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The Buffalo Bills lost their first game of the season, but the Bills’ Super Bowl odds barely moved. Buffalo is a +440 favorite this week as opposed to a +400 chalk last week. The Chiefs lost to the Colts but remain second choice. Philadelphia leapfrogged the Buccaneers to become the first choice among NFC teams to win the Super Bowl. Check out updated Super Bowl Odds and analysis.

Updated Odds to Win the Super Bowl LVII After Week 3 of the 2022 NFL Season

Super Bowl LVII

When: Sunday, Feb. 12, 2023
Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
TV: Fox

Updated Super Bowl 57 Odds

Buffalo Bills +440
Kansas City Chiefs +740
Philadelphia Eagles +870
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +890
Green Bay Packers +990
Los Angeles Rams +1225
Baltimore Ravens +1400
Miami Dolphins +1500
Los Angeles Chargers +1925
Denver Broncos +2100
San Francisco 49ers +2100
Minnesota Vikings +2400
Cincinnati Bengals +2500
Indianapolis Colts +3200
Dallas Cowboys +3300
Cleveland Browns +4100
Tennessee Titans +5200
Arizona Cardinals +5400
Jacksonville Jaguars +6200
New Orleans Saints +6400
New England Patriots +7500
Las Vegas Raiders +8000
New York Giants +9500
Detroit Lions +10000
Pittsburgh Steelers +11000
Carolina Panthers +13000
Washington Commanders +14000
Chicago Bears +15000
Atlanta Falcons +22000
New York Jets +28000
Seattle Seahawks +34000
Houston Texans +46000

After loss to Miami, Bills become an underlay

Buffalo had every chance to beat the Dolphins but failed to do so. Because the Bills couldn’t win a close game versus a division rival, we must reevaluate Buffalo’s Lombardi Trophy odds.

At +440, the Bills are a massive underlay. Buffalo beat up a Rams team that isn’t nearly as formidable in 2022 as it was in 2021 in their first game. Then in their second, the Bills beat up a bad Titans team.

This Sunday, Buffalo takes on Baltimore. The Ravens can score and the Bills have injuries on their defense. If you believe in Buffalo, wait until that game finishes. The Ravens have a real chance of winning. A Baltimore win should catapult the Bills’ odds to +600 or higher.

The Eagles are an underlay and the Jags are a massive overlay

Sure, Philadelphia has looked great in their first three games of the season. But we shouldn’t read too much into beating the Lions, Vikings, and Commanders.

Also, versus Detroit, Philadelphia had to rally to force overtime. So it’s not like the Eagles have dusted the best of the best. In NFL Week 4, Philly takes on a good Jacksonville Jaguars team.

The Jags have a ton of momentum after yielding a combined total of 17 points in back-to-back blowout wins versus the Indianapolis Colts and Los Angeles Chargers.

Jacksonville is a huge overlay at +6200 odds. The Jags field a top 3 defense and the offense has started to play great football. If Jacksonville upsets the Eagles, it will be 3 straight versus teams that should have wiped them off the field.

If you’re looking for overlays, check out the Dolphins and Cowboys

Miami has a tough Thursday night game versus the defending AFC Champion Cincinnati Bengals. If Tua Tagovailoa isn’t hurt, the Dolphins could win that game.

The Cowboys should roll past the Washington Commanders. Soon, Dak Prescott will return for the Cowboys while Tagovailoa is playing like a potential NFL MVP.

Both offer higher odds than they should to win Super Bowl 57. So if you’re looking to back an overlay this week, consider the Boys or the Fins.

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