It’s a possible first-round Eastern Conference playoff preview Wednesday as the Miami Heat visit the Boston Celtics in their final regular-season matchup. The Celtics try for the season sweep and will be double-digit favorites on the NBA betting odds but by how much depends on the status of All-Star Jaylen Brown.
The Eastern Conference top seed is Cleveland, and second-place Boston is not catching the Cavaliers. The Celtics also can’t slip all the way to third so they will finish at No. 2 and face the top seed to come out of the East play-in tournament. That could be Miami.
| Spread/Total Subject to Change: Celtics -11 (total 213.5) Expert Prediction: Celtics 113, Heat 104 |
How to Bet Heat vs Celtics NBA Betting Odds & TV Info
NBA Moneylines subject to Change: Boston -588 / Heat +405
When: Wednesday, 7:30 PM ET
Where: TD Garden
TV: NBA League Pass
Stream: NBA.com, NBA TV app
The Heat sit ninth but barely up on 10th-place Chicago – those two teams are in. It’s very unlikely that Miami can catch Atlanta for seventh but it could track down Orlando for eighth as the Magic are 1.5 games up on the Heat.
Getting to eighth is so much better because it gives you a second chance to reach the playoffs if you lose in the 7-8 game. To make the full-field East playoffs as the official No. 7 or No. 8 out of the play-in tournament, Miami is +150 with no at -190.
Last season, the Heat lost the first game of the play-in, but won the second game against Chicago and earned the No. 8 seed, facing Boston in Round 1. The Celtics won in five games. In the 2023 playoffs, the Heat reached the Finals after beating Boston.
Boston leads the 2024-25 season series 3-0 and is 42-30 all-time in regular-season games in Miami.
^Heat Suddenly Are Rolling
Miami has followed a 10-game losing streak, the franchise’s longest since 2008, with a season-high five-game winning streak after a 120-94 win at Washington on Monday. The streak has come against a mostly weak schedule but also included a victory over Golden State.
Tyler Herro
Herro led the way with 27 points vs. the Wizards but he was 0-for-6 from deep. It was just the third time this season he didn’t connect on a three-pointer while attempting six or more. He’s shooting only 34.2 percent from deep since the All-Star break but still averaging 23.4 points per game over that span. Big man Bam Adebayo had 28 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. He ended March with averages of 20.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 4.2 assists (check out NBA betting odds and props).
One big reason for the recent surge is that rookies Kel’el Ware and Pelle Larsson have been shining for the Heat as of late. Ware has four games in a row with at least 10 rebounds and two double-doubles in that stretch and his 14 double-doubles are the fourth-most by a rookie in Heat history.
Larsson has been starting due to the absence of Andrew Wiggins (hamstring) and has totaled 29 points, 13 rebounds, nine assists and five steals in his last two starts while shooting 50% from the floor. Larsson seems to have replaced Jaime Jaquez Jr. as coach Erik Spoelstra‘s preferred swingman behind Wiggins.
Erik Spoelstra
“Pelle is just an ignitable player. He makes things happen – the steals, the deflections, the hard plays,” Spoelstra said. “Those are momentum shifting plays that he has a knack for. He spends so much time in the gym that the rest of his game is getting better — the play-making, shooting, the facilitating.”
^NBA Betting Odds provided by MyBookie
Celtics Are Rolling Themselves
The Celtics have more NBA championships than any franchise after breaking a tie with the Lakers by winning it all for the 18th time last summer, but Boston had never had a 6-0 road trip. That changed on Monday with the team’s ninth straight win overall, with a 117-103 victory at Memphis in a possible NBA Finals preview.
It also marked Boston’s sixth straight double-digit win on the trip, which is astounding. Boston’s 8-0 record on the road during March was its best road month since March 1982 during which it also went 8-0. Only one other time in franchise history has a Celtics team won six straight on the road by double-digits. The other instance happened to occur last season in the very same month of March – just before embarking on a championship run.
“This whole road trip was about taking our mindset to another level,” Joe Mazzulla told his team after. “We did that … And to take our mindset to go 6-0 for the first time ever, in this franchise, is something that we’re going to need because we’re going to have to take it to another level.”
Jayson Tatum
Tatum was terrific vs. the Grizzlies with 25 points and 14 rebounds to record back-to-back double-doubles for the first time since doing so on Feb. 28 and March 2. He finished the month of March with strong averages of 27.9 points, 8.7 rebounds, 6.5 assists (check out NBA betting odds and props).
Derrick White
White had a triple-double of 14 points, 10 assists and eight rebounds and made franchise history for the most three-pointers made in a single season with 247, surpassing the previous mark of 245 held by Isaiah Thomas. White canned a clutch three late in the fourth to halt an 8-0 Memphis run.
^Heat vs Celtics NBA Game Trends
- Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Miami are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against Boston.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami’s last 16 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games on the road.
- Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Boston are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Wednesday.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 games against Miami.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston’s last 16 games played in April.
NBA Betting Odds: Heat vs Celtics Expert Prediction
During this five-game winning streak, the Heat are prevailing by an average of +20.4 points while holding opponents to just 98.4 PPG. Miami has become just the third team in NBA history to win at least five consecutive games following a losing streak of at least 10 games, joining only the Houston Rockets (2021) and Chicago Bulls (2017).
The Heat have held opponents to under 100 points 17 times this season, going 16-1 in those contests. Miami has won their last 32-straight games dating back to 2019 when shooting at least 50 percent from three-point range. Adebayo is 13 assists from tying Goran Dragić (2,034) for third place on Miami’s all-time assists list.
Herro has made 239 three-point field goals this season, the third-most for a single season in team history. Duncan Robinson holds the mark of 270 in 2019-20. It is not clear if Miami’s Wiggins will return from his two-game absence. Guard Davion Mitchell is day-to-day after missing Monday (illness).
To Keep an Eye
Boston’s Tatum is one of only five NBA players averaging at least 25.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 5.0 assists this season (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Luka Dončić, Nikola Jokić, LeBron James). Tatum ranks 4th in the NBA in points scored (1,845). White ranks 2nd among league guards in contested shots (491). Payton Pritchard leads all NBA reserves in points (1,009), three-pointers (234), plus/minus (+391) and ranks 3rd overall in assists (239).
The Celtics are 17-3 since the All-Star break. We expect 18-3, but the Heat are capable of staying within single digits especially if Boston All-Star Jaylen Brown misses a second game in a row with a knee injury – he missed six total games in March with it. Celtics 113, Heat 104.
^PLAYOFF PICTURE
— NBA (@NBA) April 2, 2025
▪️ GSW rises to #5 in West
▪️ West 5-8 separated by 1 game
▪️ MIN rises to tie with MEM for West #6
▪️ DEN, LAL separated by 0.5 games for West #3
The #NBAPlayoffs presented by Google begin April 19! pic.twitter.com/Sr4reNXdPh
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March 14th: Celtics vs Heat Prediction, 2025 Season
It’s a possible Eastern Conference first-round playoff preview on Friday night, when the defending conference champion Boston Celtics visit the Miami Heat on national TV. Boston is a solid favorite on the NBA Betting Lines, but those are a bit in flux with some injury questions.
The Celtics are all but locks to finish second in the East regular-season standings, meaning they would face the No. 7 seed in the first round.
| Spread/Total Subject to Change: Celtics -8 (total 216) Expert Prediction: Celtics 112, Heat 105 |
How to Bet Celtics vs Heat NBA Betting Odds & TV Info
NBA Moneylines: Miami +257 / Boston -333
When: Friday, 7 PM ET
Where: Kaseya Center
TV: NBA TV
Stream: NBA.com, NBA TV app
That’s the second team to come out of the play-in tournament, where Miami is headed as the current No. 9 seed. If the Heat stays there and win both play-in games, they would be the No. 7.
Boston leads the season series 2-0, and they play once more in the regular season on April 2 in Beantown. They last met on Feb. 10 in South Florida and the Celtics rolled 103-85 behind 33 points from Jayson Tatum. The Celtics took a whopping 53 3-pointers in the game and only 32 2-pointers. They were without All-Star Jaylen Brown and fellow starter Jrue Holiday.
Bam Adebayo scored 22 points and grabbed 12 rebounds for Miami, missing Tyler Herro and Jaime Jaquez Jr. due to illness. The Heat shot 33.7% and fell under 90 points in five straight games against Boston, with a 2-67 record shooting under 35%.
Including the playoffs, Boston has now won five straight meetings with Miami, each of them one-sided — 104-84, 102-88 and 118-84 in the last three games of the 2024 first-round series, 108-89 on Dec. 2 and then that 18-point win. Boston leads the all-time series 85-53 and 41-30 in Miami.
Celtics Try To Avoid 2-Game Skid
Boston aims to avoid a third two-game losing streak after a 118-112 home loss to Oklahoma City, halting their five-game winning streak. The Celtics tied the NBA record for 3-point attempts with 63 but struggled late, converting only 1 of 9 attempts in the last eight minutes as the Thunder closed strong.
All-Star Jayson Tatum was in question after missing Monday’s game with a knee issue but played and had 33 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. It was Tatum’s 26th game of the season with at least 30 points. He has averaged 28.4 points, 9.7 rebounds and 7.4 assists since the All-Star break.
Al Horford
Center Horford, at 38 years old in his 18th season, recorded 18 points, 10 rebounds, six assists, and two blocks, becoming the third-oldest player to achieve such stats. He also matched a career-high with six 3-pointers. Over his last four games, he averaged 15.8 points and 9.0 rebounds, excelling with at least eight rebounds in nine of 13 contests.
Horford played more minutes than usual as starting center Kristaps Porziņģis sat out his seventh straight game due to a viral illness. Porzingis was originally listed as questionable before being ruled out a couple of hours prior to tip-off. Boston head coach Joe Mazzulla told reporters pregame that he did not have a sense of when Porzingis might return.
Heat Clearly Miss Jimmy Butler
Miami just hasn’t been the same since dealing All-Star Jimmy Butler at the trade deadline to Golden State, and lost its fifth game in a row Wednesday, 119-104 vs. the Clippers. Los Angeles entered on the second night of a back-to-back with both Kawhi Leonard and Norm Powell unavailable.
Miami has lost four of five home games, trailing Atlanta by 2.5 games in the Eastern Conference play-in race. A 13-4 Clippers run in the fourth quarter extended their lead. This marks Miami’s fourth five-game losing streak in the past seven years.
Andrew Wiggins
Wiggins was the big piece back from the Warriors in the Butler deal and played well in the loss with 22 points, three rebounds, five assists and three blocks. Andrew has scored 22 points in two of his last three outings and has five 20-point games since joining the Heat. All-Star Tyler Herro was great with 31 points, seven assists and six rebounds.
Erik Spoelstra
Through Spoelstra’s first 16 seasons as the Heat’s head coach, the team has finished the regular season with a losing record just twice. But Spoelstra’s third sub-.500 regular season since becoming the Heat’s head coach in 2008 is coming. Forward Nikola Jovic (10.7 PPG) is likely done for the season due to injury.
Kevin Love
“He’s been very positive,” Heat veteran Love said when asked how Spoelstra has handled this turbulent stretch. “He’s somebody who’s always in a growth mindset. He is somebody who always wants to see guys get better. He has done a lot better job of celebrating the small wins throughout the course of a season.”
NBA Betting Lines Celtics vs Heat and Game Trends
- Celtics are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Boston are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Miami.
- Celtics are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami.
- Boston are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Friday.
- Heat are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games.
- Miami are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games against Boston.
NBA Betting Odds Celtics vs Heat: Expert Prediction
Over the six games he appeared in during Boston’s just-completed homestand, Jaylen Brown posted a team-best +14.7 net rating in 228 minutes on the court. The Celtics had a team-worst minus-10.6 net rating in his 108 minutes on the bench.
The Celtics are 24-7 on the road this season for the second-best road winning percentage in the NBA at 77.4 percent. Boston’s road record ranks second in Celtics franchise history, with the best at 80.0 percent (32-8) in 1972-73.
Jayson Tatum
Tatum is one of only five NBA players averaging at least 25.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 5.0 assists this season (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Luka Dončić, Nikola Jokić, LeBron James). The Celtics have won by 20+ points in an NBA-leading 14 games this season, eight shy of the team record.
The Heat have held opponents to under 100 points 14 times this season, going 13-1. Tyler Herro has currently scored in double figures in a career-high 92-straight games dating back to last season, including both the regular season and postseason, tying the fifth-longest streak in franchise history. Additionally, he has scored in double-figures in 87-straight regular season games, tying the fourth-longest streak.
Tyler Herro
Herro is just eight made 3-pointers shy from tying Damon Jones (225) for the fifth-most during a single season in team history. Herro is the fourth player in franchise history to record at least three 40-point games in a single season, joining Dwyane Wade (six times), LeBron James (twice) and Alonzo Mourning.
Duncan Robinson has currently scored in double-figures off the bench in a career-long nine-straight games, including two 20-point games, surpassing his previous best of four consecutive. His nine-game streak is the longest by a Heat reserve this season and ties the third-longest overall double-figure scoring streak of his career. Celtics 112, Heat 105.
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