Betting on the Subway Series: Mets vs Yankees Odds, Moneylines & Betting Analysis

The 2024 Subway Series starts Tuesday from Citi Field in Queens as the New York Yankees visit the New York Mets.

The matchup has added significance for the teams’ stature within their respective leagues, but it will also provide some interesting reunions with a few former Mets currently on the Yankees and vice versa. At MyBookie Sportsbook, the Yanks are favored on the MLB odds behind ace Gerrit Cole.

New York Yankees Moneyline -150

The Yankees are scuffling a bit as they have dropped three straight series and 3-6 in their past nine games following a 3-1 home loss to Atlanta on Sunday. NYY is not whole, either, with first baseman Anthony Rizzo and outfielder Giancarlo Stanton both on the IL.

Rizzo is expected to be sidelined eight weeks after he landed on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a fractured right forearm.

Giancarlo Stanton

Stanton injured his hamstring on Saturday and will likely miss a month in his eighth trip to the IL in the past six seasons. Having missed 43 games last season with a left hamstring strain, Stanton said that he does not believe his current injury is as severe. He said that he received a PRP injection on Sunday, and though his frustration is evident, Stanton would prefer to look forward.

“Feelings don’t really matter in this time,” Stanton said. “It’s going to be about four weeks. I’ve got to do what I can do to get there.” He is slashing .246/.302/.492 (126 wRC+) with 18 home runs and 45 RBIs in 281 plate appearances this season.

Manager Aaron Boone suggested that Stanton’s current injury will mean increased turns in the designated hitter role for Aaron Judge with Trent Grisham playing center field.

With Rizzo and Stanton banged up, the Yanks added a bat on Sunday by trading for slugger JD Davis from Oakland. The 31-year-old was batting .236 (29-for-123) with four home runs and five RBIs in 39 games for Oakland this season, appearing defensively at first base and third base.

The A’s designated Davis for assignment on June 18. Davis should be in the lineup for Tuesday’s Subway Series opener, spelling a return to Citi Field for Davis, who played for the Mets from 2019-22.

New York’s 21 comeback wins this year are tied for the most in the majors. The Yanks have won or split 19 of their 25 completed series this season (going 17-6-2 in those series).

Aaron Judge leads the majors in HR (28), RBI (70), SLG (.686), OPS (1.108), extra-base hits (51), go-ahead RBI (20) and game-winning RBI (14).

Gerrit Cole

It’s ace righty and 2023 Cy Young winner Cole on the hill Tuesday. Cole made his season debut off some elbow trouble this past Wednesday and didn’t factor into the decision in a 7-6 loss to the Orioles, allowing two runs on three hits and one walk with five strikeouts over four innings.

Cole surrendered a run on an RBI double by Ryan O’Hearn in the first inning then settled in over the next three frames. He allowed a single to Cedric Mullins to open the fifth and was pulled after throwing 62 pitches, but Mullins scored on a home run surrendered by Yankees reliever Ron Marinaccio.

Cole maxed out at 68 pitches during his minor-league rehab assignment, so the Yankees seemed to ease him back in for his 2024 MLB debut. He should increase his workload Tuesday. His average fastball velocity was down 1.6 mph from last season, but he still touched 97 mph against the Orioles.

Cole is 2-2 with a 5.89 ERA and 42 strikeouts in seven appearances versus the Mets in his career.

New York Mets Moneyline +122

The Mets are playing some of their best ball of the season, winning nine of 11. They took two of three at the Cubs over the weekend, taking the finale 5-2 on Sunday night.

All-Star closer Edwin Díaz came on to try to seal the victory, but was tossed for having a foreign substance after umpires inspected his right hand and glove. Per Major League Baseball’s rules, a player faces a 10-game suspension if they are found to have used illegal foreign substances.

Diaz missed all of last season after suffering a knee injury while celebrating Puerto Rico’s win in the World Baseball Classic. This year, he’s pitching to a 4.70 ERA with seven saves in 23 appearances.

He spent some time early this month on the injured list with a shoulder issue and was reinstated on June 13. The Mets cannot replace Diaz during his suspension and will play with 25 people on the roster instead of 26.

Starling Marte

Outfielder Marte was removed from Saturday’s game with right knee soreness and was to have an MRI on Monday for an issue that’s lingered throughout June, but the team hopes he doesn’t have to hit the injured list.

Marte was absent from Sunday’s starting lineup against the Cubs, a day after departing in the second inning with the knee barking.

Over the last 15 games, Marte is batting .357. The Mets have had their complete starting lineup active only since Francisco Alvarez’s return from the injured list on June 11. The catcher missed seven weeks rehabbing from surgery to repair a torn thumb ligament.

David Peterson

It’s lefty Peterson (3-0) on the mound Tuesday. Peterson allowed two runs in six innings and got the win in the Mets’ 14-2 victory over the Rangers last Monday.

Peterson gave up four hits, walked three and struck out six. He’s now won three consecutive starts and the six strikeouts were a season-high. A former first round pick by the Mets in 2017, Peterson is once again getting a chance in the Mets’ rotation and seems to be making the most of it.

He struggled with a 5.03 ERA in 27 appearances last year, but his 3.59 xFIP suggested he wasn’t quite that bad. He now has a 3.97 ERA in four starts this year.

In two career appearances against the Yankees (one as a reliever), Peterson has a 10.38 ERA. He will be pitching on five days’ rest.

Betting Yankees at Mets MLB Odds

When: Tuesday, 7:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field
Pitchers (away/home): Gerrit Cole/David Peterson
TV: TBS