When it comes time to wager on games, we all use a ton of data to come up with a specific outcome. The fact that winning consistently remains tough is a sign that numbers on paper do not always translate to play on the field. You can look at one of the best teams in the league going against one of the worst teams and automatically assume that you have an easy win lined up, only for that lesser team to come out and get the win. It happens all the time, particularly in baseball where it is very difficult to consistently win over the course of a 162-game season.
It’s also tough to go out and beat the same team, especially a division rival, 3 or 4 times in a row over the course of a few days. This helps explain why the Kansas City Royals and the Houston Astros, who are miles apart in talent, are heading into Wednesday night having split the first 2 games in this series. The Astros are favored by 1 ½, with the run total set at 9.
Royals vs Astros MLB Week 6 Odds & Game Preview
- When: Wednesday, May 8 at 8:10 PM EST
- Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston
- Starting Pitchers: Lopez vs. Peacock
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Radio: Sports 610 AM
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Week 6 Odds: Houston Astros -225 (Total 9)
Why bet on the Kansas City Royals?
The Royals come into the final game in this series with a 13-24 season record, which puts them down with the worst teams in baseball right now. That makes their 12-2 win over the Astros in the second game that much more surprising. That said, this is a team that has proven capable of delivering some serious offense, scoring 180 runs thus far, which is actually 1 better than what the Astros have managed.
You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to figure out that they are surrendering a bunch, too, which is why they don’t have a much better record. They are currently sitting at 8-9 ATS as a road dog this season. They will send Jorge Lopez (0-3, 5.09 ERA) to the mound for this one.
- Runs: 4.86
- Hits: 8.38
- Walks: 3.43
- Strike Outs: 8.57
- Runs: 4.95
- Hits: 8.92
- Walks: 3.68
- Strike Outs: 7.70
Why bet on the Houston Astros?
The Astros are once again sitting atop the AL West, but they are a team that has been maddeningly unpredictable, which makes them a team you need to think twice about wagering on. The Astros have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, a run that has helped them open up a 3-game lead on the flagging Mariners in the division.
The loss to the Royals last night was all the more surprising when you consider how good Houston have been in their own ballpark this season, going 11-4 through the first 15 games. That has not translated into them being a good ATS bet, though, as they are just 7-8 ATS as a home favorite. The Astros will send Brad Peacock (2-2, 5.28 ERA) to the mound for this one.
- Runs: 4.97
- Hits: 9.25
- Walks: 3.64
- Strike Outs: 7.33
- Runs: 3.92
- Hits: 6.86
- Walks: 2.44
- Strike Outs: 9.00
Royals vs Astros MLB Week 6 Betting Trends
- Royals are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games on the road
- Royals are 24-69 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
- Astros are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games at home
- Astros are 59-42 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games this season
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Royals vs Astros
Given that the Astros have only lost 4 games at home this season, it’s tough to imagine that they would drop another one to an opponent as weak as the Kansas City Royals. I have Houston winning and covering the spread here.
Score: Kansas City Royals 3 – Houston Astros 5