Super Bowl Betting After Week 8: Buffalo Favorite to Win it All

For the first time this season, Kyler Murray and the undefeated Arizona Cardinals suffered a loss. Aaron Rodgers led the Green Bay Packers into The Valley and upset the Cards on the moneyline. The game affected Super Bowl odds for both teams. Keep reading for updated odds to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy as well as this week’s Super Bowl odds analysis.

Updated Super Bowl Odds Heading Into Week 9 of the 2021 Season

Super Bowl LVI

When: Sunday, Feb. 13, 2022
Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
TV / Streaming: NBC

Super Bowl LVI Odds

Buffalo Bills +500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +600
Los Angeles Rams +650
Green Bay Packers +900
Dallas Cowboys +1000
Arizona Cardinals +1100
Kansas City Chiefs +1200
Baltimore Ravens +1200
Tennessee Titans +1600
New Orleans Saints +2500
Los Angeles Chargers +2500
Cleveland Browns +4000
Indianapolis Colts +4000
Pittsburgh Steelers +4000
New England Patriots +4000
Las Vegas Raiders +4000
Cincinnati Bengals +4500
San Francisco 49ers +5000
Seattle Seahawks +6600
Minnesota Vikings +8000
Denver Broncos +10000
Philadelphia Eagles +12500
Carolina Panthers +12500
Atlanta Falcons +35000
Chicago Bears +35000
Washington Football Team +50000
New York Giants +75000
Miami Dolphins +100000
Jacksonville Jaguars +100000
New York Jets +100000
Houston Texans +100000
Detroit Lions +100000

Buffalo, Tampa Bay and the Los Angeles Rams separate from the rest

Buffalo is an outright favorite at +500. But both the Rams and Buccaneers are on their heels. The Rams are at +650 while Tom Brady and Tampa Bay are at +600.

The Buccaneers fell to the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. The loss sent the Bucs from +500 to +600. So the move isn’t overly pronounced. But that doesn’t mean Tampa is an overlay.

Unless the Bucs rush the football better and the defense improves, the Rams are the better play to win the NFC.

Los Angeles is working on a deal to bring Von Miller to Inglewood. The Denver Broncos’ top defensive player should make the Rams’ defense one of the best in the NFL. As long as Matthew Stafford continues to play at his current MVP level, the Rams should remain the team to beat in the NFC.

Which team, Green Bay or Dallas, is a better play at the odds?

By far, Dallas is the better play. The Cowboys defense heads into Week 9 after shutting down Kirk Cousins and Dalvin Cook.

Dallas also beat the Vikings behind Cooper Rush because Big D sat Dak Prescott. Dallas is firing on all cylinders. At +1000, the Cowboys are an overlay.

Are the Cardinals, Chiefs, and Ravens plays against at their current odds?

Yep. All three teams are plays against to win the Super Bowl. Expect much higher odds than what each offers.

Let’s start with Kansas City. The Chiefs’ four wins this season have been versus a fading Cleveland Browns team in Week 1, the terrible Washington Commanders, the barely better than the WFT, New York Giants, and the so-so Philadelphia Eagles.

So the Chiefs can beat every team in the NFC East not named the Dallas Cowboys and the Browns, who have quickly become the worst team in the AFC North.

The Ravens are a good football team. But it feels like every week Lamar Jackson must bail them out of a hole. The defense isn’t great.

The Cardinals have the best chance of the three. Kyler Murray looked banged up after the loss to the Packers, though. Almost as important? JJ Watt may not play another snap this season and the Rams are in the same division as the Cardinals.

Name this week’s two top overlays to win the Super Bowl

Although the Jets beat them, the Bengals shouldn’t offer odds more than +3000. At +4500 they’re a bargain.

Cincinnati failed to create a viable game plan against Jets’ quarterback Mike White. The Bengals’ tried to adjust but couldn’t enough to keep White leading J-E-T-S to victory.

Cincy’s D is much better than it showed in the loss. Also, Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, and Ja’Marr Chase continue to dominate.

The New Orleans Saints lost Jameis Winston for the season. But losing Winston may not be as devastating as we think. Jameis was having a good season. But he completed less than 60% of his passes.

Not only that, but the Saints rank thirty-first in passing yards per. New Orleans beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with Trevor Siemian at quarterback. There’s no reason to believe Siemian, or Taysom Hill, or, maybe, even rookie Ian Book can’t be effective running the Saints rush first and dink and dunk offense.

If the Saints’ defense stays together, and Mark Ingram II and Alvin Kamara stay healthy, New Orleans will have a real shot.

I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?