Mavericks vs Nuggets NBA Week 9 Betting Lines and Pick

It’s a matchup of NBA MVP candidates and the two players most likely in a given hoops night to have a triple-double as Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks visit Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets on Monday in the marquee matchup around the NBA. The Nuggets are solid favorites on the NBA odds. 2023 NBA Expert Analysis Dallas at Denver | MyBookie Sportsbook NBA Regular Season: October 24, 2023, to April 14, 2024 | NBA Week 9

How to Bet Mavericks at Nuggets NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Monday, 9 PM ET
Where: Ball Arena
TV: NBA TV
Stream: NBA.com, NBA TV app
Radio: Tunein.com
NBA Odds: Nuggets -7 (total 238.5)

Season Series

The teams met on Nov. 3 in Denver in the first meeting of the season and the Nuggets won 125-114. Nikola Jokic scored 33 points and went 14 of 16 from the field while adding 14 rebounds and nine assists. Michael Porter Jr. scored 24 points, and Jamal Murray had 18 points and 13 assists for the Nuggets, who led by 20 points in the third quarter before seeing Dallas trim it to eight late in the game. Jokic made a cutting layup with 1:11 remaining to seal it. Luka Doncic finished with 34 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists but also had nine turnovers for Dallas. Kyrie Irving chipped in 22 points. Dallas leads the all-time series 96-91 and has won the past two but is just 32-60 all-time in Denver.

Why Bet on Dallas?

The Mavericks come off a 131-120 win in Portland on Saturday despite playing yet again without injured All-Star guard Kyrie Irving as he continues recovering from a right heel contusion. He initially wore a walking boot and used crutches to walk around days after the injury, but he no longer needs crutches. Still, Irving won’t play Monday and probably not this week. Reserves Josh Green and Maxi Kleber also have been sidelined.

Luka Doncic is one of the MVP favorites this season and was spectacular in Saturday’s win as he finished with 40 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists in racking up his 61st career triple-double. He also posted his eight career 40-point triple-double, giving him one more than the great Wilt Chamberlain. In addition, this was the 79th time Doncic has scored 35 or more points in a game. That’s tops on the Mavs’ all-time franchise chart and one more than Dirk Nowitzki strung together.

“When you talk about someone who passed Dirk for the most 35-point games, Dirk played for 100 years and Luka has played for six,” coach Jason Kidd said. “That’s how good (Doncic) is. And then you talk about passing Wilt for the most 40-point triple-doubles. That’s special.”

Doncic has been carrying a heavy workload lately. And Kidd is worried: “We are concerned about the minutes,” Kidd said. “He’s averaging 40 here in the last (seven games), so that means he’s playing over 40 minutes a night.”

Tim Hardaway Jr. had 25 points and six rebounds in the win. Hardaway led all bench players in Saturday’s game in scoring and rebounds while leading the Mavericks in threes made. Hardaway has been stellar off the Dallas bench this season, tallying 20 or more points in seven contests including in three of his last four games. Hardaway has been strong from deep as of late as well, connecting on at least four threes in four of his last five outings. Rookie center Dereck Lively left with a sprained ankle and in doubt for this one.

The Mavericks have recorded 15 games of 120 points this season, the most 120-point games through 24 games to start a season in franchise history. The next most is nine (1982-83). The Mavs are now 16-9 overall and in third place in the Western Conference. They also own the NBA’s best road record at 9-4.

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Why Bet on Denver?

The Nuggets had a three-game winning streak snapped Saturday in a 118-117 home upset loss to Oklahoma City as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander hit a turnaround jumper with a second left for OKC. In a battle between two of the top three teams in the Western Conference standings, the Nuggets lost their second home game this season.

The Nuggets led 111-103 with 3:33 left but a 9-2 run, capped by an alley-oop dunk by Chet Holmgren, made it a one-point game with 1:38 remaining. Michael Porter hit a 20-footer, Gilgeous-Alexander made two free throws and Jamal Murray’s step-back jumper gave Denver a 117-114 lead with 43 seconds left.

OKC’s Jalen Williams made a driving layup, Nikola Jokic missed a 3-pointer, Gilgeous-Alexander grabbed the rebound with 8 seconds left and then capped the rally with his turnaround jumper over Peyton Watson. The Nuggets’ entry pass was tipped to seal the win.

Jokic finished with 24 points, 12 assists and six rebounds, his 12th game with double-digit assists this season. Jokie has scored 20+ points in 23 of the 26 games he’s played in and has the most 20+ point games in the league. Michael Porter Jr. recorded a double-double on Saturday with 20 points and 10 boards. It was his seventh double-double of the season after having just three all of last season. He has made a concerted effort on the glass this season, which has allowed him to average a career-best eight rebounds per game. The only Nuggets player with more double-doubles this season is Jokic (23).

Aaron Gordon provided 16 points, nine rebounds and five assists. Gordon was upgraded from questionable to available only a few minutes before tip-off but ended just one rebound shy of recording his sixth double-double of the campaign. Gordon holds a secondary role on offense when both Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray are available, but over his past 10 games is averaging 11.7 points, 7.5 rebounds and 3.2 assists.

Starting Kentavious Caldwell-Pope missed a second straight game in the concussion protocol and Justin Holiday started for him, finishing with six points, one rebound, and two assists in 25 minutes. Caldwell-Pope was the primary defender on Gilgeous-Alexander the first time the Thunder and Nuggets met this season. Gilgeous-Alexander finished 2 for 16 with a season-low seven points on Oct. 29. Three of those points came on four free-throw attempts so KCP was clearly missed Saturday.

“It really does take five guys out there, and when you have a guy like KCP, it definitely helps because he locks in on the matchup and just takes so much pride in it. Without KCP, we’re going to have to have other guys step up and try to do the same thing we did in OKC, which would be a hell of a challenge,” Coach Mike Malone said.

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NBA Expert Prediction

Nuggets 121, Mavericks 115

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