How to Bet Mariners vs Padres MLB Spread & Expert Pick.

How to Bet Mariners vs Padres MLB Spread & Expert Pick

Written by on April 24, 2019

The Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres have been two of the early surprises in the majors this season, but it seems rather unlikely either has staying power. The teams conclude an interleague set at Petco Park on Wednesday afternoon with Friars favored on the MLB Lines.

Mariners vs Padres MLB Spread & Expert Pick

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Why Bet on Seattle?

Seattle boosted its bullpen Tuesday by activating RHP Chasen Bradford from the 10-day injured list. Bradford has been out for a couple of weeks due to right shoulder inflammation. Prior to the injury, the 29-year-old had a 4.26 ERA and 5/2 K/BB ratio over 6 1/3 innings to begin the year.

Since the start of Interleague play in 1997, the Mariners boast the 2nd-best ERA in Interleague history with a mark of 3.83. They trail only the New York Yankees (3.79/1520 ER, 3611.2 IP). Seattle leads Boston (3.88), Los Angeles-AL (3.89), Oakland (3.91) and Los Angeles NL (3.98). No other MLB team has an ERA under 4.00. The Mariners have 38 shutouts during Interleague play, which is the most by any team, ranking ahead of the Mets (31), the Yankees (31), the Braves (30), the Red Sox (30), the Marlins (30) and the Blue Jays (30).

Dating back to June 8, 2016, Tim Beckham has reached base safely in 19 of his last 21 Interleague games (w/at least 1 AB), including hits in 17 contests. Overall he is batting .351 (26×74) with 11 runs scored, 4 doubles, 2 triples, 4 home runs, 14 RBI, 1 HBP, 6 walks and 2 stolen bases.

It’s former Cy Young winner Felix Hernandez on the mound. Hernandez didn’t factor into the decision against the Angels on Thursday, giving up four earned runs on nine hits over six innings, striking out three and walking one as the Mariners eventually prevailed 11-10.

Hernandez was staked to a 10-2 lead to put him in line for the win, but his bullpen suffered a catastrophic meltdown, coughing up the eight-run cushion and forcing the veteran to settle for the no-decision. Hernandez wound up missing a second straight quality start by one earned run and now carries a 4.91 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP to go along with a 13:2 K: BB through 18.1 innings on the season.

Hernandez will be making his 14th career start against the Padres. He is 6-4 with a 2.88 ERA (29 ER, 90.2 IP) in 13 career starts. The 33-year-old is 5-1 with a 1.63 ERA in 8 starts at Petco Park.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 6.27
  • Hits: 9.23
  • Walks: 4.08
  • Strike Outs: 9.73

Defense

  • Runs: 5.15
  • Hits: 9.31
  • Walks: 3.00
  • Strike Outs: 7.73

Why Bet on San Diego?

The Mariners and Padres meet for the first of 4 games this season (as of Tuesday). Seattle will also host the Padres for a 2-game series, Aug. 6-7. The Mariners lead the all-time Vedder Cup vs. the Padres 55-51, including going 27-26 at Petco Park.

The best closer in the majors thus far might surprise. It’s probably been Kirby Yates of the Padres. Yates tossed a scoreless ninth inning Sunday against the Reds, earning his 10th save of the season in a 4-3 win. Yates gave up a leadoff single but recorded a strikeout and induced a game-ending double play to finish it off. He’s now a perfect 10-for-10 in save chances, leading the league with his 10 saves. Yates owns a microscopic 0.75 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 19/3 K/BB ratio over 12 innings to begin the year.

Mariners vs Padres is going to be a close one.

It’s Chris Paddack on the mound. Paddack (0-1) took the loss against the Reds last Thursday, giving up three earned runs on three hits over six innings, striking out five and walking one as the Padres fell 4-1. Paddack tossed a quality start, but his teammates could only muster up a single run of support, and he eventually was tagged with the loss. Nonetheless, the 23-year-old is still off to a great start, as he’s sporting a 2.25 ERA, a 0.80 WHIP and a solid 21:7 K: BB over 20 innings while holding opponents to a .134 average.

Paddack also faced Seattle in his last spring start. When that outing ended, Paddack learned he’d made the big-league club. Manager Andy Green literally told him on the T-Mobile Park mound.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 3.46
  • Hits: 7.21
  • Walks: 2.67
  • Strike Outs: 9.17

Defense

  • Runs: 4.04
  • Hits: 7.71
  • Walks: 2.71
  • Strike Outs: 8.92

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Mariners vs Padres MLB Betting Trends

  • Mariners are 3-7 in Hernandez’s last 10 road starts
  • Padres are 4-11 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against San Diego
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle’s last 7 games on the road
  • San Diego is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games at home

Expert Final Score Prediction for Mariners vs Padres

Seattle Mariners 4 – San Diego Padres 5
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