Cleveland Browns 2024 Season Outlook: Best Browns Prop Bets

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Because of the Deshaun Watson trade the Browns didn’t have a lot of draft capital this offseason. Still, they believe that a full season of Watson is better than anyone they could have drafted in the first round. 

Even with a light draft, it has been a busy offseason, especially at wide receiver. They signed Marquise Goodwin, traded for Elijah Moore, and drafted Cedric Tillman in the third round. They also added two big bodies to go in the middle of the defensive line in free agent Dalvin Tomlinson and third-round draft pick Siaki Ika.

Let’s see if Cleveland Browns have what it takes to back the betting lines to win the Super Bowl.

Cleveland Browns 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview

Cleveland Browns | 71st season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: Jimmy Haslam
Head coach: Kevin Stefanski
Home field: Cleveland Browns Stadium | Cleveland, Ohio

Super Bowl Champions (+4000)

The Browns are one of 12 NFL teams to never win a Super Bowl, and that isn’t likely to change this year. They are paying +4000 to lift the Lombardi Trophy in Las Vegas next February – the same odds as the Denver Broncos, and just ahead of the Pittsburgh Steelers and Chicago Bears.

AFC Champions (+2200)

Not to belabor the Browns historic failures in the postseason, but along with being one of 12 teams to never win a Super Bowl, they are one of just four teams to never play in one. That is also unlikely to change this year because of the stacked AFC.

But, on the plus side, Deshaun Watson has been a very good quarterback in the past, and a very good postseason quarterback. Putting a little money down at +2200 isn’t a crazy bet.

AFC North Champions (+425)

The top team in the division is clearly the Cincinnati Bengals, and then right behind them are the Baltimore Ravens. But this isn’t a top-heavy division. All four AFC North teams have projected records of over .500.

It won’t be easy to win the North, as the +425 odds indicate. But it’s not impossible. If the offense comes together like it should, and everyone stays healthy, Cleveland will be in the mix.

Browns Win Total 9.5 (+130)

You can find win total lines for the Browns at 8.5, but the over on those only pays -175. Bump it up to 9.5 wins, meaning that the over hits when the Browns win a 10th game this season, and the payout is +130.

Comparing the two lines and what the potential payouts are, at 8.5 and -175, a $100 bet wins you just over $57. At 9.5 wins at +130, a $100 bet on the over would win $130.

Weekly Browns Betting

Last year was a tale of two betting seasons for the Browns. With Jacoby Brissett at quarterback, the Browns went 5-6 against the spread, and were 7-3-1 on the over. They were a middling bet against the spread, but offense was your friend on total point bets.

When Deshaun Watson took over in Week 13 the offensive run stopped. The Browns were just 1-5 on the over, and 3-3 against the spread.

The Browns are middle of the road in strength of schedule for 2023, with the 14th easiest schedule using projected win totals. They are the early point spread favorites in nine of their 17 games this coming season.

Super Bowl Pick | Bet Cleveland Browns to Win
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After a wild NFL regular season, the playoff matchups are set and ready to go, starting with Wild Card Weekend, the first game of which goes on Saturday afternoon. 2024 MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Odds, American Football NFL Lines | Cleveland Browns Postseason Betting Analysis

It will be the Cleveland Browns taking part in that one, and while they finished the season on a high note, it was something of a strange path to the playoffs for them, with the outcome never really feeling like it was guaranteed until they actually clinched their spot. The question now is whether they can continue to roll and head deep into the postseason. That is what we are going to take a look at here. We will recap how they got to this point, look at some important stats and trends, and talk about their NFL odds and chances, so let’s dive right in.

Regular Season Recap

The Browns came into the season with their biggest question mark at the QB position. The move to land DeShaun Watson was controversial, and it was beginning to look as though it might all blow up in their face. A 2-2 start to the season and a struggling offense did little to change that outlook.

A big win over the 49ers seemed to wake the Browns up, though, spurring a run that saw them win 5 of their next 6 games. It all came to an end with back-to-back losses, with the doubters once again suggesting that the Browns might be toast, especially with Watson going out with a season-ending injury.

They brough in veteran QB, Joe Flacco, who impressed in a loss to the Rams, but who got better with each passing game, leading his team to 4 straight wins and a playoff berth. He was rested for the final game of the season, which ended with a loss to the Bengals.

Stats, Trends, and Odds

Prior to the arrival of Flacco, the Browns relied heavily on their D to get wins, but that has changed over the past month or so. Flacco and the offense have put up big numbers, with the defense relaxing a little, to the point where both the offense and defense are now somewhere in the middle of the pack.

As the #5 seed, the Browns are going to need to head out on the road, which is certainly not the best way to go when you consider that they were 3-5 away from home this season. They went 1-1 on the road with Flacco under center, with one of those wins coming against the Houston Texans, the team that they will be facing this weekend.

As far as the odds go, the Browns are +1400 to win the AFC and head to the Super Bowl, so there is not a lot of belief that they can do it. As good as Flacco has been, he has tossed 8 INT in the 5 games that he has played, which will need to improve if Cleveland is to go on a deep run.

As far as winning the Super Bowl goes, the odds are not really in their favor either, as they are currently sitting at +3300. A win in the Wild Card game does not seem out of the question, but a Lombardi Trophy feels like a longshot.

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Handicapping the Cleveland Browns season is no easy task. The problem? The NFL has yet to decide how many games starting quarterback Deshaun Watson must sit due to incidents that happened while he was a Houston Texan. The rumor is that Watson will have to serve out an 8-game suspension. So in this must bet games blog, we’ve chosen contests with the assumption Deshaun is out for the first eight games and then will return starting in NFL Week 9. Let’s take a closer at the top games of the season for the Browns so you can bet against their NFL Lines.

Cleveland Browns Must Bet Games During the Regular Season | NFL Betting Picks

2022-23 NFL Regular Season

When: Sep. 8, 2022 – Jan. 8, 2023

Cleveland at Carolina

When: Week 1 – Sunday, Sep. 11

Baker Mayfield is motivated to win the Panthers’ starting quarterback nod. Mayfield makes more money the better he performs. Baker starting his Carolina career off versus his former team will give the Panthers all the incentive they require to win and cover.

Cleveland vs New York Jets

When: Week 2 – Sunday, Sep. 18

On paper, Cleveland doesn’t seem to be much better than the Jets. Sure, Myles Garrett and Nick Chubb are fantastic. But the rest of the roster isn’t overlay impressive and Deshaun must sit this one out. So J-E-TS will be a good play to cover.

Cleveland vs L.A. Chargers

When: Week 5 – Sunday, Oct. 9

The Cleveland defense will have their hands full versus Justin Herbert and the Bolts’ offense. The Chargers are loaded on both sides of the football. It will be impossible for QB Jacoby Brissett to keep this one close. LAC wins and covers.

Cleveland vs New England

When: Week 6 – Sunday, Oct. 16

NFL Week 6 should be another home game that leads to another ATS loss. The Patriots don’t have better players than Cleveland. But the Browns must try and beat a Bill Belichick coached defense without their starting quarterback. So the Pats cover.

Cleveland vs Cincinnati

When: Week 8 – Monday, Oct. 31

Joe Burrow played against the Browns just once last season. It wasn’t one of his better games, which is primarily why the Bengals lost 41-16. But Cincinnati was in a rut. This season, the Bengals will be a better team than last season’s AFC Championship squad. Burrow torches Cleveland’s D while Brissett struggles agianst the Bengals’ defense.

Cleveland at Miami

When: Week 10 – Sunday, Nov. 13

Watson should be back setting up a terrific showdown with Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins. If the Browns have had a disappointing season up to week 10, this could be a great time to pull the trigger on Cleveland to win straight up as a road dog.

Cleveland at Cincinnati

When: Week 14 – Sunday, Dec. 11

By NFL Week 14, the Bengals will be one of the best teams in the league. Cleveland won’t. Cincinnati rolls to a win and cover, completing the season sweep.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh

When: Week 18 – Sunday, Jan. 8

Unless Brissett grabs some early season wins, the Browns will be out of the playoff picture. The Steelers might not. Pittsburgh projects as a decent team. The defense should be very good and Najee Harris will take the next step and become an elite ball carrier this season. Whether Kenny Pickett plays or not, Pittsburgh has the edge. Steelers win and cover.

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The Cleveland Browns are one of four active NFL franchise to never reach a Super Bowl. Might that change this year for Baker Mayfield & Co. following a disappointing 2019 campaign? Here’s a look at the 2020 Browns and their NFL odds.

Cleveland Browns NFL Odds After Free Agency Week 1

2019 recap

The Browns were heavily hyped entering last season but that things weren’t going to go as planned was evident as early as Week 1, a 43-13 home loss to the Titans. Tennessee’s defensive backs intercepted Baker Mayfield three times in the final 15 minutes as and the Titans dominated the undisciplined Browns. They committed 18 penalties for 182 yards.

Cleveland would win a few big games and was at 6-7 and still in the playoff hunt when it visited Arizona in Week 15 as short favorites. The Cardinals rolled 38-24. During the game, coach Freddie Kitchens and receiver Jarvis Landry had a heated verbal exchange on the sideline during the fourth quarter.

As it turned out, the Browns lost each of their final three games by double digits and that would be the end of Kitchens’ tenure after just one season.

Cleveland Browns offseason moves

After firing Freddie Kitchens, the Browns were linked to several big-name coaches but settled on Vikings offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski. He’s the franchise’s 18th full-time head coach, the 10th since its rebirth in 1999 and the sixth since Jimmy and Dee Haslam became the owners in 2012. Stefanski had the backing of Chief Strategy Officer Paul DePodesta in 2019, when he interviewed with the Browns but finished runner-up to Kitchens.

Stefanski has no head coaching experience, having begun as an assistant to the head coach in Minnesota in 2006. Since then he’s been a tight ends, running backs and quarterbacks coach before taking over as offensive coordinator in 2018. Though the Browns fired Kitchens on the last Sunday of the season, they were the last team to fill their coaching vacancy after a lengthy search that encompassed nearly two weeks and eight interviews.

Stefanski hasn’t decided, or at least hasn’t revealed, whether he’ll call offensive plays next season or leave it to his new coordinator Alex Van Pelt. Van Pelt’s only experience calling plays came in 2009, when he was promoted to interim offensive coordinator with the Buffalo Bills. The new defensive coordinator is Joe Woods. With Woods coaching DBs, the San Francisco 49ers led the league last year in fewest passing yards per attempt (5.92). Woods and Stefanski were in Minnesota together from 2006 to 2013.

Cleveland’s two big free-agent moves were signing tight end Austin Hooper and offensive tackle Jack Conklin. Last year, Hooper had 75 receptions for 787 yards and six touchdowns, en route to his second straight Pro Bowl appearance. Cleveland appeared set at tight end entering 2019 with David Njoku manning the position, but a broken wrist injury early in the year knocked him out for most of the season, and even when he returned he wasn’t used much.

Conklin got a three-year, $42 million contract with the Browns that makes him the third-highest paid right tackle in the NFL at $14 million a year. Conklin’s deal includes $30 million guaranteed, and $20 million guaranteed in the first year. Conklin significantly upgrades a line that struggled to protect Baker Mayfield last season. He was sacked 40 times to tie for seventh in the NFL among qualifying QBs.

Conklin was one of two Titans linemen to start every game last season, paving the way for running back Derrick Henry to win the NFL rushing title. Henry beat out the Browns’ Nick Chubb in the final week of the season, rushing for 211 yards to clinch it.

Conklin said: “I love running the ball. It’s my favorite thing to do.” And he knows Minnesota (with Stefanski calling the plays in 2019) ranked No. 4 in rushing attempts last season. The Browns were No. 22, despite having Chubb and Kareem Hunt in the backfield. Both those guys are back.

Cleveland also added defensive back help in Kevin Johnson and Karl Joseph. Johnson should slide right in as T.J. Carrie’s replacement in the slot. The ex-Texan finally stayed healthy in Buffalo last season, appearing in all 16 games for the first time since 2015. Joseph will attempt to replace Damarious Randall.

Finally, the Browns added veteran Case Keenum at quarterback to back up Mayfield. Keenum has struggled to replicate the magic he enjoyed with the Vikings in 2017, posting below-average numbers in both Denver and Washington over the past two seasons.

Cleveland Browns odds to win Super Bowl 55

The Browns have never played in a Super Bowl and are +4000 to win it next February in Tampa.

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Every season, an NFL team comes from nowhere to produce excellent against the spread betting results.

This season, the team that has the biggest chance of becoming an NFL handicapper against the spread darling are the Cleveland Browns. Check out what the Browns did against the spread last season before we discuss why they’ll be a great team to back ATS this season.

Is Cleveland Finally Ready for NFL Betting Turnaround?

The Browns didn’t win a single game last season. How did the Browns do against the spread? Not much better.

Although they were dogs in every matchup last season except for Week 3 where they were a 1-point favorite over Indianapolis, the Browns managed to go 4 and 12 against the spread.

This season? The Browns could be anywhere from a 9 and 7 against the spread team to an 11 and 5 against the spread team.

Skill Position Improvement

To cover spreads in the NFL, you must score points. Cleveland ranked 32 out of 32 teams in points scored per game last season. The Browns averaged 14.6 points per. In 8 games last season, Cleveland scored 14 points or less. They scored 20 points or less in 10 games last season. Heck, they scored 10 points or less in 7 games last season.

What do you expect when your quarterbacks are an immature rookie in DeShone Kizer and a second-year pro in Kevin Hogan?

This season, Cleveland’s starting quarterback is the often electrifying Tyrod Taylor. Buffalo’s former starter has all the skills to be a Russell Wilson clone. He had no shot to show his best stuff in Buffalo. In Cleveland, he’s got two exceptional wide receivers to throw the football to in Jarvis Landry and Josh Gordon.

If Gordon sticks to his current life plan, he and Landry could become one of the more dynamic wide receiver duos in the NFL. The WR position is so deep that Corey Coleman is the WR3.

Taylor gets to play in front of a deep RB corps as well. Right now, Carlos Hyde is listed as third on the depth chart. Rookie Nick Chubb is listed as Cleveland’s RB1 while Duke Johnson Jr. is the RB2.

Don’t be surprised if Cleveland’s rushing attack resembles the New Orleans Saints’ rushing attack from a year ago. Cleveland has a chance to average 20 to 24 points per game this season. That should make them an ATS star.

Softness in the AFC North Division…

There’s major softness in the AFC North Division. The Cincinnati Bengals are a throwaway team. Forget about the Bengals trying to win football games this season. Both QB Andy Dalton and coach Marvin Lewis appear headed for the exits. Cincy had a horrible offense and terrible defense in 2017.

Baltimore should be much improved. But, as long as their QB is Joe Flacco, they’ll have difficulty winning the division. Flacco could be on his way out because the Ravens drafted Louisville Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson. Flacco will start this season, though.

What’s up with Pittsburgh? Changing offensive coordinators might bite the Steelers. Even if Pitts scores plenty of points, the defense has yet to come together. Cleveland should at least go 4 and 4 straight up in their 8 division games. That means, 4 wins against the spread, because…

…The Browns Could Again be Dogs in Every Game

A quick look at the schedule implies that the Cleveland Browns are dogs and 1 to 3 favorites in a couple of matchups this season. They might be favored over the Jets in Week 3. They might be favored over Cincinnati in Week 16.

Before their bye week, with the exception of the Jets, Cleveland should be under bet while their opponents:  Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Oakland, Baltimore, L.A. Chargers, Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh, Kansas City, and Atlanta will be over bet.

That means the Browns will offer value against the spread in every game before their bye save for possibly Week 3 versus the New York Jets.

Don’t sleep on the Cleveland Browns against the spread this season. Because of their improvement at the skill positions, softness in the AFC North Division, and the fact they’ll offer value as an under played dog, the Cleveland Browns could be an ATS darling in 2018.

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Last year, they were the NFL’s worst team at 1-15. Will the Cleveland Browns improve in 2017? The NFL claims it has great parity, and each of the past 11 years at least four teams have made the playoffs that didn’t the year before, meaning that hasn’t helped the Cleveland Browns, who haven’t made the playoffs since 2002 or finished with a winning record since 2007. Any how, their wins total is set at 4.5. Given these points, let’s check out if the Browns will improve this season.

Will the Browns Record Improve in 2017?

Nowhere To Go But Up

First of all, yes the Browns will be better because no team has gone 1-15 in back-to-back seasons. So simply by accident, Cleveland will at least finish 2-14. To tell the truth,  I give the Browns realistic chances to win Week 5 at home vs. the Jets, Week 11 at home vs. Jacksonville, Week 13 at the Chargers, Week 15 at home vs. the Ravens and Week 16 in Chicago. In spite of this, I’m also not ruling out home victories vs. Tennessee or Cincinnati too.

Also, the Browns have some interesting young talent but just not at quarterback. Nevertheless, the offensive line should be quite good and the club signed guard Kevin Zeitler and interior lineman JC Tretter in free agency while giving guard Joel Bitonio a huge extension.

Plus, Tretter should be a massive upgrade over Cameron Erving, who looks like a bust early in his career. As of now, the Browns have an offensive line of Joe Thomas, Zeitler, Tretter, Bitonio and whomever at right tackle. Still, that’s above average.

Who Plays Quarterback?

Cleveland decided not to take a quarterback with their first-round pick this year. Just a few weeks ago, it seemed that Cody Kessler and trade acquisition Brock Osweiler would battle for the starting job. But hold on a minute, though. Second-round pick DeShone Kizer from Notre Dame reportedly was very impressive in minicamp and OTAs.

Kizer, the No. 52 overall pick, started out third in the rotation behind Kessler and Osweiler, but showed coach Hue Jackson enough to warrant the No. 1 spot on the second day of minicamp. Kizer was back to No. 3 by the final day of minicamp, but he continued to take all of his reps with first-teamers, meaning he’s essentially been splitting the starting reps with Kessler.

On the other hand, Osweier took most of his reps with second-teamers. However, the Browns have been praising Osweiler for his offseason performances, but they’re possibly still looking for someone to take him off their hands and fully or partially off their books.

More importantly, does Kizer start Week 1 vs. Pittsburgh? Doubtful. With games after that against the Ravens, Colts, and Bengals, some believe the Browns should keep Kizer on the bench at least until Week 5 when they face the terrible Jets.

And Who Catches The Passes?

The Browns are missing the third most targets in the NFL (285) from last season. Besides them, only the Ravens (345) and Rams (297) are missing more. With that in mind, those expected to fill the void for Cleveland are Kenny Britt, Corey Coleman, and David Njoku, among whom only Britt is a proven NFL producer.

In regards to free agency, the Browns surprisingly swapped out Terrelle Pryor for Britt, who netted a four-year, $32.5 million deal after setting career highs in targets (111), receptions (68), and yards (1,002) with the Rams in 2016 – and L.A had two terrible quarterbacks (sound familiar?).

In fact, the 15th overall pick in last year’s draft, Coleman exploded for a 5/104/2 receiving line in Week 2 against the Ravens, hence failing to clear 50 yards the rest of the way. And he also missed much of training camp with a hamstring injury and suffered a broken hand in practice after his breakout game, thus costing him the ensuing six weeks.

In addition to Coleman, at OTAs this year, he sustained another hamstring strain and a middle-body injury while diving for a pass. But on the bright side, Coleman appears to have avoided charges in his December assault case.

Currently, Coleman’s brother and another man have been charged on the recommendation of a grand jury, unless authorities caution that the matter remains under investigation. Although, if Coleman were charged, he would be looking at a suspension.

Upcoming Cleveland Browns Schedule

Final Cleveland Browns Prediction

To summarize, this team might be a little bit better than last year. But don’t expect much to happen from them. Although, it would be a very interesting team to watch if things turn around for them. Lastly, be sure to check out for more of the latest NFL odds and props as the season comes around and remember to have fun!

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Are you looking for some 2016 NFL predictions against the spread? The Cleveland Browns may have won a lowly three games in 2015, but the perpetually pitiful organization finally got something right by hiring widely-respected NFL ‘lifer’ Hue Jackson to lead the franchise in its latest rebuilding project.

Not only that, but Jackson acquired enigmatic quarterback Robert Griffin III to lead the Browns into a new era and many believe he’s the answer to help the aptly-named RG3 rebuild a career gone way off track in the nation’s capitol. Now, let’s get started with the top six NFL betting lines for the coming Cleveland Browns games.

Cleveland Browns Regular Season Preview and NFL Betting Advice

Week 3

Cleveland at Miami Dolphins (-7)

Like the Browns, the Miami Dolphins also have a new head coach heading into 2016 with former Bears offensive coordinator taking over the task of repairing mediocre signal-caller Ryan Tannehill (he won’t). Not only are the Fins an uninspiring 4-6 SU in their last 10 home games, but Miami has also gone 2-8 ATS during the span under Tannehill’s leadership. Maybe it’s me, but I like Hue Jackson and RG3 far more than I do, Gase and Tannehill. Keep it simple and back the Browns to cover the spread in a thriller and improve on their 5-5 ATS mark over their last 10 road games.

The Pick: Miami 28 Cleveland 27

Week 4

Cleveland at Washington Redskins (-7.5)

Washington won six of their final eight home games a year ago, but also went 1-2 over their final three, including their humbling 35-18 home playoff loss to Green Bay. Having said that…let me also say that I fully believe the Browns are going to come out with an extra special effort against Washington as new starting quarterback RG3 looks to stick it to his former team. The Browns and Redskins have met only three times since 2004, so throw out the SU and ATS trends for this contest. This Week 4 showdown is going to be all about Hue Jackson and RG3 doing their best to bring down a Washington team that may not be all that much better than Cleveland in 2016.

The Pick: Washington 31 Cleveland 28

Week 6

Cleveland at Tennessee Titans (-3.5)

The Tennessee Titans have turned to NFL veteran Mike Mularkey to lead them in a new direction but I’m not real fond of the hire and can see the Titans heading in a new direction (again) by this time next year. With the Titans going 1-9 SU and 2-7-1 ATS in their L/10 home games, I’m going with Hue Jackson to out-coach Mularkey while leading his Browns to the outright road win and accompanying ATS cover. Besides, Cleveland has won two in a row against Tennessee and man-handled the Titans 28-14 last season to cash in as a home Pick ‘Em.

The Pick: Cleveland 31 Tennessee 28

Week 10

Cleveland at Baltimore Ravens (-8.5)

I know Cleveland is just 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against the Baltimore Ravens, but the Browns are also 5-5 ATS over the span against their AFC North division rivals and split last season’s two matchups SU and ATS with both teams winning on the road. More importantly, Cleveland has gone 5-1 ATS in their last half-dozen road games against the Ravens with only two of those games being decided by more than seven points. Simply put, back the Browns to cover the NFL betting line in a divisional matchup that is generally a knock-down, drag-out affair.

The Pick: Baltimore 30 Cleveland 24

Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) at Cleveland

I know the Browns got completely obliterated in both of their two regular season meetings against Cincinnati last season, but they also beat the Bengals twice in 2014 while covering the spread both times. The Bengals are 3-3 SU over the last six meetings and 4-3 ATS over the last seven meetings and I can se this Week 14 clash turning into another closer-than-expected affair that the new-look Browns cover the spread in.

The Pick: Cleveland 24 Cincinnati 21

Week 16

San Diego Chargers (-2) at Cleveland

I’m no going to put any focus on the Browns for this Week 16 pairing. Instead, let’s look at San Diego’s awful 2-8 SU mark in its last 10 road games. Philip Rivers and the Chargers have dropped three straight on the road and eight of their last nine overall. Strangely enough, the Bolts have managed to cover the spread in their final seven road games a year ago. Still, I’m going to back the Browns to get it done at home by recording the outright home win in a high-scoring affair.

The Pick: Cleveland 35 San Diego 31 ;