On Tuesday night, two of the top teams in the SEC throw down when the Mississippi State Bulldogs head to Rupp Arena to battle the Kentucky Wildcats. Mississippi State has a 14-7 record. A victory over Kentucky on the road might all but ensure a sixth seed or better in the NCAA Tournament. Can the Bulldogs hang with mighty Kentucky? Or, will the Wildcats win and cover on their court? Keep reading for college basketball odds, analysis and a free pick for Mississippi State vs Kentucky!

Mississippi State vs Kentucky 2020 College Basketball Spread & TV Info

• When: Tuesday, Feb. 4 at 9:00 pm ET
• Where: Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY
• TV: ESPN
• ATS Odds: Kentucky -5 ½
• Over/Under Odds: 139

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs are a good bet +5 ½?

In their last 7 games, the Bulldogs are 5-2 straight up. That’s a decent record because the SEC is deep this season. Although they’ve won SU in their last 7, that’s nothing compared to their ATS record. The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. The streak includes covering against Florida, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Missouri. Miss State has a big shot to cover versus Kentucky on Feb. 4.

Team Statistics

• Points/G: 73.6
• Field Goal %: 46.7
• 3-Point %: 34.1
• Free Throw %: 74.6
• Rebounds/G: 35.3

• Points/G: 65.5
• Field Goal %: 41.7
• 3-Point %: 31.7
• Free Throw %: 69.7
• Rebounds/G: 27

Why the Kentucky Wildcats are a good bet -5 ½?

Before the loss to Auburn in their last, the Wildcats had won 3 straight. They beat Georgia 89-79, upset Texas Tech 76-74, and handled Vanderbilt 71-62. Auburn is one of the top squads in the nation. Mississippi State isn’t. Also, the last time Kentucky faced the Bulldogs, they beat them 71-67. The Wildcats can bounce back with a win and cover.

Team Statistics

• Points/G: 75
• Field Goal %: 46
• 3-Point %: 32.6
• Free Throw %: 77.7
• Rebounds/G: 35.4

• Points/G: 65.5
• Field Goal %: 38.7
• 3-Point %: 28.8
• Free Throw %: 67.6
• Rebounds/G: 29.1

College Basketball Betting Trends for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats

• Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games
• Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win
• Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning straight up record
• Over is 11-2 in Bulldogs last 13 games following a straight-up win
• Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in their last 7.
• Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games
• Home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Final NCAAB Betting Analysis:

Kentucky was on a 3-game winning streak. But the Wildcats failed to cover against Vanderbilt and Georgia. In fact, Kentucky is a terrible 9-12 ATS this season. That’s bad news for Wildcat backers heading into this Tuesday night matchup.

Mississippi State is on fire against the spread. The Bulldogs lean on Reggie Perry. The 6’ 10” forward averages a double-double: 17.2 points and 10 boards per. The Bulldogs surround Perry with 3 ball-handling guards, including Nick Weatherspoon. Weatherspoon is a dynamite rebounding guard.

Kentucky should have trouble dealing with Mississippi State’s starting five. Although the Wildcats will gel, it might not happen until the SEC Tournament. Coach Cal makes sure his team peaks right before March Madness. We’ve got a couple of weeks before the madness starts. Expect Mississippi State to challenge for the straight-up win. Taking the points is the play.

NCAAB Free Pick:  Mississippi State +5 ½