For the first time in his NFL career, future Hall of Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers will play for a team other than the Green Bay Packers as he makes his New York Jets debut on Monday night against the visiting Buffalo Bills to conclude Week 1. Let’s break down this matchup as you plan your monday’s NFL betting.
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Odds, Analysis and Prediction | 2023 NFL Expert Analysis by MyBookie Sportsbook
NFL Regular Season: September 7, 2023 – January 7, 2024
How to Bet Bills at Jets NFL Odds & TV Info
When: Monday, 8:15 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium
TV: ESPN, ABC
Radio: http://www.siriusxm.com/nfl
Stream Option: ESPN+
Opening NFL Lines: Bills -2 (total 45.5)
Last Season
The teams split, each winning a low-scoring game at home. The Bills captured the AFC East for a third consecutive year, but the high point of the Jets’ campaign came in Week 9 when they topped the Bills, 20-17, at MetLife Stadium. That was with Zach Wilson at QB.
Why Bet on Buffalo?
The Bills have proven tough to beat in primetime at home or on the road. Last season, Buffalo was a perfect 5-0 in primetime games including a pair of road victories. They also averaged an impressive 30 points per game in their five primetime outings last season and their opponents averaged less than half that total in those matchups (14.6 ppg).
Including the playoffs, Bills QB Josh Allen is 17-3 in his past 10 starts vs. the AFC East. Allen’s career numbers against the Jets include a 62 percent completion percentage with eight passing touchdowns and seven interceptions in nine games against Buffalo’s division rival. His career passer rating against the Jets is 81.3. It should be noted he does have 70 carries for more than 450 yards and six rushing touchdowns, and most important his career record against New York is 6-3.
“They’re a really good group,” said Allen of New York’s defense. “They’ve got rushers that have motors, they sub those guys in and out so they’re fresh. Their DBs are smart. I know No. 1, he’s a great player, he gets a lot of credit. I think No. 4 is also pretty dang good. So yeah, they game planned pretty well for us the last couple times we’ve played them, and we’ll have our hands full come Monday night.”
Allen had 5,045 total yards & 42 total touchdowns (pass + rush) last season; only Patrick Mahomes had more total yards & touchdowns last season (won NFL MVP). Allen led the in passing TDs under pressure (13) . Since 2020, Allen has 38 pass TD under pressure (9 more than the next player, Mahomes – 29)
You have Jets All-Pro cornerback Sauce Gardner going up against one of the best receivers in the game in Stefon Diggs. Diggs took round one with 93 yards on five catches but Gardner returned the favor in the second meeting, allowing only 37 yards on three catches. Since joining the Bills in 2020, Diggs has 263 more targets, 172 more receptions & 2,205 more receiving yards than the next-closest Bills player.
Bills safety Damar Hamlin is not expected to be active for tonight’s game. Hamlin is continuing his journey back from suffering cardiac arrest on Jan. 2 during a regular-season game against the Cincinnati Bengals. He played in all three of Buffalo’s preseason games and made the Bills’ 53-man roster as a backup safety and special teams player. Hamlin, 25, has been a full participant with the team since early June during OTAs. He started 13 games last season in place of safety Micah Hyde, who missed the rest of the season after a neck injury in Week 2.
Bet Bills to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
Why Bet on NY Jets?
The Jets have gone 12 seasons without a playoff appearance, longest active streak in the NFL & tied for the longest active streak in all of the 4 major North American sports. That’s why they traded for Aaron Rodgers.
“When you got a great defense, which like I feel like we do, I think you just have to play how you have always played: be smart,” Rodgers said this week. “You can take some chances when they are there, but it is all about a percentage game and trying to find the highest percentage match up every single time. But again, look we are 0-and-0 just like everybody. It will be two teams, it will be different after a night, but you don’t know what is going to happen.”
Rodgers has won nine straight starts on Monday night, tied for the third longest streak ever behind Ken Stabler (11) and Steve Young (10). There has only been 1 QB in Jets history to throw for 4,000+ yards in a season, Joe Namath in 1967. Rodgers has 10 seasons w/ 4,000+ pass yards. There has only been 1 QB in Jets history to throw 30+ TD in a season, Ryan Fitzpatrick in 2015. Rodgers has 8 seasons w/ 30+ pass TD.
It will mark Rodgers’ third all-time matchup against Bills QB Josh Allen. In the Bills’ 27-17 Sunday night triumph over the Packers in Week 8 last season, Rodgers took the loss although he posted better numbers (63%, 2 TD, 1 INT and 91. 4 passer rating compared to 52%, 2 TD, 2 INT and a 75.1 rating).
The New York Jets backfield will be a full go against the Bills as New York head coach Robert Saleh said both Dalvin Cook and Breece Hall will be available against Buffalo. But the coach did admit there will be a bit of thinking going into the decision with both coming off injury. Monday will be the first time Hall will be tackled in game action since he tore his ACL in Week 7 at Denver last season. The second-round pick in 2022 out of Iowa State was returned to practice Aug. 15 and did not play in the preseason.
“I don’t know if I want to call it a snap count, but we are gonna be smart with them,” Saleh said. “We’ll continue to evaluate and build up what we think Monday needs to be, but it’s not that we’re putting a snap count on it.”
Bet Jets to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
Expert Prediction
Bills 24, Jets 23
Super Bowl Odds to Win this 2025 NFL Season
The following NFL betting lines are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.
Teams | Odds |
---|---|
Detroit Lions | +290 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +460 |
Philadelphia Eagles | +690 |
Buffalo Bills | +660 |
Baltimore Ravens | +780 |
Green Bay Packers | +1625 |
Minnesota Vikings | +1900 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +2500 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +2700 |
Houston Texans | +3100 |
Denver Broncos | +4800 |
San Francisco 49ers | +5600 |
Atlanta Falcons | +5800 |
Washington Commanders | +5800 |
Arizona Cardinals | +5800 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6000 |
Seattle Seahawks | +6000 |
Miami Dolphins | +8000 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +8500 |
Los Angeles Rams | +10000 |
Indianapolis Colts | +28000 |
New Orleans Saints | +46000 |
New York Jets | +70000 |
Chicago Bears | +95000 |
Dallas Cowboys | +95000 |
Tennessee Titans | +100000 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +100000 |
New York Giants | +100000 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | +100000 |
New England Patriots | +100000 |
Carolina Panthers | +100000 |
Cleveland Browns | +100000 |
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