Raiders vs Ravens NFL Week 12 Lines & Expert Prediction

Raiders vs Ravens NFL Week 12 Lines & Expert Prediction

Written by on November 23, 2018

After leading the Baltimore Ravens to a victory in his first career NFL start a week ago, rookie signal-caller Lamar Jackson will look for a duplicate performance when the Baltimore Ravens host the Oakland Raiders in an intriguing Week 12 matchup. If you’re looking to find out whether Jackson and the Ravens can cover the chalk as a double-digit home favorite or whether Carr and the lowly Oakland Raiders are the pick to either win outright or cover the chalk, let’s get to my Week 12 expert NFL pick right now.

Raiders vs Ravens NFL Week 12 Lines & Expert Prediction

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 13°C/55°F
  • Humidity: 60%
  • Precipitation: 1%
  • Wind: 7 mph WNW
  • Cloud Cover: 27%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On The Oakland Raiders?

Why should you bet on the Raiders in Week 12? Well, there’s the fact that the Raiders are feeling good coming into this contest off of just their second win of the season the last time out. Oakland managed to get past Arizona 23-21 last weekend as Derek Carr passed for 192 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions and Oakland’s defense picked off Jared Goff twice to thwart three TD passes by Arizona’s prized rookie signal-caller.

Another good reason to back the Raiders in this contest is that they’re playing against a rookie quarterback that hasn’t shown he can throw the ball consistently in the NFL. Last but not least, a good reason to back Oakland I that they’re getting 10 points against a Ravens team that isn’t very explosive offensively.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 17
  • Total Yards: 347.20
  • Pass Yards: 244.60
  • Rush Yards: 102.60
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 29.30
  • Total Yards: 387.40
  • Pass Yards: 245.10
  • Rush Yards: 142.30

Why Bet On The Baltimore Ravens?

Are the Ravens a safe bet for NFL Week 12?

Why should you bet on the Ravens in Week 12? Well, Baltimore is playing at home where they’re a lot more difficult to bet than on the road. Another good reason is that the Ravens are also coming into this contest with a bit of momentum after beating Cincinnati 24-21 in their Week 11 AFC North divisional battle. Rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson made his first career start in place of the injured Joe Flacco and rushed a whopping 27 times for 117 yards while running back Gus Edwards rushed 17 times for 115 yards and one score.

Another great reason to back Baltimore in this matchup is that the Ravens are far superior to the Raiders defensively in allowing 11.2 fewer points per game than Oakland on that side of the ball. Baltimore also has the higher scoring offense in this matchup by 6.7 points per contest. Last but not least, the Ravens have a ton of motivation as they look to hold on to their still-legitimate playoff hopes.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 23.70
  • Total Yards: 370.50
  • Pass Yards: 260.60
  • Rush Yards: 109.90
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 18.10
  • Total Yards: 300
  • Pass Yards: 205.40
  • Rush Yards: 94.60

Raiders vs Ravens NFL Week 12 Betting Trends

  • Oakland is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Oakland is 2-12 SU in the last 14 games
  • The total went UNDER in 13 of Oakland’s last 17 games
  • Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Baltimore is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 8 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Raiders vs Ravens

Let me get started by saying that the double digit point spread for this contest makes the choice for this contest look more challenging than it actually is going to turn out to be. Basically, Baltimore is far superior to Oakland in all three phases, plus they’re playing at home and have a ton to play for.

The Raiders rank a pitiful 30th in scoring (17.0 ppg) and the 23 points they scored on Arizona was their third highest point total of the season following consecutive performances of putting six points or less on the board.

Oakland is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against their AFC counterparts, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. On the flip side of the coin, Baltimore has gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after rushing for more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while also going 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 12.

With the home team in this series going 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and Oakland going 1-5 ATS in their last six road dates against Baltimore, I say the Ravens win and cover to help Oakland take another step toward getting the top pick in next year’s NFL Draft.

NFL Week 12 Pick: Baltimore 28 Oakland 10
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