NBA Betting Odds: Kings vs Warriors Prediction

An important matchup in the lower half of the Western Conference playoff race is the second game of an NBA on TNT doubleheader on Thursday night, as the Sacramento Kings visit the streaking /sportsbook/nba/golden-state-warriors/, who are solid favorites on the NBA betting odds.

As of this writing, the Warriors sit sixth in the West – which is the final spot into the full-field playoffs but only a half-game ahead of No. 7 Minnesota for the first spot in the West play-in tournament.

Spread/Total Subject to Change: Warriors -7 (total 233.5)
Expert Prediction: Warriors 118, Kings 113.

How to Bet NBA Betting Odds Kings vs Warriors & TV Info

NBA Moneylines: Golden State -286 Sacramento +224
When: Thursday, 10 PM ET
Where: Chase Center
TV: TNT, truTV
Stream: Max

To make the full playoffs, Golden State is -3000 and Now is +1300. It’s hard to imagine the Dubs slipping out of the top six barring major injury, and maybe they can get as high as fifth, currently held by Houston.

Sacramento sits ninth in the West and will almost surely be play-in tournament bound as it is a -3500 favorite to compete in that. There is almost no chance the Kings will slip out of the West’s Top 10 or even lower than ninth, as current 10th-place Dallas has been gutted by major injuries. It’s also unlikely the Kings can get higher than eighth.

Series Results

The final regular season meeting in the Pacific Division sees the Warriors ahead 2-1 against the Kings. In their last match on Feb. 21, the Warriors won 132-108, with four players scoring over 20 points: Buddy Hield and Moses Moody with 22, Brandin Podziemski with 21, and Stephen Curry with 20. DeMar DeRozan led the Kings with 34 points, while Domantas Sabonis nearly achieved a triple double with 14 points, 14 rebounds, and nine assists.

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Will Domantas Sabonis Play For Kings?

Playing again without star All-Star big man Domantas Sabonis (hamstring), the Kings lost their second game in a row Monday, 133-104 at home to New York. The Knicks took the lead with 7:33 left in the first quarter and never looked back. The Knicks made 22 3-pointers, compared to 10 for the Kings. DeMar DeRozan had been red-hot for Sacramento, but had just 11 points.

Jonas Valanciunas

Center Valanciunas referred to the loss as “embarrassing,” while interim head coach Doug Christie said: “There are absolutely no excuses in this league. The league does not care about back-to-backs, injuries, nothing. That was brutal from the physicality standpoint. They didn’t feel us at all, and our guys know that is totally unacceptable.”

Malik Monk

Monk returned after missing three games from a right toe sprain and scored 21 points, but left in the third quarter. He described his toe as feeling “weird” in the post-game interview but expressed he felt good and wanted it checked. With the Kings trailing, he didn’t re-enter. Uncertainty remains about Monk’s or Sabonis’ availability for the next game.

Monk averages 17.7 points and 5.8 assists, being one of nine players to score 25+ points with 5+ rebounds and assists off the bench. Sabonis, with 22.1 points and 14.1 rebounds, leads the NBA in rebounds and has eight triple-doubles this season.

Warriors On Five-Game Winning Streak

Golden State has taken off since acquiring Jimmy Butler from Miami at the trade deadline, and won its fifth straight game Monday, 130-120 over Portland. Stephen Curry scored 24 points and moved within two 3-pointers of becoming the first player in NBA history with 4,000.

Stephen Curry

Curry reached 25,000 career points during Saturday’s win over Detroit, needing seven 3-pointers. He made two early and three in the third. Notably, he’ll move from 3,000 to 4,000 faster than from 2,000 to 3, despite being four years older.

Jimmy Butler

Butler recorded his first triple-double as a Warrior on Monday, with 15 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists, marking his 18th career triple-double. He averages 17.6 points, 5.7 rebounds, 5.7 assists, and 1.3 steals, shooting 45.6%. Meanwhile, Gary Payton scored a career-high 26 points, though his role may lessen with potential returns of Kuminga and Podziemski.

And it is expected that Kuminga will return against the Kings after missing the past 31 games with a sprained right ankle. He will come off the bench now that Butler is on the roster. Golden State coach Steve Kerr recently acknowledged that integrating Kuminga will be a challenge because the current group has been on a roll. But Kerr has repeatedly said that Kuminga was playing the best basketball of his career leading up to the injury.

Kings vs Warriors, NBA Betting Odds Game Trends

Kings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
Sacramento are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Golden State.
Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
Sacramento are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games played on a Thursday.
Warriors are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Golden State are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Thursday when playing at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State’s last 6 games against Sacramento.

Kings vs Warriors NBA Betting Odds & Expert Prediction

Forward Jonathan Kuminga is set to return for Golden State after a lengthy injury hiatus. He averages 16.8 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 2.2 assists in 26 minutes per game, with notable scoring performances of 26, 34, 34, and 20 before his injury against Memphis on Jan. 4. His comeback will limit minutes for players like Moses Moody and Gary Payton II, who have excelled recently.

Since Butler played in his first game for the Warriors on February 8 at Chicago, the Warriors have made 85.3 percent of their free throw attempts, first in the league in that span. Prior to Butler joining the team, the Warriors ranked last in the league in free throw percentage, shooting 72.0 percent.

The Warriors improved from 27th to third in free throw attempts, averaging 25.2 per game. Butler averages 7.7 free throw attempts, and they are 9-0 this season when attempting at least 30 free throws, achieving this four times since his debut.

This marks the third game of a seven-game home stand, the longest of the season for the Warriors. This is the third time this season that Golden State has won five consecutive games, and the second time it has had a five-game home winning streak. Coach Steve Kerr is one win away from tying Alvin Attles (557) for the most regular season coaching wins in franchise history. Warriors 118, Kings 113.

PLAYOFF PICTURE

34 days from the #SoFiPlayIn.

38 days from the #NBAPlayoffs presented by Google. pic.twitter.com/6mmu07EPLY
— NBA (@NBA) March 13, 2025