are road favorites with a 3 ½ point spread at odds of -105. The Dolphins carry odds of -115 against the spread, and the moneyline at MyBookie.ag has them at +155 and Buffalo at -185. The over/under line is at 47 ½, and the odds are -110 for either side of the bet.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
The Bills couldn’t seem to sustain any momentum against the Steelers, resulting in a very frustrating outcome in Week 1. In 2020, Buffalo swept the Dolphins, including a season-ending 56 – 26 beat down that completed a six-game winning streak to close the regular season and secure a division crown.
Buffalo will need to execute better and make more plays down the field than they did against Pittsburgh to come away with a victory in Miami. Defensively, they played well against the Steelers, and the same kind of effort will probably be good enough against second-year Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Dolphins finished one game away from making the playoffs in 2020, and their two losses to the Bills, including a Week 2 defeat by the score of 31 – 28, were a big reason. The opening win last week over the Patriots, despite getting outgained 393 to 259, could be a mixed blessing, giving Miami a false sense of success.
They won the turnover battle with New England 2 – 0, and it helped to bail them out of a dismal offensive performance, but the defense gave up 281 passing yards and allowed rookie quarterback Mac Jones to complete 74% of his throws. The Dolphins face another challenge against a defense that held the Steelers to 252 total yards but was let down by an inconsistent offense.
Bills vs Dolphins Prediction
The Dolphins lost on paper but won on the field in Week 1, while the Bills won the statistical battle against the Steelers but came out behind on the scoreboard.
Buffalo had Miami’s number last season, and Allen should be sharper in Week 2. Take the Bills, give the points, and bet the over.
Pick: Buffalo 34 Miami 27
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