We are now one step closer to finding out who will end the season as the National Champion, but there are still a few more bowl games to come before we get to that point.

I think it’s fair to say that the bigger matchups outside of the playoffs are all done now, but you can bet that the teams who have still to play will believe that their game is important in and of itself.

North Texas vs Texas State Prediction: First Responder Analysis

For the First responder Bowl, we have a matchup between a pair of Texas teams, with the game taking place in their home state.

It’s one of only two games being played on Friday, so it’s one a that a lot of football fans will be tuning into, especially with the season winding down now.

The Texas State Bobcats are favored by 13 over their state rivals, with the total for this one set at 61.

How to Bet and Watch North Texas vs Texas State: First Responder Bowl Odds and Prediction

MyBookie NCAAF Moneylines: Texas State -500 / North Texas +360
Date & Time: Friday January 3 at 4 PM EST
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas
TV: ESPN

North Texas vs Texas State Prediction for First Responder Bowl

The Bobcats are the clear favorite here, but I am not so sure they will go out and cover the spread in this one, even though I believe they will come away with the win.

I think the obvious bet in this game is the OVER.

North Texas Mean Green 33, Texas State Bobcats 42

North Texas Mean Green Odds and Trends

At the midway point of the season, it appeared as though the Mean Green were going to become bowl eligible without too much of an issue.

The wheels came off in a big way, though, with North Texas dropping 5 in a row and needing a win in the final week of the season to get to the magic number of 6.

They managed to pick up the W in the final week, taking out Temple 24-17 to secure their place, but you do have to be a little concerned about some of the trends coming into this game.

Day 1 Rep 1 of 2025!#GMG🦅 | #BTB pic.twitter.com/6xu1W9xJpT

— UNT Football (@MeanGreenFB) January 1, 2025

Besides going 1-5 SU in their last 6 games overall, they have also gone 0-5 SU in their last 5 starts as the underdog.

They have also failed to cover the spread in their last 5 games and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. 7 of their last 10 games have gone OVER the point total.

Texas State Bobcats Odds and Trends

It was a rather odd season for the Bobcats, as they struggled to stay consistent throughout, winning a couple of games then losing a couple before repeating the process all over again.

They did become bowl eligible with a couple of games to spare before ending the regular season with a 7-5 record.

Getting after it.#TakeBackTexas | @FRBowl pic.twitter.com/3us5htiPWX

— Texas State Football (@TXSTATEFOOTBALL) January 1, 2025

They did end the season playing some good ball, though, winning 3 of their last 4 games, but will that momentum carry over into this one?

While they have been decent of late, they have struggled against teams from the AAC, winning just 1 of the last 5 meetings with a team from that conference.

There really isn’t much to go on with the point spread either, as they are 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games. When playing as a favorite, the Bobcats have seen the OVER hit more often than not, going 4-2 O/U.

A true honor to play in honor of our #EverydayHeroes! Almost time for the 15th Annual @SERVPRO First Responder Bowl! #FRBowl@MeanGreenFB @TXSTATEFOOTBALL pic.twitter.com/C465wuMXbH

— First Responder Bowl (@FRBowl) January 2, 2025

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