With the 2021 NFL Draft coming on April 29, teams will now be in the final stages of deciding who they are going to take and what they will do if the player that they want goes earlier than expected. The planning for the draft is crazy, especially when you consider that needs might change once free agency arrives later this month. We have already seen some big-name QBs move this offseason, with more expected to go once free agency begins. That alone could have an impact on how teams tackle the draft. Will some teams go for a proven player in free agency, or will they take a shot with a younger, cheaper option? The only thing that we really know for sure is that Trevor Lawrence will go first. After that, it becomes a bit of a crapshoot, which brings us to the props available for the upcoming draft. Let’s look at a few of those and the NFL Draft odds attached to them.
2021 NFL Draft picks, odds, and updates
Which Player Goes #2 In the Draft?
As it stands right now, the New York Jets have the second pick in the draft. They are a team with a lot of needs, but many would suggest that a QB is at the top of their list, given that Sam Darnold has not lived up to expectations. If the Jets do go with a QB, it will most likely be Zach Wilson (-200), who the bookies have as the favorite to go in this pick. That said, a lot of mock drafts have offensive tackle Penei Sewell (+280) as the Jets pick, while QB Justin Fields (+250) is also getting some love.
Which Player Goes #3 In the Draft?
The bookies have Justin Fields (+200) in as the favorite to be the #3 pick in the draft, so I believe there is some potential value here, as I do not see the Miami Dolphins picking another QB after taking Tua Tagovailoa last year. Instead, they will more than likely boost their O-line to protect Tua, or perhaps add a weapon for their QB. I think the second option seems the more probable of the two, so look for Ja’Marr Chase (+350) to be the pick for the Dolphins. Chase did opt out last season, which may be seen as a problem, but he has shown more than enough to get the #3 pick.
Will the First 4 Picks all be QBs?
The odds here are not great, but this does look like easy money. While this is certainly a strong QB draft class, I don’t see any way in which 4 of them go in the first 4 picks. If you think that might happen, you can pick YES at odds of +900, while the NO pays -2000.
Total QBs Drafted in Round One
A simple Over/Under pick here, but one that might prove to be tricky given the QB carousel that we are going to see this offseason. The O/U is currently set at 4 ½, but there are a couple of things to consider here. Next year’s QB class does not look particularly strong when compared to this one, which could force teams to go QB here. The potential of teams trading up to get a QB is also possible. Going with the UNDER would pay +370, but I think the OVER (-550) is the way to go.
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