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Nuggets vs Kings NBA Odds, Pick & Prediction

Nuggets vs Kings NBA Odds, Pick & Prediction

Written by on January 3, 2019

The struggling Sacramento Kings will look to both, snap their modest losing streak while pulling off the upset at the expense of the streaking Denver Nuggets when they host the top team in the Western Conference on Thursday night. If you’re a basketball betting enthusiast that is looking for some value and expert NBA betting predictions, then let’s get to my pick on this matchup right now.

Nuggets vs Kings NBA Odds, Pick & Prediction

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Why Bet On The Denver Nuggets at -3.5?

Why should you consider betting on Denver in this contest? There are a bunch if great reasons to back the Nuggets, starting with the fact that they’re playing solid basketball right now, having won three straight and seven of nine including a 115-108 win over the Knicks on Tuesday.

Then, there’s the fact that Denver has a fantastic defense that limits the opposition to 104.8 points per game to rank a stellar third in points allowed. Another good reason to back Denver is the fact that the Nuggets spanked the Kings 126-112 on Oct. 23 to cover the chalk on the road. The last reason to back Denver is that they have a bunch of blossoming young players like Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray to name two.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 110.06
  • Field Goals: 46.35%
  • Three Points: 35.27%
  • Free Throws: 74.84%
  • Rebounds: 46.94
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 104.83
  • Field Goals: 45.37%
  • Three Points: 32.67%
  • Free Throws: 74.68%
  • Rebounds: 42.29

Why Bet On The Sacramento Kings at +3.5?

Are the Kings a safe bet vs the Nuggets?

Why should you consider betting on Sacramento in this matchup? Well, there’s the fact that the Kings are playing at home where they’ve gone 10-8 so far this season. Then, there’s the fact that the Kings now have some young talent of their own that is blossoming before our very eyes. Fourth-year shooting guard and leading scorer Buddy Hield (19.9 ppg) is starting to play like the first round draft pick he was a few years back.

Second-year point guard De’Aaron Fox looks like a star in the making as he averages an impressive 18.1 points per game and rookie forward Marvin Bagley III has as much upside as any rookie in the league. Last but not least, Sacramento will have some motivation after getting smacked around by Denver the last time they met, not to mention the fact that they’re looking to snap a two-game skid that includes their 113-108 overtime loss to Portland on Tuesday.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 115.03
  • Field Goals: 46.88%
  • Three Points: 38.30%
  • Free Throws: 70.92%
  • Rebounds: 44.54
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 116.70
  • Field Goals: 47.30%
  • Three Points: 34.27%
  • Free Throws: 76.11%
  • Rebounds: 48.86

NBA Betting Trends for Nuggets vs Kings

  • Denver is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Denver is 7-2 SU in the last 9 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games
  • Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Sacramento is 1-6 SU in the last 7 games when playing Denver
  • The total went OVER in 9 of Sacramento’s last 11 games

Expert NBA Betting Analysis and Prediction for Nuggets vs Kings

I won’t waste a lot of time beating around the bush with my pick on this matchup simply because I believe Denver is a virtual lock to win and cash in against Sacramento in this contest. Denver is firing on all cylinders right now and they’re definitely motivated to get the win tonight to hold on to their narrow, half-game lead over Golden State for the top team in the Western Conference.

While the Nuggets have gone 0-5 ATS in their last five road games, Denver is also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following an SU win and an identical 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings against Sacramento. Conversely, the Kings are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against a team above .600, 0-5 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall. Denver wins and covers!

NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets 115 Kings 106