NFL Betting Guide for Week 4

 

Previous Betting News

Now that we are three weeks into the regular season, teams are beginning to show themselves, and that helps us with our betting. Today, we are going to be looking at some NFL Betting Lines and discuss which side we should be looking to take.

Who Are the Sure Losers in Week 4 of NFL Action?

Cleveland Browns vs Atlanta Falcons (+1.5)

The Cleveland Browns are far and away the better overall team in this matchup, and the fact they are only favored by 1.5 points is head-scratching to me. The biggest concern is the Browns’ defensive line, as Myles Garrett and Jadeveon Clowney are both listed as questionable for this game with injuries.

Cleveland has been doing extremely well at running the football as they are leading the NFL with 190.7 rushing yards per game and should be able to run against this Atlanta defense. I don’t like Marcus Mariota in this matchup either, as he has been average at best. Go with Cleveland to win by at least a field goal on the road here.

Seattle Seahawks (+6) vs Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions have been one of the best stories in the sport as they are playing hard and putting up points. The same cannot be said about the Seattle Seahawks, as they are averaging 15.7 points per game. The Seahawks are 1-2 against the spread this season, while the Lions are 3-0 against the spread.

Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown have combined for three touchdowns this season, while Geno Smith has thrown for four touchdowns all season. Running back D’Andre Swift is coming off of a quiet game last week, and he should be able to bounce back and dominate against a team that does not defend the run well. The home team is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games against one another, so go with Detroit eating these points to cover.

Miami Dolphins (+4) vs Cincinnati Bengals

The Miami Dolphins may be undefeated, but that does not mean they are going to be able to continue dominating. They barely defeated the Buffalo Bills last week, and that was with the Bills’ top two safeties available to play, and Miami could not get the ball throughout the game. Then, we have to factor in quarterback Tua Tagovailoa’s back and potential head injury.

This Cincinnati Bengals team has looked to begin to turn a corner as they defeated the New York Jets on Sunday to pick up their first win of the year. Joe Burrow has four touchdowns and zero interceptions in his last two games, and that should be a great sign for him. Miami does not have a running game as they are averaging 64 rushing yards per game, so the Bengals’ secondary can sit back in coverage and defend against Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle on a short week. The home team has covered in each of their previous four games against one another, so go with the Cincinnati Bengals to cover the spread.

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We are through three weeks of the NFL season, and now that we have some injuries surrounding teams, while also figuring out exactly the identities of these teams, we can make sure we are making some money by figuring out these winners. Whether your looking for a survivor pick or picks against the spread, we will provide you with both here so you can bet against their NFL Lines!

The “Sure Winners” for Week 4 of the 2022-23 NFL Season

Kansas City Chiefs (-3) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

We might as well begin with the primetime matchup in this game as the Chiefs are coming off of a 20-17 road loss against the Indianapolis Colts while the Buccaneers lost at home to the Green Bay Packers 14-12. As always, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense has looked lost at times due to injuries and underperformance as Tom Brady threw for 43 touchdowns last season and is at three touchdown passes through three games. The offenses as a whole have been the difference as Kansas City is averaging 29.3 points per game while Tampa Bay is scoring just 17 points per game. Tampa Bay is 5-15-1 against the spread in their last 21 October games so go with the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the spread.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)

The Jacksonville Jaguars have been doing well and are coming off a 38-10 road win over the Los Angeles Chargers, while the Philadelphia Eagles are coming off a 24-8 road win against the Washington Commanders. Philly has 12 total sacks, while Jacksonville has seven total sacks as a defense. If you subtract the huge Week 1 total, the Eagles are giving up 7.5 points per game, and I still do not trust Trevor Lawrence as cornerback Darius Slay is going to lock up wide receiver Christian Kirk, and that means there is a huge issue there for the Jaguars offense.

This is a revenge game for the Jaguars as Doug Pederson, the head coach for the Philadelphia Eagles during their Super Bowl victory, is heading back to Lincoln Financial Field. This feels like a Jalen Hurts show as I do not love Jacksonville’s secondary with cornerback Shaquill Griffin ruled out for this game trying to keep up with guys like AJ Brown and Devonta Smith. Be wary of the backdoor cover, but the Eagles should be able to win by multiple possessions at home in this game.

Survivor Pick: New York Giants

The New York Giants are hosting the Chicago Bears in Week 4, and the Giants are far and away the best team on the field. The story is going to be the quarterback as Justin Fields is not trusted in this offense as he has 15 passing attempts per game and has a 23 QBR. We are not going to look at the betting line for this game as this is being written before the Monday Night Football game, and things can happen, but there is a huge difference between these teams, and the Giants should walk away with the win.

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NFL Week 4 starts off with one of the most important games of the season. The Miami Dolphins head to Cincinnati on Thursday, Sep. 29 to take on the Bengals. Cincinnati and Miami are playoff contenders. So whichever wins the head-to-head in week 4 could be in the driver’s seat for a wildcard. Check out our NFL Betting analysis and a free pick for Dolphins at Bengals and five other must bet NFL Week 4 matchups happening this season.

Must Bet Games in Week 4 of the 2022-23 NFL Season

2022 NFL Week 4

When: Thursday, Sep. 29 – Monday, Oct. 3

Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals

When: Thursday, Sep. 29

The Dolphins have a great defense and a good offense. The key will be whether Tua Tagovailoa can get the ball to Tyreek Hill.

If he can’t, there’s a chance the Bengals roll. Cincinnati should be one of the top contenders for the AFC after shoring up their offensive line. Joe Burrow will have the best season of his young career. Cincinnati is the pick.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Cincinnati Bengals

Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens

When: Sunday, Oct. 2

Baltimore’s defense won’t stop Buffalo’s offense. Josh Allen should tear apart the Ravens’ overrated secondary.

When Baltimore has the ball, the Bills’ improved defense will stop Lamar Jackson. This happens on Baltimore’s field, which means Buffalo could go off at overlay odds to win SU and to win ATS.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Buffalo Bills

New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers

When: Sunday, Oct. 2

Patriots versus Packers is a must bet no matter the season. This season, grabbing the points on New England should be the way to go because Green Bay may not be as good as many believe.

Aaron Rodgers will do his part. The defense is okay, but not great, and AR lost his top two targets.

As long as Bill Belichick coaches New England, the Patriots will win games and cover spreads. Backing the Patriots against the spread will be the way to go.

NFL Week 4 Pick: New England Patriots

Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders

When: Sunday, Oct. 2

Broncos versus Raiders should be an excellent 2-series matchup this season. Russell Wilson throws for the Broncos.

Derek Carr gets to throw to Fresno State teammate Davante Adams for the Raiders. Las Vegas is at home. So the Raiders are the way too early pick, but both teams are for real.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

When: Sunday, Oct. 2

Patrick Mahomes versus Tom Brady. If that isn’t a must bet game, then what is?

The Buccaneers will have home field advantage. The Chiefs should be the better team, though. Kansas City boasts the better offense even if Tyreek Hill is now a Dolphin.

Also, even though the Buccaneers have name players on their defense, we must question it’s ability to pressure Mahomes. KC could be a great moneyline play.

NFL Week 4 Pick: Kansas City Chiefs

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers

When: Monday, Oct. 3

So many questions will have been answered by the time these two face off on Oct. 3. Who is the 49ers’ starting quarterback? Can the Rams’ defense hold up without Von Miller?

Will San Francisco have as effective of a rushing attack now that offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel is the head coach at Miami? No matter the answer to any of the questions, the answer to the most important we already know, the Rams almost never beat the 49ers in San Francisco.

NFL Week 4 Pick: San Francisco 49ers

  

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MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

 

 

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Can the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks overcome their respective laundry lists of injuries to win in Week 4? To a lesser degree, can the Las Vegas Raiders and LA Chargers overcome their own notable injuries to pick up wins this coming week? With that thought in mind MYBookie NFL betting faithful, let’s take an in-depth look at the injuries each and every team in the league is battling heading into Week 4 of the 2020 NFL regular season so you can set down your bets against their NFL odds.

NFL Betting Analysis | Injuries Heading into week 4

Highlighting some of the notable injuries heading into Wee 4 are injuries to three starting quarterbacks.

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MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

 

 

Previous Betting News

Every week in the NFL, there are a ton of games to consider when it comes time to wagering, making it tough to separate the good bets from the bad. It always helps to narrow down your options and choose the games and wagers that look the most likely to offer a return. For Week 4 of the season, we thought it might be fun to take a look at the remaining unbeaten teams to see what’s next for them and how likely they are to stay unbeaten. When we look at each of those teams, we will choose what we believe is the best way to play them this weekend. Let’s jump right into action so you can place your bets against their NFL odds.

Analysis & Predictions for Week 4 | NFL Betting

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders – With Brady moving out of New England, the Bills looked like a good bet to challenge for the AFC East and they are certainly doing their part thus far, going 3-0 to start the year. They have a tough one this weekend, though, as they will be on the road to face the Raiders, a group that looks like a potential playoff team. I like the OVER 52 here.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans – As things stand right now, this game may end up being postponed, as there are some COVID issues to deal with in Tennessee. For now, everyone is moving forward as though the game will go on, with the Steelerslooking to continue their fast start. If the game is played and the Titans are forced to sit their affected players, then this is definitely going to have an impact on their ability to maintain their unbeaten start. The Steelers D is on fire and I like them to cover as a 1 ½ point favorite.

New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs absolutely flattened the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night, but that also means that they are coming into this game on a short week. The Patriots have looked very good in the early going, with Cam Newton looking comfortable in Tom Brady’s shoes. This is a wholly different game for Newton and company, though, as the Chiefs once again look like an unstoppable force. While I like Kansas City to win, I think the Patriots might cover as a 7-point dog.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers – The Falcons will hot the road as a desperate team after losing their opening game of the season, 2 of which came after blowing huge leads. They will face a Packers team that is firing on all cylinders on the offensive side of the football. Both teams have been dodgy on defense, so let’s take the OVER 58.

Indianapolis Colts at Chicago Bears – There are a lot of people surprised to see the Bears at 3-0, but can they keep it going at home this weekend. The Colts looking to be hitting their stride after losing their season opener and I think they will be a handful for the Bears. I am taking the Colts as a modest 2 ½ point favorite.

Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins – The Seahawks are rolling through the opening 3 weeks of the season, thanks in large part to the play of Russell Wilson. The Dolphins got their first win of the season last week, but I think they are on to a hiding here. I am taking the Seahawks to cover as a 6 ½ point favorite.

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Four teams that missed the postseason in 2018 – Buffalo, Detroit, Green Bay and San Francisco — are undefeated through the first three weeks of the 2019 season. It marks the fourth time that at least four teams have started the season undefeated through their first three games after missing the postseason the previous year since 1990 when the current playoff format was instituted, joining 2013, 2003 and 2002. Here’s a quick look at every Week 4 game alongside the latest NFL Odds. The Jets and 49ers are on the bye.

2019 NFL Week 4 Odds, Overview & Predictions for Each Game

Philadelphia at Green Bay (-4)

The Thursday night game. Green Bay sits alone stop the NFC North at 3-0, while the Eagles are a disappointing 1-2 and could be without their top two receivers, DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery, again this week. Jackson is for sure out. There’s a chance that Jeffery returns from his calf injury. NFL Week 4 Pick: Packers.

Carolina at Houston (-4.5)

The Panthers already have ruled out starting quarterback Cam Newton for this one with a foot injury. “What Cam needs right now is time and rest for his foot,” explained coach Ron Rivera. “We want him at 100 percent when he’s ready, so there’s no exact timetable for his return.” Kyle Allen was phenomenal in Cam’s absence Sunday at Arizona (19-for-26, 261 yards, four touchdowns). NFL Week 4 Pick: Texans.

Cleveland at Baltimore (-7)

Matchup of former Heisman Trophy-winning quarterbacks in Cleveland’s Baker Mayfield and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson. Jackson completed 22-of-43 passes for 267 yards in the Ravens’ 33-28, Week 3 loss to the Chiefs, adding eight rushes for 46 yards and a touchdown. Mayfield, meanwhile, struggled in a loss to the Rams. NFL Week 4 Pick: Ravens.

Washington at NY Giants (-3)

The Redskins on a short week after playing Chicago on Monday. The Giants saw rookie QB Daniel Jones have a spectacular debut in Sunday’s win over Tampa Bay but lost superstar running back Saquon Barkley for 4-8 weeks to an ankle injury. NFL Week 4 Pick: Giants.

LA Chargers at Miami (+16)

These Dolphins may well be the worst team in modern NFL history. The switch at quarterback to Josh Rosen did no good in Sunday’s loss to Dallas. Rosen completed 18-of-39 passes for 200 yards in the 31-6 defeat, adding three rushes for 13 yards. The Chargers have lost back-to-back games. NFL Week 4 Pick: Dolphins.

Oakland at Indianapolis (-6.5)

Coach Frank Reich said top Colts receiver T.Y. Hilton “re-aggravated the quad” injury in the Week 3 win over the Falcons. Hilton should be considered questionable for the team’s Week 4 matchup against the Raiders. The injury happened just before halftime in Week 3, and Hilton was unable to return. Top linebacker Darius Leonard remains in the concussion protocol. NFL Week 4 Pick: Colts.

Kansas City at Detroit (+7)

This is the first time that Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes will play an NFL regular-season game in a dome. And he might face a Lions team without its best cornerback in Darius Slay. He’s dealing with a hamstring issue and in question. NFL Week 4 Pick: Lions.

New England at Buffalo (+7.5)

Matchup of 3-0 teams – who thought Buffalo would be unbeaten? The Bill have played three pretty bad teams, though in the Giants, Jets and Bengals. Tom Brady is 30-3 in his career against Buffalo. NFL Week 4 Pick: Bills.

Tennessee at Atlanta (-4)

Both clubs are 1-2. The Titans have both a quarterback and offensive line problem. QB Marcus Mariota already has been sacked 17 times and hasn’t been very good when he’s still upright as it is. It’s his first-ever game vs. Atlanta. NFL Week 4 Pick: Falcons.

Tampa Bay at LA Rams (-9)

Bucs should be 2-1 but kicker Matt Gay missed a chip-shot field goal as time expired in Sunday’s one-point loss to the Giants. Coach Bruce Arians said on Monday that the fifth-round pick “ain’t goin’ anywhere” and said the franchise’s rough history with kickers won’t lead him to change his mind. NFL Week 4 Pick: Bucs.

Seattle at Arizona (+4)

Rookie No. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray is still looking for his first NFL win. Murray completed 30-of-43 passes for 173 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions in the Cardinals‘ 35-20, Week 3 loss to the Panthers.

Murray rushed eight times for a season-high 69 yards after rushing for just 17 yards Weeks 1-2. He absorbed eight sacks, often running backwards on them and setting the offense back in a big way. NFL Week 4 Pick: Seahawks.

Minnesota at Chicago (-3)

Short week for the Bears after playing Monday at the Redskins. The Vikes have the NFL’s rushing leader in Dalvin Cook. Cook rushed 16 times for 110 yards and a touchdown in the Vikings’ Week 3 win over the Raiders, adding four receptions for 33 additional yards. NFL Week 4 Pick: Bears.

Jacksonville at Denver (-3)

Jags on extra rest after beating the Titans in Week 3 on Thursday. Will Pro Bowl cornerback Jalen Ramsey be on the field? He wants a trade and had the audacity to call in sick to practice on Monday. The Broncos are winless and punchless on offense. NFL Week 4 Pick: Jaguars.

Dallas at New Orleans (+3)

Preview of the NFC title game? Of course, the Saints remain without Drew Brees following thumb surgery. Backup Teddy Bridgewater completed 19-of-27 passes for 177 yards with two touchdowns while adding another 12 yards on three carries Sunday in New Orleans’ Week 3 victory over the Seahawks. NFL Week 4 Pick: Saints.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-4)

The worst Monday night matchup of the season with both clubs winless. In his first NFL start this past Sunday, Mason Rudolph completed 14-of-27 passes for 174 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in the Steelers’ Week 3 loss to the 49ers. The Bengals, meanwhile, remain without top WR AJ Green. He has yet to play this season off ankle surgery. NFL Week 4 Pick: Bengals.

 

 

Previous Betting News

What year is this? The Miami Dolphins are atop the AFC East and the Chicago Bears are leading the NFC North. Who saw that coming back in the preseason? Here’s a quick look at every game for NFL Week 4 with our NFL odds. The Redskins and Panthers are on the bye – it’s the first week of byes.

2018 NFL Week 4 Odds, Overview & Predictions for Each Game

Minnesota Vikings at LA Rams

NFL Week 4 Odds: Rams (-6.5)

This is the Thursday night game and one of the best TNF matchups we have seen since the league started doing these weekly 12 years ago. Although, the Vikings clearly were caught looking ahead to this as they were shocked as 17-point home favorites on Sunday by the Buffalo Bills.

The Vikes didn’t have the top running back Dalvin Cook but he says he’ll go here. The Rams are 3-0 and look like the NFL’s best team. Their closest game has been 12 points – which was what they beat the Chargers by on Sunday. Go Rams.

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons

NFL Week 4 Odds: Falcons -5.5

In the 2011 draft, the Bengals took Georgia receiver AJ Green at No. 4 overall and the Falcons took Alabama’s Julio Jones at No. 6. Who is better? We may not see Green here, though, as he left Sunday’s loss to Carolina with an injury. Too early to say if he’ll play. Atlanta lost at home to New Orleans to drop to 1-2. Take Falcons.

Tampa Bay Bucs at Chicago Bears

NFL Week 4 Odds: Bears -2.5

This line might change depending on what Tampa does Monday night when it hosts Pittsburgh. This is the game where Bucs starting QB Jameis Winston comes off his suspension, but it would be a surprise if the team benches Ryan Fitzpatrick with how well he’s playing – entering Monday, anyways. At 2-1, the Bears are atop the NFC North. Bet Bears.

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys

NFL Week 4 Odds: Cowboys -3.5

Detroit hosted New England on Sunday night looking to avoid 0-3. The Cowboys have played two road games and looked offensively terrible in losing both – including Sunday in Seattle. They did win their lone home game against the Giants. Go Dallas.

Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers

NFL Week 4 Odds: Packers -10.5

I wonder how many Survivor Pools the Bills ruined on Sunday with their shocking win in Minnesota? Josh Allen outplayed Kirk Cousins because, sure, we all expected that. The Packers should be 0-3 but are 1-1-1 following Sunday’s loss at the Redskins. Aaron Rodgers’ knee isn’t right. Go Packers.

Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

NFL Week 4 Odds: Eagles -3

Carson Wentz’s return from his torn ACL was a success Sunday as the Eagles beat the Colts. Tennessee won the ugliest game of the year against Jacksonville as Marcus Mariota wasn’t supposed to play due to injury but came off the bench when Blaine Gabbert went down. Pick Eagles.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

NFL Week 4 Odds: Colts -2.5

How is Houston 0-3? Way too much talent on that team to be winless. The Colts nearly pulled the upset Sunday in Philly but lost late to fall to 1-2. Go Indy.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots

NFL Week 4 Odds: Patriots -7.5

This line could change depending on what the Patriots do Sunday night in Detroit – Josh Gordon was inactive for that one so he should debut here. Pretty sure no one expected the Dolphins to be 3-0. Go with New England.

NY Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars

NFL Week 4 Odds: Jaguars -8.5

Jacksonville played so great last Sunday in a win over the Patriots, only to fall totally flat in a Week 3 loss to the Titans. That’s Blake Bortles for you. The Jets on extra rest after losing Thursday in Cleveland. Take the Jags.

Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders

NFL Week 4 Odds: Raiders -2.5

Think Jon Gruden regrets returning to coaching with his Raiders team a winless mess? The Browns, meanwhile, ended their 19-game winless streak Thursday by rallying past the Jets.

This is now Baker Mayfield’s team. Pick Oakland.

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

NFL Week 4 Odds: Seahawks -3.5

Arizona is god-awful, but Seattle’s not much better. Will it be Sam Bradford or rookie Josh Rosen under center for the Cardinals? Probably the rook. Bet Arizona.

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants

NFL Week 4 Odds: Saints -3

Drew Brees became the NFL’s all-time completions king in Sunday’s shootout win in Atlanta. The Giants got coach Pat Shurmur his first win as they upset the Texans in Houston. Take Saints.

San Francisco 49ers at LA Chargers

NFL Week 4 Odds: Charges -9.5

No team had a worse Sunday than the Niners, who lost in Kansas City and also likely lost quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo to a season-ending injury. That will be officially determined Monday. The Bolts are 1-2 and their defense is a mess. Take L.A.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL Week 4 Odds: Steelers -3

Sunday night. These teams usually play physical, close games. Short week for the Steelers, though, after visiting Tampa on Monday. Take Pittsburgh.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

NFL Week 4 Odds: Chiefs -4

Chiefs second-year QB Patrick Mahomes is the NFL MVP right now. Hands down. Amazing what he’s doing. The Broncos are 2-1 after losing in Baltimore on Sunday. Take Denver in an upset.

 

 

Previous Betting News

With the 2018 NFL regular season right around the corner, it’s time to dust off the old crystal ball and start making some predictions. For this piece, we are going to jump ahead to NFL Week 4 and look at every game on the schedule. No real in-depth predictions here, but rather just picking SU winners for every game that week, so let’s get to it.

NFL Week 4 Picks: Early Betting Predictions for Every Game

Thursday, September 27th

Minnesota Vikings at LA Rams

The Thursday night game should be a beauty, as these are two of the favorites to win the NFC. It’s offense versus defense here, with the slight nod going to the Rams at home.

Sunday, September 30th

NY Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jets don’t figure to be very good this season, and they look to be on the end of a beating when they head to Jacksonville in Week 4.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots

While there are some questions about the Patriots this coming season, I still think they will be fine. Look for them to dominate the division, including getting a win here.

Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

The Super Bowl champs are in for a tough one here against a team that went to the playoffs last season. This should be a close one, but I have the Eagles coming out on top.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

I expect the Texans to take a big step forward this season, assuming they stay healthy, while I think the Colts are going to struggle. Let’s take the Texans here.

Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers

The Packers are another team that have had more than their fair share of injury issues over the past couple of seasons. If they stay healthy this season, look out. This should be a comfortable win.

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys

It was a down season for the Cowboys last year, but I think they will bounce back in 2018. They are always tough to beat at home, so I like them to down the Lions in Week 4.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears

This will be the first game back for QB Jameis Winston after serving a 3-game suspension. It will be a good match-up between he and Mitch Trubisky on the other side, and I like the Bears to win.

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons

This looks as though it is going to be a long season for the Bengals, and this could be a game where they are on to a bit of a heavy beating. Easy win for the Falcons here.

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

The Seahawks have been one of the best teams in the NFC for a while, but I see a step back this year. That said, I still like them to head into Arizona and get the win.

Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders

The Raiders are looking at a bunce back year under new head coach Jon Gruden. This should certainly be a W for the silver and black.

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants

The Saints look to be on the brink of greatness again, and while the Giants should be better this year, I like the Saints to win.

San Francisco 49ers at LA Chargers

There are a lot of people jumping on board the 49ers train this season, but I am not totally sold. I like the Chargers at home here.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

Always one of the best match-ups of the season, this should be another classic. Slight not to the Steelers at home.

Monday, October 1st

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

The success of the Chiefs in 2018 is going to hinge on the play of Patrick Mahomes. He should have settled in by this point, so let’s take the Chiefs here.

 

 

Previous Betting News

The fourth week of the 2016 NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Sept. 29 when the Miami Dolphins visit the Cincinnati Bengals. It concludes on Monday, Oct. 3, when the New York Giants visit the Minnesota Vikings. Here are two early picks on NFL lines. The Packers and Eagles are on their bye week.

Let’s Take a Closer Look at the Best Value NFL Week 4 Betting Odds

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3 in NFL betting)

I actually think the Jaguars will be pretty good this season and might win the AFC South. So if this game were in Florida in the heat and humidity then I’d probably take them. But Jacksonville is the “home” team at Wembley Stadium in London. The Jags lose one home game every year these days to play in London and many believe the franchise will eventually move across the pond.

It will be the Colts’ first game in London and the NFL’s 15th International Series contest since games began being played over there in 2007. The marketability of the Colts in Europe is clear with star QB Andrew Luck spending a large chunk of his childhood across the pond.

“My father was working for NFL Europe so my family has a strong affinity for American Football on this continent and in this country,” Luck said on a recent trip to London. “I love to come back to (Europe) at least once a year during the offseason to catch up with old families. I still have a bunch of family friends, a bunch of family members that live in Germany, so I try to connect with them.”

The Colts have owned this series, although they lost 51-16 in Jacksonville last year. Blake Bortles threw for three touchdowns and ran for a score on the team’s final play, and the Jaguars ended the Colts’ 16-game winning streak in the AFC South. That was a record inside any one division.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-4.5 on NFL odds)

This line was significantly higher until Tom Brady’s four-game suspension was finalized. So this would be the final game he would miss in 2016 outside of injury or somehow another suspension. Buffalo never beats the Patriots with Brady but I think the Bills have a good shot here even though running back Karlos Williams will serve the final game of his four-game suspension. The Bills hoped Williams would reprise his role as a smash-mouth accompaniment to LeSean McCoy. As a rookie, Williams earned 517 yards on just 93 carries (5.6 yard per tote average) and seven rushing touchdowns. Among all players with 90-plus carries last season, Williams had the second-highest yards per rush in the NFL in 2015.

Buffalo played well at New England last year, only losing 20-13. Brady completed 20 of 39 passes for 277 yards and a TD. Tyrod Taylor was 20-for- 36 passing for 233 yards for the Bills,, who lost to Brady for the 25th time in 28 games. The game ended on a refereeing blunder, with Sammy Watkins crawling out of bounds untouched near midfield but the official inexplicably signaling for the clock to run.

Jimmy Garoppolo will be starting under center for the Patriots. In his regular-season career, he’s 20-for- 31 passing (64.5 percent), 188 yards (6.7 per attempt), 1 TD, 0 interceptions. Last year, Brady was supposed to miss a Week 2 game against the Bills in Orchard Park. Instead, he found a legal loophole to have the suspension lifted while he took the case to court, and he threw for 466 yards and three touchdowns in a 40-32 Patriots win. No Brady this time so I’ll go Buffalo on NFL odds.

 

 

Previous Betting News

We have already covered the opening three weeks of the upcoming NFL season in previous posts, and now it’s time to turn the crystal ball to Week 4. Please remember that these NFL betting picks are being delivered before knowing about injuries, suspensions, and other factors, so these will very likely be updated closer to the time. Still, it’s a lot of fun to do some football picks with a few weeks to go before the season actually starts. Let’s get at it.

A Closer Look At The Winning Predictions For 2016 NFL Week 4

Dolphins at Bengals

You have to forget that the Bengals have not had playoff success despite being one of the better teams in the AFC for the past 3 years. This is a team that wins in the regular season, and they should win the Thursday night game.

Colts Vs Jaguars

It’s an early start on this Sunday, as these two will square off in London, England. This is one that should be high scoring, and which I think will go in favor of the Jags.

Titans at Texans

It’s going to be fun to see if Marcus Mariota takes a step forward in his second season, and this should be a good test. I think he and the Titans will come up a little short here.

Browns at Redskins

Perhaps the most intriguing game of the NFL Week 4, with RGIII paying his first visit back to Washington. I get the feeling that this will not be a happy return for him.

Seahawks at Jets

Seattle are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home, but I still believe that they are good enough to take care of the Jets.

Bills at Patriots

It now looks official that Tom Brady will miss the first 4 games of the season through suspension, which will make this the last one without him. Tough to say how the Patriots will do without him, but you always have to like them at home.

Panthers at Falcons

Carolina are the overwhelming favorites to run away with the NFC South again this season, and I think they will prove that with a convincing win against the Falcons on the road.

Raiders at Ravens

While I fully expect Oakland to be a whole lot better this year, heading into Baltimore is never an easy task for any team. This could be a close one, but the Ravens come up with the win.

Lions at Bears

Two teams that have the potential to be not very good this season square off here. This is a coin flip for me, but I expect Matthew Stafford to win a couple of games with his arm this season. Why not this one?

Broncos at Buccaneers

The big question here is whether or not Jameis Winston is going to be able to solve the Broncos defense. I have the distinct feeling that he will fail.

Rams at Cardinals

The Cardinals are going to have one of the defenses in the league, and that likely means that they will be able to slow down Todd Gurley. Do that, and the Cardinals get the win.

Saints at Chargers

While I think that these two will be pretty evenly matched this season, the Chargers have to get the nod at home. The better wager here may very well be on the OVER.

Cowboys at 49ers

The return of the old rivalry is likely to be pretty anti-climactic, as I really don’t think that the 49ers are going to be very competitive this season. I’ll take the road win for the Cowboys.

Chiefs at Steelers

We have a great one for Sunday night, and it’s going to be fun to see an explosive Steelers offense go against a very good Chiefs D. Giving the edge to the Steelers here.

Giants at Vikings

The Monday night game is another good one. It’s going to be interesting to see what life is like for the Giants in the post-Coughlin era. I like them to get the win in primetime in this one.

Be sure to check back regularly to get the updated NFL betting odds each week.

 

 

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If you’re a pro football betting enthusiast that just can’t wait until the start of the 2016 regular season, then you’re in luck! Thanks to the recently released NFL odds on each and every game through 16 weeks of the 2016 NFL regular season schedule, you can cash in right now in the online sportsbook! Okay, let’s get started.

Betting Odds and Picks for NFL Week 4

Thursday, September 29, 2016

Miami at Cincinnati (-6.5)

Analysis: Say what you like about enigmatic Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton…all I know is that I’ll take him every single time over mediocre Miami starter Ryan Tannehill! Dalton has led the Bengals to the postseason in each of his five seasons while Tannehill has never come close to sniffing a postseason berth in four years as Miami’s ‘franchise quarterback’ (that’s funny). As a matter of fact, Dalton was having the best season of his career a year ago, when an injury just before the end of the regular season derailed his and Cincy’s postseason plans. Still, Dalton tossed25 TD passes against just seven picks and compiled a jaw-dropping quarterback rating of 106.3 in 13 regular season starts.

Ryan Tannehill was as mediocre as ever in tossing 24 touchdown passes against a dozen interceptions wile posting a modest quarterback rating of 88.7. More importantly, Miami has never won more than seven games with Tannehill under center while Cincinnati has never won fewer than nine games with Dalton under center and not fewer than 10 wins in each of the last four seasons. Cincinnati is the better team in all three phases of the game and should get the easy win at home.

The Pick: Cincinnati 31 Miami 20

Sunday, October 2, 2016

Buffalo at New England (-7)

Analysis: While the New England Patriots are expected to compete for a berth in Super Bowl 51 in 2016 an the Buffalo Bills are just hoping to reach the postseason after underachieving in a big way last season, it is the Buffalo Bills that are my pick to cover the spread in this Week 4 pairing. For some strange reason, Rex Ryan teams seem to give the Patriots a tough way to go every time they meet as evidenced by the fact that the longtime AFC East division rivals split their to regular season meetings last season.

Even if Tom Brad doesn’t miss this game as part of his four-game Deflategate suspension, I’m going with the Bills to narrowly cover the NFL betting line and improve on their surprising 5-4-1 ATS mark I their last 10 road games against New England.

The Pick: Buffalo 21 New England 17

Seattle (-2) at NY Jets

Analysis: I love Jets head coach Todd Bowles, but the fact of the matter is that New York is not in the same caliber of teams as Seattle, particularly with a muddied quarterback situation that has left piss-poor veteran Geno Smith as the current starter.

I know the Jets have gone 3-0 SU and ATS over their last three home games and 5-1 SU over their last half-dozen home dates, but Seattle has won six of their last seven road games while going 3-2 ATS over their last five games. Seattle has the better offense, defense and special teams in this pairing and an insane edge at quarterback with the incomparable Russell Wilson under center The Seahawks win outright to cover the spread in the online NFL sportsbook.

The Pick: Seattle 27 NY Jets 17

 

 

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The injury-plagued start to the Dallas season just got a lot worse after Week 4. But don’t tell that to the Cowboy fans who are still hopeful of seeing their team beat the NFL odds and fly all the way to 2016 NFL playoffs. After losing a number of high-profile players between Week 1 and Week 4 (including WR Dez Bryant and QB Tony Romo), the Cowboys suffered a couple more injuries in Sunday night’s 26-20 loss to the New Orleans Saints.

First, linebacker Sean Lee suffered a concussion in the first half of that game and didn’t return, and soon after, running back Lance Dunbar left the game with a left knee injury in the second half. On Monday, MRIs revealed that the running back Lance Dunbar suffered a torn ACL and MCL, hence will miss the remainder of the season The Dallas management will need to find a way of limiting these injuries if the Cowboys are to have any hopes of turning around their wasting away season.

Here are the other injuries worth noting from Week 4 of the NFL:

After his hot start to the season, Washington’s tight end Jordan Reed will be sitting out on the sidelines for a while after suffering a concussion against the Eagles last Sunday. Reed is also dealing with a right knee MCL sprain.

Detroit tight end Eric Ebron suffered a knee injury in the first half of Monday night’s game against Seattle and didn’t return to the game. Detroit’s defensive tackle Haloti Ngata also exited the game with a calf injury and failed to return.

Chicago Safety Antrel Rolle was carted off the field with an ankle injury in the second half of Sunday’s 22-20 win over Oakland. Center Will Montgomery also left the first half of the Oakland clash with a left ankle injury and did not return. Montgomery’s injury was later confirmed as a broken fibula, meaning the center will most likely be placed on injured reserve/designated to return.

Apart from shame of losing 48-21 to the Falcons, WR Nate Washington suffered a hamstring injury and had to sit out of the remainder of the game. Houston’s Quintin Demps also suffered a hamstring injury in that game.

St. Louis linebacker Alec Ogletree suffered a fractured right ankle and is set to undergo a surgical procedure on Tuesday.

Indianapolis linebacker Jerrell Freeman suffered a groin injury on Sunday and did not return in the win over Jacksonville.

Miami cornerback Brent Grimes and linebacker Jelani Jenkins suffered separate leg injuries in the loss to NY Jets and did not return to the game.

Cincinnati’s cornerback Adam Jones suffered a groin injury in the win over Kansas City and didn’t return.

Daniel Fells will not be returning this season after suffering an injury and undergoing a surgery that saw him placed on injured reserve, the Giants announced.

Cleveland’s safety Tashaun Gipson suffered an ankle injury and did not return in Sunday’s loss to the Chargers.

San Diego’s wideout Malcom Floyd suffered a concussion and did not return against the Cleveland, while Stevie Johnson, another wide out for the Chargers, also suffered a hamstring injury in that game.

 

 

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The Atlanta Falcons and their NFL odds fans will look to keep their pristine record unblemished when they host the struggling Houston Texans in their Week 4 matchup. Now, let’s find out if the Falcons will win and cash in.

Houston a Atlanta NFL Week 4 Game Information and Odds

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 4, 2015

Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia

NFL Odds: Atlanta -7

Over/Under: 47

Houston Texans (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

The Texans got their first win of the season by beating rebuilding Tampa Bay 19-9 in Week 3 to cash in as a 6-point home favorite. Houston quarterback Ryan Mallett completed 24 of 39 passes for 228 yards with one touchdown and one interception while running back Alfred Blue added 139 yards and one score on 31 carries. Houston also harassed Bucs’ rookie quarterback Jameis Winston into a mediocre 17-for-36 passing day in the win. The Texans are ranked a dismal 24th in scoring (18.7 ppg) but have been very solid in ranking ninth in points allowed (20.0).

Atlanta Falcons (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

Atlanta moved to 3-0 by laying an emphatic 39-28 beat-down n banged-up Dallas in Week 3 to easily cash in as a 1-point road dog. Falcons’ signal-caller Matt Ryan completed 24 of 36 passes for 285 yards and two touchdowns while running back DeVonta Freeman added 1414 yards and three scores on 30 carries. Once again, no one on the opposing team could stop elite wide receiver Julio Jones who had a dozen catches for 164 yards and two scores. Atlanta is ranked third in total offense and second in passing while also ranking fifth in scoring (29.7 ppg). Defensively, the Falcons are ranked 16th in points allowed (24.0).

Game Analysis:

70 percent of the betting public likes Atlanta to cover the spread as touchdown favorites and so do I. First and foremost, the Falcons have been getting after the opposition better than they ever have under new head coach Dan Quinn and I fully expect them to harass Houston’s Ryan Mallett into a pitiful performance in this contest.

Houston’s defense is pretty good, but not good enough to stop an elite quarterback-wide receiver combination like Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, even with the game’s best defensive player on their roster in defensive end J.J. Watt. Atlanta has posted a near-perfect 4-1 ATS mark in its last five games while Houston has gone 2-3-1 ATS in its last half-dozen games and just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an SU win.

57 percent of the betting public likes the Over, but I tend to disagree with Houston struggling to score points in a big way, thanks to their mediocre play at quarterback. Lest anyone forget, this is the same franchise that benched veteran Brian Hoyer after just one game after naming him the starter for 2015 prior to the start of the regular season. The Under is 3-0-1 in Houston’s last four road games and 6-0 I Atlanta’s last six games against a team with a losing record.

The Pick: Falcons 24 Texans 14

 

 

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The Pittsburgh Steelers picked up a hard-fought win over St. Louis in Week 3, but the big question for NFL odds fans across the globe heading into Thursday night is whether or not the Super Bowl-hopeful Steelers can hold it down at home and cash in against the winless – and absolutely desperate – Baltimore Ravens. Let’s find out now!

Baltimore at Pittsburgh Week 4 NFL Game Information and Odds

When: Thursday, Oct. 1 at 8:25 PM ET
Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pa.
NFL Odds: Baltimore -3/
Over/Under: 45

The Steelers took down a game St. Louis Rams team 12-6 in Week 3 to cover the spread as a 1.5-point road dog, but saw starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger go down with a knee injury with 5:35 remaining in third quarter that will sideline the Super Bowl winning signal-caller for up to six weeks. “I was kind of stunned,” the Steelers backup quarterback Michael Vick said after finishing up in place of Roethlisberger. “You never want to see a guy like Ben go down.”

Roethlisberger was knocked out of the game when Rams safety Mark Barron was blocked and rolled into Roethlisberger’s leg on a sack. Roethlisberger was on the turf for several minutes before limping off the field. Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin had little information on Roethlisberger, except to say he was “being evaluated” and would have an MRI after returning to Pittsburgh. “I promise I’ll give you more when I have it,” Tomlin said after the game. Before departing, Roethlisberger completed 20 of 24 passes for 192 yards with an interception. He had entered the game needing 223 passing yards to reach 40,000 for his career.

“This was a good, tough ballgame,” Tomlin said. “It’s good to come out on top of those. … We have to be able to go on the road in a hostile environment be able to win. We can check those two things off today and hopefully we can grow from it.”

The Baltimore Ravens suffered a heartbreaking 28-24 loss against AFC North rival Cincinnati in their Week 3 divisional matchup while failing to cover the spread as a 2.5-point home favorite. Baltimore’s surprisingly generous defense allowed Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton to hook up with veteran wide receiver A.J. Green for the go-ahead score with a 7-yard touchdown pass in a wild fourth quarter that produced 31 combined points.

“Obviously, a tough loss, very disappointing,” Ravens head coach John Harbaugh said following his team’s crushing loss. “We had the lead twice in the fourth quarter and couldn’t hold onto it. It’s happened too much lately.”

Baltimore was the only franchise in league history to never have a 0-3 start and will enter their Week 4matchup against Pittsburgh totally desperate. The Ravens got a spectacular performance from veteran wide receiver Steve Smith Sr. as the possible future Hall of Famer set a franchise record with 13 receptions for 186 yards and two touchdowns. Quarterback Joe Flacco completed 32 of 49 passes for 362 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. “It’s wins and losses,” Smith said. “That’s what we consume ourselves with and we lost. We have to put our tissues away and go out and practice.”

Game Analysis:

With Ben Roethlisberger out of the lineup, Pittsburgh has moved from what would have been an opening line featuring them as slight 1.5-point home favorites to 3-point home dogs. Having said that, I can understand why two-thirds (66 percent) of the betting public likes Baltimore to cover the spread with the outright road win. Still, I’m a bit skeptical mostly because Baltimore’s perennially stout defense looks nothing like it generally does on an annual basis.

Pittsburgh averages 25.3 points per game this season to Baltimore’s 23.3 per game, but again, it is on the defensive side of the ball where the Ravens are really struggling. While the Steelers are limiting their opponents to just 17.3 points per game defensively, Baltimore is allowing opponents to put up 28.0 points per game up on the board and I believe that spells trouble against a Steelers team that I believe will be very focused in coming into this important divisional showdown.

Baltimore is just 2-4-1 ATS in its last seven games against Pittsburgh and 2-3-1 ATS in its last half-dozen road games against their division rivals. Conversely, Pittsburgh has gone 6-2 SU in its last eight home games and a bankroll-boosting 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games overall. With Pittsburgh also going12-5 SU in its last 17 home games against Baltimore, I say the Steelers get the outright win at home to cover the NFL betting line as a home dog.

The Pick: Pittsburgh 27 Baltimore 24

 

 

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NFL teams rarely make coaching changes quarter-way through the season, unless it’s really a special case. And going by the Dolphins’ decision to fire coach Joe Philbin on Monday after just four games in the new season, it’s safe to say that the Miami franchise and its NFL odds fans are going through a special situation right now.

Though after a 1-3 start to the season (and getting outscored 91-48 in the process), a sub .500 record of 24-28 since taking over the Miami coaching job in 2012, and millions of dollars spent on top-end contracts in the offseason; it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out why the Dolphins decided to part ways with Philbin. As per the Dolphins, Miami’s tight ends coach Dan Campbell will serve as the team’s interim head coach for the remainder of the season.

Going by the high expectation in the league, along with the precedence set by Philbin’s quick sacking, you can’t help but feel that a couple of coaches will be following suit sooner rather than later. In this special edition of NFL odds predictions, we take a look at some of the other coaches who could be facing a similar predicament like Philbin.

Chuck Pagano, Indianapolis Colts

Entering the new season, very teams were expected to perform higher than the Colts, who’d impressed in the 2014-15 campaign by going all the way to the conference finals, where they contentiously lost to the New England Patriots. Four weeks down the line, the Colts are 2-2 for the season, which is a really lucky record. The Colts have been playing badly and their record could have been worse. A good example is the manner in which they struggled against the Jags over the weekend to eke out an OT win.

The fact that Andrew Luck is injured because of a poor O-line that has not been able to protect him is another fault on coach Pagano’s plate. Meanwhile, both the D-line and offensive targets in Indy have been far from formidable. Matter of fact, they look worse than they were in 2014, despite adding a good number of key players in the offseason. The fans are worried, the management is reportedly worried, and even Andrew Luck is worried. If Pagano can’t find speedy solutions to his pathetic-looking Colts team, he could be joining Philbin in the cold real soon.

Bill O’Brien, Houston Texans

After leading the Texans to an impressive 9-7 mark in his first season, O’Brien is finding it hard to impress his employers, or at least get a good start to the season. You’d expect the Texans to take advantage of Indy’s poor start to the season in the AFC South, yet looking at them, they are doing just as bad, sporting a 1-3 record in the division, which is tied for worst with the Jags. With a -31 point differential, a leaky defense that was battered 42-0 in three quarters by the Falcons on Sunday despite having a star defender like J.J. Watt, and a poor starter in Ryan Mallet (who failed to do muster any score against Atlanta); it’s looking really bad for O’Brien right now.

The fact that the coach passed over Brian Hoyer for the starting QB job, yet Hoyer played quite well on Sunday, further lays doubt on the head coach’s decision-making skills. With a schedule that includes the Colts this week, and trap games against the Jags, Dolphins and Titans over the next couple of weeks, it’s not going to get any easier for O’Brien, especially if he doesn’t win at least 2 of those 4 games.

Sean Payton, New Orleans Saints

Payton and the Saints finally grabbed their first win of the season, albeit against a depleted Cowboys team that was playing without several key starters. That win will probably just quiet the disgruntled fans and club owners for a week, but once the Week 5 games get underway, there’s probably going to be another wave of complaints. Playing against the Eagles, Falcons, Colts, and Giants in the next four games is something that is guaranteed to bring a lot of pressure to the Payton and sinful Saints, who ranks 28th in offensive rushing yards, 19th in points for, and 23rd in points against.

Bubbling Under in the Coaching Hot Seat: Jeff Fisher (Rams) and Andy Reid (Chiefs)