Prior to the start of every NFL season, it’s fun to look at every team and try to predict how their season will play out.
When doing this, you have to keep in mind that you are probably going to get most of these picks wrong, as there is simply no way to know how injuries and other factors might come into play for teams.
My Analysis
Still, we are going to do our best to try and predict the win totals for every NFL squad, so let’s get started with the AFC.
Kansas City Chiefs Win-Loss Prediction: 12
The Chiefs are the defending champions and will continue to hit double-digit wins until such times as Patrick Mahomes starts to decline, which seems a long way off in the future. I think they will be the best team in the AFC once again.
^Baltimore Ravens Win-Loss Prediction: 11
The big question surrounding the Ravens is whether they can finally get the job done in the postseason in the Lamar Jackson era. They should still be good in the regular season.
^Houston Texans Win-Loss Prediction: 11
It was a spectacular rookie season for CJ Stroud, who took the Texans to the postseason. Another step forward for the young QB this season, I believe.
^Cincinnati Bengals Win-Loss Prediction: 10
This prediction comes with a big asterisk, as I think this win total depends on the health of Joe Burrow.
If he can stay upright and on the field, the number might even be higher.
^Buffalo Bills Win-Loss Prediction: 10
There are some pundits who believe that the Bills are about to take a backward step and potentially miss the playoffs. I’m not in that group.
^Miami Dolphins Win-Loss Prediction: 10
One thing I do believe is that the AFC East is very much up for grabs, and there is the potential that we could see 3 teams head to the postseason.
^Jaylen Waddle:
— Moody (@EricNMoody) September 1, 2024
▶️1 of 5 players in NFL history with 70 receptions and 1,000 receiving yards in each of first 3 seasons
The WR24 in ESPN leagues. pic.twitter.com/HmWKUP188a
New York Jets Win-Loss Prediction: 9
The same rules apply to the Jets as they do with the Bengals, in that their win total depends on the health of their QB. Can Rodgers play the full season?
^Cleveland Browns Win-Loss Prediction: 9
The AFC North is always tough to predict, as it is easily one of the most competitive in the league. You never really know which way the divisional matchups are going to go.
^Pittsburgh Steelers Win-Loss Prediction: 9
Head coach Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season in his time with the Pittsburgh Steelers, so I’m not betting against him maintaining that streak.
^Jacksonville Jaguars Win-Loss Prediction: 8
I think the South is turning into the Texans versus the rest, as Houston appears to have set the bar. The Jaguars very much look like middle of the pack to me.
^Indianapolis Colts Win-Loss Prediction: 8
The Colts say that Anthony Richardson is fine and ready to go, but I want to see more before I get excited about the Colts.
^LA Chargers Win-Loss Prediction: 8
Yes, having Jim Harbaugh in as the new head coach is exciting, but he is going to need some time to get this team moving.
^Denver Broncos Win-Loss Prediction: 7
The Broncos will have a rookie QB under center and hopefully an improved run defense, but it will not be enough for a winning season.
^Tennessee Titans Win-Loss Prediction: 6
Is Will Levis the QB to lead the Titans into a new era? Only time will tell, but I am definitely not totally sold on him.
^Las Vegas Raiders Win-Loss Prediction: 6
The Raiders are stuck in a really tough West Division and look set to be in for a long season in 2024.
^New England Patriots Win-Loss Prediction: 5
How the mighty have fallen. The climb back to the top looks to be a very long one for this team.
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AFC Win-Loss Predictions for Every Team 2024/25 Schedule
While the NFL offseason always feels way too long, there are several markers that indicate we are getting closer to the start.
We hit one of those on Wednesday night with the release of the 2024-25 schedule.
My Analysis
While we all had a feeling about how things might go for every team in the league this season, we now have a lot more to work with given that we know who will be playing who and when, With that in mind, let’s look at the win totals for every team in the AFC and make NFL betting predictions on the OVER/UNDER, keeping in mind that these picks might change over time.
AFC East Division Odds
Buffalo Bills Regular Season Wins 10 ½
The Bills made some big moves in the offseason that have the potential to blow up in their face. The division looks to be stronger this year and I think the Bills take a small backward step. UNDER.
Miami Dolphins Regular Season Wins 9 ½
I think this might be the year when the Dolphins leapfrog the Bills and take control of the East, which is why I think they hit double digits and go OVER.
New York Jets Regular Season Wins 9 ½
Aaron Rodgers will be back in the fold this season, but how will a year away from the game have affected him? If he can stay healthy, the Jets could be a factor and could go OVER.
New England Patriots Regular Season Wins 5 ½
With Bill Belichick gone, it’s the end of an era in New England, which also means the start of a rebuild. This could be a long, painful season. UNDER.
AFC North Division Odds
Baltimore Ravens Regular Season Wins 11 ½
The Ravens have been knocking on the championship door for a few years now. Is this when they get over the hump? It probably all depends on the health of Lamar Jackson. UNDER.
Cleveland Browns Regular Season Wins 8 ½
There were some real injury issues for the Browns last season, but they still managed 11 wins. I don’t think they get near that total this time around. UNDER.
Pittsburgh Steelers Regular Season Wins 7 ½
A whole new offense and an absolutely brutal second half schedule, yet there is real hope in Pittsburgh for the first time in a while. Also, Tomlin has never had a losing season. OVER.
Cincinnati Bengals Regular Season Wins 10 ½
Joe Burrow will be back and ready to go, but there are now some genuine concerns about his ability to stay healthy. If we assume he can stay healthy, then OVER.
AFC South Division Odds
Houston Texans Regular Season Wins 9 ½
The sky seems to be the limit for CJ Stroud, who had a stellar rookie season. If he can even get close to that performance, then this is an easy OVER.
Jacksonville Jaguars Regular Season Wins 8 ½
It was a lack of consistency that hurt the Jaguars last season, so they need to do better with that this time around. I am just not sold on this team, so I am taking the UNDER.
Indianapolis Colts Regular Season Wins 8 ½
The fate of the Colts may well hinge on just how well Anthony Richardson recovers from shoulder surgery. If he is fit and can play all year, they may sneak OVER.
Tennessee Titans Regular Season Wins 6 ½
It’s rebuilding time in Tennessee, which often means that a poor season is coming. UNDER.
AFC West Division Odds
Kansas City Chiefs Regular Season Wins 11 ½
We can generally now accept that the Chiefs are all but guaranteed a double-digit win season, but this number feels a ½ point too high. UNDER.
Las Vegas Raiders Regular Season Wins 6 ½
There are some real concerns at the QB spot in Vegas, which is going to make a playoff spot tough. Still, I think they can do just enough to go OVER.
Denver Broncos Regular Season Wins 5 ½
We will have a pair of young QBs battling it out for the starting spot in what feels like a rebuild year. I am all about the UNDER.
LA Chargers Regular Season Wins 8 ½
It was a nightmare year for the Chargers last season, but they may get a bit of a bounce under new head coach, Jim Harbaugh. Expect better, and perhaps the OVER.
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