As the 2024 ATP Tour winds down, tennis fans are eyeing the ATP tour odds for the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin, Italy, where the world’s top eight players will battle it out for the prestigious season-ending title.

2024 Nitto ATP Finals Odds: Top ATP Picks for the Top 3 Contenders
ATP Finals Forecast: Expert Predictions and Betting Tips

2024 ATP Finals | 55th edition of the Nitto ATP Finals
Sunday, November 10th – Sunday, November 17th, 2024 | Centre Court, Turin, Italy
2023 Winner: Novak Djokovic

Betting 2024 Nitto ATP Finals | Know the Basics

The Nitto ATP Finals in Turin, Italy, marks the end of the 2024 ATP Tour, bringing together eight of the world’s top tennis players for one last showdown.

Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, Taylor Fritz, Casper Ruud, Alex de Minaur, and Andrey Rublev will compete in this highly anticipated event.

While Novak Djokovic is taking a break to prepare for the 2025 season, this tournament still promises intense matches and high stakes, as each player is eager to finish the season on a high note.

The tournament format includes two groups of four players, who will face each other in a round-robin setup.

The top two players from each group advance to the semifinals, where it becomes a knockout round to decide who moves on to the finals.

Let’s break down the top three picks for this tournament and the odds, along with our final pick to win the ATP Finals.

Writer’s Picks for the Next Nitto ATP Finals | Top Players to Watch

1. Jannik Sinner (-350)

Jannik Sinner enters the Nitto ATP Finals as the top favorite, especially on indoor hard courts, which play to his strengths.

As an Italian, he will also enjoy home-court support, as Turin’s crowd is bound to rally behind him.

Sinner’s game has reached new levels, especially on faster courts, where his powerful groundstrokes and excellent court coverage make him hard to beat.

Statistically, Sinner’s metrics shine. Tennis Data Innovations ranks him first in Performance Rating (8.92), Forehand Quality (8.85), and Backhand Quality (8.45) among players in the field.

Even Djokovic, who is not playing, ranks second to Sinner in these areas, highlighting Sinner’s current dominance on this surface.

Sinner’s consistent power and control give him a clear advantage, particularly in his ability to break down opponents’ defenses.

With a conversion rate of 73.7%, the Italian star is the best in the field when it comes to converting break points.

Sinner’s return quality is also high, making him a well-rounded threat in every match.

Djokovic was the only player to stop Sinner in last year’s tournament, but with Djokovic out, Sinner has a clearer path to the title.

2. Taylor Fritz (+300)

Taylor Fritz enters the tournament as the second favorite, thanks to his impressive serving ability and recent performance.

Fritz’s serve has been outstanding this season, with an 88.4% hold percentage over the last 52 weeks—placing him among the top six players globally.

This strength gives Fritz an edge in Turin, where the fast court surface favors players with powerful serves and quick rallies.

Playing in these conditions, Fritz can win points quickly and avoid getting drawn into long exchanges.

The American has shown he can handle high-pressure situations, making him a viable contender.

His head-to-head record against Daniil Medvedev might be seen as shaky because he has won mostly exhibition matches, but he is in a better form than Medvedev coming into this tournament

 Fritz’s flat, powerful groundstrokes make him capable of breaking down opponents on both sides of the court.

With Medvedev struggling lately and Fritz looking forward to a strong tournament showing, Fritz has solid potential to advance far in the competition.

3. Daniil Medvedev (+1200)

Daniil Medvedev is known for his tactical skills and strong defense, but his recent performance has been less consistent.

Medvedev has lost his last three matches coming into the tournament, which has some questioning if he can bounce back to form.

However, Medvedev is known for his resilience and ability to adapt, and he brings experience to the ATP Finals, having won similar high-stakes tournaments.

Medvedev’s defensive skills could make him a challenge for aggressive players, but his serve has declined, with a hold percentage of 80.3% in the past year—well below Fritz’s.

His excellent return skills are still present, with a 27.6% break rate, one of the best in the field.

If Medvedev can regain his form and maintain focus, he has a shot at advancing.

But his recent struggles and inconsistency with his serve may hold him back, especially on Turin’s fast surface, which favors players who can win points quickly off their serve.

Additional Matches to Watch

Several other key matches are lined up in the tournament’s round-robin stage.

Here’s a quick preview of some upcoming games:

• Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud:
  Alcaraz is a strong favorite, with his aggressive baseline game likely overpowering Ruud’s more defensive style.
• Alexander Zverev vs. Andrey Rublev:
  This matchup features two big hitters, with Zverev’s height advantage and serve potentially giving him an edge.
• Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex de Minaur:
  Medvedev’s defensive play will be tested by De Minaur’s speed and tenacity, but Medvedev has the experience to handle the pressure.
• Jannik Sinner vs. Taylor Fritz:
  This match will be a showcase of power tennis, with both players having strong serves and aggressive styles.

Nitto ATP Finals Winning Pick: Jannik Sinner

His strengths on indoor hard courts make him the top pick for this tournament.

Sinner has been dominant on this surface all season, consistently breaking down opponents with powerful forehands and reliable backhands.

His ability to capitalize on break points, along with his solid returning, makes him a difficult opponent for anyone in the field.

With Djokovic not competing, Sinner’s path is even more favorable, and his familiarity with the Italian crowd could add extra motivation to finish the season strong.

The Nitto ATP Finals is set to deliver exciting matches with some of the world’s top players competing for the title.

Keep an eye on Sinner, who seems poised to finish the season with a win in front of his home crowd in Italy.

ATP Winning Pick: Jannik Sinner

Bet the Nitto ATP Finals | MyBookie Live ATP Betting

RAMPANT RUUD 💪

The moment @CasperRuud98 recorded his first EVER win over Alcaraz 6-1 7-5!#NittoATPFinals pic.twitter.com/zAuqklbrqf

— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) November 11, 2024

Upcoming 2024 ATP Events

Next Gen ATP Finals presented by PIF | December 17 – December 22

Brisbane International Presented by Evie | December 29 – January 5

ASB Classic | December 30 – January 5

Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open | December 30 – January 5

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