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NFL Week 4 Must-Bet Games: Expert Analysis and Odds

NFL Week 4 Must-Bet Games: Expert Analysis and Odds

We have all been watching football long enough to know that it is easy to overreact to what we are seeing in the opening couple of weeks of the season.

We often see unexpected teams get off to a fast start. While the preseason favorites stumble out of the gate.

 

My NFL Betting Analysis in Week 4

Over the long haul, though, things have a way of leveling out and getting closer to what we expected prior to the start of the season.

I have always been of the belief that we shouldn’t judge any team until after the opening month of the season, which is where we will be at after the action of Week 4.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at the upcoming games and pick out the ones that jump off the schedule.

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Dallas Cowboys -216 at New York Giants +173

When: TNF, September 26, 8:15 PM, Prime Video
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

The Thursday night game brings us a divisional matchup, with the NFC East looking very much up for grabs in the early going. We are 3 weeks in and the pressure is already on the Cowboys, who will be hitting the road after losing back-to-back games in their own building. While road games are always tough, getting out of town might be the best thing for the 1-2 Cowboys. The Giants lost their opening 2 games of the season, but they did get back on track with a win this past weekend. The Cowboys are a 4 ½ point road favorite, with the total for this one set at 45.

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New Orleans Saints +104 at Atlanta Falcons -127

When: Sunday, September 29, 1:00 PM, FOX
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

The NFC South is another division that looks to be wide open, with 3 of the 4 teams considered to be in with a shot at winning it. Two of those teams will meet this weekend when the Saints hit the road to face the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints looked like the bets team in the league through their opening 2 games of the season, but they came back to Earth with a loss to the Eagles this past weekend. The Falcons are 1-2 and coming off a controversial loss to the Chiefs, where a missed pass interference call essentially cost them the game. This looks like a coin flip game, with the Falcons starting as a 2-point home favorite. The point total is set at 42.

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Minnesota Vikings +114 at Green Bay Packers -140

When: Sunday, September 29, 1:00 PM, CBS
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

One of the biggest surprises of the season has been the play of the Minnesota Vikings, and specifically that of their QB, Sam Darnold. The Vikings have looked fantastic through the opening 2 weeks, winning all 3 games, with Darnold looking like the player the Jets thought they were getting when they drafted him a few years back. This weekend, they will play a divisional game against the Packers, who are 2-1 despite losing QB, Jordan Love for a few weeks. While this one certainly won’t decide the division, it could potentially put the Vikings in total control with the win or make things tighter still if the Packers come away with the victory. The Packers are favored by 2 ½ at home, with the point total set at 43 ½.

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Pittsburgh Steelers -129 at Indianapolis Colts +106

When: Sunday, September 29, 1:00 PM, CBS
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

I think it’s fair to say that the majority of the 3-0 teams are something of a surprise. I was of the belief that the Steelers would be better this season, but they are much better than I expected them to be. The defense looks like the type of unit that wins championships, although the offense is playing a bit of catch up. The Colts started the season with back-to-back losses, but they got on track with a win in Week 3, but can they carry that over into this weekend? Also, how is their young QB going to do against a defense that is at the very top of its game? The Steelers will head into Indianapolis as a modest 2-point favorite, with the total set at 40.

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Philadelphia Eagles -136 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers +111

When: Sunday, September 29, 1:00 PM, FOX
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

As we mentioned earlier, the NFC East looks as though it is going to be tight all season long, assuming that the Washington Commanders can maintain their fast start. The Eagles looked set to fall to 1-2 this season, but they were able to grind out a big win on the road against the New Orleans Saints, but things will not get much easier this weekend. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers opened the season with wins in the first 2 weeks, looking very good in the process, but they took their first loss of the season in Week 3. This is one of the better matchups on the schedule this weekend, and it is the Eagles who are in as a modest 2 ½ point favorite, with the total set at 45.

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Kansas City Chiefs -420 at LA Chargers +320

When: Sunday, September 29, 4:25 PM, CBS
Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

While the 2-time defending Super Bowl champions are sitting at 3-0, they are perhaps a little lucky to be there. They have been the beneficiaries of a couple of dodgy calls over the past couple of weeks, with those referee decisions helping the Chiefs to win a pair of tight games that they might otherwise have lost had those calls not come in. Still, this is a team that continually finds a way to win. The Chargers saw their perfect start to the season come to an end in Pittsburgh this past weekend, and there have to be some concerns about the health of Justin Herbert, who was pulled from that game. The Chiefs are favored by 6 and the point total is at 39.

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Buffalo Bills +110 at Baltimore Ravens -135

When: SNF, September 29, 8:20 PM, MBC / Peacock
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

There were more than a few fans and pundits who were of the belief that the Buffalo Bills were about to take a backward step this season, but 3 weeks in, they actually look better than ever, winning all 3 of their games and racking up points in the process. This, though, is arguably their toughest test of the season to this point. The Ravens started out at 0-2, but they delivered a big performance in Dallas this past weekend, although they almost gassed yet another double-digit lead in the late stages of that one. The Ravens are currently a 2 ½ point favorite, with the total set at 46.

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2021 Must Bet Games Week 4
 

NFL Week 4 kicks off on Thursday, Sep. 30, when the Cincinnati Bengals host the Jacksonville Jaguars a -7 ½ favorite. Top Sunday matchups include undefeated Carolina at Dallas, the 3-0 Denver Broncos hosting the Baltimore Ravens, and Tom Brady leading the Buccaneers in his return to New England. Check out NFL odds, analysis, and free picks for every game in NFL Week 4.

2021 NFL Regular Season – Week 4 Odds Analysis & Picks

2021 NFL Week 4

When: Thursday, Sep. 30 – Monday, Oct. 4


Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals -7 ½

When: Thursday, Sep. 30

Cincinnati’s 24-10 win over Pittsburgh impressed. But the Bengals offer a lot of points in this game. Jacksonville is a bad football team. Still, the Jags can score, they put up 19 in a loss to AZ. Taking the points makes sense.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars


Washington Football Team -1 ½ vs Atlanta Falcons

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

Atlanta welcomes the Commanders a week after upsetting the Giants on the road. The ATL has played well in 2-of-3 games. Washington’s defense is an absolute mess. Backing Matt Ryan and the Falcons on the moneyline is the way to go.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Atlanta Falcons


Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears -3

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

If not for Ravens’ kicker Justin Tucker breaking the field goal record with his amazing 66 yarder, Detroit would have won their first game of the season. Bears’ coach Matt Nagy hasn’t said who he will start at quarterback. Right now, even though they haven’t won a game yet, the Lions might be the better team.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Detroit Lions


Tennessee Titans -7 ½ vs New York Jets

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

Wow the Jets are bad. A new coach, a new quarterback, and even a new attitude hasn’t changed the fact that the New York Jets are an awful team. But with that being written, the Titans have now covered in two straight, which feels like their limit.

NFL Week 4 Pick: New York Jets


Cleveland Browns -2 vs Minnesota Vikings

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

So the Browns may be the better team, but Minnesota showed something versus Seattle in their last. At home, the Vikings rule. Minnesota’s offense will score in this game. There’s a good chance Kirk Cousins outplays Baker Mayfield. The Vikings are the moneyline pick.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Minnesota Vikings


Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins -1 ½

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

Both squads could be missing their starting quarterbacks. Neither team has played great this season. This could go either way. We’ll side with the Dolphins because their defense should be slightly better.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Miami Dolphins


Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys -4 ½

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

The Panthers traded for cornerback CJ Henderson after top pick Jaycee Horn broke his foot in the win over the Texans. Henderson is a good corner. But he faces Dallas’ top offense. More importantly, Dallas’ D is playing lights out. The Boys win and cover.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Dallas Cowboys


New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints -7 ½

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

For NYG, this is a bad matchup. The Saints boast one of the best defenses in the league. Not only that, but New Orleans’ QB Jameis Winston is a different player. He takes what the defense gives him and then waits for long opportunities. Saints should dominate.

NFL Week 4 Pick: New Orleans Saints


Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills -16 ½

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

16 ½ is a ton of points. Should Buffalo cover? Yes. But we’re hesitant to land on the Bills because Houston quarterback Davis Mills played well agianst Carolina’s terrific defense. Texans can keep this closer than the spread.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Houston Texans


Kansas City Chiefs -6½ vs Philadelphia Eagles

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

Everyone’s all over the Chiefs. We’re not. The Chiefs can’t stop the rush. So if Eagles LT Jordan Mailata plays, he’s listed as questionable, Philly will keep this within the number.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Philadelphia Eagles


Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams -6

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

Matthew Stafford can break down any defense, including the Cardinals’. Arizona has a good offense, but this is a road game versus the best team in the division. Rams to cover is the play.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Los Angeles Rams


Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers -2 ½

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

Seattle went up 14-0 over the Minnesota Vikings. They ended up losing 30-17. The Hawks rank 32nd in yards allowed per. Opponents average 440.3 yards each game versus Seattle. San Francisco should easily cover this spread.

NFL Week 4 Pick: San Francisco 49ers


Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos -1

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

On paper, it looks like Denver should have no issue covering this spread. But Denver is 3-0 after beating the Giants, Jaguars, and Jets. We don’t know how good the Broncos’ defense really is. Jackson and the Ravens will challenge Denver’s D for sure. Baltimore is the pick.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Baltimore Ravens


Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers -6 ½

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

Although Pittsburgh lost to the Bengals, T.J. Ward didn’t play. As of Tuesday, Sep. 28, Ward is listed as questionable. If Ward plays, Pittsburgh can cover. If he doesn’t, the Packers should cover. We’re leaning towards Ward playing.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers


Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6 vs New England Patriots

When: Sunday, Oct. 3

The Buccaneers should cover this spread. However, the Patriots have a good defense while Tampa has no rushing attack. Bill Belichick will come up with a great defensive game plan to mellow out Tom Brady and the Buccaneers’ offense. Taking the points makes sense.

NFL Week 4 Pick: New England Patriots


Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers -3

When: Monday, Oct. 4

This will be a much closer game than many expect. Don’t let the Chargers victory over the Chiefs fool you. Kansas City has no rushing attack. The Raiders can run the football. Not only that, but their defense is playing great and this is a rivalry contest.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Las Vegas Raiders

 
Must Bet NFL Games in Week 4 in 2020
 

Previous Betting News

In a little over 2 weeks, we are going to have the NFL back in business and the 2020 season officially underway. We all know who the favorites to win the Super Bowl are at the moment, but we also know that this season is going to be different than what we are used to. Based on what we have seen from other sports that have already started back, some teams do a better job of playing under the new conditions than others, which means that we might be ready to see some upsets happen and underdogs rise this coming season. Right now, all we can do is speculate, which is exactly what we are doing here. We are going to look at each week of the upcoming season and pick out the best games on the schedule. With that in mind, let’s jump ahead to Week 4 so you can plan ahead your bets against their NFL odds.

NFL Betting Preview for Games in Week 4

Indianapolis Colts at Chicago Bears

This is an absolutely fascinating matchup, as it features a pair of teams who have had their issues at the QB position. The Colts were stunned when Andrew Luck retired prior to the start of last season, but they ran with Jacoby Brissett and had some success, but not enough to stop them from going out and getting Phillip Rivers on the offseason. In Chicago, Mitch Trubisky took a massive backward step last season, and while he is still on the books, he will be battling Nick Foles for the #1 spot this season. it is going to be fun to see how both of these teams make out.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans

While one bad season is disappointing for any fan base, it can often prove to be nothing more than a blip on the radar. The same is true for a team that had a great season. It can be a sign of a turning point or simply a year where a lot of things went right. An 8-8 season for the Steelers is always considered a disappointment, but when you consider the injuries that they had last year, it is actually not that bad. The Tennessee Titans went to the AFC Championship Game and will be looking to build on that, but was that season a one-off?

New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs

One of the biggest headlines this offseason was Tom Brady leaving the Patriots to head to Tampa Bay. The belief was that a major step backward was in the works for the Patriots, but the signing of Cam Newton and his performance in camp has some people questioning their demise. Still, the Patriots have had several key players opt out of the season, so we may be looking at offsetting moves. This will be a real test for them, as it’s always tough to win at Arrowhead, and especially against the defending champions.

Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers

Last season the NFC was pretty wide open, and we are expecting more of the same this time around. The San Francisco 49ers are looking to erase the memory of their Super Bowl loss and get back to the top of the mountain, but there are some very good teams they need to get past in order for that to happen. The Philadelphia Eagles look to be a good bet to be one of the 7 teams to make the playoffs in the NFC and this game will serve as a good test as to where they stand.

 
2019 NFL Week 4 Must-Bet Games
 

Previous Betting News

With the start of NFL preseason action just a few short weeks away, now is a great time to get an early jump on your 2019 betting selections, thanks to the complete offering of NFL regular season betting odds that have been recently released. Whether you like favorites, underdogs, home teams or road warriors, you’re going to get your fill of expert betting predictions from yours truly right now. With that said, let’s get down to business with my trio of Week 4 regular season picks.

2019 NFL Week 4 Must-Bet Games

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

When: Thursday, September 26, 2019 at 8:20 PM ET
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
TV: FOX/NFL
NFL Week 4 Odds: Green Bay -2

The Philadelphia Eagles may have come up short in their quest to repeat as Super Bowl champions last season, but I believe the Birds are poised to get right back in the Super Bowl mix after going a solid 9-7 a year ago and making a series of nice offseason additions to their roster in free agency and the draft. Quarterback Carson Wentz signed a long-term deal and I believe he’s poised to get back to playing at an MVP-caliber level this season while helping Philly contend for the NFC Championship at the very least.

As far as the Packers are concerned, there are a bunch of question marks for the NFC North residents as they get set for the upcoming 2019 campaign. First, Green Bay is heading into Year 1 of a new era under first-time head coach Matt LaFleur. Not only will Aaron Rodgers be playing or a head coach other than Mike McCarthy for the first time ever, but the Packers need to address issues on both sides of the ball that led to them ranking a modest 15th in scoring (23.5 ppg) and 22nd in points allowed (25.0 ppg). In his second season as an NFL offensive coordinator, he led Tennessee’s offense to a dismal, 27th place finish in scoring (19.4 ppg) just last season.

While the Packers are playing at home in this Week 4 contest, for me, the Philadelphia Eagles are the pick as a value-packed 2-point road dog. The Birds finished a solid 12th in points allowed (21.8 ppg) last season and they made some nice upgrades on that side of the ball, plus they’ve got a boatload of talent on the offensive side of the ball and the knowledge of just what it takes to win it all. After going 2-1 ATS in their final three road games, last season the Birds pick up right where they left off.

Pick: Philadelphia +2

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

When: Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
TV: CBS
NFL Odds: New England -6.5

The Patriots will be looking to go back-to-back in 2019 after winning it all last season while the Bills look to build on its 6-10 mark after handing the keys to the franchise over to strong-armed rookie Josh Allen a year ago. The Patriots made some really nice offseason moves like acquiring veteran defensive lineman Michael Bennett. Buffalo also made a bunch of moves in the offseason, mostly to address their inept offensive line play from last season, although they did add veteran wide receivers Cole Beasley and John Brown.

The first thing you need to know about this meeting of longtime AFC East division rivals is that the Patriots have won seven straight road games against Buffalo while going 6-1 ATS over the span and 5-0 ATS over the last five in upstate new York. New England has also won two straight and four of their last five road games against the Bills as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less. Not only that, but Tom Brady and company have put 37 points or more on the board in three of the last five meetings while New England’s defense has limited Buffalo to single-digit scoring in each of the last two meetings. While the Bills have some high hopes for 2019 and beyond, this Week 4 divisional matchup looks like a virtual lock for the Patriots to me!

Pick: New England -6.5

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

The Minnesota Vikings failed to live up to their Super Bowl expectations last season while going 8-7-1 after acquiring veteran signal-caller Kirk Cousins, but I’m expecting a better effort out of the Vikes in 2019 and slightly better results as well. The problem for the NFC North playoff hopefuls is that they’ve now been surpassed by the blossoming Chicago Bears who are coming off a stunning 12-4 campaign that saw them win the NFC North for the first time since 2010.

While Minnesota finished 19th in scoring (22.5 ppg) and ninth in points allowed (21.3 ppg), Chicago finished ninth in scoring (26.3 ppg) and first in fewest points allowed (17.7 ppg). The statistics back it up, as it stands right now, Chicago is simply the better team in all three phases of the game and the only one with a future Hall of Fame game-changer like Khalil Mack. After sweeping their NFC North division rivals a year ago, the Bears make it three straight.

Pick: Chicago -3.5

 
NFL Week 4 Must Bet Games – 2018 Season
 

Previous Betting News

When it comes to the slate of NFL Week 4 matchups on the 2018 regular season schedule, there’s no shortage of intriguing – and potentially – super-exciting matchups that are going to take place.

The Los Angeles Rams host the Minnesota Vikings in a matchup of legitimate NFC Super Bowl contenders and the Tennessee Titans host the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles in a pairing of 2017 playoff participants.

Hell, the Los Angeles Chargers host the San Francisco 49ers in another intriguing matchup while the Ravens and Steelers and Chiefs and broncos go at it in a pair of divisional showdowns that both have the look of knock-down, drag-out affairs that will leave NFL fans and betting enthusiasts glued to their television sets no matter which teams they like.

However, if you’re looking for the best value on the Week 4 schedule, I don’t think it lies with any of the aforementioned matchups and have identified three contests that all look like they’re offering excellent value for their own specific reasons.

In an effort to help you cash in early and often this coming season, I’m breaking down all three games just for you MyBookie NFL betting faithful! Let’s get started.

NFL Week 4 Must Bet Games – 2018 Season

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals at 4:05 p.m. ET (PK)

The Seahawks are in a bit of a rebuild mode after an offseason of roster and coaching changes, following their first missed postseason appearance in six years. Gone, are stalwarts, Richard Sherman, Michael Bennett and Jimmy Graham. Two more longtime stars appeared to be finished because of medical reasons in Kam Chancellor and Cliff Avril.

Head coach Pete Carroll brought in six new assistants including two new coordinators on both sides of the ball. Seattle’s style of play also changed as they went from a defensive-minded powerhouse to one that tried to win behind the talents of Russell Wilson first and foremost.

“We didn’t like the way it went, and we wanted to do something about it,” Carroll says. “You’re seeing the result of that.”

Last season, Wilson became the first quarterback to lead his team in rushing since Randall Cunningham did so with the Philadelphia Eagles 27 years ago. Now, the Seahawks will look to rookie running back Rashad Penny to improve their rushing game and give them an added dimension on offense.

Wilson tossed a career-high 34 TD passes and had a MVP caliber season despite being basically a one-man-gang that defenses knew they had to stop. More importantly, the Seahawks made some upgrades to their offensive line that have been needed for the last few years.

With longtime head coach Bruce Arians and starting quarterback Carson Palmer both deciding to hang it up after last season, Arizona is also headed in a new direction under first-year head coach Steve Wilks and veteran signal-caller Sam Bradford, although the future in Arizona clearly rests in the hands of rookie quarterback Josh Rosen, the 10th overall pick in this year’s NFL draft.

Superstar running back David Johnson, who rushed for 1,239 yards and led the NFL with 20 touchdowns and 2,118 total yards from scrimmage two seasons ago, will be back on the field, but the Cards have a lot of question marks on both sides of the ball, starting at quarterback where Bradford is always one snap away from being incapacitated.

Despite being on the road, Seattle is the easy pick to get the win and cover the chalk as a likely Pick ‘Em in this NFC West divisional battle. The Seahawks have the big edge at quarterback and Pete Carroll will out-coach Steve Wilks, even though I like Arizona’s hire. Seattle has won four straight on the road in this series and they’ll win another.

NFL Week 5 Betting Pick: Seattle 28 Arizona 23

New Orleans Saints (-2.5) at New York Giants at 4:05 p.m. ET

Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints went 11-5 last season to tie Carolina for victories in the competitive NFC South and were one play away from reaching the NFC Championship game before falling victim to the Minneapolis Miracle in the divisional round. Still the Saints will enter the 2018 regular season as one of the top favorites to win the conference after finishing last season ranked fourth in scoring (28.0 ppg) and an eye-opening 10th in points allowed (20.4 ppg).

Eli Manning and the New York Giants were a complete mess as they sank to 3-13 last season while ranking a pitiful 31st in scoring (15.4 ppg) and 27th in points allowed (24.2 ppg). While the G-Men parted ways with former head coach Ben McAdoo after he foolishly benched Manning late in the regular season and made a smart hire by naming Minnesota Vikings offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur to lead them in a new direction, the Giants will be lucky to keep this Week 4 matchup against the Saints close by the time halftime rolls around.

New Orleans has some legitimate Super Bowl hopes and is the far superior team on both sides of the ball in this Week 4 affair. The Saints will win tis one by a minimum of a touchdown to easily cover the spread against Manning and the Giants, although I expect the latter to be way better than they were a year ago and love their addition of No. 2 overall draft pick, former Penn State running back Saquon Barkley.

NFL Week 5 Betting Pick: Saints 31 Giants 21

Houston Texans (-3) at Indianapolis Colts

The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts may have both gone an identical 4-12 a year ago, but the two longtime AFC South division rivals are clearly headed in polar opposite directions heading into 2018. Houston is looking to get back in the playoff mix under gifted young quarterback Deshaun Watson and a star-studded defense headed up by superstar defensive lineman J.J. Watt.

Indianapolis will be happy to have franchise quarterback Andrew Luck back on the field after he missed all of the 2017 season with a shoulder injury, but the Colts have problems all over the place as they ranked an pitiful 30th in scoring (16.4 ppg) and points allowed (25.2 ppg).

The Texans have some legitimate playoff hopes heading into 2018 and the Colts certainly don’t. Indy has a first-time head coach in Frank Reich and a lack of talent on both sides of the ball. This one is easy picking NFL betting buffs!

NFL Week 5 Betting Pick: Texans 35 Colts 20

 
Top NFL Week 4 Betting Picks You Shouldn’t Let Pass
 

Previous Betting News

How much fun is the NFL? Just when you think you understand everything, you see that the Los Angeles Rams and Jacksonville Jaguars, two of the worst teams in the league last year, have the same record as the Super Bowl favored New England Patriots. Here are two games worth a look for NFL Week 4 and their latest NFL odds & lines.

Top NFL Week 4 Betting Picks You Shouldn’t Let Pass

New Orleans Saints vs. Miami Dolphins

When: Sunday, 9:30 AM ET
Where: Wembley Stadium, London
TV: Fox
Radio: WWL 870 AM (New Orleans)
Opening NFL Lines: Saints -2.5

Why Bet On New Orleans?

The Saints pulled an upset Sunday, winning 34-13 at Carolina for their first win. Quarterback Drew Brees tossed three touchdown passes (Michael Thomas, Brandon Coleman and Ted Ginn Jr.), the defense sacked Carolina quarterback Cam Newton four times and forced its first three turnovers of the season. Carolina entered the game as the NFL’s top defense leading in total yards allowed, passing average, first downs allowed and points allowed.

The Saints led 17-6 when Ginn beat cornerback James Bradberry down the middle of the field for a 40-yard touchdown reception to break it open. Brees has thrown for 1,252 yards and 12 touchdowns with three interceptions in his last four games against the Panthers. Thomas had five catches for 50 yards and his first touchdown of the season on New Orleans’ opening drive after being bottled up by defenses paying extra attention to him during the first two weeks. He finished with seven catches for 87 yards. Rookie Alvin Kamara had his first NFL touchdown on a 25-yard run late in the game. And Adrian Peterson had a season-high 33 yards on nine carries (including a season-long 11-yard run).

It wasn’t a perfect performance by New Orleans’ defense, which allowed rookie running back Christian McCaffrey to catch nine passes for 101 yards. But it was a game-changer after the Saints’ defense allowed more than 1,000 yards and 65 points in the first two weeks. Saints defensive ends Cam Jordan, Hau’oli Kikaha, Trey Hendrickson and Alex Okafor each had a sack while cornerback P.J. Williams had a second quarter interception on very nice play. Rookie safety Marcus Williams added another interception in the fourth quarter on a one-handed snag and veteran safety Kenny Vaccaro had a pick in the fourth quarter. They were the team’s first forced turnovers this season.

The Saints will get WR Willie Snead IV back for the Dolphins game as his three-game suspension is over.

Why Bet On Miami?

The Dolphins (1-1) looked awful Sunday in losing at the terrible Jets, 20-6. New York just missed having its first shutout since blanking Cincinnati 37-0 on Jan. 13, 2010. Jay Cutler threw a 3-yard touchdown pass to DeVante Parker on the final play. Cody Parkey missed the extra point, capping a miserable day for Miami in 88-degree heat at MetLife Stadium. Cutler was 26 of 44 for 220 yards with an interception and the TD toss. Miami was outgained in total yards 336-225.

“They just beat the (heck) out of us,” coach Adam Gase said. “That’s the best way to put it. We didn’t show up, didn’t play physical.”

The Dolphins have two offensive touchdowns in their first two games. It’s early, but Gase must reassess how to get this group jump-started and headed in the right direction. Cutler said the offense became one dimensional and that made it tough to produce. Jarvis Landry caught 6-of-11 targets for 48 yards. After a 13-catch, 15-target Week 1, Cutler couldn’t get the ball to his slot guy in this loss. Last week, Landry led NFL receivers in average yards of separation at target, but he was covered fairly well against a group of subpar cornerbacks.

Jay Ajayi rushed 11 times for 16 yards and caught 2-of-3 targets for nine receiving yards. Ajayi did suffer an injury in the first half, but it looked like it was just a hit below the belt and that’s likely not the reason he struggled so much. This game got away from the Dolphins, so the game script explains why Ajayi only saw 13 touches following his 30 touches in Week 2.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons

When: Sunday, 1 PM ET Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta TV: CBS Radio: WCMF 96.5 FM (Buffalo) / 92.9 FM The Game (Atlanta) Stream Option: DirecTV to Go Opening NFL Week 4 Lines: Falcons -8

Why Bet On Atlanta?

The Falcons (3-0) aren’t suffering from any Super Bowl curse yet as they lead the NFC South. They won at previously unbeaten Detroit 30-26 on Sunday. Matt Ryan completed 24-of-35 passes for 294 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions. Ryan’s first pick was an incredible pick-six by Glover Quin right before halftime. It was Ryan’s first interception in his last 309 attempts, and the three-interception game overall was his first since November 2015. The third pick came on a drop by the typically sure-handed Mohamed Sanu, whose 0.8 drop percentage per target over the last two seasons was the best rate among all receivers who had played in 20-plus games.

Devonta Freeman rushed 21 times for 106 yards and one touchdown. Julio Jones caught 7-of-12 targets for 91 yards. Jones remains without a touchdown after three games. Ryan tried to get him one on a deep ball where Jones got behind the defense, but the safety was able to close on the pass and knock it away in the end zone.

He thought the Lions had just scored the go-ahead touchdown with seconds left in Sunday’s game when Matthew Stafford found Golden Tate. He even huddled with offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian about how to get down the field with eight seconds remaining in regulation and down 33-30. Then the officials reviewed the play, reversed the touchdown, and ran 10 seconds off the clock.

Why Bet On Buffalo?

The Bills (2-1) upset Denver 26-16 on Sunday. With running back LeSean McCoy bottled up for a second straight week, the Bills leaned on Tyrod Taylor’s efficient passing attack and an opportunistic defense. Taylor completed 20 of 26 for 213 yards and two touchdowns. The defense closed the victory by forcing the Broncos to turn over the ball on each of their final four possessions with two interceptions and two fourth-down stops.

The Bills bounced back from a 9-3 loss at Carolina in which their offense was stuck in neutral with McCoy limited to 9 yards rushing. Their defense finally generated turnovers, something it failed to do against the Panthers. E.J. Gaines and rookie Tre’Davious White each intercepted Trevor Siemian. Then there were Buffalo’s two fourth-down stops.

The Bills’ most impressive achievement Sunday was their offense’s ability to move the ball against a Denver defense with a reputation of being among the fiercest in the league. The Broncos entered Sunday allowing 1.58 points per drive, the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL. The Bills put up 2.58 points per drive, scoring on six of their 11 possessions before the final kneeldowns. McCoy caught seven passes for 48 yards but was largely shut down as a runner, gaining 21 yards on 14 carries.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

Expert NFL Week 4 Predictions

Take Miami in a “home” game and Buffalo and the points.

 
2017 NFL Week 4 Expert Predictions and Must Bet Games
 

Previous Betting News

This NFL Week 4 will see several teams open their doors for the 2017 training camp, which means we are one step closer to the start of the new season. It’s tough to be patient when you are a huge football fan, but we can kill the time by breaking down each and every game that will be played this year. It gives us some time to start thinking about which games we will bet on each week, too.

While some of you will be looking for the slam dunk games that should help you build your bankroll, many more of you will be looking at the games that will deliver great match-ups and a real test of your football handicapping prowess. Let’s jump ahead to Week 4 of the 2017 NFL season and look at just a few of the NFL betting games that are sure to be grabbing your attention.

2017 NFL Week 4 Expert Predictions and Must Bet Games

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

These two bitter AFC North rivals always deliver games to remember, as these are two teams that genuinely do not like one another. Who can forget the classic that they served up last Christmas Day, when Antonio Brown stretched out to score a late TD that put the Steeler in the playoffs, knocking out the Ravens in the process? These always tend to be close, low-scoring affairs that are often decided by an untimely mistake or turnover. Expect this one to follow a similar pattern, with the winning team winning by a FG or less.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

The AFC South proved to be a great battle last season, with the Texans pipping the Titans for top spot via a tiebreaker. The Texans come into this season with some questions still to be answered at the QB position, although we do know that they are going to be as solid as ever on defense. The Titans took a big step forward last year, and the feeling is that they may be able to do even better in 2017. Whether they can improve and take the division crown may well hinge on how well they do in this one. Still gotta like the Texans a home, though.

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots

It was a rough year for the Panthers last season, as they followed up their Super Bowl loss to the Broncos with a clunker of a season. The Panthers failed to make the playoffs, and for much of the season looked like a team suffering from an SB hangover. They will have every opportunity to bounce back this season, and what better way to see how you rank than a road trip to play the current Super Bowl champs. Can Tom Brady continue to deliver now that he has hit 40? I see no reason why he can’t, and the Patriots are going to be as tough to beat as always. As great a season as it was for the 12-4 Raiders last year, they definitely finished things up with a “what could have been” type of mentality after losing Derek Carr to a broken leg. The QB has signed a juicy new deal, and the Raiders look ready to roll again this year, with Marshawn Lynch in the fold and ready to carry the running load. The Chiefs and Broncos are going to battle the Raiders all the way for the division crown, and if that Broncos D continues to excel, we could be in for a heck of a game here.

Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks

The Sunday night game in Week 4 looks to be a very good on indeed, as the Indianapolis Colts look to bounce back after a don year. The Seahawks will count themselves a little unlucky last season, as they were hit by injuries to a number of key personnel, effectively killing their Super Bowl hopes in the process. Two very different QB’s in Andrew Luck and Russel Wilson going head to head here, and that makes things very interesting indeed, although you have to like the Seahawks at home.

 
5 Underdogs Who Will Shine On NFL Week 4
 

Previous Betting News

If you’re looking for some underdog teams that have a great chance of pulling off the outright upset or ATS cover over their favored opponents, then you’ve come to the right place.

Thanks to the expert look that you’re about to get on five Week 5 football underdogs, you could cash in big! Okay, let’s get started.

Here’s A Closer Look At The 5 Underdogs Who Will Shine On NFL Week 4

Tennessee +6.5 at Houston

Analysis:
The Tennessee Titans might have a losing record right now, but I like the way they’ve played competitive football all season and I believe they are an excellent pick to cover the spread at the very least in this Week 4 matchup.

First and foremost, Houston doesn’t have the most explosive offense and that alone will allow Tennessee to keep the final score close, even against a very good Texans defense. More importantly, the Titans aren’t the same old pushovers on the defensive side of the ball that they used to be.

Both of these teams are only averaging a modest 14.0 points per game, but Tennessee is limiting its opponents to an impressive 19.0 points per game to Houston’s 17.6 points allowed per contest. I know Houston has won four straight against Tennessee, but again, these Titans are a bit different from the teams we’ve seen in the past. I say keep it simple and back Tennessee to cover a point spread that should be closer to three points than a touchdown.

My Pick: Houston 24 Tennessee 21

Oakland +4 at Baltimore

Analysis:
Oakland’s second-ranked offense will take on Baltimore’s second-ranked defense in this Week 4 AFC matchup. Oakland is also eighth in scoring while Baltimore is ranked fourth in points allowed. The unbeaten Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and have plenty of motivation to beat Oakland after falling to the blossoming Raiders 37-33 last season.

Oakland has compiled a near-perfect 6-1 ATS mark in their last seven road games while Baltimore has gone 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 home games. More importantly, the Ravens haven’t looked overly impressive in beating Buffalo, Cleveland and Jacksonville, all by six points or less.

While Oakland was held to a modest 17 points in its Week 3 win over Tennessee, the good news is that the Raiders’ defense finally showed up after giving up 34 points to New Orleans in their opener and 35 points to Atlanta one week later. I like Oakland to cover an NFL betting line that is favorable in their direction.

My Pick: Oakland 27 Baltimore 24

Los Angeles at Arizona -8

Analysis:
I’d be lying if I said I knew what was wrong with Arizona, but clearly, something is amiss! Since the start of the regular season, the ‘Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde’ Cardinals have alternated between pathetic and very good in losing to New England and Buffalo while laying a commanding smackdown on Tampa Bay in between.

Conversely, the Rams have found a way to win two straight in polar-opposite fashion and that should be encouraging to their betting backers in this one. L.A. stunned Seattle in a hard-fought 9-3 defensive battle in Week 2 before beating Tampa Bay 37-32 in a high-scoring affair on Sunday.

With Arizona going 1-5 ATS in its last six home games and 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games and the Rams going 5-2 ATS in their last seven games, I like L.A. to find a way to cover the NFL betting line.

My Pick: Arizona 27 L.A. Rams 24

Cleveland +10 at Washington

Analysis:
The Washington Redskins got their first win of the season by coming back against the Giants in Week 3 and I think they’re a good pick to get the SU win at home in this Week 4 matchup against Cleveland. Having said that, let me also say that I do like the Browns to get the ATS cover as a double-digit road underdog for a few reasons.

First and foremost, the Browns are only averaging four fewer points per game than Washington and have reached the 20-point plateau in each of their last two games. Not only that, but Cleveland (28.0 ppg) is also allowing fewer points per game defensively than Washington (30.6 ppg).

Last but not least, I also believe Cleveland has the huge coaching edge in this affair with Hue Jackson being far and away a better coach than Washington’s Jay Gruden, who isn’t even ht beast head coach in his own family!

My Pick: Washington 28 Cleveland 27

Kansas City +5 at Pittsburgh

Analysis:
If Week3 is any indication, then the Pittsburgh Steelers are in trouble MyBookie gridiron gaming enthusiasts! Kansas City completely overwhelmed the Jets in their commanding 24-3 Week 3 win while Pittsburgh got thoroughly outplayed in their stunning 34-3 loss to Philadelphia and star rookie quarterback Carson Wentz. The Chiefs lock-down defense picked off New York Ryan Fitzpatrick an insane six times in the win while Pittsburgh allowed Wentz to toss two TD passes and no interceptions.

Kansas City is averaging 23.0 points per game (17th) while Pittsburgh is averaging 21.7 points per contest (19th). The Chiefs are limiting their opponents to just 16.3 points per game (sixth) while the Steelers are allowing 22.0 points per contest (14th).

Pittsburgh has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against the Chiefs, but Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. I like the Chiefs’ defense to get after Ben Roethlisberger much like Philly’s defense did this past weekend while the Chiefs get just enough offense to make the outright road upset hold up.

My Pick: Kansas City 27 Pittsburgh 24

 
 
 
 

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