NFL Divisional Round QB Matchups Betting Predictions & Picks for Every Game

Eight of the best quarterbacks play in this week’s NFL Divisional Round. Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars kick off the action on Saturday when Lawrence leads his team to Kansas City to battle Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Then on Sunday, Dallas and Dak Prescott end the divisional round in a throw down against rookie Brock Purdy and the 49ers. Check out quarterback matchup analysis and NFL Playoffs Betting picks for all four of this season’s NFC Divisional Round contests.

Who’ll Win the Quarterback Matchups in the 2023 Divisional Round Round? | NFL Lines & Betting Predictions

2023 NFL Divisional Round 

• When: Saturday, Jan. 21 – Sunday, Jan. 22

Jacksonville-Trevor Lawrence at Kansas City-Patrick Mahomes | Saturday, Jan. 21

In his first ever NFL Playoff contest, Trevor Lawrence played a strange game. In the first half, Lawrence was awful when tossing 4 picks.

Trevor picked it up in the second half. Lawrence threw 4 touchdowns in the second half. When it was all said and done, the Jaguars had completed the third greatest comeback in NFL Playoff history and Trevor had the first notch in his future legend belt. 

But although Jacksonville should play better than the spread line indicates, there’s almost zero chance Trevor Lawrence outplays Patrick Mahomes. 

Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL. In the earlier matchup between these two, Patrick lit up the Jags for 331 yards and 4 TDs. Patrick could do even more damage in the rematch. 

NFL Divisional Round Pick: Patrick Mahomes 

New York Giants-Daniel Jones at Philadelphia Eagles-Jalen Hurts | Saturday, Jan. 21

Jalen Hurts dominated the Giants in the first meeting. But in the second meeting, Hurts struggled, throwing for 229 yards and a pick. Jalen rushed for just 13 yards.

Jones didn’t play in the second game. Daniel played last week where he torched the Vikings’ defense for 301 passing yards, 78 rushing yards, and 2 touchdown passes. Brian Daboll will call a few run plays for Jones. 

We know Daniel is one-hundred percent healthy. The Eagles said Jalen is one-hundred percent healthy. Based on Hurts’ last performance it’s hard to know if that’s a fact. Jones gets the nod. 

NFL Divisional Round Pick: Daniel Jones 

Cincinnati Bengals-Joe Burrow at Buffalo Bills-Josh Allen | Sunday, Jan. 22

Allen is a great player. But he may not have to outplay the Bengals for the Bills to win this game. Cincinnati’s offensive line is banged up, which means the Bengals shouldn’t have much success rushing the ball.

Joe Burrow has one of the quickest releases in football. Expect Cincinnati to call enough pass plays for Burrow to have a good game. Joe Cool may not do enough for the Bengals to win this or to even cover the spread, but Burrow will post better stats than Allen. 

NFL Divisional Round Pick: Joe Burrow 

Dallas Cowboys-Dak Prescott at San Francisco 49ers-Brock Purdy | Sunday, Jan. 22

The Buccaneers were afraid of getting burned by Dak Prescott when they blitzed. So instead of blitzing, the Bucs played a zone defense almost the entire game and Dak tore Tampa’s D to shreds.

Prescott won’t have the same luck versus San Francisco. The Niners love to blitz. Prescott won’t have as much time to go through his reads as he did against the Buccaneers’ aging line. 

Not only that, but Nick Bosa is fast enough to run Dak down on naked bootlegs or if the Cowboys try to run run-pass-option (RPO) plays. 

San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan has simplified the playbook for Brock Purdy. Doing so has allowed Purdy to excel. Brock threw for 332 yards and 3 TDs against Seattle.

Is Brock a better quarterback than Dak? Not yet. But Purdy has way more weapons. So Brock posts the more impressive stats. 

NFL Divisional Round Pick: Brock Purdy 

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