NFL Betting Analysis For The Los Angeles Chargers

No team saw their season end as badly as the Chargers. Missing the playoffs and winning just three games, losing to Patrick Mahomes in the Super Bowl – all better ways to end last year than blowing a 27-point lead in the Wild Card.

The sacrificial lamb was offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi, who was replaced in the offseason by Kellen Moore. But the truth is, the pressure is on head coach Brandon Staley.

Let’s see if Los Angeles Chargers have what it takes to back the betting lines to win the Super Bowl.

Los Angeles Chargers 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview

Los Angeles Chargers | 54th season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: Dean Spanos
Head coach: Brandon Staley
Home field: SoFi Stadium | Inglewood, California

Chargers Futures Bets

Super Bowl Champions (+2500)
Oddsmakers say that the Chargers have taken a step back in terms of winning a Super Bowl. Or maybe it’s that the other teams around the league have taken a bigger step forward. A preseason bet on L.A. to win their first Super Bowl is paying +2500, compared to the +1400 they were paying last season.

In six seasons since 2009, the Chargers were a bigger Super Bowl favorite than they are in 2023.

AFC Champions (+1300)
That same slide in the odds can be seen in their likelihood to win the AFC, and that is definitely a result of rising teams around the conference. At +1300, the Chargers are paying the eighth shortest odds in the conference.

In 2022 the odds on L.A. were +700, which was the third shortest in the AFC, only trailing the Chiefs and Bills.

AFC West Champions (+340)
At some point, Kansas City will not win the AFC West. Their current streak of seven straight division titles will eventually end. But Kansas City is a heavy -165 favorite to make it eight years in a row, while L.A. is a pretty distant second at +340.

Chargers Win Total (9.5)

The Chargers won nine games in 2021 and 10 games in 2022. So naturally, the line on their win total for 2023 is 9.5.

In their favor is that they always play the Chiefs tough and often can take one of those two games. On the con side of the ledger, L.A. is always good for a bad loss or two, like losing to the Broncos in the final week last year or losing to the Raiders a month earlier.

Based on projected win totals for 2023, the Chargers have the sixth-hardest schedule in the NFL.

Weekly Chargers Betting

At 10-7 straight up and 9-5-3 against the spread, the Chargers were a good game-to-game bet in 2022. They were especially good as road favorites, going 3-1-2 against the spread in those six games. At home and as the favorite, the Chargers were just 2-3-1 ATS.

In early odds for 2023, the Chargers are the favorite in 12 of their 17 regular season games, and on the road, they are listed as favorites in five games. In their nine home games, they are the favorites in seven and the underdogs in two – against the Bills in Week 16 and the Chiefs in Week 18.

And this underscores the problem with the L.A. We all know they will lose games they should win. They are listed as favorites in 12 of 17 games, but their win total over/under is just 9.5.

The Chargers losing as favorites is built into the odds.

Super Bowl Pick | Bet Los Angeles Chargers to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Super Bowl

2023 Los Angeles Chargers Regular Season Schedule

Week	Date	Opponent	Time
All times ET
1	Sep. 10	Miami Dolphins	4:25pm ET
2	Sep. 17	at Tennessee Titans	1:00pm ET
3	Sep. 24	at Minnesota Vikings	1:00pm ET
4	Oct. 1	Las Vegas Raiders	4:05pm ET
5	Oct. 8	BYE WEEK
6	Oct. 16	Dallas Cowboys	8:15pm ET
7	Oct. 22	at Kansas City Chiefs	4:25pm ET
8	Oct. 29	Chicago Bears	8:20pm ET
9	Nov. 6	at New York Jets	8:15pm ET
10	Nov. 12	Detroit Lions	4:05pm ET
11	Nov. 19	at Green Bay Packers	1:00pm ET
12	Nov. 26	Baltimore Ravens	8:20pm ET
13	Dec. 3	at New England Patriots	1:00pm ET
14	Dec. 10	Denver Broncos	4:25pm ET
15	Dec. 14	at Las Vegas Raiders	8:15pm ET
16	Dec. 23	Buffalo Bills	8:00pm ET
17	Dec. 31	at Denver Broncos	4:25pm ET
18	Jan. 7	Kansas City Chiefs	TBA ET