Dive into the 2024 New Orleans Saints: Prop Bets and Saints Win/Loss Season Odds

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One man’s trash is another man’s treasure. Las Vegas decided that quarterback Derek Carr had outlived his usefulness, and they unceremoniously dumped their former franchise quarterback this offseason.

But while Carr was looking up at Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert in the AFC West, in the NFC South he is looking down at Desmond Ridder, Bryce Young, and Tampa Bay’s quarterback combo of Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask.

The Saints are now the favorites in the NFC South, and Carr is the favorite to win his first division title.

Let’s see if New Orleans Saints have what it takes to back the betting lines to win the Super Bowl.

New Orleans Saints 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview

New Orleans Saints | 57th season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: Gayle Benson
Head coach: Dennis Allen
Home field: Caesars Superdome | New Orleans, Louisiana

Saints Futures Bets

Super Bowl Champions (+3500)
There are a lot of teams between the Saints and the Super Bowl championship. A total of 13 teams have shorter odds than the Saints. But at +3500 the Saints are ranked higher than the Vikings and Giants, who were both playoff teams a year ago. So it’s not such a longshot.

NFC Champions (+1300)
While there are 13 teams deemed to have a better chance at winning the Super Bowl, only five NFC teams have shorter odds to win the conference. The Saints, at +1300, are ahead of the Vikings, Giants, Packers, Bears, Commanders, Rams, Cardinals, and all three of the other NFC South teams.

When the Saints last won the NFC in 2009, their preseason odds were +1100.

NFC South Champions (+115)
Every team in the NFC South will have a different Week 1 starting quarterback from a year ago, and the only team that has definitely made an improvement at the position is New Orleans. Carolina and Atlanta might be better, but we won’t know that answer for sometime.

Because of that change at QB, a great young receiver in Chris Olave, and a top 10 defense, the Saints are the favorite to win the division, paying just above even money.

Saints Win Total (9.5)

The baseline for the Saints win total this season is 9.5, with the over paying +105. But if you want to get more aggressive than that, you can take the Saints to go over 11.5 regular season wins and get +270 for a winning bet.

Go really crazy, pick the Saints to go over 13.5, and the odds are +750.

Not as a promotion of that particular bet, but just as a bringer of facts, it is worth noting that according to projected win totals for 2023, New Orleans has the easiest schedule in the NFL.

Weekly Saints Betting

We haven’t seen this alleged better Saints team on the field, but oddsmakers are ready. After making the Saints favorites in just seven of their 17 games last season, the early odds have them favorites in 10 of their 17 games in 2023.

In their six regular season games against the NFC South, the Saints are the early favorites in five of them. The only game in the division when they will be getting points is at Carolina in Week 2. And considering that the game on September 18 will be only the second game in Bryce Young’s career, that may be a really good time to take the points.

Super Bowl Pick | Bet New Orleans Saints to Win
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One man’s trash is another man’s treasure. Las Vegas decided that quarterback Derek Carr had outlived his usefulness, and they unceremoniously dumped their former franchise quarterback this offseason.

But while Carr was looking up at Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert in the AFC West, in the NFC South he is looking down at Desmond Ridder, Bryce Young, and Tampa Bay’s quarterback combo of Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask.

The Saints are now the favorites in the NFC South, and Carr is the favorite to win his first division title.

Let’s see if New Orleans Saints have what it takes to back the betting lines to win the Super Bowl.

New Orleans Saints 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview

New Orleans Saints | 57th season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: Gayle Benson
Head coach: Dennis Allen
Home field: Caesars Superdome | New Orleans, Louisiana

Saints Futures Bets

Super Bowl Champions (+3500)
There are a lot of teams between the Saints and the Super Bowl championship. A total of 13 teams have shorter odds than the Saints. But at +3500 the Saints are ranked higher than the Vikings and Giants, who were both playoff teams a year ago. So it’s not such a longshot.

NFC Champions (+1300)
While there are 13 teams deemed to have a better chance at winning the Super Bowl, only five NFC teams have shorter odds to win the conference. The Saints, at +1300, are ahead of the Vikings, Giants, Packers, Bears, Commanders, Rams, Cardinals, and all three of the other NFC South teams.

When the Saints last won the NFC in 2009, their preseason odds were +1100.

NFC South Champions (+115)
Every team in the NFC South will have a different Week 1 starting quarterback from a year ago, and the only team that has definitely made an improvement at the position is New Orleans. Carolina and Atlanta might be better, but we won’t know that answer for sometime.

Because of that change at QB, a great young receiver in Chris Olave, and a top 10 defense, the Saints are the favorite to win the division, paying just above even money.

Saints Win Total (9.5)

The baseline for the Saints win total this season is 9.5, with the over paying +105. But if you want to get more aggressive than that, you can take the Saints to go over 11.5 regular season wins and get +270 for a winning bet.

Go really crazy, pick the Saints to go over 13.5, and the odds are +750.

Not as a promotion of that particular bet, but just as a bringer of facts, it is worth noting that according to projected win totals for 2023, New Orleans has the easiest schedule in the NFL.

Weekly Saints Betting

We haven’t seen this alleged better Saints team on the field, but oddsmakers are ready. After making the Saints favorites in just seven of their 17 games last season, the early odds have them favorites in 10 of their 17 games in 2023.

In their six regular season games against the NFC South, the Saints are the early favorites in five of them. The only game in the division when they will be getting points is at Carolina in Week 2. And considering that the game on September 18 will be only the second game in Bryce Young’s career, that may be a really good time to take the points.

Super Bowl Pick | Bet New Orleans Saints to Win
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For the first time since 2005, the New Orleans Saints will play an NFL Season without the great Drew Brees under center. Brees retired after last season’s playoff loss to the rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Saints will go with either former Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston or the Swiss Army Knife, Taysom Hill, at quarterback. Because Brees no longer plays for the Saints, odds on New Orleans to win the Super Bowl, conference, and their division, or higher than they have been in years. Are the NFL odds underlaid or overlaid? Keep reading for a New Orleans Saints betting analysis.

New Orleans Saints 2021 Season Options to Bet On

2021 NFL Season

When: Sep. 9, 2021 – Jan. 9, 2022

Saints to Win Super Bowl 56 +2800

The Saints must play Tampa Bay twice. If New Orleans can split with Tampa, they’d likely at least secure a wildcard because neither the Panthers nor the Falcons are as good as the Saints. But New Orleans has had much better teams and they haven’t even gotten back to a Super Bowl since 2010. +2800 are underlay odds.

Saints Super Bowl 56 Odds: Underlay

Saints NFC Championship +1300

Tampa Bay, Green Bay, the Los Angeles Rams, and the San Francisco 49ers should field teams better than the Saints. Those teams may not be much better than New Orleans, but they should be better. By accepting +1300, we’re saying Winston or Hill dominates. That probably won’t happen, and even if it does, the odds don’t justify a bet on the Big Easy team to win the conference.

Saints NFC Championship Odds: Underlay

Saints Worst Regular Season Record +6500

Under head coach Sean Payton, the Saints have never won less than 7 games in any single season. Expect at least +8000 odds before backing New Orleans to post the NFL’s worst regular season record.

Saints Worst Regular Season Record Odds: Underlay

Saints NFC South Division +300

Last season, New Orleans swept the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Saints should be much better than the Falcons and Panthers while Tampa could suffer the dreaded Super Bowl hangover. If Brady and the Bucs aren’t at their best, New Orleans will win the NFC South by default, which means +300 are overlay odds.

Saints NFC South Division Odds: Overlay

Sean Payton Coach of the Year +2500

Payton gets a chance to prove he can succeed without Drew Brees at quarterback. If Winston reverts to his 2019 Tampa Bay Buccaneers form without the interceptions, where he threw 30 TDs and led the NFL in passing yards, everyone will credit Sean for the performance.

Sean Payton Coach of the Year Odds: Overlay

Alvin Kamara NFL MVP +8000

Kamara shouldn’t win MVP, but let’s say Winston and Hill both struggle. If that happens, Payton will turn to Kamara and ditch the 2-back RB system he’s used the past few seasons. Kamara could end up accounting for 90% of the Saints’ offense, which would make him a running back worth backing to win MVP. Kamara is probably closer to a +6500 choice.

Alvin Kamara NFL MVP: Overlay

New Orleans Saints Regular Season Wins

Over 9 +120
Under 9 -150

The Saints should benefit from playing against the NFC East and AFC East. New Orleans should also benefit from playing the Panthers and Falcons twice each. Unless Winston and Hill implode, and the defense is much worse than it was last season, Payton should coach the Saints to, at worst, a 10-7 record.

Saints Regular Season Wins Pick: Over 9 +120

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No team in the NFL this season has bigger shoes to fill than the New Orleans Saints as they have to replace arguably the greatest regular-season quarterback ever in the retired Drew Brees. Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill will battle to win the starting job in training camp. The Saints have won the NFC South four years in a row but aren’t favored on the NFL odds this year – Tampa Bay is favored in the division.

Analysis NFL 2021 | New Orleans Saints

Saints win total: 9
To win NFC South: +300
To win NFC: +1400
To win Super Bowl 56: +2800

As good as Brees was, and he holds nearly ever major regular-season passing record – although Tom Brady will pass him for some this year – he never won an NFL regular-season MVP Award and just one Super Bowl title. The Saints were legit contenders for the past handful of years but always seemed to find inventive ways to lose in the NFC playoffs.

New Orleans had beaten Tampa Bay soundly twice in the 2020 NFL regular season and led the visiting Buccaneers 20-13 in late in the third quarter of their divisional round playoff game, but Tom Brady led the Bucs to a 30-20 comeback win in what would prove Brees’ final game. The NFL’s all-time leader in completions and yards passing was 19 of 34 for 134 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Not a memorable way to end his career. The three picks and 38.1 passer rating were each career-lows in the postseason for Brees.

Brees officially announced his retirement after 20 seasons in March. He made 13 trips to the Pro Bowl, won two AP Offensive Player of the Year accolades, was 2006 Walter Payton Man of The Year and had an NFL-record 80,358 yards passing, 571 touchdown passes and a 67.7 completion percentage. In the 2009 season, he led the Saints to their only Super Bowl title and was the game’s MVP.

So who wins the starting job in camp? Most believe it will be Winston, the former No. 1 overall pick and starting QB for the Bucs before Brady arrived. Winston is the better passer but does tend to make horrible interceptions. Hill is a terrific runner but might be better served in a backup/hybrid role.

Coach Sean Payton revealed that the Saints intend to build the offense “a little bit” around the QB who wins the starting gig.

“I think both of the players we’re talking about have had the benefit of training, being in meeting rooms with him, and seeing the daily grind. And I think we go from there,” Payton said. “Obviously, there’s a high bar for our team. … And I think both of those guys will rise to the challenge. They both understand the importance of the reps that we’re going to have in this upcoming training camp. And there is a little bit of a standard and it’s kind of high, and so that’s OK.”

New Orleans officially reports to camp July 27 at the Ochsner Sports Performance Center in Metairie, La. Other than Brees, most of the key Saints are back, led by star running back Alvin Kamara and All-Pro receiver Michael Thomas. He was the 2019 NFL Offensive Player of the Year but injuries really hampered him last year. Thomas’ yards-per-game average dropped from 107.8 to 62.6 year-over-year.

Kamara is one of three NFL players with at least 80 receptions in his first four seasons in the NFL, joining two receivers — teammate Thomas and Jarvis Landry — in the exclusive club. His 711 yards after the catch led all NFL players.

Defensively, the Saints have one of the league’s best cornerbacks in Marshon Lattimore is a lock, but it remains to be seen who will line up opposite the 25-year-old standout. Free agent Richard Sherman was a possibility but was arrested in Seattle on Wednesday so that may end that pursuit.

The Saints open the post-Brees era against the visiting Green Bay Packers on Sept. 12 with New Orleans an early 2.5-point favorite on the NFL odds.

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The goal of every team in the NFL is to land themselves a franchise QB that will give them the best chance of winning every time he straps on the pads. In principle, it is a rather simple equation, but the reality is that finding those types of QB’s is akin to finding a needle in a haystack. There are a handful of those guys in the league right now, but we also lost one last season when Drew Brees decided to call quits on a great career. The New Orleans Saints head into this season without the guy who has been under center for years, which makes predicting their coming season a little tougher. Let’s take a closer look at what me might expect from the New Orleans Saints in 2021 so you start to plan your bets against their NFL odds.

NFL Betting – New Orleans Saints Calendar Odds & Analysis For the 2021-22 Season

The Saints in 2020

For the past few years, the Saints have been loaded from top to bottom and have made the NFC South their domain. The problem is that as good as they have been in the regular season, they have failed to deliver the goods in the playoffs. Last season followed a similar pattern in that regard, while also showing that finding a replacement for Brees may not be as straightforward as they initially thought it might be.

On the positive side of things, the Saints won another division title, going 12-4 on the season to win the NFC South. That go them into the Wild Card, where they had little problem disposing of the Chicago Bears. It all came to an end in the NFC Divisional Round, though, as they went down 30-20 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the eventual champions.

Odds to Make the Playoffs and Win the Super Bowl

As we touched on a moment ago, the Saints have a decision to make in regards who will be under center this coming season. The heir apparent to Brees for the past few seasons has been Taysom Hill, and while he did okay in relief of Brees for a few weeks last season, there are some questions as to whether he can do it week in and week out. That is why the Saints went out and acquired the services of Jameis Winston, and why they have yet to announce a #1 for the coming season. This all suggests that they are looking at a fight for that spot in training camp. This team does still have a solid nucleus in place, but you do have to wonder what life will be like without their leader. Do the bookies think the Saints will make the playoffs? Here are their odds:

YES +110
NO -140

The Saints will open the season with a tough outing against the Green Bay Packers, although whether or not they will still have Aaron Rodgers remains to be seen. Still, it is a good way to measure where the Saints may be as a team this season and how their starting QB situation might play out. If the Saints are to make the playoffs, they are likely going to be in as a Wild Card, as I expect the Bucs to win the South. I think we might be looking at a 9-8 season for the Saints if one of the QB’s steps up. If not, they could fall as far as 7-10.

It’s tough to have total faith in a team that does not know who its starting QB is at this point. That is the case with the Saints, who are currently in at +2500 to win the Super Bowl.

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The NFC South plays non-division games against the NFC North and AFC West in 2020 and that means the Saints will face three teams from those divisions that reached the playoffs a year ago in the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs, Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings. Nevertheless, Drew Brees and company are very fortunate as they’ll enter the 2020 campaign with just the 24th toughest schedule in the league (.490). Now, let’s find out what lies ahead for the New Orleans Saints this coming campaign and their NFL odds.

NFL New Orleans Saints Calendar Odds & Analysis

Despite having their Super Bowl hopes come to a series of abrupt and completely stunning finishes in each of the last three seasons, Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints (13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS) will enter the 2020 NFL regular season as one of the top contenders in either conference to hoist the Super Bowl 55 Vince Lombardi Trophy in February.

2020 NFL Odds

NFC South: +105
NFC Championship: +500
Super Bowl 55: +1000

Sept. 13: vs. Tampa Bay

While Tom Brady and the revamped Buccaneers are getting all kinds of national media attention after Tampa Bay stunned everyone by signing the future Hall of Famer in free agency, I still think Drew Brees and the Saints are the cream of the crop in the NFC South and they’ll deliver that message at home in Week 1. Win.

Sept. 21: at Las Vegas

Jon Gruden has revamped his roster in Vegas to add some speed and youth on both sides of the ball, but I like the Saints to get it done in a high-scoring affair seeing as how they have the huge edge at quarterback. Win.

Sept. 27: vs. Green Bay

The Packers might have won 13 games in 2019, but I’m expecting Aaron Rodgers and company to take a step backwards in 2020. The trio of Drew Brees, Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara will star in this one as New Orleans takes care of business at home. Win.

Oct. 4: at Detroit

Detroit Lions head coach Matt Patricia is overmatched. I repeat…Patricia is completely and utterly overmatched and the rebuilding Lions just don’t have enough talent to beat the superior Lions. Win.

Oct. 12: vs. LA Chargers

I expect veteran Tyrod Taylor to be very solid as he opens the season under center for the Chargers in 2020. Unfortunately, ‘solid’ won’t be good enough to beat a Saints team I expect to be one of the top title contenders in the league in 2020. Win.

Oct. 18: Bye

Oct. 25: vs. Carolina

I love the way Carolina is going about heading into their new era under head coach Matt Rhule, but the young Panthers are far too early in their remake to take down a mature Saints team in this Week 7 NFC South showdown. Win.

Nov. 1: at Chicago

I’m expecting Nick Foles to take over at quarterback for Chicago and that will help the bears improve in 2020. Unfortunately, I think the Bears come up just short of getting the upset at home in this NFC matchup. Win.

Nov. 8: at Tampa Bay

After getting off to a perfect 8-0 start, New Orleans falls on the road to Brady and a Buccaneers squad that has this game circled on their calendars. Tampa Bay wins a high-scoring shootout. Loss.

Nov. 15: vs. San Francisco

The Niners eked out a thrilling 48-46 road win over the Saints a year ago. This time around, New Orleans extracts its revenge. Win.

Nov. 22: vs. Atlanta

These longtime division rivals split a year ago with both winning on the road. With the Saints and Falcons splitting their last eight meetings evenly, I like New Orleans at home in Week 11. Win.

Nov. 29: at Denver

Second-year signal-caller Drew Lock flashed a ton of potential late last season, but the only Drew that will matter in this matchup is Drew Brees. The Saints get it done on the road against Von Miller and company. Win.

Dec. 6: at Atlanta

As previously stated, these two rivals have split their last eight meetings. I like ‘Matty Ice’ and the Falcons to get the win as part of a regular season split. Loss.

Dec. 13: at Philadelphia

New Orleans has won two straight and four of five against Philly dating back to 2012 while dispatching the Birds out of the playoffs two seasons ago. Win.

Dec. 20: vs. Kansas City

The Chiefs are going to put up 30 in this Week 15 showdown, but I’m going with Drew Brees to put on a show to help New Orleans get the high-scoring affair in this possible Super Bowl 55 preview. Win.

Dec. 25: vs. Minnesota

Yes, Kirk Cousins is just a bit better than average and no, the Minnesota Vikings don’t have what could be considered an explosive offense. Still, I’m going with the NFC North title hopefuls to get the huge upset, simply because they keep coming up with inexplicable wins against New Orleans. Loss.

Jan. 3: at Carolina

The Carolina Panthers will be going all-out to get the win in their regular season finale, but following their Week 16 loss at home against Minnesota, the Saints are fully focused as they get set for the ensuing playoffs. Win.

Overall Analysis and Prediction

Despite the fact the Saints (+1000) are now, longer favorites to win Super Bowl 55 than either San Francisco (+800) or Tampa Bay (+900), I still believe all roads to the NFC Championship will go through New Orleans. The Saints have suffered a trio of stunning playoff losses the last three seasons, but they’ve come back each year with a renewed effort despite their postseason failures. I see no reason why New Orleans can’t duplicate their 13-3 mark from a year ago and that’s exactly what I have them doing in 2020.

2020 Prediction: 13-3

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After ending up on the wrong end of one of the worst blown calls in NFL history and one that ruined their chance of reaching Super Bowl 53 last season, Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints will enter the 2019 NFL regular season looking for nothing less than a Super Bowl appearance.

Whether New Orleans flies high again like they did last season or whether they come up short of their Super Bowl hopes, there are a bunch of insightful things you need to know about the Saints before they take to the gridiron for the 2019 campaign. Let’s find out everything you need to know about New Orleans right now.

New Orleans Saints 2019 NFL Season Betting Guide

Betting Statistics

ATS: 13-3 (W-L) / 10-6-0 (ATS) /4-4-0 (Home) / 6-2-0 (Away) / 2-1-0 (Grass) / 8-5-0 (Turf)
O/U: 7-9-0 (W-L) / 5-3-0 (Home) / 2-6-0 (Away) / 1-2-0 (Grass) / 6-7-0 (Turf) / 53.6 (Total)

Not only did Drew Brees and company tie the Los Angeles Rams with a league-high 13 victories in 2018, but the Saints also covered the chalk at a high rate by going an impressive 10-6 ATS. New Orleans covered the chalk six times on the road. Despite owning one of the most explosive offenses in all of football, New Orleans played under the O/U total nine times, including six times on the road.

Did you know the New Orleans Saints covered the spread in nine straight games a year ago, starting in Week 3 of the 2018 regular season?

Offense

New Orleans was rock-solid across the board offensively last season by ranking eighth overall, 12th in passing, seventh in rushing and an impressive third in scoring (31.5 ppg). To address their needs on the offensive side of the ball, The Saints signed veteran running back Latavius Murray, tight end Jared Cook, quarterback Teddy Bridgewater and punt returner/cornerback Marcus Sherels while drafting Texas A&M center Erik McCoy in the second round.

Defense

The Saints finished a respectable 14th in total defense and identical 14th in points allowed (22.1 ppg). While the Saints routinely shut down the run, that may have been more of a byproduct that teams could throw the ball on them easily as New Orleans finished a discouraging 29th against the pass.

To address their needs on the defensive side of the ball, New Orleans signed veteran defensive lineman Mario Edwards, linebacker Craig Robertson and defensive tackle Malcolm Brown while re-signing veteran cornerback P.J. Williams and kicker Will Lutz. The Saints also added a pair of safeties in the draft by nabbing Florida’s Chauncey Gardner-Johnson in the fourth round and Rutgers’ Saquan Hampton in the sixth round.

Team Leaders

Second-year running back Alvin Kamara had his second straight fantastic season by recording a team-high 18 touchdowns while rushing for a team-high 883 yards. The dual-threat star also added 709 yards in receptions while scoring 14 rushing TDs.

Sure-fire future Hall of Fame signal-caller Drew Brees showed no signs of aging whatsoever by completing an insane 74.4 percent of his passes for 3,992 yards with 33 touchdowns and a career-low five interceptions. Pro Bowl wide receiver Michael Thomas had a career and team-high 1,405 receiving yards while veteran defensive end Cameron Jordan had a team-high 12 sacks. Veteran cornerback Eli Apple added a team-high two interceptions and the best news is that each f the Saints’ 2018 team leaders are all back in 2019.

Outlook

New Orleans lost veteran running back Mark Ingram and veteran defensive end Alex Okafor in free agency while veteran tight end Benjamin Watson retired from football, but I think the Saints did a great job of addressing their needs on both sides of the ball in free agency and the draft.

More importantly, Drew Brees is still playing at an insanely high level despite turning 40 in January. New Orleans will definitely put their share of points on the board with Brees, Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara leading the way, but will New Orleans play solid defense this coming season? My best guess is that they will finish somewhere between 10th and 15th overall.

In addition to their four difficult NFC South division matchups against Carolina and Atlanta, the Saints will also be taking on what should be an improved Tampa Bay Buccaneers team as well in 2019 thanks to the hiring of no-nonsense head coach Bruce Arians. New Orleans also has some difficult non-division matchups against Houston, the L.A. Rams, Seattle, Dallas, Chicago and Indianapolis on their 2019 docket. Still, I’m projecting the Saints to reach the double-digit win mark for the third straight season while challenging for a berth in the NFC Championship game at the very least. Besides, New Orleans is due for some good luck in 2019 after the way they saw their Super Bowl 53 hopes snatched away from them by incompetent game officials.