No. 7 – Invest Carefully!Like all investments, you need to think carefully when managing your money. I mean, unless you’re Floyd ‘Money’ Mayweather that is. Anyway, using smart money management is crucial to becoming a successful NFL gridiron gambler. If you suffer a losing week, don’t simply throw more money on games or increase the number of your bets in order to ‘make up’ for lost cash. Some NFL gamblers try to play ‘catch-up’ for their Sunday losses by betting heavy on the weekly Monday Night Football matchup, but remember, if it isn’t an attractive affair offering a spread or total you feel really comfortable about, you probably shouldn’t bet on it.
No. 6 – Keep it Real!Every bettor wants to win 60% of their picks or more, but the fact of the matter is that everyone isn’t me. Seriously though, not many bettors are able to achieve this coveted winning percentage because they ‘over-wager’ instead of simply staying with their best handful of best picks each week.
No. 5 – Have a Short MemoryWhile I am a big believer in recent performance, it’s also true that you don’t want to put too much stock in any team or player’s performance the week before. If you mistakenly commit this mistake thinking a team or player will simply perform in an identical manner to the week before, it could end up costing you big-time. Again, while you should place some emphasis on recent play, I also say, take each matchup for what it’s worth based on its own merits. Case in point…just because the Oakland Raiders played poorly against Kansas City the week before does not automatically mean they’ll play bad football against Cleveland in their upcoming game.
No. 4 – Looks Like a Lock?If you’re making an ATS wager on a heavy favorite, be careful, In today’s parity-laden times, blowouts and lopsided affairs just don’t happen as often as they once did. In college football, one powerful program may simply have far too much talent than their mid-major opponent. This generally isn’t the case in the NFL, although there are a few talent-bereft teams in the league. Favorites covered the spread just 47.8 percent of the time in 2014 (125-136-6) although favorites are a great SU Moneyline pick, cashing in at a consistently high 67.2 percent rate a year ago (179-87-1).
No. 3 – Weather Watcher!I know being a weatherman…Oops, I mean ‘meteorologist’ is one of the only professions in the world where you can be wrong 90 percent of the time and keep your job, but it really is important that you stay abreast of the weather in every game you’re planning on betting on. As Peyton Manning can attest, teams and players based in warm climates traditionally struggle in cold temperatures (oh, he no longer plays in a dome?) Wind can wreak havoc on some teams and NFL quarterbacks that rely on their passing attacks. Wet conditions can hurts teams and players with fumbles and mishandles.