What’s the Best Super Bowl LVII Betting Strategy?

Previous Betting News

This coming Sunday represents the last chance this season for football bettors to make some money, which makes some of them go a little crazy. The Super Bowl is far and away the most heavily wagered game in professional US sports, with even the most casual of bettors getting in on the action. For many, the temptation is to blow the entire bankroll in order to get one last big score, but that is a strategy that seldom pays dividends. There are an astonishing number of prop bets out there, and they are all designed to keep you wagering throughout the game. This is certainly fun, but your chances of hitting them all are pretty slim, as there are just too many factors in play to make that possible. Let’s take a moment to look at some strategic moves you can make to increase your chances of winning during Super Bowl 51 and before you bet on the NFL playoffs, click here to cash in on the latest Super Bowl 51 promos.

Super Bowl Betting Strategy And Picking Winning Bets

Use Your Head, Not Your Heart

This tip is aimed specifically at those of you who have a dog in the fight this coming Sunday. If you are an Atlanta Falcons or a Patriots fan, your heart will tell you to bet the bankroll on your team. Putting all of your eggs in one basket is the surest way to lose money, which is why you need to use you head when making picks. For example, you may be a die-hard Patriots fan, but do you really think Julian Edelman is going to have more receiving yards than Julio Jones? Brady shares the wealth in the passing game, while the Falcons rely heavily on the Ryan/Jones connection. This is one instance where you may want to bet against your team.

Choose Your Prop Bets Wisely

There is no way to tell how a game is going to go, but there are some prop bets that have the makings of gimme picks. As I mentioned earlier, there is simply no way that you are going to be able to play all the prop bets and be in profit, so take the next couple of days to go through them, one by one, and use the stats from the games played so far by these two teams to determine which of the plays gives you the best shot at winning. Given that the props are 50/50 type plays, you need only get about 55-60% of your picks right to be in profit. Take time to choose wisely, and that should be attainable.

Don’t Chase Your Losses

Since many of the prop bets will be taking place in-game, you will have a chance to play catch-up of you are down early. This does not mean that you should chase those losses by betting on props you had planned on sitting out. Stick with the picks you had made early on, and adjust accordingly with the upcoming wagers. Given how the game is going, wagers that you thought looked good might suddenly be not so attractive. Change on the fly if need be, but don’t do so with the sole purpose of recouping losses.

As always, only play as much money as you can reasonably afford to lose, as that helps keep things light and fun.

Previous Betting News

Do you want to make a potentially winning ATS wager on the quickly-approaching Super Bowl 51 showdown? Would you like to cash in on some of the game’s other ATS wagers, whether it’s by quarter or half?

Are you more of an Over/Under total bettor that wants to cash in on the game’s final score? Maybe you’re like me and you like making player props odds wagers that could pay off big.

Whatever the case may be, if you answered ‘yes’ to any of the aforementioned questions, then you’re in luck. The expert Super Bowl 51 betting tips that you’re about to get will help you in your efforts to cash in early and often over the course of Super Bowl 51. Now, let’s get started.

Analysis Highlights Best Investing And Betting Strategies For Super Bowl 51

Inspect the Line

First and foremost, check the Super Bowl ATS line and come to a decision on whether or not you believe the line is accurate or close to what you believe is accurate. If you believe the line is askew, then that actually works in your favor, particularly if you believe underdog is actually a better team than the favorite.

Check the History

Another wise thing to do is to go back and look at some recent Super Bowl ATS history, not that it always has a bearing on what’s happening on this season’s current title tilt. Still, knowing your history never hurts. It could be that you spot a trend like the fact that the Underdog has covered the spread in four of the last five Super Bowls or it could be something else. Either way, checking the Super Bowl ATS history for trends and such, is a great idea!

Recent Play is Important

Um…I know I’m not telling bettors much by advising them to check the recent play of both Super Bowl teams, but I can’t overstate this fact enough. Not only should you look at each team’s recent trends and on-field play, but doing so against ‘similar’ teams is even more important.

Learn how have both teams have fared against the spread (ATS) away from home this season or better yet, over the last two seasons. Having you homework complete on recent performances will give you a great idea of just what to expect come game day.

Team Motivation

Do you know which team is more motivated than the other? Do you know which team has a little bit more of a ‘chip’ on their collective shoulders or an important player or two with other issues that could affect their on-field performances? Knowing things like team motivation level, overall maturity and off-field issues are highly significant factors that NFL gamblers need to know. Stay on top of each team’s latest and most recent news…off-field or locker room issues if you really want to nail your Super Bowl ATS bet.

Is There an X-Factor?

Which team has an ‘X-Factor’ kind of player on their roster and how likely is it that this player makes an impact on the game. Lest anyone forget, a big special team’s play or one made from an ‘X-Factor’ player has been more of a regular occurrence in the Super Bowl than an aberration that takes place arbitrarily.

Quarterback Play and Coaching Edge

Do you know which quarterback is more prone to committing a costly, game-changing error and which one isn’t? Does one team’s starting quarterback have a fragile mind that isn’t equipped to handle, not only the intense pressure he’ll be under on the field, but also the bright lights and big media stage that come along with being in the NFL title game?

Does one head coach know how to keep his team together more than the other or is one head coach more prone to ‘lose it’ in the face of adversity? Which coach is more experienced and likely to make decisions both, on the field and in the locker room?

Make sure you get as much information as possible on these important factors and you’ll be well on your way toward making a potentially winning Super Bowl 51 wager.

Investing Strategy

While one bettor’s investment strategy will differ from the next, the golden rule of thumb is to never ‘put all of your eggs in one basket’ no matter how much of a ‘lock’ you think your Super Bowl selection is. No matter the size of your Super Bowl betting bankroll, putting a sound financial investment plan together is always a wise thing to do.

I personally like to categorize my Super Bowl picks in order of ‘certainty’, meaning the more I feel a pick is a lock, the higher that selection will be on my Super Bowl betting list. I believe it’s more beneficial to spread your finances around a bit as far as making an O/U Total wager – or for me – a bunch of sure-fire player props picks. Even if you lose one or two of your wagers, you’re likely to hit on some others, thereby giving you a better chance to either break even, or better yet, come out on top.

Previous Betting News

If you’re excited about the quickly-approaching Super Bowl 51 matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots and you love making props bets on the big game, then you need to know all about a few simple strategies that I put in play each and every time I’m making a Super Bowl props betting wager.

Strategy For Beating 2017 NFL Super Bowl LI Propositions

Recent Play

The first thing I look at is how a specific player or team has performed recently. Let’s say you’re betting on the player props odds for running back Devonta Freeman and his Super Bowl odds are listed as Over or Under 90 yards.

Well, a quick glance at Freeman’s last six games or so will show you how he’s been running the ball lately while giving you a great idea of how he might perform in the Super Bowl.

1-3-5 Method

I also use a more extended look back that I call the ‘1-3-5 method’ for any team or player props odds I’m thinking about betting on. I’ll start with the current season and go back as much as five years if possible in an effort to get a really good read on what to expect out of a particular player or team.

Postseason History

While this method can’t be used on any players without postseason experience, it’s sure a great strategy to use on a guy like Tom Brady or some other perennial or near perennial playoff participant like Russell Wilson or Aaron Rodgers. If you notice that a particular player has a history for playing big in big games – or not showing up at all – make your wager on that player accordingly.

The Eyeball Test

If you’re planning on making some Super Bowl 51 player props, then the good old eyeball test is always a good strategy to use. I mean, basically, did the player or team you’re planning on making your Super Bowl props wager on look like world-beaters the last time out, or did they either squeak by their opponents or get ‘lucky’ to reach the Super Bowl?

Basically, if a team or player looked like they were playing at the top of their game when you last saw them, they’re probably more inclined than not to play the same way the next time they take to the gridiron.

Up, Up and Away!

Last but not least, you need to check out how each team or player that you’re planning on making a props wager on has performed on the road recently, seeing as how the Super Bowl is basically an away game for both teams. If a particular layer or team struggled on the rod, then it doesn’t bode well that they’ll have to both, play away from the comfy confines of home and in front of the bright lights of millions of fans worldwide.

Previous Betting News

If you’re excited about the quickly approaching Super Bowl 51 matchup between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks and you’re looking for reasons to ‘go against the grain’ with your many of your betting selections, then look no further!

Thanks to my expert analysis, you’re about to get a trio of great reasons why going against public opinion or the majority of Super Bowl 51 bettors is often a wise idea. Before you bet on the NFL playoffs, click here to cash in on the latest Super Bowl 51 promos.

Contrarian Strategy: Going Against The Grain When Betting The Super Bowl

New England’s Super Bowl Failures

While the Patriots won and covered the spread as a Pick ‘Em in their 28-24 Super Bowl 49 win over Seattle, New England failed to cover the spread as a favorite in each of their our previous Super Bowl matchups, so history alone says you should go against the grain and back Atlanta as a 3-point underdog in Super Bowl 51.

In Super Bowl 46, New England lost to the New York Giants 21-17 despite being a 2.5-point favorite. In Super Bowl 42, the Patriots failed to cover the Super Bowl betting line as a 12-point favorite against the Giants. In Super Bowl 38, the Pats failed to cover the spread as a touchdown favorite over Philly and in Super Bowl 37 one year earlier, New England failed to cash in as a 7-point favorite against Carolina.

Recent Super Bowl History

In Super Bowl 50 last year, the Panthers cashed in as a 5-point underdog in their 24-10 win over Carolina. In Super Bowl 48, Seattle blasted Denver off the field despite being a 2.5-point underdog. One year earlier, San Francisco managed to cover the Super Bowl betting line as a 4.5-point dog in their 34-31 loss to Baltimore.

In Super Bowl 44, New Orleans beat Indianapolis outright 31-17 despite being a 5-point underdog and in Super Bowl 43 Arizona covered the spread as a 7-point underdog in their narrow 27-23 loss to Pittsburgh. Over the last 15 Super Bowls, underdogs have gone 11-3-1 ATS so there’s plenty of reasons to go against the grain in Super Bowl 51 with your ATS pick.

My Super Bowl 51 Pick

Last but not least, another great reason to go against the grain with your Super Bowl 51 pick is the fact that I like the underdog Falcons to cover the spread as a 3-point underdog – by beating the Patriots outright.

The Falcons have recorded a stellar 12-6 ATS mark this season while going 5-1 ATS over their last six games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record, not to mention the fact that the underdog has covered the spread four times in the last five meetings between the Falcons and Patriots.

Previous Betting News

If you’re a football betting enthusiast that is looking to, both, get off to a positive start while avoiding falling into an early hole with your bankroll, then you need some expert advice to help you accomplish both goals.

While many NFL bettors think they can use the same strategy while wagering on NFL football action over the course of the regular season, it’s important to keep a few things in mind when betting early in the season as teams start to reveal just who they are and likely will be all season long. Let’s get down to business.

Analyzing The Football Betting Strategies And Tips For Early 2017 NFL Season

What Are the Goals?

The first thing you need to do is to identify the goals of each team early in the season. A team like the Dallas Cowboys for instance, will be looking to get off to a fast start in order to build chemistry that could help them in their quest for postseason success while a team like the Cleveland Browns or San Francisco 49ers is looking for improved play out of several players at key positions and maybe not so much at early victories. Make sure you know what the real goals are for each team heading into the new season, because every team is not shooting to reach the Super Bowl.

Don’t Fall for the 52 Fake-out!

If you remember the San Francisco 49ers laid an emphatic 28-0 smackdown on the NFC West rival Rams to open the regular season in 2016 and if you didn’t know any better, you’d think Frisco was actually a competent team and that could have cost you dearly the next few weeks as the Niners immediately revealed their true nature as a floundering franchise with no hope. Don’t fall for the 52 fake-out early on based on a team’s preseason play or against a weak opponent or two early on.

Home Field Advantage

Home teams tend to do well early on as they are fueled by a ton of adrenaline and their raucous home fans. While this ‘feeling of exuberance’ can fade faster than a pair of well-worn blue jeans for several teams as the season progresses, even mediocre teams have plenty of hope at home early in the season.

Back the Better Quarterback

It doesn’t matter whether or not it’s early in the season or not, if you stick to the script of betting on the team with the ‘better’ quarterback, you’ll come out on top more often than not. Case in point, I’m backing New Orleans’ Drew Brees over Jacksonville’s Blake Bortles every day of the week. If you like Bortles better, then go for it, but if that’s the case, I’ve got some swampland in Florida I’d like to sell you.

Research Like a Scientist!

Last but not least, I’m here to say that, the more research you do, the better off you’ll be whether football betting on an early season NFL contest or one that takes place at midseason or toward the end of the season.

Gathering information from knowledgeable sources while researching ATS trends and home and away performances will give you a great idea of just what to expect out of both teams in the early season contest you’re betting on. For instance, are the Green Bay Packers more likely to cover the spread in their first eight games of the season or their final eight after Aaron Rodgers announces they need to ‘run the table?’

Some teams get off to slow starts before kicking it up a notch while others come out of the gate fast before fading a few weeks later. Make sure you’ve done the requisite research and you’ll be able to maximize all of your early season NFL wagers!

Previous Betting News

Super Bowl 50 is right around the corner and it’s time to put together your own game plan for the betting lines of this game. Without a plan of attack, you will likely find yourself making random bets that you regret in the future. Continue reading for some tips and thoughts on what and how to bet on Super Bowl 50.

When: Sunday, February 7, 2015
Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Spread: Panthers -5
Moneyline: Carolina -220 vs Denver +190
Game Total: 45

Opening Betting Tips

First, we have a couple opening tips you may want to keep in mind as you are putting your betting plan together. Many bettors love to bet on prop bets on the Super Bowl. These bets tend to be sucker bets. Avoid making many prop bets and stick to spread and moneyline bets on the game.

Secondly, don’t forget about the moneyline. Many times, bettors will only bet on the spread. They will take the points or lay the points. But there are many games that the MoneyLine is a great bet.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 50

The first step to making your bets on Super Bowl 50 is understanding what the odds are. The Carolina Panthers are currently favored by -4.5 points. This means the Denver Broncos are +4.5 underdogs. If you are looking at the MoneyLine, the Panthers are -210 to win the game straight up. The Broncos are listed at +180 to win.

Next, the total (or over/under) is a great thing to watch and bet on. The current total is set at 45.5 and will likely move a bit before the game starts on February 7th.

Analyzing The Spread

As we mentioned above, the Super Bowl 50 spread is set at Carolina -4.5 points. Take some time to analyze this number. Check the trends, splits and ATS numbers for both teams before committing to your bet. Watch the MyBookie.ag line moves. If the spread moves one direction or another, take note of that and analyze why that may have happened. Once you understand the spread, you can start to formulate who you want to bet on.

Why Bet On Denver +4.5

There are a few reasons the Denver Broncos are a good bet for Super Bowl 50. First off, they are getting 4.5 points. Most Super Bowl games are competitive games and anytime you can get an underdog it’s worth a shot. Secondly, the Denver defense will keep the Broncos close. They are as good as they come on the defensive side. Next, Peyton Manning may be getting older but he’s still a legend. He may have a little more magic up his sleeve for Super Bowl 50. Lastly, the public loves Carolina. Sometimes it’s a good strategy to go against the grain and bet on the less popular team. Betting on Denver +4.5 seems like it may be a decent way to go.

Why Bet On Carolina -4.5

On the flip side, there are also reasons you may want to bet on Carolina -4.5 to win Super Bowl 50. First, they are crushing the ATS numbers this season. The Panthers are 13-5 ATS on the season. When they win, they typically win big. Secondly, Cam Newton is playing like the best quarterback in the league right now. He’s having fun and he’s really rallying behind is great offensive line. The final reason it is a good idea to bet on the Panthers this Super Bowl is their defense. They have lockdown corners and a great defensive line. The Broncos should struggle to score here. Many will agree, betting on the Panthers -4.5 at MyBookie.ag is a solid bet.

Analyzing the Total

Next, you should analyze the total to understand how many points are expected to be scored in Super Bowl 50. As we mentioned above, the total is currently set at 45. Linesmakers look for this to be a 25-20 game or something like that. Analyzing how many points both teams scored throughout the season is a good way to understand if this number is to high or to low.

Analyzing the Money Line

Finally, we’ll take some time and analyze the Money Line numbers. Denver is listed as +180 and Carolina is listed at -210. Oddsmakers think Carolina should win this straight up. This MoneyLine has moved a bit since the opening line was released. Watching where this number goes is important as you formulate your MoneyLine bets.

Why Bet On Denver at +180

If you are going to bet on Denver, you may want to bet on Denver +180 to win the game straight up. If the Broncos hang close in this game, they may just win the game. Peyton Manning has always been clutch and one of the best two minute drill quarterbacks around. If the Broncos are in the game, they may just win it. Putting a bit of money on the Broncos +180 is a good moneyline bet.

Why Bet On Carolina at -210

As we mentioned above, Super Bowl games are typically close. If you believe the Panthers will win this game, you may want to avoid laying the points and just bet on the Panthers MoneyLine. This gets rid of that risk that the Panthers win by a field goal. Carolina is the better team here. But do you want to lay the points? Bet the Panthers -210 MoneyLine and sleep well knowing you just need them to win the game.

Conclusion

To conclude, starting putting together your individual plan of attack for betting Super Bowl 50. Take advantage of the MyBookie 50% bonus this playoff season to get your started. Once you are funded and ready to go, start making some spread and moneyline bets for Super Bowl 50. Good luck!