Unexpected Twists: Betting Lines for ATP Upsets at the 2024 Italian Open

 

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Prepare to serve up some winning bets with our comprehensive analysis of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia, focusing on the betting lines for ATP matches to help you make informed wagering decisions.

The Italian Open, or the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for sponsorship reasons, is into its second week of action and what a first week it was in Rome. There were plenty of upsets and intense matches in the first three rounds of the Masters 1000 outdoor clay court tournament, including world No. 1 Novak Djokovic losing in a straight-set shocker to 29th seed Alejandro Tabilo.

Dive deeper into the action as we break down key matchups, player performances, and betting trends, providing you with the edge you need when exploring the dynamic world of ATP matches at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia.

Serve Up Success: ATP Betting Lines for the Internazionali BNL d’Italia | MyBookie Tennis Preview for the ATP Tournaments

2024 Italian Open | 81st edition of the Rome Masters – Internazionali BNL d’Italia
ATP Tour Masters 1000 | WTA 1000

May 6th – May 20th, 2024
Foro Italico | Rome, Italy

Week 1 Recap

Seven of the top-20 seeds are already out of the 2024 Italian Open, but the biggest surprise by far is Djokovic. The 24-time Grand Slam winner had a clear path to victory with both Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz withdrawing from the event due to injuries. Tabilo beat Djokovic 6-2, 6-3. Djokovic called his play concerning, stating "the way I felt on the court today was just completely like a different player entered into my shoes."

Rafael Nadal, who used a protected ranking to play in the tournament, is also out after a third-round loss to Hubert Hurkacz. Casper Ruud, Ben Shelton, Alexander Bublik, Arian Mannarino, and Franciso Cerundolo were the other top-20 seeds eliminated from contention in the first three rounds.

Week 2 Betting Previews

Alejandro Tabilo (+165) vs. Karen Khachanov (-235)

Tabilo became only the second player ranked outside the top-10 to beat Djokovic in the Italian Open. He now faces Karen Khachanov, who is 7-3 in his last 10 matches and coming off impressive straight set victories over Alexander Shevchenko and Cerundolo. Khachanov is 7-2 on clay this season and 1-0 in his career against Tabilo.

Taylor Fritz (-165) vs. Grigor Dimitrov (+120)

Two players ranked inside the top-15 in the world rankings meet in a critical fourth round match on Tuesday as Taylor Fritz and Grigor Dimitrov play for the third time in their careers. Coincidentally, it’s also their third meeting on clay courts, with both players splitting the first two meetings. Dimitrov beat Fritz in three sets in Geneva in 2023, while Fritz won the first meeting 7-6 (8), 7-6 (4) in Madrid in 2019.

Alexander Zverev (-650) vs. Nuno Borges (+375)

Alexander Zverev is one of the favorites to win the Italian Open now that Djokovic is out. The former Olympic gold medalist, who is 62-23 over the last 52 weeks, has straight set victories over Aleksander Vukic and Luciano Darderi and appears in great form heading into the second week in Rome. His fourth-round opponent, Nuno Borges, beat Italian Franceso Passaro in a wild 4-6, 7-6 (8), 7-6 (4) match over the weekend.

Italian Open Finals Prediction

Djokovic’s loss really opened up the top half of the bracket for Zverev who, assuming victory over Borges, would play either Fritz or Dimitrov in the quarter-finals. He has favorable records against both players. Fourth-round matches aren’t set in the bottom half of the draw, but Andrey Rublev is a player to keep an eye on. He won the Mutua Madrid Open two weeks ago and is on a seven-match winning streak.

2024 Internazionali BNL d’Italia
ATP Pick: Zverev def. Rublev | ATP Odds to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Tournament

ATP Odds to Win for the Next Event

 

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Dive into the exhilarating world of tennis as we unveil the latest betting ATP odds and shine a spotlight on the top contenders vying for victory in the upcoming Internazionali BNL d’Italia tournament, enticing you to seize the opportunity and place your winning bets on the thrilling matchups ahead.

The Internazionali BNL d’Italia, also known simply as the Italian Open, begins Wednesday, May 8 in Rome and features the majority of the top players in the world, with the exception of Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz.

Sinner, the world No. 2 and 2024 Australian Open winner, withdrew from the tournament due to injury. Alcaraz played last week in Madrid, but withdrew due to a lingering forearm issue that kept him out of action for a few weeks earlier this season.

Let’s take a look at the top seeds and betting picks to win the Italian Open.

Updated Betting Odds for the Internazionali BNL d’Italia and Analysis for the Matches | MyBookie Tennis Preview for the ATP Tournaments

2024 Italian Open | 81st edition of the Rome Masters – Internazionali BNL d’Italia
ATP Tour Masters 1000 | WTA 1000

May 6th – May 20th, 2024
Foro Italico | Rome, Italy

Top 3 Players

Novak Djokovic

Although Novak Djokovic is the world No. 1, he hasn’t played like it this season. The 24-time Grand Slam winner has played sparingly and certainly hasn’t been as dominant as he was in recent years. For example, he already has three losses on outdoor hard courts and had just two combined in the two previous seasons. He last played at the Monte-Carlo Masters three weeks ago, losing to Casper Ruud in the semi-finals.

Daniil Medvedev

The defending champion in Rome would be a decent betting pick to win the tournament if he was 100 percent healthy, but that’s questionable. Medvedev withdrew from the Madrid Open last week in his quarter-final match against Jiri Lehecka after dropping the first set 4-6. The 20-time winner on the ATP Tour has yet to win this season.

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev has also yet to win on the ATP Tour this season and, like the other top seeds, isn’t having his best year. He’s coming off a couple of disappointing results, losing to Francisco Cerundolo in the Round of 16 in Madrid and to Cristian Garin in the quarter-final at the Bavarian International, where he was the top seed. The 21-time winner is 22-9 this season.

Top 10 Seeds

1. Novak Djokovic

2. Daniil Medvedev (defending champion)

3. Alexander Zverev

4. Andrey Rublev

5. Casper Ruud

6. Stefanos Tsitsipas

7. Hubert Hurkacz

8. Grigor Dimitrov

9. Alex de Minaur

10. Holger Rune

Draw Predictions

The Italian Open is shaping up to be somewhat of a redemption tour for Djokovic. The world No. 1, a six-time winner in Italy, is the betting favorite and won’t have to contend with Sinner or Alcaraz, both of whom have given him fits in the last year. He’s one of the top-32 seeds who receive a bye into the second round and has a very favorable path to the quarter-finals, with Karen Khachanov and Cerundolo as his most difficult obstacles. He should win the top half of the bracket.

Stefanos Tsitsipas, the sixth seed, is a good pick to win the bottom half of the bracket. He’s coming off a disappointing Round of 64 exit at the Madrid Open, but has bounced back well from poor results this year and is certainly well rested, having been off for nearly two weeks. He was runner-up in Barcelona the week before that and won the Monte-Carlo Masters in mid-April.

2024 Internazionali BNL d’Italia
ATP Pick: Djokovic def. Tsitsipas | ATP Odds to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Tournament

ATP Odds to Win for the Next Event

Upcoming 2024 ATP Events

Gonet Geneva Open | May 16 – May 26

Open Parc Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes Lyon | May 16 – May 26

French Open | May 18 – June 10

Boss Open | June 10 – June 17

Libéma Open| June 10 – June 17

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We’re into the second week, and the Round of 16 at the BNL d’Italia, or Italian Open, and there have been plenty of intriguing storylines. Players are looking to gain momentum in the clay court tournament before the upcoming French Open, which begins May 28 in Paris. 

Let’s take a look at the updated ATP odds for the 2023 Internazionali BNL d’Italia and some of the second-round odds at MyBookie.

Updated Internazionali BNL d’Italia Odds and Second Week Picks | MyBookie Tennis Betting Preview

2023 Internazionali BNL d’Italia
When: May 9-21, 2023
Category: ATP Tour Masters 1000 | WTA 1000
Where: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy
Surface: Clay / outdoor

Fabian Marozsan Upsets Carlos Alcaraz

The biggest shock of the tournament, and perhaps the tennis season thus far, belongs to Fabian Marozsan, who upset 2022 US Open winner Carlos Alcaraz 6-3, 7-6 (4), on Monday in the Round of 32.

You’re forgiven if you’ve never heard of Marozsan, as he had never won an ATP match before the Italian Open. The world No. 135 earned entry into the tournament via qualifying and beat No. 67 Corentin Moutet in the Round of 64.

Marozsan won a clay court ATP Challenger event in March but had also lost five of his last six matches before the Italian Open. Alcaraz, meanwhile, was 30-2 this season heading into Monday’s match. Marozsan is the lowest-ranked player to score a victory over Alcaraz in almost two years.

"I just didn’t feel comfortable," Alcaraz said after the match. "He made me feel uncomfortable on court. He was aggressive all the time. He was playing inside the baseline all the time. It was tough for me to get into the match, into the rally."

Alcaraz will still reclaim the world No. 1 ranking from Djokovic after the Italian Open and may benefit from the added rest heading into the French Open.

Other Next-Gen Players in Fine Form

Alcaraz is the lone young star to be ousted from the Italian Open. His peers, who represent the next generation of tennis, have all advanced either through the Round of 32 or Round of 16.

Alexander Zverev, a semifinalist at last year’s French Open, is due to conclude his Round of 32 match today against American J.J. Wolf. He leads 6-4, 3-3. Casper Ruud is playing Laslo Djere in the Round of 16 today, and Holger Rune was ahead of Alexei Popyrin 6-4, 5-6 in his Round of 16 match. Jannik Sinner is also through to the Round of 16.

Ruud could potentially meet Sinner in the quarter-finals, while Alcaraz’s early exit opens the door wide open for someone like Stefanos Tsitsipas to reach the finals.

Tsitsipas was up 6-3 after one set in his Round of 32 match against Lorenzo Sonego. Others on that side of the draw include Frances Tiafoe, Lorenzo Musetti, and Borna Coric.

Djokovic Cruising

Djokovic, in search of a record-setting 23rd Grand Slam victory at the French Open in two weeks, is looking in fine form on clay in Rome. He’s the first player through to the quarter-finals after a 6-3, 6-4 win over Cameron Norrie early Tuesday morning. Djokovic beat Grigor Dimitrov 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 in the Round of 32 and Tomas Etcheverry 7-6, 6-2 in the Round of 64.

As the top seed in the tournament, Djokovic had a bye through the first round and will play the winner of Rune and Popyrin in the quarter-finals. He could match up against Ruud or Sinner in the semifinals.

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First held in 1930, the Internazionali BNL d’Italia, also known as the Italian Open or Rome Masters, is an ATP 1000 event held at Foro Italico.

The clay court tournament is a precursor to the French Open and has been dominated by Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic, who have won a combined 16 of the last 18 titles. 

Nadal, however, won’t be competing in this year’s tournament and hopes to be ready for the French Open. Djokovic, meanwhile, has also played sparingly since winning the Australian Open, leaving the door open for the possibility of someone other than those two players winning for the irst tfime since Alexander Zverev in 2017.

Let’s take a look at the updated ATP lines for the 2023 Internazionali BNL d’Italia and some of the first-round odds at MyBookie.

ATP 1000 Internazionali BNL d’Italia Odds and Picks | MyBookie Tennis Betting Preview

2023 Internazionali BNL d’Italia
When: May 9-21, 2023
Category: ATP Tour Masters 1000 | WTA 1000
Where: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy
Surface: Clay / outdoor

Carlos Alcaraz Can’t Be Stopped

Djokovic has made four consecutive finals at the Italian Open, but that could be in jeopardy if he’s in the same side of the bracket as Carlos Alcaraz – the draw will be announced on Monday night as qualifying is still ongoing.

Alcaraz, who became the youngest-ever world No. 1 after winning the 2022 US Open, is likely going to reclaim that spot this week with a strong performance. The 20-year-old Spaniard won his 10th career title last week at the Madrid Open and already has four wins in 2023 despite beginning his season a month late in February.

Seven of Alcaraz’s ten titles have come on clay, and he’s poised to add another in Italy – and perhaps another at the French Open, where he is a +125 outright favorite. 

He was forced to withdraw from last year’s Italian Open and should be extra motivated to win this year.

Others Who Should Be in Contention

It’s hard to see anyone other than Alcaraz or Djokovic winning in Rome, but stranger things have happened. If you’re looking for a good value longshot bet outside of those two players, there are certainly worse options than Stefanos Tsitsipas, Felix Auger-Aliassime, and Casper Ruud.

Tsitsipas was a finalist at the Italian Open in 2022 and is having another strong season. He also reached the finals of the 2023 Australian Open and is 9-3 in his last 12 matches. 

It hasn’t been a good season for Auger-Aliassime – he’s 1-2 in his last three matches and has battled nagging injuries – but he’s a strong clay court player who has shown the ability to hang with Alcaraz in the past.

A return to the clay courts in Rome, where he was a quarter-finalist in 2022, could be what he needs to get his game back on track.

Ruud, meanwhile, advanced to the final at the 2022 French Open before losing to Nadal. A strong clay court player, he was also a semifinalist at the 2022 Italian Open.

Like Auger-Aliassime, it has been a bit of a struggle for Ruud in 2023, but he should be playing well into the second week in Rome as he gears up to once again try for his first Grand Slam at the French Open later this month.

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Can the legendary Roger Federer improve on his encouraging return to clay? Will World No. 1 Novak Djokovic beat back all challengers to claim his fifth Italian Open title or will World no. 2 and reigning champ Rafael Nadal retain the title he won a year ago?

Over on the women’s side, could the now, parity-laden WTA Tour produce a new winner here will two-time reigning champ Elina Svitolina make it three in a row? Could the legendary Serena Williams, the last woman to win here not named Svitolina, get back to her once dominating form as she prepares to take to the clay at Roland Garros in two weeks?

With the 2019 French Open quickly approaching, both the men’s ATP World Tour and women’s WTA Tour are in Italy for this week’s Internazionali BNL dItalia, better known as the Italian Open. Now, let’s find out who’s in action and which five players on both tours are looking like they could legitimately find their respective ways into the winner’s circle and that you should definitely consider in the tennis odds.

Top Tennis Betting Picks of the Week – May 13th Edition

ATP

Roger Federer

Federer made a successful return to clay by reaching the quarterfinals against Thiem where he had two match points in the second set before failing to finish off his opponent. While Fed has never won this event, he has reached the finals here four times while losing two to Nadal (2006, 2013) and once to Djokovic (2015). he’ll have a decent shot, just because he’s Roger Federer.

Rafael Nadal

I know Rafael Nadal is a robust 20-5 on the year and that he’s the reigning champ here, not to mention the fact that he’s won this event an unprecedented eight times. However, the 32-year-old superstar is aging faster than a decade-old bottle of wine and he’s failed to win both, Monte Carlo and Madrid. I’m thinking Rafa is going to bow out before reaching the finals after watching him get bounced in the semis in Monte Carlo, Barcelona and Madrid in his last three clay court tournaments.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

The 20-year-old from Greece is 27-10 on the year with two titles. The World No. 7 is also 10-3 on clay this year and he looked absolutely fantastic in the Madrid open this past week, even in falling to Djokovic in the finals. Tsitsipas dispatched Nadal in the semis and beat 2017 Rome champ Alexander Zverev in the quarters. Yeah…I like this young star’s potential and his maturity and I believe he’s got a very realistic chance.

Dominic Thiem

Thiem has never won this event, but he’s generally regarded as the second-best clay court player in the world. Thiem reached the semifinals in Madrid and beat Federer to do so before falling to Djokovic. He’s schedule to meet Rafa in the quarterfinals if neither falters and I’m expecting him to dispatch the legend if they do meet.

Novak Djokovic

Djokovic just won the Madrid Open this past weekend by beating up-and-coming star Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3 6-4 in the finals. However, pulling off the Madrid-Rome double is quite difficult with Rafael Nadal being the only man to accomplish the feat twice and Djokovic pulling it off once back in 2011when he beat Rafa in back-to-back finals. Still, I think he’s the favorite to win here after watching him in Spain this past week.

WTA

Carla Suarez Navarro

I don’t care that Suarez Navarro is ranked a modest 31st in the world, she’s undeniably one of the best clay court players on the face of the planet. Sure, the diminutive Spaniard is an uninspiring 8-10 on the year with no titles but she did reach the finals here in 2015 and I believe she’s got some excellent upset value, even if those victories don;t quite land her in the finals.

Elina Svitolina

She’s the two-time defending champion in Rome, but she’s also been bothered by a knee injury this spring. Svitolina is just 13-7 on the year with no titles, but if she finds her form, she’ll be tough to beat even if she didn’t make it out of the first round in her last two events in Miami and Madrid.

Petra Kvitova

Kvitova has never reached a final in this event, but even at the ripe old age of 29, her clay game still seems to be improving and I believe she’s almost the ‘co-favorite’ to win this year’s Italian Open. Kvitova is 27-7 on the year with two titles and she reached the quarters in Madrid in her last clay event – before losing to the red-hot Bertens.

Simona Halep

Halep is 23-7 on the year, but she’s yet to win a title. No matter, I believe the aggressive Romanian has a great shot to win this event, seeing as how she’s hungry and has reached the finals in each of the last two years before falling. Currently ranked second in the world, Halep is my No. 2 pick to win this event.

Kiki Bertens

The 27-year-old late-bloomer is looking and playing better than ever heading into Rome. Bertens is an impressive 24-9 on the year with two titles. More importantly, Bertens beat Petra Kvitova, Sloane Stephens and Simona Hale in her last three matches to claim the biggest win of her suddenly blossoming career. Bertens is the favorite for a reason!

 

 

Previous Betting News

There is only one event on tap this week for all Tennis Betting enthusiasts, but it’s a great one, as both the men and women will be in Rome for the Italian Open. There is a lot of money up for grabs at this prestigious event, so it’s no real surprise that the biggest names in tennis will be attending this one.

The tournament actually began over the weekend, but since the top seeds all get a bye into the second round, it’s fair to suggest that the real action begins on Monday. We will take a look at both the men’s and women’s tournament odds to see if we can come up with some winners for you.

Expert Tennis Betting Picks of the Week – May 14th

Italian Open Men’s Tournament

It is Rafael Nadal who is in as the top seed in this tournament, but he is going to have some very strong competition ahead of him to reach the final. Nadal is a worthy favorite, especially since he has won this tournament no less than 7 times, although the last time he won here was in 2013. It is Alexander Zverev who is the defending champion, and he is in as the #2 seed, with Grigor Dimitrov and Marin Cilic rounding out the top 4 seeds.

It is Zverev who comes into this event with all the momentum after beating Dominic Thiem to win the Madrid Open last week. The 21-year old German is currently ranked #3 in the world, but you get the feeling that it is only a matter of time before he makes it to the top. He has won 2 titles already this season and boasts an impressive 26-7 record in 2018. He is almost certainly going to be the player to beat here, and I believe his end of the draw is a little easier than what Nadal will need to face.

Zverev is on a roll right now, he should be your Tennis Betting pick this coming weekend.

Italian Open Women’s Tournament

WTA’s Top 10

The women’s tournament is stacked with talented players, and it is Simona Halep, the runner-up at this event in 2017, who is in as the top seed. Caroline Wozniacki, Garbine, Muguruza, and Elina Svitolina who round out the top 4 seeds. Svitolina comes in as the defending champion after beating Halep in 3 sets last year.

Svitolina is the only one of the top 4 seeds who has won this particular tournament, which suggests we may be in for some upsets in the week ahead. If we are to look down the list of players to find someone who might be able to rise up and win, I think we might just look at Karolina Pliskova, as she is coming off a strong showing at the Madrid Open, where she made it all the way to the semi-final. She is 9-1 on clay in 2018, which makes her a pretty good bet at a very nice price.

I don’t like playing the chalk, so it is Pliskova who I am going with. She is in as the #6 seed for this event, and while she has a tough road to the final, I like her chances.

 

 

Previous Betting News

With the clay court season speeding toward the annual French Open and another huge Masters 1000 event set to get underway this coming weekend, all eyes will once again be on the Rafael Nadal as the ‘King of Clay’ looks to bag his eighth career Italian Open title starting on Sunday, May 14.

Better yet, you’re about to find out just what to expect out of Rafa and the rest of the field when they take to the clay court at the 2017 Interazionali BNL d’Italia, or should I simply say, the Italian Open.

In Depth Analysis On The Betting Predictions For The 2017 Internazionali BNL d’Italia

Event: ATP – Internazionali BNL d’Italia
Date: Sunday, May 14th – Sunday, May 21st, 2017
Location: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy

The 74th annual Italian Open will feature all of the top players in the world with one notable absence being that of 2017 Aussie Open winner Roger Federer. With the odds for this big lead-up event to the French Open still not released at the time of this writing, let’s take a look at the major contenders.

ATP Tour

Rafael Nadal

As of today, Nadal is seeking his record, 10th title at the Monte Carlo Rolex Masters. Nadal is currently set for a quarterfinal matchup against Australian star Nick Kyrgios after beating Fabio Fognini in three sets in the Round of 16. Rafa has bagged a whopping seven Italian Open titles, but none since winning back-to-back in 2012-2013.

Novak Djokovic

Djokovic I trying to get back on top of his game after some early season struggles that includes a pair of losses against the powerful Kyrgios. Djokovic faces Feliciano Lopez in the quarters in Monte Carlo after getting past Nicolas Almagro in three sets the last time out. Djokovic has won the Italian Open four times, including consecutive wins in 2014 and 2015.

Andy Murray

Murray bagged last year’s Italian Open title and I in the quarters against Borna Coric at Monte Carlo and like Djokovic, looking to get his game back on track after some early struggles.

Alexander Zverev

If you know anything about tennis, then you should know that Alexander Zverev has the potential to become the top-ranked player in the world at some point in the near future. Zverev upset former U.S. Open winner Marin Cilic in the round of 16 and awaits a Thomas Berdych in the quarterfinals.

Nick Kyrgios

Kyrgios is finally starting to mature and that’s not good news for the rest of the players on the ATP World Tour. With a pair of wins against Djokovic this season and some mostly outstanding play all season long, Kyrgios is now a threat to win on any surface – and against anyone.

Thiem and Nishikori

Last but certainly not least, I think Dominic Thiem and Kei Nishikori both have decent chances to pull off a couple of upsets while challenging for the Italian Open title. Thiem has a fantastic one-handed backhand and is playing the best tennis of his young career while Nishikori is looking to get back to playing better after some early struggles, but has the talent to beat anyone on any given day.

 

 

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With the incomparable Serena Williams out indefinitely because of her now, widely publicized pregnancy, the field appears wide open to win the upcoming 2017 Italian Open Masters 1000.

Will a former grand slam champion like Venus Williams, Maria Sharapova, Angelique Kerber or Svetlana Kuznetsova rise up to win this year’s Italian Open or will one of the younger grand slam hopefuls like Eugenie Bouchard step up to fill the massive void left by Williams’ departure?

While the tennis betting odds for this big lead-up event to the French Open are still not released at the time of this writing, let’s take a look at the major contenders to bag the WTA portion of the 2017 Italian Open.

Here’s A Closer Look At The 2017 WTA Italian Open Preview

Event: ATP – Internazionali BNL d’Italia
Date: Sunday, May 14th – Sunday, May 21st, 2017
Location: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy

WTA Tour

Eugenie Bouchard

It was just a couple of years ago that Eugenie Bouchard had the look of a future grand slam champion and potential No. 1 player in the world. After struggling for much of the past two seasons, Bouchard is starting to look like a dominant player again. After smacking Maria Sharapova around in the Round of 32 at Monte Carlo, Bouchard pounded Angelique Kerber even wore in the Round of 16 and will face Svetlana Kuznetsova in the quarters.

Svetlana Kuznetsova

And speaking of ‘Kuzy’ she’s playing fantastic tennis this season and is undoubtedly a threat to win both, Monte Carlo and the Italian Open.

Maria Sharapova

Sharapova is back on tour following her PED suspension and she’ll have a shot to make a deep run at the Italian Open after winning three times in 2011, 2012 and 2015. However, I must say that the polarizing Sharapova will surely face more ‘fight’ from every opponent she plays moving forward seeing a how many of the players on the WTA Tour despise her and believe she got off far too light of a slap on the wrist after getting caught cheating.

Angelique Kerber

Kerber has fund out the hard way, that, uneasy rests the head that wears the crown after becoming the No. 1 player in the world last season. Not only has Kerber yet to win a title this season, she’s only reached one final.

Simona Halep

I’ve been waiting for Halep to make the lam breakthrough for the lat 18 months and I believe she still can and eventually will seeing as how she’s still just 25-years-old. Halep reached the semis at Stuttgart and is looking good right now in Monte Carlo as she awaits her semifinal match.

Garbine Muguruza

Muguruza won the French Open in 2015, so she clearly knows how to play on clay. However, the world No. 5 has been mediocre at best this season and got smacked around in her 6-1, 6-3 first round loss to Timea Bacsinszky at Monte Carlo.

Anastasija Sevastova

You might now know who the 27-year-old Sevastova is, but the world No. 22 I definitely dangerous after coming back on tour following some debilitating injuries a couple of year ago. Sevastova reached the semis at Dubai and beat Samantha Stosur and Johanna Konta at Stuttgart en route to an appearance in the quarterfinals.

Kristina Mladenovic

Speaking of dangerous players, world No. 17 Kristina Mladenovic won at St. Petersburg earlier this year and made the finals at Acapulco. The sweet-swinging lefty also reached the final at Indian Wells and Stuttgart, where she beat Kerber, Carla Suarez Navarro and Maria Sharapova just over a week ago.

Dominika Cibulkova

Cibulkova hasn’t played since Miami and she likely won’t be in the field for the Italian Open but any WTA tournament that she’s not in just isn’t much fun to watch. Not only is Cibulkova one of the finest player in the world today, but her supermodel looks certainly don’t hurt either.

 

 

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We’re less than two weeks out from the PGA Championship, the second major of the golf season, but first, we have another decent field at the AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas. The tournament and its $9.5 million purse has attracted top players like Scottie Scheffler and Jordan Spieth, both of whom are from Texas. Notable absences include world No. 1 Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele. 

In fact, only six of the world’s top 30 players are in Texas for the Byron Nelson. It’ll be hard to beat Scheffler, but this week should provide an opportunity for someone to step up and make a name for themselves ahead of the PGA Championship – just as Wyndham Clark did with his first career victory this past weekend at the Wells Fargo Championship.

Let’s take a look at the outright PGA betting lines and smart betting picks for this year’s AT&T Byron Nelson.

AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Odds and Predictions

Tour: PGA Tour
When: May 11–14, 2023
Where: TPC Craig Ranch | McKinney, Texas
Par / Length: 70 / 7,468 yards (6,829 m)

Why You Should Favor Spieth over Scheffler

If you watched Jordan Spieth at the Wells Fargo this past weekend, you probably aren’t considering him a favorite this weekend at the AT&T Byron Nelson. Spieth missed the cut for the eighth time since the start of the 2022 season, but he’s almost always in contention in his home state and has responded well after missed cuts – he has four top-10 finishes following a missed cut. 

TPC Craig Ranch also plays to Spieth’s strengths more than the big course at Quail Hollow. He finished runner-up at last year’s AT&T Byron Nelson.

PGA Favor Bet: Jordan Spieth | Bet AT&T Byron Nelson to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

KH Lee – Two-Time Defending Champion

It’s a little surprising that KH Lee has only the seventh-shortest odds to win this weekend, considering he has won the event in each of the last two years with scores of 26- and 25 under. Nobody has been as consistent at TPC Craig Ranch as he has in the last two years. Not surprisingly, he leads all players on tour in true shots gained at the Texas course. 

Lee is coming off of a T8 finish at the Wells Fargo and was T23 at the Masters in April.

PGA Bet: KH Lee | Bet AT&T Byron Nelson to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Scott Stallings – Longshot Bet

It’ll be hard to top either Spieth, Scheffler, or Lee, but Scott Stallings (+6600) offers great value as a longshot bet. The relatively unheralded 38-year-old American is 66th in the Official World Golf Rankings and hasn’t won since the 2014 Farmers Insurance Open, but has played well at TPC Craig Ranch in the last two years.

Stallings was T3 at the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2021 and T25 last year. He ranks 11th in true shots gained at the course during that time. Stallings has made 11 of 15 cuts this season and has four top-25 finishes without a top-10 result. He should be in contention this weekend.

PGA Longshot Shot: Scott Stallings | Bet AT&T Byron Nelson to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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Previous Betting News

After a one-year hiatus due to the COVID-19 pandemic a year ago, the AT&T Byron Nelson is back on the 50-tournament PGA Tour season. This year, the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson will take place at TPC Craig Ranch at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas. Two years ago, the unheralded Sung Kang captured the 2019 event for his first career PGA Tour victory.

This year, Jon Rahm is the co-favorite alongside Bryson DeChambeau at +800. Hometown star Jordan Spieth is next in line at +1000 with Daniel Berger (+1600) and Scottie Scheffler (+1800) rounding out the top five favorites on the odds leaderboard.

The 2021 Byron Nelson gets undrway on Thursday, May 13 and takes place on a 7,468-yard, par-72 layout designed by the legendary Tom Weiskopf. Also in the field is 2021 Masters champ Hideki Matsuyama, four-time major winner Brooks Koepka and young Masters runner-up Will Zalatoris. This is the final tournament for players to fine tune their games in preparation for the 2021 PGA Championship next week at Kiawah Island. WIth that in mind, let’s take a closer look at the upcoming event so you can get all set to make your bets against their PGA odds.

PGA Tour Betting – AT&T Byron Nelson Odds and Predictions

Odds to Win 2021 Byron Nelson

Five For the Win

Sam Burns

The 24-year-old American has made the cut 15 times in 16 events this season with five Top-10 finishes and one win in lastt moth’s Valspar Championship. Burns has a pair of Top-3 finishes in his last six events, including a third place finish in the Genesis Invitational in February.

Hideki Matsuyama

The 29-year-old native of Japan has made the cut 16 tmes in 17 tournaments this season with one win in last month’s Masters. Matsuyama has seven Top-20 finishes and one second place finish in the Houston Open in November.

Scottie Scheffler

The 24-year-old Dallas native has made the cut 14 times in 18 events this season with nine Top-25 finishes and four Top-10 finishes. Scheffler finished T29 in the Valspar Championship in his last event, T8 in the Zurich Classic of New Orleans just before that and an impressive T18 in the Masters just prior to that. Scheffler ranks 32nd in driving distance, 26th in driving accuracy and 14th in birdie average. Scheffler might not be a household name yet, but I like his chances this weekend.

Will Zalatoris

The 24-year-old Californian missed the cut at last week’s Wells Fargo Championship, but that should serve as added motivation in my opinion. Zalatoris finished a stupendous second in this year’s Masters in his first appearance at Augusta. Zalatoris finised seventh in the Farmer’s Insurance Open in January and fifth in the Shriners Hospitals for Children tournament in October. A former star at Wake Forest, Zalatoris ranks 21st in driving distance, 26th in greens in regulation, 26th in eagles and a stellar 13th in scoring average (70.022). Zalatoris also finished a stellar sixth in last year’s U.S. Open and is clearly a future major winner just waiting to happen.

Jon Rahm

In 14 events this season, Rahm has made the cut 13 times. Ironically, the 26-year-old Spanaird missed the cut at last week’s Wells Fargo, but that was a rare occassion. More importantly, I’m thinking it’s going to give Rahm the motivation he needs to get the win in this event. Besides, prior to last week, Rahm, who is third in the Offical Golf World Rankings, finished an impressive fifth in the Masters and ninth in THE PLAYERS Championship. The former Arizona State star ranks 21st in driving distance, fifth in greens-in-regulation, 21st in birdie average (4.30) and ninth in scoring average (69.960). Rahm also finished fifth in the Genesis Invitational an an identical seventh in three consecutive tournaments to close out last year and kick off the 2021 calendar campaign.

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Previous Betting News

With the 2019 AT&T Bryon Nelson teeing off Thursday live from Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas, now is a perfect time to take a look at the golf odds to win this weekend’s PGA Tour event. Better yet, you’re going to get some expert golf betting analysis and an inside look at my top five picks to bring home the bacon at this year’s Byron Nelson showdown. Over 150 players are in the field this weekend on the difficult par-72 course which features a mind-boggling 552-yard, par-5 first hole followed by a lengthy 241-yard par-3. This weekend’s field features several major champions like prohibitive Brooks Koepka, Jordan Spieth and Patrick Reed.

With this event serving as a great warm-up for next week’s second major of the year, the U.S. Open, and the winner of this event almost certainly qualifying for the PGA Championship as well, let’s find out which golfers are looking good heading into this fun-filled event. Koepka is the prohibitive favorite at 7-1, followed closely by Hideki Matsuyama at 13-1 and Spieth at 15-1.

2019 AT&T Byron Nelson Odds, Predictions & Picks

When: May 9-12
Where: Trinity Forest — Dallas, Texas
TV: Golf Channel

Past Winners

A year ago, Aaron Wise finished 23 under par to beat out Marc Leishman by three strokes. Prior to that, Billy Horschel won in a playoff over Jason Day and in 2016, Sergio Garcia won in a playoff against Brooks Koepka.

Odds to Win the 2019 AT&T Byron Nelson

My Top Five Picks To Win 2019 Byron Nelson

No. 5 Rory Sabbatini

43-year-old South African Rory Sabbatini won this event in 2009 and finished T-13 here last year. More importantly, Sabbatini has recorded three straight Top 20 finishes by finishing T10 at the RBC Heritage in April, T3 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans a week later and T18 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend. I love Sabbatini’s long shot value as a whopping 48-1 pick here.

No. 4 Hideki Matsuyama

I know Japanese superstar Hideki Matsuyama hasn’t won a PGA Tour event since bagging the 2017 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational title in August of 2017, but the

27-year-old is still seriously gifted golfer and one that reached No. 2 in the world in 2017. Now, ranked 43rd in the world, Matsuyama has been playing some rock-solid golf for a while now, even if it hasn’t resulted in him ending up in the winner’s circle. Matsuyama hasn’t missed a cut since last year’s Open and has recorded a quartet of Top 10 finishes over his last eight outings including a T3 at the Farmers Insurance Open in January.

No. 3 Marc Leishman

Leishman finished as the runner-up in this event a year ago, but that’s not the only reason I believe he will contend again this year. No…I believe the World No. 13 is a bit semi-desperate after finishing T62, T23, MC, T9, T49 and T58 in his last six events after starting off the 2018-19 season with a quartet of Top 5 finishes in his fist five tournaments of the new season. Leishman ranks 12t in eagles per hole, 31st in birdie average (4.21) and 35th in scoring average (70.6). I love the value he’s offering as a value-packed 29-1 pick.

No. 2 Aaron Wise

Not only is Aaron Wise the defending champion here, but he also set a tournament record in the process by shooting a blistering -23 to beat out Leishman by three strokes. More impressive is the fact that the then, 21-year-old rookie pulled away from the veteran at the turn after a four-hour rain delay at the new Trinity Forest course by shooting a 65 in Sunday’s final round.

“It’s everything I’ve dreamed of,” Wise said a year ago. “I felt like when it rained today I was really going to tear the course up just because it allowed me to hit driver, which is my strength. I got a lot of short irons in my hand and was able to make a lot birdies.”

Now, heading into this year’s event I like Wise as my No. 2 pick seeing as how he finished an encouraging 17th at the Masters and T18 at last weekend’s Wells Fargo Championship. Wise shot four straight rounds in the 60s a year ago and that alone means he’s going to have a great shot to defend his title here even though the legendary Tom Watson was the last repeat winner when he took three straight from 1978-1980.

No. 1 Brooks Koepka

Koepka, the World No. 8, comes into this year’s Byron Nelson looking damn good after finishing second at the Masters and T22 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans a couple of weeks ago. The 29-year-old Floridian finished as the runner-up here in 2016 and as a three-time major winner, including consecutive U.S. Open titles, I suspect that Koepka is looking for a great performance here as he prepares to bag his third straight U.S. Open. Koepka is undeniably the most talented player in the field and that means he’ll have a great chance to win this event outright.

 

 

Previous Betting News

After a thrilling Players Championship event last weekend, which was won by Jason Day, the top players in the world head to Dallas, Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson, which runs from Thursday, May 17 to Sunday, May 20. As often happens after one of the biggest events on the PGA Tour, the Golf Betting panorama for this one is a little more diluted than we are used to.

That said, there are still a lot of players who have a shot at getting the win at the 7,380-yard Par 71 Trinity Forest golf course. Jordan Spieth is the definite favorite for this weekend, but this is a tournament that has routinely delivered winners who are not exactly considered to be household names. Let’s take a look at some of the favorites for the AT&T Byron Nelson this weekend.

Expert Golf Betting Preview & Pick for 2018 AT&T Byron Nelson

Tournament Info

Last 10 Winners

2018 Favorites

Jordan Spieth

Golf Betting Odds to Win: +550

Spieth is a Texas native, so you can bet that he is going to have the support of the crowd at this event. He is far and away the favorite for this one, but he has yet to really put together any sort of consistency this season.

That inconsistency was very much in evidence last weekend when he bounced back after a rough opening round to have great efforts on Friday and Saturday. It looked like he was making a move on Sunday, but a quadruple bogey dropped him all the way down to 41st. Spieth has yet to show the form that suggests he is ready to win.

Matt Kuchar

Golf Betting Odds to Win: +1400

Despite being the second favorite on the odds board this weekend, Kuchar should still be considered a longshot to win here. His best year on the tour came back in 2013 when he won two events.

It has been a pretty barren run since then in terms of wins, so seeing Kuchar at the top of the leaderboard this coming Sunday would be a real surprise. He does have a trio of top 10 finishes this season, though, and he has a shot at landing there again in this group.

Sergio Garcia

Golf Betting Odds to Win: +1400

If you are looking for a player in need of a breakout tournament, look no further than Sergio Garcia. After going through a stretch where he finished in the top 10, the Spaniard has now missed the cut in 3 of his last 4 events. He broke that missed cut skid last weekend at the Players Championship, but still only managed to finish in 70th.

Garcia is undeniably one of the most talented players on the PGA Tour, but I just don’t think he is ready to get back to the top of the leaderboard just yet.

Hideki Matsuyama

Golf Betting Odds to Win: +1800

The common theme in this tournament seems to be that the favorites are players who are not really at the top of their game right now. Matsuyama is definitely in that category after failing to make the cut at the Players Championship last weekend, and barely making it into the final two rounds in the event he played before that one. He is another of the favorites that I will be steering clear of this weekend.

I am going a little deeper into the betting odds board to find my pick for the AT&T Byron Nelson. I am going with Charley Hoffman, a golfer who really seems to enjoy playing in Texas. He finished tied for 2nd at this event last year and has been in the top 10 twice in his last three visits.

 

 

Previous Betting News

Last week’s Players Championship in Florida had the best field of the year. Thus many of the world’s top players are deciding to skip this week’s PGA Tour event, the AT&T Byron Nelson at the TPC Four Seasons Resort at Las Colinas outside of Dallas. Area native and world No. 2 Jordan Spieth, whose first PGA Tour event was a tie for 16th at Las Colinas at age 16, and No. 8 Dustin Johnson top a lineup that includes 10 of the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking. Spieth is your favorite to win at +750 on betting odds.

Here’s what I’ll guarantee you: Aussie Steven Bowditch will not win again and he’s a +35000 long shot. He shot a final-round 64 last year and won by four shots. Bowditch, who got married at the resort next to the TPC Four Seasons in 2011, had 27 birdies while becoming the seventh player to lead all four rounds of the event. He finished at 18-under 259 on the rain-altered layout. Charley Hoffman (65), Texan Jimmy Walker (66) and Scott Pinckney (66) tied for second at 14-under. Zach Johnson shot 63 to finish alone in fifth at 13-under. Spieth finished 7-under after an even-par 69.

A In Depth Analysis on the AT&T Byron Nelson Golf Betting Picks & Prediction

Yes, Spieth shot an even-par 69. That’s because for the first time in PGA Tour history, a course played to a par 69. The par-4 14th hole required an adjustment during last year’s tournament. After playing as a 406-yard par 4 in the opening round, it was shortened to a 104-yard par 3 for the remaining three rounds. Flooding in that low area of the golf course forced the decision that created a par 35-34=69.

Spieth returns to his hometown event, still seeking his first victory in the state of Texas. He’s been runner-up three times – once each at Colonial, Houston and San Antonio. His best result at this tournament remains that tie for 16th six years ago as a teenager on a sponsor’s exemption.

Fellow American Dustin Johnson is +900. He has done everything but win this event, with five straight top-20 finishes including four top-10s. Johnson has the length off the tee to capitalize this week, and he didn’t lose much momentum with a T28 finish last week at TPC Sawgrass after three straight top-five results.

Hoffman is +2000 along with Matt Kuchar and Zach Johnson. A T2 last year in this event is the highlight for Hoffman, but he also has a total of three top 10s and a fourth top 25 since 2008. He won the Valero Texas Open before a T11 in New Orleans and a missed cut last week. Kuchar is coming off an impressive T3 at TPC Sawgrass, his best finish on tour in over 15 months. He has never missed a cut in eight trips to TPC Four Seasons with a pair of top 10s.

Former Colonial champions Zach Johnson, David Toms and Boo Weekley seek to become the 16th man to complete the “DFW Double” by winning both Dallas-Fort Worth events in their career. Adam Scott was the last to do it. Four of the past six winners of this event have made it their first Tour win, a list that includes major champions Jason Day (2010) and Keegan Bradley (2011).

Expert Betting Predictions

I like Dustin and Zach Johnson each for a Top 10 finish as well as Kuchar. There is one interesting prop: Spieth or Dustin Johnson winning at +315 vs. the field. I think DJ has a good shot but go with the field. Leishman could be a good longer-shot bet. The Aussie has twice tied for third here, and has five top-12 finishes in seven starts.

 

 

Previous Betting News

After a dominating performance by world No. 1 Jason Day at the big-money Players Championship over the weekend at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., the PGA Tour heads to Texas for a two-week Lone Star State Swing beginning with the AT&T Byron Nelson tournament at the TPC Four Seasons Resort-Las Colinas in Irving outside Dallas. And native son Jordan Spieth, the world No. 2, is the heavy favorite on sportsbook odds in a slightly watered-down field. The winning margin favorite is one shot at +250. A playoffs is +300.

Breaking Down The PGA Tour AT&T Byron Nelson Golf Betting Overview

TV: Thursday-Friday, 4-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel). Saturday-Sunday, 1-2:30 p.m. (GC), 3-6 p.m. (CBS).

PGA TOUR LIVE: Thursday-Friday, 8 a.m.-4 p.m. (Featured Groups), 4-7 p.m. (Featured Holes). Saturday-Sunday, 8 a.m.-6 p.m. (Featured Groups).

RADIO: Thursday-Friday, 1-7 p.m.; Saturday-Sunday, 1-6 p.m. (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.COM).

This tournament dates to 1944. That year, Byron Nelson teed it up at Lakewood Country Club and won the Texas Victory Open by 10 strokes over his friend Harold “Jug” McSpaden. The AT&T Byron Nelson is now the ninth longest-running active tournament on the Tour schedule. Aside from the three U.S. majors (the U.S. Open, PGA Championship and the Masters), only eight Tour events were established prior to 1944. While 10 years elapsed before an annual Dallas-based event began again in 1956, the stage was set for the introduction of the current tournament, which began as the Byron Nelson Golf Classic in 1968. In 1983 the tournament moved to the Four Seasons Resort and Club Dallas at Las Colinas.

The course is a par 70 at 7,1666 yards. Originally laid out by Jay Morrish in 1983, the course underwent a major overhaul in 2007 by D.A. Weibring and Steve Wolfard. In 2019, the tournament will move from the Four Seasons course in Irving to the yet-built Trinity Forest Golf Course in Dallas. This is one of two PGA tournaments held in the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex – the only metropolitan area to host two PGA tournaments.

If there’s one hole to watch, it’s No. 14 as it’s annually one of the toughest of the tournament. It was the No. 1-handicap hole in the opening round last year. At 4.282, it tied for the 41st-hardest par 4 among 560 par 4s played all season.

 

 

Previous Betting News

Okay PGA golf fanatics, we’re back in business this week at the AT&T Byron Nelson where Jordan Spieth is the oddsmakers’ prohibitive favorite. Still, with the World No. 1 facing his share of troubles recently, the question begs to be asked. Is Speith really the favorite in the golf betting odds to bring home the bacon at Byron Nelson?

Keep in mind that, while this event has been held since 1944, only four golfers have won this event more than once. Also, this is one of the weaker fields we’ve seen in awhile, so it’s wide open in terms of trying to make some money.

Inside Scoop on the PGA AT&T Byron Nelson Golf Betting Overview & TV Info

When: Thursday, May 19, 2016 at 1:00 pm
Where: Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas
TV: GOLF, CBS

Zach Johnson (+1800), Dustin Johnson (+800) and defending champion Steven Bowditch get started at No. 1 at 12:40 PM ET. Spieth tees off Thursday at 12:50 p.m. Eastern from Hole No. 1 with Jason Dufner and Jimmy Green.

Jordan Spieth +625

Believe it r not, Spieth, a native Texan, played in this tournament way back in 2010 on a sponsor’s exemption when he was just 16-years-old. Not only that, but Speith shot an amazing 4-under to finish in a tie for 16th.

Nevertheless, Spieth is coming off a poor performance at last week’s Player’s Championship where he missed he cut. Speith also finished a distant 30th at the Byron Nelson in 2015.

Charley Hoffman +1800

Hoffman finished tied for second at last year’s Byron Nelson and won the Valero Open in San Antonio last month. Hoffman has also recorded three top 15 finishes this season, so he should at least contend.

Matt Kuchar +1800

While Matt Kuchar hasn’t recorded a win this season, he did finish third in last week’s Player’s Championship while recording two other op 10 finishes in his four previous tournaments. Sounds to me, like Kuchar is rounding into form.

Zach Johnson +1800

Not only does Zach Johnson not have a tour victor this season, but he’s also finished 29th or worse in each of his last three tournaments while missing the cut at the Master’s in his outing prior to those.

Jimmy Walker +3500

Walker has missed the cut in two straight events coming into this weekend but finished fifth in last year’s Byron Nelson. I’ve got a feeling that Walker, who has made the cut in 10 of 13 events overall, is due for a better outing at a familiar course this week.

Dustin Johnson +800

Johnson has made the cut in all six of his appearances at the Byron Nelson and has finished in the top-10 four times. Johnson has also finished in the top-10 in three of his last four events, making him my pick to bring home the bacon at this year’s Byron Nelson.

The Pick: Dustin Johnson