Picking the 2017 NFL Season Over-Under Win Total for Every Team

Posted by Kenny Bell on Thursday,August 3, 2017 9:45, EDT in

The Los Angeles Rams already have had a major loss on defense this 2017 NFL season. Tackle Dominique Easley, a former first-round pick who was projected to be a starter, is out for the season with a torn ACL. Easley tore his knee during an 11-on- 11 drill on Tuesday during the Rams’ first padded practice of training camp. Last year, Easley played in all 16 games, recording a career-high 3.5 sacks and forcing two fumbles. Here’s my over/under projection of every NFL team’s win total this season.

Picking the 2017 NFL Season Over-Under Win Total for Every Team

Arizona Cardinals (8.5)

Which Cardinals team shows up? The one that had the second-best record in the NFC in 2015 and reached the conference championship game or the one that slipped to 7-8- 1 last year? I say somewhere in between. NFL Pick: Over.

Atlanta Falcons (9.5)

Very little respect for the defending NFC champions as they won 11 games last year and of course should have won the Super Bowl. Is slight regression possible? Maybe, but only a game’s worth. NFL Pick: Over.

Baltimore Ravens (8.5)

No team has been hit harder by injuries in the past couple of months than the Ravens, who have lost a handful of guys for the season and QB Joe Flacco could miss the entire preseason with a back injury. NFL Pick: Under.

Buffalo Bills (6.5)

Buffalo has the longest playoff drought in the NFL. The Bills were 7-9 last year and fired coach Rex Ryan. Sean McDermott, the former Carolina defensive coordinator, replaces him. At least the Bills should be more disciplined. NFL Pick: Over.

Carolina Panthers (9)

I fully expected the Panthers to regress last year from the 2015 club that was an NFL-best 15-1 and upset in the Super Bowl. I just didn’t see the Cats falling to 6-10. I think this might push. NFL Pick: Over.

Chicago Bears (5.5)

Mark my words: John Fox will not be Chicago’s coach in 2018. The Bears might be the second-worst team in the NFC again this year behind the 49ers. NFL Pick: Under.

Cincinnati Bengals (8.5)

The Bengals’ five-year streak of making the playoffs ended in 2016 as they finished 6-9- 1 despite a positive point differential. Coach Marvin Lewis is on the hot seat. NFL Pick: Over.

Cleveland Browns (4.5)

4.5 wins? Are you kidding me? Did oddsmakers not see this team last year? The Browns maybe get to three wins but no way get to 5. NFL Pick: Under

Dallas Cowboys (9.5)

Are the Cowboys as good as last year’s 13-3 team? Hard to see Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott repeating their rookie season. Dallas should still get to 10 wins, though. NFL Pick: Over.

Denver Broncos (8.5)

Can I pass on this one? It really depends on whether Trevor Siemian or Paxton Lynch is the quarterback. I could see a one-game regression from last year’s 9-7 record. NFL Pick: Under.

Detroit Lions (7.5)

The Lions were going to win their first division title last year since 1993 but the Matthew Stafford hurt his finger in the team’s 13 th game and the Lions didn’t win again, although they did make the playoffs. NFL Pick: Over.

Green Bay Packers (10.5)

I worry about this team’s secondary and its running back situation after letting Eddie Lacy walk in free agency. But if the Packers have Aaron Rodgers for all 16 games, they’ll top this total. If not, they won’t. NFL Pick: Over

Houston Texans (8.5)

This is another team where I’d hold off betting until we see if Tom Savage or Deshaun Watson is the starting quarterback. Texans will have a good defense, but WR Will Fuller has broken his collarbone. NFL Pick: Over.

Jacksonville Jaguars (6.5)

This team’s season all depends on the growth of quarterback Blake Bortles. There’s a lot of talent on the roster, but it won’t matter if Bortles stinks. NFL Pick: Under.

Kansas City Chiefs (9)

The Chiefs finished 12-4 last year and backed into the AFC West title. They lost No. 1 receiver Jeremy Maclin this offseason but are they three games worse? NFL Pick: Over.

Are the Chiefs a safe bet for the 2017 NFL season?

LA Chargers (7.5)

What kind of home-field advantage will the Bolts have in their new 30,000-seat soccer stadium in Los Angeles? I have no idea, and neither do you. NFL Pick: Under.

LA Rams (5.5)

It could be a long football season in the City of Angels, which just two years ago had zero NFL teams. Now it has two bad ones. NFL Pick: Under.

Miami Dolphins (7.5)

Miami was 10-6 last year under first-year coach Adam Gase and reached the playoffs for the first time since 2008. I don’t think that was a fluke. NFL Pick: Over.

Minnesota Vikings (8.5)

The Vikes will again have to win with defense as QB Sam Bradford is just a game manager. No more Adrian Peterson to carry the ground game – not that he did last year. NFL Pick: Under.

New England Patriots (12.5)

Look, the Patriots appear stacked on paper. They could be betting favorites in every single game. But it’s really hard to win 13 games. In fact, one Tom Brady injury and everything changes. NFL Pick: Under.

New Orleans Saints (8.5)

The Saints have finished 7-9 the past three seasons. Is the addition of Adrian Peterson worth two more wins? Maybe five years ago, but not in 2017. NFL Pick: Under

NY Giants (9)

Big Blue returned to the playoffs last year at 11-5 despite a subpar offense. That unit should improve with the addition of Brandon Marshall. NFL Pick: Over.

NY Jets (4.5)

I think I would rather have Cleveland’s roster than this one. NFL Pick: Under (Lock of season).

Oakland Raiders (9.5)

While Oakland was 12-4 last year and has rising superstars in QB Derek Carr and Khalil Mack, the advanced statistics saw them as overrated. I disagree. NFL Pick: Over.

Philadelphia Eagles (8.5)

Will Carson Wentz take a step forward in his second season? The Iggles got him some receiving help. NFL Pick: Under.

Pittsburgh Steelers (10.5)

If you tell me that Ben Roethlisberger played every game, I’m going over this total. If you tell me he’s missing at least two games, I’m going under. NFL Pick: Over.

San Francisco 49ers (4.5)

The worst roster in the NFC without question. The Niners know they are rebuilding and have no illusions. NFL Pick: Under.

Seattle Seahawks (10.5)

Seattle could go 6-0 inside the NFC West alone because it should sweep the 49ers and Rams at a minimum. Can the hawks win five of their other 10? Yep. NFL Pick: Over.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8.5)

The Bucs jumped to 9-7 in Jameis Winston’s second season. If they get any type of running game, they could win the NFC South. NFL Pick: Over.

Tennessee Titans (9)

All things considered, this is my pick to win the AFC South as long as Marcus Mariota stays healthy. Terrific running game and offensive line. NFL Pick: Over.

Washington Redskins (7.5)

It’s probably Kirk Cousins’ final season in Washington. Although he might play well, but there’s very little around him. NFL Pick: Under.