Outsmart the Odds: Beat the System with Online NFL Betting Strategies

Previous Betting News

The 2023-2024 NFL Season starts on Thursday, Sep 7. Before the season starts, we thought it a good idea to have one, final, betting analysis of the 2023 NFL Calendar.

In the below blog, we choose the best bet and top underdog bet from NFL Week 1 to NFL Week 18 this regular season.

Another Full Betting Analysis of the 2023 NFL Calendar Before the Season Starts | MyBookie 2023 Season Preview

NFL Regular Season: September 7, 2023 – January 7, 2024

NFL Week 1

September 7th – September 12th, 2023

Best Bet: New Orleans -3.5 vs Tennessee
The Saints signed Derek Carr, Michael Thomas is healthy, and Chris Olave projects to break out as one of the league’s top wide receivers. Tennessee’s pass defense ranked dead last in 2022.

Top Underdog Bet: New England +4 vs Philadelphia
Bill Belichick used the Pats’ fist three draft picks on defense. New England could field the top defense in the league and the Patriots’ offense will be better with Bill O’Brien calling the plays.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 1
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 2

September 13th – September 19th, 2023

Best Bet: Philadelphia ATS vs Minnesota
The Vikings’ offense won’t be better than it was last season while Minnesota’s should not be good. The number will be big, but the Eagles cover.

Top Underdog Bet: New York Jets SU at Dallas Cowboys
Both teams have good defenses. The Jets’ is better. During his career, Aaron Rodgers has dominated the Boys. Nothing will change.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 2
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 3

September 20th – September 26th, 2023

Best Bet: Seattle ATS vs Carolina
The Panthers’ offensive line appears to be a disaster. So any advantage Carolina’s offense had over a bad Seattle defense will be moot.

Top Underdog Bet: Denver ATS vs Miami
Sean Payton heads to South Beach with the better defense. By NFL Week 3, Payton might also have the better offense.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 3
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 4

September 27th – October 3rd, 2023

Best Bet: Indianapolis ATS vs the Rams
The Rams should have no shot stopping what will be a very good Colts’ offense. Indy’s defense will rock the Rams’ offensive line.

Top Underdog Bet: New York Jets SU vs Kansas City Chiefs
The KC pass rush will struggle versus Rodgers. Also, the Jets’ defense is designed to take advantage of a team like the Chiefs.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 4
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 5

October 4th – October 10th, 2023

Best Bet: Kansas City ATS at Minnesota
Minnesota’s defense should have no shot of stopping Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense. Cousins and Jefferson will try to keep up. They won’t succeed.

Top Underdog Bet: Jacksonville SU at Buffalo
Jacksonville will be a better team this season than the Bills. Oddsmakers won’t know this until after NFL Week 9.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 5
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 6

October 11th – October 17th, 2023

Best Bet: Miami vs Carolina
The Panthers chose their franchise quarterback, but they didn’t build an offensive line around Bryce Young. By week 6, Carolina may have already shut down Bryce for the season. Dolphins roll.

Top Underdog Bet: Washington SU at Atlanta
The Falcons will be a decent team. But quarterback Sam Howell gets to run plays designed by Eric Bienemy. Also, D.C.’s defensive line might be the best in the NFL.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 6
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 7

October 18th – October 24th, 2023

Best Bet: Denver ATS vs Green Bay
Jordan Love should have his ups and downs in his first season replacing Aaron Rodgers. More importantly, the Broncos will go from the AFC West cellar to the top of the division in their first under Sean Payton.

Top Underdog Bet: Jacksonville SU vs New Orleans
The Saints should be one of the better teams in the NFC. However, in NFL Week 7, New Orleans faces Jacksonville, which could be this season’s top AFC squad. Saints fall in the Dome.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 7
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 8

October 25th – October 31st, 2023

Best Bet: Detroit ATS vs Las Vegas
Jimmy G. could be injured. Even if he isn’t, it’s difficult envisioning Vegas’ offense keeping up with Detroit’s.

Top Underdog Bet: Chicago ATS at Chargers
Los Angeles has the much better defense, but the Chargers might not be ready for the Bears’ offense. The Bears’ offense should be good enough to keep pace with the Bolts’.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 8
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 9

November 1st – November 7th, 2023

Best Bet: Cincinnati ATS vs Buffalo
Bengals fans will be happy to see Buffalo player Dhamer Hamlin. But that won’t keep Cincinnati from winning and covering.

Top Underdog Bet: Miami ATS vs Kansas City
The Chiefs won the Super Bowl but during the regular season, the Chiefs were a betting disaster. KC was one of the the worst teams in the NFL versus the spread. Miami may not win SU, but they should cover ATS.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 9
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 10

November 8th – November 14th, 2023

Best Bet: Tampa Bay ATS vs Tennessee
Tampa’s defense should be better than it was last season and so will the rushing attack. The Bucs project to go under the radar as well, which means TB will face an overlay spread line.

Top Underdog Bet: Arizona ATS vs Atlanta
The Cardinals shouldn’t be a good team this season. But Arizona gets the Falcons at home. Cards will surprise once in a while, especially against the spread.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 10
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 11

November 15th – November 21st, 2023

Best Bet: Kansas City ATS vs Philadelphia
The Eagles have one flaw on their team. The linebackers aren’t as solid as they were last season. it’s not even a flaw, but it will cost the Eagles versus Kansas City, who will exploit the middle of the field.

Top Underdog Bet: New York Jets ATS at Buffalo
Aaron Rodgers versus Josh Allen should be a great quarterback duel. Rodgers has already picked up the entire Jets organization. NYJ can get it done against the spread.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 11
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 12

November 22nd – November 28th, 2023

Best Bet: San Francisco ATS at Seattle
SF should be a slight chalk versus the rival Seahawks. The problem Seattle will have is scoring against a top three NFL defense while holding off what should be one of the better offenses in the league.

Top Underdog Bet: Pittsburgh ATS at Cincinnati
Cincinnati is the better team than the Steelers. However, Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin will have a strategy to keep this game closer than the spread.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 12
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 13

November 29th – December 5th, 2023

Best Bet: New Orleans ATS vs Detroit
The Saints take on the Lions in the Superdome, which will give Carr and New Orleans’ offense the edge over Goff and the Lions’ offense.

Top Underdog Bet: Green Bay ATS vs Kansas City
The Chiefs travel to Green Bay where although they will win straight up, they won’t win against the spread.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 13
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 14

December 6th – December 12th, 2023

Best Bet: San Francisco ATS vs Seattle
San Francisco is the best team in the NFC West. Seattle is a playoff contender, but the 49ers are Super Bowl contenders.

Top Underdog Bet: Denver ATS vs Chargers
The Broncos travel to Los Angeles where they will be at least a -4.5 underdog. The game should come down to a field goal or less. So Denver covers.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 14
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 15

December 13th – December 19th, 2023

Best Bet: Washington ATS at Rams
The Rams will be one of the worst teams, if not the worst, in the league. In NFL Week 15, many will see Washington as a chance for the Rams to get a win and cover. It won’t happen.

Top Underdog Bet: Arizona ATS vs San Francisco
Zona won’t beat the 49ers, but San Francisco could face a spread line they will struggle to cover. SF wins SU and the Cardinals win ATS.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 15
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 16

December 20th – December 26th, 2023

Best Bet: Minnesota ATS vs Detroit
The Lions should be better than the Vikings this season. But Minnesota takes on New Orleans on their field in NFL Week 16.

Top Underdog Bet: New England SU vs Denver
Sean Payton’s offense versus Bill Belichick’s defense should make for excellent football. The wildcard in this game will be Mac Jones, who by NFL Week 16 will have developed into one of the league’s top signal-callers.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 16
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 17

December 27th, 2023 – January 2nd, 2024

Best Bet: Houston ATS vs Tennessee
The home squad Texans will play well enough to keep the Titans from winning SU or ATS.

Top Underdog Bet: Cincinnati SU at Kansas City
The Bengals signed away Kansas City’s left tackle from last season, Orlando Brown Jr. Joe Burrow often had KC’s number without Brown Jr. protecting the left side.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 17
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

NFL Week 18

January 3rd – January 12th, 2024

Best Bet: New Orleans ATS vs Atlanta
In the Saints versus Falcons rivalry, New Orleans has the edge. This season, the Saints should have one of the better teams in the league considering the offense will be much improved and the defense is already good.

Top Underdog Bet: Washington ATS vs Dallas
The Commanders battle the rival Cowboys at FedEx Field in their final game of the season. the Boys may not require a victory. But even if Dallas does, D.C. plays well enough for the cover victory.

NFL Top Bets | Bet NFL Week 18
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

The following NFL betting odds are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.

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Previous Betting News

With a variety of factors always contributing towards the success of teams in any given season; analyzing game schedules (especially in the preseason) can be very difficult. Personally, I prefer waiting until the preseason to place my bets, mainly because I usually have a more representative picture of teams and how they are likely to perform in the season at such a time. Of course, there’s nothing wrong if you are among the millions of people who opt to bet on teams way before the season begins. You just have to remember to do it the right way, especially when it comes to analyzing game schedules appropriately. Here are some NFL betting tips that can help you handicap game schedules in a better way.

NFL Betting: Analyzing Game Schedules

Travelling

One of the biggest reasons why teams tend to perform well at home is because of the convenience that comes with not having to endure long travels. Traveling, especially cross-country trips, often wear down the players more son when teams have several trips condensed together in their schedules. When betting on game schedules, be sure to consider the aspect of exhaustion, as it can easily be the difference between a winning and losing effort in any game.

Strength of Schedule

Obviously, playing a strong strength of schedule (SOS) is something that all NFL teams would love to avoid, largely because it is often more difficult to beat a team that played strongly in the previous season as opposed to playing a lighter opponent. But then again, playing a soft schedule is not a guarantee that things will be easy; something that has been repeatedly proven by members of the AFC South and NFC South Divisions, who have a tendency of playing underwhelming football and finishing with bad records in spite of regularly facing soft SOS. When handicapping games based on strength of schedule, you should therefore keep in mind that, although tough schedules make it difficult for teams to win games consistently, different teams perform differently when subjected to different schedules.

Bye Week

The placement of the bye week is a key consideration when assessing how teams will perform in their schedules. If the bye, for example, comes after a bad streak, it could be a good thing, offering a team a chance to heal and rebuild. If it comes too early, it often predisposes teams to exhaustion towards the end of the season. If it comes too late, it may also not be a good thing, as certain teams can’t change much or build any momentum from it. The best time for a bye is arguably mid-way through the season. But not all teams get byes at the middle of the season, and not all teams that get it at mid-season use it to their advantage. In short, the bye week is a case-specific element that is best analyzed during the season with real facts rather than during the preseason when we don’t have an idea about things like a team’s form entering the bye.

Team and Roster Changes

Coaching changes, front-office reshuffles, roster tweaks (through trades and drafts), along with related issues such as suspensions and injuries can have a huge impact on how teams perform with their respective changes. It is therefore paramount to pay attention to these details during the offseason just in the same way we should take note of them during the regular season.