Pistons at Hornets Odds, Analysis & Score Prediction - 2024 NBA Week 5 Lines

Pistons at Hornets Odds, Analysis & Score Prediction – 2024 NBA Week 5 Lines

The lone NBA nationally televised game features two very improved teams from last season who might actually compete for a play-in spot in the East as the Detroit Pistons visit Charlotte.

The Hornets are home short favorites on the NBA odds in Week 5.

Opening Lines Subject to Change: Charlotte -1 (total 222)
Expert Prediction: Hornets 112, Pistons 110
 

Detroit Pistons -120

The Pistons had a two-game winning streak snapped in a 122-112 home loss to Chicago on Monday. A win today would have put Detroit at .500 16 games into the season for the first time since 2018-19 (9-7). It would also have been the team’s first-three-game winning streak since March 31 – April 3, 2022.

Detroit kept the game close for the first 40 minutes, but lost too many Bulls shooters on the perimeter. Chicago shot 23-46 (50%) on 3-pointers, including 7-15 (47%) in the fourth quarter. The Pistons had 16 offensive rebounds to Chicago’s 10 and only committed nine turnovers, but they only hit 34% of their 3-pointers while the Bulls were making half of theirs.

Cade Cunningham

Cunningham led Detroit per usual with 26 points, 10 assists and six rebounds – he has now handed out 10 or more in four consecutive appearances. Cunningham has fourth straight double-doubles and has scored at least 20 points in all but three games this season. He is one of four players in the NBA averaging at least 20.0 PTS, 8.0 AST and 7.0 REB along with Nikola Jokic, James Harden and LeBron James.

Jalen Duren

Duren dominated the boards with 22 rebounds (one shy of career high) along with 15 points. It was Duren’s second straight double-double and 12 of those rebounds were offensively. Those were the most offensive boards by a Piston since Andre Drummond in 2015, tied for the 5th-most in franchise history, and the most total rebounds by any player in the NBA this season. Duren is 12th in the league in rebounds per game at 10.5, but he has only played 25 minutes per game, which is a lower number than everyone ranked in front of him.

Malik Beasley

Beasley provided a boost off the bench with 21 points and four rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. returned to the lineup after missing the last three games injured, which pushed Beasley back to the bench. However, that didn’t put an end to his hot shooting run. Beasley has now scored at least 20 points in five straight games and in six of their last seven. Hardaway struggled with two points on 1-for-10 shooting.

Thursday could be the season debut of Pistons forward Ausar Thompson, the No. 5 overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft. Thompson has been sidelined since March while dealing with blood clots but has been cleared by the NBA’s fitness-to-play panel. Thompson joined the G League’s Motor City Cruise on Tuesday to get in some practice time but was recalled by Detroit on Wednesday. Head coach J.B. Bickerstaff said that the team doesn’t want to play Thompson in a game until he’s completely comfortable so perhaps it won’t be Thursday quite yet.

Detroit’s defensive rating of 111.4 is ninth-best in the NBA. It is the Pistons’ best defensive showing since turning in a 108.7 rating in 2018-19, and they have ranked in the bottom-11 in the NBA in each of the past five seasons. They have held opponents under 110 points eight times, under 105 six times and under 100 three times this season.

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Charlotte Hornets -115

Charlotte lost for the fourth time in five games Tuesday, 116-115 in Brooklyn. Ahead by three points with two minutes remaining, Brooklyn’s Trendon Watford drove the lane for a layup and extended the lead to 111-108. On the play, Watford made contact with Tre Mann’s face. A relay review took the basket away and there was a ruling of a defensive foul. Watford made both free throws. The Hornets’ Brandon Miller missed a 3-pointer that would have tied the game with 1.1 seconds left. Grant Williams then tipped the ball as time expired.

Brandon Miller

Miller was terrific otherwise, shooting 11-of-17 from the field and 2-of-2 from the foul line to finish with 29 points. The point total was the highest for him since November 8, when he scored 29 in a win over the Pacers. Miles Bridges chipped in 21 points. After shooting 11-of-35 from the field and scoring 14 points or less in each of his first three games of November, Bridges has upped his production. He’s scored 19 or more in four straight, surpassing the 20-point mark for the third time this season on Tuesday.

Tre Mann

Mann was in some question with an injury but finished with 19 points and six assists. After scoring 23 points in a November 1 loss to the Celtics, Mann went six straight games with 14 or fewer before Tuesday’s bounce-back effort. Grant Williams was terrific with 16 points, seven rebounds, four assists and three blocks. Charlotte’s net rating improves by 16.7 points with him on the court, a mark that ranks in the 94th percentile leaguewide.

LaMelo Ball

However, star Ball struggled a bit, finishing with a season-low 12 points on 3-of-13 shooting, five assists and four turnovers. He also sat the final 3:48. However, Ball is one of seven qualified players this season to average 25.0 PPG and 5.0 APG. He leads the NBA in fourth quarter PPG (10.3). He has made a 3-pointer in 33 straight games, the second-longest streak of his career (franchise-record 53, March 11, 2022 – Oct. 27, 2023).

For the third time in five games Tuesday, the Hornets established a new season high for turnovers, this time coughing it up 23 times for 24 Brooklyn points. Charlotte had its second-best field-goal percentage of the season (46.3%), but didn’t get enough shots. The Hornets did hit 20-of-37 3-point attempts, good for a season-best percentage (54.1%; previous 44.4%). It’s the fourth time in franchise history that the team has notched consecutive games with 20-or-more 3-pointers and first time since March 11-14, 2022.

Charlotte is third in the NBA in second chance points (17.3) and second in second chance points allowed (12.5). It is the only team in the league to rank in the top five in both categories.

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How to Bet Pistons at Hornets Odds

When: Thursday, 7 PM ET
Where: Spectrum Center
TV: NBA TV
Stream: NBA.com, NBA TV app

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Pistons vs Hornets Series History

Thursday marks the second of four meetings between the clubs. On Nov. 6 also in Charlotte, the Hornets won 108-107 as Brandon Miller scored off an offensive rebound at the buzzer. Miles Bridges had 27 points and LaMelo Ball added 25 points on five 3-pointers for the Hornets. Miller finished with 19 points. Cade Cunningham had a triple-double for Detroit with 20 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. Jaden Ivey added 21 points for the Pistons.

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2018 Pistons vs Hornets
 

In the Eastern Conference, we are finally starting to see some separation at the top, with 5 teams starting to pull away from the pack. They are still close enough that the teams sitting below them can keep the pace, which is what the Detroit Pistons and Charlotte Hornets will be looking to do on Friday night. The Pistons are 7 games out of the lead, while the Hornets are a half-game behind their Friday night opponent.

This is a match-up that the Hornets have had the best of in the last couple of season, winning 4 straight against the Pistons, including both previous meetings this season. With that in mind, it’s probably no real surprise that Charlotte is in as a 4 ½ point favorite for this one, with the point total set at 218 ½.

Pistons vs Hornets NBA Odds & Expert Prediction

  • When: Friday, December 21 at 7 PM EST
  • Where: Spectrum Center, Charlotte
  • TV: NBA Network
  • Radio: TuneIn
  • Live Stream: NBA League Pass
  • NBA Odds: Charlotte Hornets -4.5 (Total 218.5)

Team Records

  • All: Detroit Pistons 15-14 / Charlotte Hornets 15-15
  • Home: Detroit Pistons 10-7 / Charlotte Hornets 11-7
  • Away: Detroit Pistons 5-7 / Charlotte Hornets 4-8
  • ATS: Detroit Pistons 15-13-1 / Charlotte Hornets 16-14
  • Over/Under: Detroit Pistons 14-15 / Charlotte Hornets 16-14

Why bet on the Detroit Pistons?

The Pistons were able to break out of a 6-game losing skid last week and are now on a run where they have won 2 of their last 3 games. Where the Pistons have been good of late is against the spread, as they have now covered in each of their last 4 games.

As the underdog this season, they have gone 10-6-1 ATS, and are 6-3 ATS when installed as the road underdog. Over the last 10 games, it has been the UNDER that has been the most common outcome for the Pistons, with no less than 10 of their games going that direction. While not great, their road record certainly isn’t terrible at 5-7 SU.

Team Stats

Offense

  • Total Score: 109.66
  • Field Goal Percentage: 43.69
  • Three-Point Percentage: 32.93
  • Free Throw Percentage: 72.06
  • Total Rebounds: 47.41

Defense

  • Total Score: 110.31
  • Field Goal Percentage: 46.28
  • Three-Point Percentage: 31.73
  • Free Throw Percentage: 78.31
  • Total Rebounds: 44.59

Why bet on the Charlotte Hornets?

As we mentioned earlier, the Hornets have already taken a pair of games from the Pistons this season, although the last one played in Charlotte saw them separated by just a single point. The Hornets have had a problem maintaining any level of consistency, going through small winning streaks before succumbing to short losing streaks.

That has led them to a 5-5 record over their last 10 games and made it tough for them to move up in the conference. Covering the spread has not been something that Charlotte has done very often of late, covering just 3 times in their last 10 games. They are 6-8 ATS when in as a home favorite and have seen 7 of their last 10 games go OVER.

Team Stats

Offense

  • Total Score: 113.67
  • Field Goal Percentage: 45.62
  • Three-Point Percentage: 35.58
  • Free Throw Percentage: 80.03
  • Total Rebounds: 44.10

Defense

  • Total Score: 111.40
  • Field Goal Percentage: 46.35
  • Three-Point Percentage: 34.93
  • Free Throw Percentage: 76.76
  • Total Rebounds: 46.20

Latest Pistons vs Hornets NBA Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit’s last 11 games
  • Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte’s last 7 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

It’s tough to bet against Charlotte given the recent success that they have had against the Detroit Pistons, which is why I am on them to win again on Friday night. I also like them to cover, and I think we will see the total slip OVER.

Score: Detroit Pistons 108 – Charlotte Hornets 114

 
 
 
 

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