Packers Win/Loss Odds 2024: Analysis of the Upcoming NFL Season

 

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The Green Bay Packers made one of their most significant moves in franchise history. A few days before the NFL Draft, the Packers traded the best quarterback to ever wear a Green Bay uni to the New York Jets, which means the Pack will play this season without Aaron Rodgers. We must take that significant move in mind when handicapping Green Bay games. Keep reading for analysis of Green Bay’s home and away schedule.

We will now give you a brief betting Home/Away analysis of each of the Packers opponents for the 2023 season before the NFL betting lines to win the Super Bowl go out.

 

2023 Green Bay Packers Home/Away Betting Analysis

Green Bay Packers: 103rd season in the NFL
Owner: Green Bay Packers, Inc.
Head Coach: Matt LaFleur
Home Field: Lambeau Field | Green Bay, Wisconsin

 

2023 Team-By-Team Analysis: Green Bay Packers Home Games

Packers Home Games
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Rams

The key for the Green Bay Packers will be how well Jordan Love plays. When Love played last season, he threw well. Green Bay’s QB1 completed 14-of-21, 66.7%, for 195 yards. He threw a single TD.

Granted, Love didn’t post Aaron Rodgers numbers, but he threw well enough that the Pack decided allowing AR to leave was the right move.

The key is if Love can post similar stats during the course of an entire season. If he does, Green Bay will be an NFC North contender.

We’re going half full here, which means we believe Love has a great season. If Love develops a rapport with Christian Watson, the Packers should be just as good, if not better, in 2023 than they were in 2022.

The Packers will win 6-of-8 home games. Green Bay will lose to the Chiefs and Saints. But they will beat the Bears, Vikings, Lions, Buccaneers, Chargers, and Rams.

Predicted Home Win/Loss Record: 6-2

 

2023 Team-By-Team Analysis: Green Bay Packers Away Games

Packers Away Games
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
Chicago Bears
Denver Broncos
Detroit Lions
Las Vegas Raiders
Minnesota Vikings
New York Giants
Pittsburgh Steelers

At first glance, it looks as if the Packers might go undefeated in their away games. Green Bay will be better than most every team on their road schedule.

But after a closer look Green Bay loses 4-of-9. The Packers will beat Atlanta, Carolina, Chicago, Detroit, and Minnesota. Green Bay’s NFC North rivals, the Bears, Lions and Vikings, aren’t as talented on both side of the ball like the Pack.

So Green Bay sweeps their NFC North opponents. But the Packers will struggle against Sean Payton’s Denver team. The Broncos have a great defense and the offense should rock now that Payton is calling the shots.

The Las Vegas Raiders are going to be a tough out. The Raiders have a legit signal-caller in Jimmy Garoppolo. If Jimmy G. is healthy for this game, he’s going to light up the scoreboard with downfield passes to Davante Adams.

The Raiders defense won’t be exceptional, but it also won’t be that bad. Like the Raiders and Broncos, Green Bay is more talented than the Giants or Steelers. Both opponents, though, will have a massive home field advantage.

The Packers will win 5 games on the road, which means Green Bay finishes the season with an 11-6 record.

Predicted Away Win/Loss Record: 5-4

Super Bowl Betting Pick | Bet Green Bay Packers to Win
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Green Bay Packers 2022 Division Standings | NFC North

17-game schedule Rundown

6 games against division opponents: Vikings, Lions, Bears – both home and away
4 games against a division within the NFC conference: 2 games home, 2 on the road
4 games against a division in the AFC conference: 2 games home, 2 on the road
2 games against opponents in remaining two divisions in our conferenc: 1 game home, 1 on the road
1 game against an opponent in an AFC division that we aren’t scheduled to play in the last year, current year or next year

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Heading into the 2022 NFL Season, the Green Bay Packers are one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. So it makes sense why the Packers’ win-loss total is a crazy-high 11 games. There are reasons to believe Green Bay wins more than 11 and there are reasons to believe the Packers win no more than 10. Check out an analysis as well as a Green Bay Packers game total prediction so you can bet against their NFL Team Totals odds.

Packers Win/Loss Total Prediction for the 2022 Season | NFL Betting

2022-23 NFL Regular Season

When: Sep. 8, 2022 – Jan. 8, 2023
Green Bay Packers Total Win / Losses Odds: 11

Why the Green Bay Packers will win more than 11 games

Green Bay’s schedule is soft. The Packers are at Minnesota, vs. Chicago, at Tampa Bay, vs. New England, vs. the Giants, and vs. NYJ in their first 6 games.

The Packers should lose no more than 1 of those games. Even if they lose 2, they will be at 4-2. After the first 6 games, GB is at Washington, at Buffalo, at Detroit, vs. Dallas, vs. Tennessee, at Philadelphia, and at Chicago before their bye.

So how many of those games should Green Bay lose? If Green Bay loses 2, they will be at 9-4 before their bye and with 4 games left. So all the Packers must do in their final 4 games is win 3-of-4 vs. the Rams, at Miami, vs. Minnesota, and vs. Detroit.

Why the Green Bay Packers won’t win more than 11 games

If the 2021 version of the Green Bay Packers threw down in 2022, then yes, they’d almost be a lock to win 11 games. But Green Bay went through some changes during the offseason.

The biggest change was trading Davante Adams. Davante is the best wide receiver in the NFL. Last season as a Packer, Adams had 123 catches for 1,553 yards. He caught 11 TD passes.

Aaron Rodgers is great, but you don’t replace Davante Adams with Sammy Watkins and expect the same type of production. 11 games is a lot.

Adams counts for how many losses this season? If you don’t think losing a player like Davante will affect Green Bay’s win total, think again.

Final Betting Analysis: Will the Packers win 11 or more?

At first glance, the schedule looks simple. But it isn’t. The New York Jets, New York Giants, and New England Patriots aren’t automatic wins.

Any road game in the NFC North will be tough to win. The Titans and Cowboys at home and Philadelphia on the road are potential losses.

Not only is the schedule more difficult than some realize, but losing Davante Adams is huge. Adams and Aaron Rodgers built their rapport.

Davante didn’t catch more than 75 passes in a season until his fifth in the league. One of Green Bay’s listed starter is rookie Christian Watson from North Dakota State. The other is Sammy Watkins.

Watkins is heading into his ninth season. He’s never caught more than 65 passes in any season and the 65 happened his rookie year.

The other starting wide receiver is Allen Lazard. Lazard caught 40 passes last season. So unless you think Lazard turns into Davante Adams in a single season, forget it. The Packers’ offense won’t be nearly as dominant.

Green Bay’s over under game total is too high. 11 games is way too many for a team that traded away the best wide-out in the league. Under is the play.

Green Bay Packers Win-Loss Total Pick: Under

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Let’s have a look at what lies ahead for the Green Bay Packers so you can plan your bets against their NFL Team Totals odds.

Green Bay Packers to Take a Step BACK in 2021: Season Betting Preview

The Offseason Drama

Aaron Rodgers has had a well-documented and growing feud with the Packers front office for a couple of years, which came to a head this offseason when he delivered an ultimatum: fire General Manager Brian Gutekunst, or get rid of me. The final result may not be as black and white, but if changes are not made, the dysfunction in Green Bay could continue to grow.

The Packers managed to re-sign most of their important pieces but lost Corey Linsley to the Los Angeles Chargers, and chose to release Christian Kirksey and Rick Wagner. They also opted not to draft a wide receiver with their first-round pick, another vote of confidence against Rodgers, ultimately selecting Georgia cornerback Eric Stokes.

This team will go as Aaron Rodgers goes, so if he does get traded, watch out— with that being said, he is the reigning Most Valuable Player and led the Pack to a 13-3 season in 2020.

The Division

The NFC North is not good: the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears are .500 teams at best, and the Detroit Lions are pitiful.

Minnesota finished in second place at 8-8 last season behind mediocre quarterback play from Kirk Cousins and a productive but incomplete season from Dalvin Cook. The Vikings brought in veteran cornerback Patrick Peterson to sew up the secondary, although the defense as a whole is nowhere near where it was in 2017 when they reached the NFC Championship game.

The Bears went 7-9 in 2020 and drafted their quarterback of the future, Justin Fields, with the 11th-overall pick in the NFL Draft; he should be expected to see action sooner than later with Andy Dalton and Nick Foles competing for the spot. Fields have a cannon for an arm and ran 4.44 at Ohio State’s Pro Day, giving the Bears a viable dual-threat quarterback not named Mitchell Trubisky (now a Buffalo Bill).

The 4-12 Lions began a new chapter as an organization by trading Matthew Stafford to the Los Angeles Rams for Jared Goff and a slew of draft picks; Goff will get a new start in a location with lower expectations, albeit in less favorable circumstances. The Lions got Penei Sewell, the best offensive lineman in college football, with the seventh pick, and he should prove to be an impact starter as a rookie.

Schedule Breakdown and Predictions

Green Bay’s over/under for 2021 has been set at 10.5 wins in an extended 17-game season, meaning that the oddsmakers expect much less production from them.

The Packers have a tough schedule with non-divisional home games against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington Commanders, Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams, and Cleveland Browns. While they are normally solid in Lambeau, the Packers would only be heavily favored to defeat Washington and Seattle and will struggle against the other teams. The mystique of Green Bay’s back-to-back 13-win seasons will wear off, and teams will figure out how to exploit them.

GB will hit the road for intra-divisional contests with the New Orleans Saints, San Francisco 49ers, Cincinnati Bengals, Arizona Cardinals, Kansas City Chiefs, and Baltimore Ravens. Of these, they should beat the Saints in the season opener as Jameis Winston will come out rusty, take down the young Bengals in Cincy, and knock off the Cardinals in Arizona. The other teams all play well at home and should hold serve against last year’s top seed in the NFC Playoffs.

Based on the breakdown above, Aaron Rodgers would need to lead his team to a flawless record against his division rivals to reach 11 wins. As tough as Green Bay’s matchups outside of the division are, they have dominated the NFC North recently, going 11-1 over the past two years. I expect them to run the table again, reach 11 wins, and hit the over.

Final Thoughts

The Packers are due for a step back, just as the oddsmakers suggest— there is an internal conflict in Green Bay between Rodgers and his head coach and front office, and I do not think that he has enough internal drive to completely put it aside.

The Wisconsin faithful got dealt a tough hand having to play the NFC West and AFC North, perhaps the best divisions in football, and they will have a losing record in these matchups. They will still make the playoffs by virtue of their division but should be expected to get bounced out in the first round.

All it would take is one loss to an NFC North opponent to derail their chances at covering the spread; even still, take the Packers to go over as Aaron Rodgers produces moments of magic in timely situations.

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Previous Betting News

While the Green Bay Packers managed to sign superstar quarterback Aaron Rodgers to a long-term deal just prior to the 2018 season, the heralded franchise clearly failed to surround their franchise leader with the complimentary pieces he needs to compete in the super-competitive NFC and we’re not even talking about the team’s lackluster defense.

Will Rodgers and the Packers offense get back to being among the best in the game? How will Green bay fare under first-year head coach Matt LaFleur…and oh, is anyone going to play defense in 2019? If you’re an NFL fan and betting enthusiast that wants to know just how many games the Packers are going to win so you could possibly cash in on the value-packed NFL Win Total Odds, then you’re in luck!

Thanks to the expert NFL predictions that you’re about to get on each and every game on Carolina’s upcoming 2019 docket, you’re going to have a great idea of just how many games the Panthers will win this coming season.

The Packers had a wildly uneven season a year ago in ranking a solid ninth in passing, but just 22nd in rushing and modest 15th in scoring (23.5 ppg). Green Bay was mediocre at best defensively in finishing 22nd against the run and an identical 22nd in points allowed (25.0 ppg). Aaron Rodgers and company went a modest 5-2-1 at home and they were a complete mess in going 1-7 on the road last season.

To address their offseason needs the Packers drafted Michigan defensive end Rashan Gary with the 12th overall pick while adding Maryland safety Darnell Savage with the 21st pick in the opening round. The Packers also added former Ravens linebacker Za’Darius Smith, former Bears safety Adrian Amos and former Redskins linebacker Preston Smith. Green Bay also has a new head-coach in first-timer Matt LaFleur, previously the offensive coordinator in Tennessee.

Green Bay Packers 2019 NFL Season Win/Loss Total Odds & Prediction

Week 1 at Chicago

The Packers split with the Bears last season winning 24-23 at home in Week 1 and losing in Chi-Town 24-17 in Week 15. Green Bay falls again in the Windy City! Loss. 0-1.

Week 2 vs. Minnesota

The Packers tied the Vikings 29-29 at home in Week 2 last season, but they’ll get the win at Lambeau this time around as their new defensive additions get after Kirk Cousins and Aaron Rodgers outplays his far lesser counterpart. Win. 1-1.

Week 3 vs. Denver

This looks like a game that Denver should win but they won’t just because Joe Flacco is borderline awful and Aaron Rodgers is a future Hall of Famer. The Packers win on the road . 2-1.

Week 4 vs. Philadelphia

The Packers might be playing at home, but I think Philadelphia is the better all-around team in this contest and I believe Carson Wentz is due for a huge season in the City of Brotherly Love. Loss. 2-2.

Week 5 at Dallas

The Cowboys will be playing at home and they’ve got the better defense and rushing attack. Green Bay falls again. 2-3.

Week 6 vs. Detroit

I have absolutely no doubt that Green Bay is going to go all out to get some payback for the pair of regular season losses they suffered against the Lions last season that includes their embarrassing 31-0 shutout loss at home in their finale. Rodgers and company get the payback they’re looking for. Win. 3-3.

Week 7 vs. Oakland

This is a game the Packers should – and must – win. Oakland is coming off a pitiful 4-12 campaign and they’ve got a ways to go to get back to respectability. Win. 4-3.

Week 8 at Kansas City

Aaron Rodgers might be great, but these days, a lot of people believe there is no one better than Patrick Mahomes. Kansas City has the edge here in coaching and the Chiefs are playing at Arrowhead Stadium. Green Bay Loses. 4-4.

Week 9 at L.A. Chargers

The Chargers keep coming up short when it matters most, but Philip Rivers and company are coming off a stellar 12-win season and the Bolts are playing at home. Green Bay falls on the west coast. Loss. 4-5.

Week 10 vs. Carolina

Cam newton is a pretty damned good dual-threat quarterback even if he’s not the best passer in the world. Unfortunately, Aaron Rodgers is far better than Newton and that’s why Green Bay will manage to hold it down at home in this one. 5-5.

Week 11 BYE

Week 12 at San Francisco

The Packers got past Frisco 33-30 in a thriller at home in Week 6 last season and I’m going to say they repeat their feat whether Jimmy G is under center for the Niners or not. 6-5.

Week 13 at NY Giants

There’s no reason Green Bay shouldn’t win this game, but they won’t. I’m expecting Saquon Barkley to steal the show in this showdown in the Big Apple in something of a shootout. Loss. 6-6.

Week 14 vs. Washington

You might not know it, but Washington actually won more games than Green bay did a year ago. Still, I’m expecting Aaron Rodgers to be at his late-season best and I’m expecting him to outplay whoever starts under center for Washington. Win. 7-6.

Week 15 vs. Chicago

I like the Packers to get the huge, win here as part of their regular season split with the Bears. 8-6.

Week 16 at Minnesota

Simply put, Minnesota gets the big win at home here as part of a regular season split. Loss. 8-7.

Week 17 at Detroit

With their playoff lives on the line, I’m going to say Green Bay comes up shockingly small in a crushing loss to Matt Stafford and the Lions that leaves them right at 8-8.

While I’ll admit that the Packers could win nine games, I certainly don’t see 10 victories coming for the Packers in 2019. Play the Under.

 

 

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While it may appear that the Green Bay Packers underachieved in a big way a year ago while going just 7-9 to miss out on a playoff berth, the fact of the matter is that the longtime NFC North residents had a very good reason for their mediocrity. They played the vast majority of the season without superstar quarterback Aaron Rodgers under center as the perennial Pro Bowler missed nine games because of a broken collarbone.

Now, with the Pack looking to bounce back in a big way and get back into the playoffs in 2018, you could cash in big on their season-long win total futures odds. Whether you’ve got a decent idea of how many games Green Bay will win this coming season or you need some expert assistance with coming to a decisive conclusion, you’re going to increase your chances of nailing your props odds wager on the Packers win total because of the expert betting analysis and predictions that you’re about to get on every one of Green bay’s games this coming season.

Now, let’s get started.

Green Bay Packers 2018 NFL Win/Loss Odds Prediction

Green Bay Packers Win Total Odds – 10

Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 9 vs. Chicago Bears, 8:20 p.m. ET

The Packers are the super easy pick to beat the rebuilding Bears at home in their regular season opener against their longtime NFC North divisional rivals. I like Chicago’s hiring of Matt Nagy, but I believe the Bears will be better later in the season as opposed to early on. Win. 1-0.

Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 16 vs. Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. ET

Aaron Rodgers would like nothing better than to hand the division rival Vikings a loss in this contest since it was Minnesota that broke his collarbone and ruined his season a year ago. Unfortunately, I don’t see the Packers getting it because their defense is going to be awful and Kirk Cousins is going to pick itapart! Loss. 1-1.

Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 23 at Washington, 1 pm. ET

The Packers march into the nation’s capitol and drop a turd on the White House lawn (I wish) before handing the Skins a home loss. Win. 2-1.

Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 30 vs. Buffalo Bills, 1 p.m. ET

The Packers will go from Washington to upstate New York where they’ll smack around a Buffalo Bills team that should have never jettisoned former starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor. Or maybe you think that either unproven veteran A.J. McCarron or equally unproven second-year signal-caller Nathan Peterman is going to outplay Aaron Rodgers. LOL. Win. 3-1.

Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 7 at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET

The Lions won’t be better than the Packers in 2018, but I’m thinking they’ll split their regular season meetings. Loss. 3-2.

Week 6: Monday, Oct. 15 vs. San Francisco 49ers, 7:15 p.m. ET

The 49ers have some high hopes entering 2018 because of the late-season play of quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, but Jimmy G is going to learn a thing or two from Aaron R. or is that AR? Oh hell, you know what I mean? Win. 4-2.

Week 7: Bye

Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 28 at Los Angeles Rams, 4:25 p.m. ET

Aaron Rodgers is definitely better than fellow alumni Jared Goff, but the Los Angeles Rams are now the clearly better and more complete team! Loss. 4-3.

Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 4 at New England Patriots, 8:20 p.m. ET

Green Bay will suffer back-to-back losses as they travel from one coast to another against a pair of Super Bowl hopefuls that are simply better than they are on both sides of the ball. Loss. 4-4.

Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 11 vs. Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET

The Packers could rest Rodgers and they’d still beat the awful Dolphins in this contest. Hey, does that rhyme…awful Dolphins? Win. 5-4.

Week 11: Thursday, Nov. 15 at Seattle Seahawks, 8:20 p.m. ET

Seattle may not be the same team that was a perennial Super Bowl favorite they have been in recent years now gone by, but Russell Wilson is damned good and Seattle is still difficult to beat at home. Loss. 5-5.

Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 25 at Minnesota Vikings, 8:20 p.m. ET

The Packers haven’t

won in Minneapolis since U.S. Bank Stadium opened in 2016 and they aren’t going to win this Week 12 divisional showdown either! Loss. 5-6.

Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 2 vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1 p.m. ET

Aaron Rodgers will be the best quarterback on the field in this contest by far! Win. 6-6.

Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 9 vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1 p.m. ET

The Packers have lost three straight to the Falcons with each loss coming in the ATL. Chalk up another one for Matt Ryan and company! Loss. 6-7.

Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 16 at Chicago, 1 p.m. ET

The Bears will be better in 2018 than they’ve been in a while but Green bay will be completely desperate to keep their faint postseason hopes alive. Win. 7-7

Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 23 at New York Jets, 1 p.m. ET

Nobody knows whether Josh McCown, Teddy Bridgewater or Sam Darnold will be under center for the Jets in this contest, but really, it won’t matter. Green Bay wins out of sheer desperation. 8-7.

Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 30 vs. Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET

The Packers will need he win to keep their postseason hopes alive – and they’ll get it! Win. 9-7. I like the Packers for 9 wins in 2018 and maybe 10 at most. What I don’t see happening is 11 victories and an Over! Play the Under!