While we do have to look at what a team does over the course of the entire season, it is worth noting that the playoffs are almost like starting fresh. 2024 MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Odds, American Football NFL Lines | Buffalo Bills Postseason Betting Analysis
Anything can, and often does, happen in the postseason, which includes lower seeded teams going on an unexpected run. You also need to look at how teams ended the regular season, as we very often see a team get hot at just the right time, which then carries on over into the postseason. I think it’s fair to suggest that the Buffalo Bills might well be one such team. While their road to the playoffs was not really what we expected, they are in and looking good. Will that translate to another deep run for a team that many people think is overdue for a championship? Let’s take a closer look.
Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds
Regular Season Recap
Much of this season was spent asking what is wrong with the Buffalo Bills, which seems odd now when you consider that they won their division and ended the season with an 11-6 record. There were moments, though, when they were below the playoff cut line. They opened the season with a loss to the Jets, but they shook that off to win 3 in a row and make it seem as though it was business as usual.
The next 8 games are where things really started to go wrong, with the Bills going 3-5 during that run. The division looked out of reach and a playoff spot far from guaranteed. With the pressure mounting, the Bills got hot at the same time as the Miami Dolphins got crippled by injuries. The Bills won 5 in a row, including a win over Miami in the final game of the season, winning the AFC East and picking up the #2 seed in the process.
Bet on the Bills to Win in the Wild Card Game against Steelers
Buffalo Injuries
| Ty Johnson | RB | Questionable |
| Gabe Davis | WR | Questionable |
| Tyrel Dodson | LB | Questionable |
| Dion Dawkins | OT | Questionable |
| Rasul Douglas | CB | Questionable |
Buffalo Last 5
| Week 18 @ Jets | L22-16 |
| Week 17 vs Raiders | W38-10 |
| Week 16 @ Commanders | W37-7 |
| Week 15 vs Dolphins | W48-20 |
| Week 14 vs Jaguars | L25-20 |
Stats, Trends, and Odds
While finishing up as the #2 team in the AFC is huge, it is certainly no guarantee of success, although having home field advantage is big. We will get to that in a moment. The Bills delivered a balanced attack this season, finishing in the top 10 in YPG through the air and on the ground. Defensively, they were solid, too, surrendering just 18 PPG, good for 4th overall this season.
Nabbing that #2 seed could well prove to be a game changer for the Bills, as this is a team that was just .500 in road games this season. Compare that with the fact that they were 7-2 in their own building, and you can clearly see why home field advantage is so important. This team looks confident right now with a 5-game win streak ahead of the weekend.
The odds shortened dramatically for the Bills over the final weeks of the season, to the point where they are now the 2nd favorite behind Baltimore to win the AFC. They are currently +265 to win the conference, as well as sitting at +550 to win the Super Bowl. Those are very good odds for a team that looks to be on the type of positive run that very often goes all the way to a Lombardi Trophy. First, things first, is a tricky home game against the resurgent Pittsburgh Steelers this weekend.
Buffalo’s Key Quarterbacks
Josh Allen
| #17 QB |
| YDS 4,306 |
| TD 29 |
| INT 18 |
| QBR. 69.3 |
| Active |
Kyle Allen
| #9 QB |
| YDS 0 |
| TD 0 |
| INT 0 |
| QBR. 0 |
| Active |
Bet on the Bills to Win in the Wild Card Game against Steelers
Odds to Win 2024 AFC Championship
| AFC Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | +125 |
| Buffalo Bills | +265 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +425 |
| Miami Dolphins | +650 |
| Cleveland Browns | +1000 |
| Houston Texans | +2000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +5000 |
| AFC Lines to Win | |
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Buffalo Bills 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview
Buffalo Bills | 64th season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: Terry and Kim Pegula
Head coach: Sean McDermott
Home field: Highmark Stadium | Orchard Park, New York
The Buffalo Bills started the 2022 NFL Regular Season the chalk to win it all. Buffalo ended the regular season with a dynamite 13-3 record, but Buffalo struggled to an 8-7-1 against the spread record. How will the Bills perform straight up and against the spread this season? Also, will the over make a comeback after the total on Bills’ games went 6-10 over under in 2022?
Check out Buffalo’s betting analysis from last season, analysis for this season, and SU, ATS, and O/U predictions for 2023. Let’s see if Buffalo Bills have what it takes to back the betting odds to win the Super Bowl.
What is Buffalo’s Straight Up Prediction this Season?
Josh Allen is one of the best quarterbacks in the league, which is why the Bills went 13-3 last season. But as good as Allen is, he didn’t dominate as thoroughly in 2022 as he did in 2021.
The Bills still managed to lose just 3 games last season. We shouldn’t expect a similar excellent record in 2023.
Buffalo must play the vaunted NFC East. If the Bills lose to Dallas and Philadelphia but beat the Giants and Commanders, it’s 2 losses.
The Bills should split with the Jets and Dolphins. That’s 4 losses. The Bengals will beat Buffalo, which brings us to 5 losses. A sixth loss will come against Kansas City. We’re also predicting a seventh loss to happen either against the Broncos, the Raiders, the Buccaneers, or the Chargers, which means the Buffalo Bills will finish with a 10-7 record.
What will Buffalo’s Against the Spread Record be this Season?
Oddsmakers have a great idea of what lines to set on Buffalo games. Last season, the Bills went 8-7-1 ATS.
This season, the ATS record should be somewhat similar. Buffalo only played 16 games in 2022 because of Damar Hamlin’s medical emergency in the Monday night game versus the Cincinnati Bengals.
So if we add another game and take away the push, the Bills should go 8-9 ATS this season.
Buffalo Bills 2023 Season Betting Analysis
2022 Buffalo Bills records
Bills 2022 SU Record: 13-3
Bills 2023 ATS Record: 8-7-1
Bills 2023 Over Under Record: 6-10
What Will Be the Over Under Total Record for Buffalo Bills’ Games in 2023?
Last season the over under total went 6 to the over and 10 to the under. Oddsmakers didn’t get a good idea of how Buffalo games would go score wise.
The reason could be because Buffalo’s defense ranked second in points allowed last season, giving up less than 18 per game. The defense won’t be as effective this season as it was last season.
The Bills hope to replace terrific starting linebacker Tremaine Edmunds with A.J. Klein. Klein is a good LB but he doesn’t have Edmunds’ speed. Also, safety Jaquan Johnson bolted to the Raiders.
We should see a close to even over under record. Buffalo will have to score more to win games and the Bills’ D won’t be nearly as effective as it was in 2022. Let’s go 9-8 over under the total.
Super Bowl Pick | Bet Buffalo Bills to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Super Bowl
2023 Buffalo Bills Regular Season Schedule
| Week | Date | Opponent | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All times ET | ||||
| 1 | Sep. 11 | at New York Jets (MNF) | 8:15 p.m. | ESPN/ABC |
| 2 | Sep. 17 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 1:00 p.m. | CBS |
| 3 | Sep. 24 | at Washington Commanders | 1:00 p.m. | CBS |
| 4 | Oct. 1 | vs. Miami Dolphins | 1:00 p.m. | CBS |
| 5 | Oct. 8 | vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (London) | 9:30 a.m. | NFL Network |
| 6 | Oct. 15 | vs. New York Giants | 8:20 p.m. | NBC |
| 7 | Oct. 22 | at New England Patriots | 1:00 p.m. | CBS |
| 8 | Oct. 26 | vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TNF) | 8:15 p.m. | Prime Video |
| 9 | Nov. 5 | at Cincinnati Bengals | 8:20 p.m. | NBC |
| 10 | Nov. 13 | vs. Denver Broncos (MNF) | 8:15 p.m. | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov. 19 | vs. New York Jets | 4:25 p.m. | CBS |
| 12 | Nov. 26 | at Philadelphia Eagles | 4:25 p.m. | CBS |
| 13 | Dec. 3 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 14 | Dec. 10 | at Kansas City Chiefs | 4:25 p.m. | CBS |
| 15 | Dec. 17 | vs. Dallas Cowboys | 4:25 p.m. | FOX |
| 16 | Dec. 23 | at Los Angeles Chargers | 8:00 p.m. | Peacock |
| 17 | Dec. 31 | vs. New England Patriots | 1:00 p.m. | CBS |
| 18 | Jan. 6 or 7 | at Miami Dolphins | TBD | TBD |
2024 Super Bowl Odds
Pre-Draft Super Bowl Odds
+880
Current Super Bowl Odds
+840
AFC East Win Totals
Buffalo Bills:
10.5 (Over -140, Under +120)
Miami Dolphins
9.5 (Over +100, Under -120)
New York Jets
9.5 (Over -145, Under +125)
New England Patriots
7.5 (Over -120, Under +100)
Bet Buffalo Bills to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Super Bowl
